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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Open Thread: Mets vs Tigers (03/24/2005)

Victor Zambrano goes for the Mets today in Port St. Lucie. His pitching line thus far?

9 IP, 15 H, 12 R, 10 ER, 9 BB, 5 K

U.G.L.Y. Rick Peterson claims that he's healthy now, which is more important than pitching adequately in Spring Training. While that's true to a point, it would make me feel a whole lot better if he could get the walks and hits down and the strikeouts up.

My prediction for 2005: 140 IP, 10-10, 4.50 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 100/100 K/BB.

How do you think he'll do?

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Kool-Aid anyone?
I'm actually swallowing the company line here and going with the "he hasn't pitched in a bajillion months, he's rusty, yaddayadda..."

For the season, hmmmmm....

I say he gets to about 160 IP, goes about 12-9, 4.7something ERA, 1.60 whip, 100/90 K/BB

What can I say?  I'm a cockeyed optimist...

by CharlieH on Mar 24, 2005 1:10 PM EST reply actions  

My line on Z
120IP, 7-10, 5.0 ERA, 1.90WHIP, 75/90 K/BB

Fifth starter, missing nearly two months.

Hey, with expectations as low as that, I'm all set to be a fan of his come September!

by peeder on Mar 25, 2005 2:04 AM EST up reply actions  

"Rick Peterson effect"?
Have we seen any evidence yet, anywhere, of the fabled Rick Peterson improvements?  The "I can fix Zambrano in 10 minutes" claim only put Peterson on thin ice, as far as I can see.  But even with the A's, did he actually have a measurable effect on pitchers?

by anonymous on Mar 24, 2005 2:03 PM EST reply actions  

No Leo Mazzone
I think averaging both those lines sound about right.  Sadly, if he actually does have a good season, I believe he's a free agent next year.(if I'm not mistaken) Which means he'll get Kris Benson $ when he resigns.  Kazmir will probably outpitch Zambrano THIS season, let alone at low dollars.

by iancal on Mar 24, 2005 2:09 PM EST reply actions  

RE: Free Agency
Zambrano is in his first year of arbitration with two years remaining. So long as the Mets are content to bring him to arbitration, he can't become a free agent until 2008.

by Eric Simon on Mar 24, 2005 2:29 PM EST up reply actions  

still not kazmir
whatever zambrano does, I would still rather have kazmir

by mrmetaa on Mar 25, 2005 5:47 PM EST reply actions  

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