FanPost

Differential lock?

Why are the Mets so Pythagen-screwed this season?  Normally a team's run differential -- the difference between the number of runs its hitters score and the number its pitchers give up -- can pretty reliably be used to extrapolate its W-L record.  Why not now?

Rob Neyer runs the "expected" standings using this method on ESPN:

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/neyer/index

And indeed, this tells us some things we already knew: the Phillies and Nationals are not as good as they've looked over the first 2/3 of the season, and the Nats especially are already enjoying a sharp and predictable fall back to earth over their last couple of weeks.

All season long, though, the Mets have been drastically underperforming this metric.  What's the story: bad bullpen pitching, lots of Met hitting in blowout games, or sheer bad luck?  Does Pythagoras bear the Amazin's no love?

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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