NL East Projections

If you're going to shill (twice) for a site here, couldn't it at least be somewhat interesting?  When you write gems like "[Reyes] is a solid player, but if he's going to lead off, you'd like to see a higher on-base percentage, especially with his speed!" it makes me wonder why I bothered to read that far.

Your methodology for compiling these projected numbers (link below) seems essentially to be: "make it up."  This speaks volumes about how seriously you take the enterprise of statistical forecasting, and how seriously we should take those projected numbers.  Why not just say "I think David Wright is due for a monster season" instead of pretending that you actually derived that .557 slugging percentage from some real source or confirmable method?

http://www.sethspeaks.net/012506.htm

Thanks Anonymous for the comments, and I should say that they are quite fair. First, I should point out that I fully respect the statistical analysis done by so many. However, in the end, those projections are still just guesses as well. My projections are based on a few things. Past history, Age, my guess for where they fit into a lineup and hence, who will hit around them. It is based on briefly looking at career HR or 2B per at bat, and thinking of whether or not they will improve or fall back from those numbers. so, although it appears that I don't do statistical analysis, there is a lot of that included. But again, part of me doing this was to have a fun look at who is playing where and just trying to make some projections. I will probably use them, in part, for my fantasy baseball cheat sheets. But again, I would also eventually like to do an analysis on my projections compared to more statistical projections based on deeper statistical analysis. Since things like injuries can not necessarily be predicted, it'll be interesting to see how close everyone really is.