Milledge on the Move?
WFAN is reporting that the Mets have traded Lastings Milledge to the Nationals for Brian Schneider and Ryan Church. This is a rumor right now; more as it unfolds.
UPDATE: Newsday is reporting it now.
UPDATE: Church and Milledge are very similar hitters right now, though Church is six years older and will cost more. The Mets essentially traded the age and payroll flexibility difference between Milledge and Church to get Schneider. Questionable to say the least.
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99 comments
Comments
Huh???
I liked Milledge and I am not sold on Carlos Gomez although I guess I had better get used to him.
by millsy on Nov 30, 2007 1:38 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Retarded
Like you said Eric, we replace Milledge with Church. Lastings is cheaper, younger and has a lot more upside.
Schneider is slightly worse or the same as Estrada and much, much worse than Lo Duca, who I don't even like but now looks like Piazza in comparison.
This is terrible. We have been getting progressively worse since the Nady trade.
by JC on Nov 30, 2007 1:40 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
bizarre, to say the least
by Greenpoint Ian on Nov 30, 2007 1:44 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Wilpon
Congratulations, Fred, you let the fucking New York Post run your team for you.
by Greenpoint Ian on Nov 30, 2007 1:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
yep.
by anonymous on Nov 30, 2007 5:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think it's THAT bad...
Church had a nice year last year, although his numbers would be much stronger in CF...
Which leads me to believe he isn't long for NY. Isn't it possible that another team liked Church better than Milledge? Couldn't they package him with Heilman and Pelfrey to take a run at someone like Bedard? Or even trade him to someone like the White Sox for Vazquez?
by SQUAD on Nov 30, 2007 1:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
It's not a bad deal really...
Milledge could always make this one blow up in our faces but have you really seen anything to make you think he's going to be the player people thought he would be originally? I've seen flashes but nothing substantive really.
by Willence on Nov 30, 2007 1:54 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I obviously agree...
by SQUAD on Nov 30, 2007 1:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
holy shit
by kingcritical on Nov 30, 2007 1:58 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Not So Bad
I don't really like that we got rid of Milledge since he seemed likely to start in the OF this season. Church is a good player, albeit slightly older than Milledge. He is an OBP-machine, which I like (Moneyball-type fan here). The question I pose - "who is going to be our 3rd OF? Is Church going to start or Endy Chavez? I guess they might be sufficient, or similar to the production Milledge would have produced but I would have liked to see a larger upgrade here!
by SeanNY on Nov 30, 2007 2:01 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Hello?
Church is not an OBP machine by any stretch. He OBPed at .349 last year, that's solid but it hardly makes him exceptional (he was at .361 in '06 which is good but not outstanding either). Church is definitely nice player and a legit Major Leaguer, but Lastings could have ben invovled in a better trade or we could have hung onto him and let him play next year and see how he looks with a full season under his belt all the while getting more HRs and better defense than we can expect from Ryan Church.
by Nick T on Nov 30, 2007 2:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
bad trade
by dbloom on Nov 30, 2007 2:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Not So Much Value in Milledge
by SeanNY on Nov 30, 2007 2:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No
by vonhayes on Nov 30, 2007 2:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
People overrate the value of Milledge...
We're just not in a strong dealing position now because our minors suck from AA up vs. other teams like Boston and the Yankees. We must put a lot of effort into rebuilding our system. At this point, we're going to have to liquidate our system to get the pitcher we so badly need. This team must win next year or maybe in 2009 because the window is closing fast!
by Willence on Nov 30, 2007 2:07 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Left-handed bat
by JC on Nov 30, 2007 2:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Milledge was a prospect
Umm, like, say, a Lastings Milledge? If we didn't love Lastings why not throw him into a deal along with other prospects for a top flight starter. Why did we foreclose that possibility and remove a chip from our sucky minors system to get Ryan frickin' Church!??
These are all reasons we should NOT have made that trade.
by Nick T on Nov 30, 2007 2:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The official explanation
I'm unconvinced.
by twassel on Nov 30, 2007 2:26 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Don't like it
by Josh on Nov 30, 2007 2:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
blows
i have one good thing to say about church. i enjoyed heckling him at RFK.
castro must feel like a real chump. omar is doing everything he can just to not play him.
by kendynamo on Nov 30, 2007 2:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Really?
And were you comfortable with handing the every day job to an overweight catcher with an arthritic back who has never played a full season before?
Don't get me wrong, I don't question Castro's ability. I think he has the talent to be better than most team's starting catchers, but Minaya needed to have a capable insurance policy.
Plus, I think Schneider/Castro makes for a nice platoon.
by SQUAD on Nov 30, 2007 2:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
A Nice Platoon
by Nick T on Nov 30, 2007 2:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
WAKE UP MINAYA & SMELL THE FARTS
by Sollie on Nov 30, 2007 3:07 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Kazmir Part II
by anonymous on Nov 30, 2007 3:25 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Its the ages that gets me
What we'll get maybe one or two good years from these guys each.
Would have rather only taken one of them plus a very good graft pick. We need to stay young at all times even if only using for trade chips.
by sincethebeginning on Nov 30, 2007 3:34 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Church just turned 29 last month.
Schneider at 31 is considerably younger than PLD (the relevant comparison), much better defensively, and, one would hope, less of an A-hole. I would expect him to get 100-120 starts, Castro to get the rest, and Estrada (if he isn't moved) to become well-acquainted with many of New Orleans' finer restaurants.
by madisonmetsfan on Nov 30, 2007 4:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The sad fact is
Milledge years away is .272/.341/.446
How can you justify that?
by BlackOps on Nov 30, 2007 5:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Trade
Scheider is what he is, but there's nothing wrong with having a guy who calls a great game and nails runners like Scheidner. Maybe his bat is a bit light in the SLG, but a 330-340OBP isn't atrocious.
I think people declaring this trade a mistake are really overrating Milledge. Sure he has great tools, and may well be a star someday. But, if you think he could've brought more back in a trade, your kidding yourself. Obviously he wasn't a key to any deal for an ace, or he'd still be here. That's obvious on his face. But Church is a better player for the Mets in 2008 and Omar whether we like or not is win now mode. Because if we flounder next year, it won't matter to Omar that Milledge shines in 2009 if Omar gets canned in the winter of 2008.
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 4:08 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
wha?
Obviously he wasn't a key to any deal for an ace, or he'd still be here.
So your argument is premised on Omar's infallibility?
by anonymous on Nov 30, 2007 5:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Omar
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 5:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
not a complete moron
by elifriedman on Nov 30, 2007 5:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Trade
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 5:51 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
well
by elifriedman on Nov 30, 2007 5:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Star
While I'd like to hang to chips for the future, when you're the GM in NY the future is always now. The reaction to the trade is certainly expected, b/c fans only see their prospects as future stars, not future Ochoa's, and Escobar's. GM's know better, and when you need to win like we do in 2008, better to ride with a guy who you know can give you 275/355/470/18/80 then a guy who may one day go 290/360/500/20/100.
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 7:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Church
Last year in 59 games Milledge had a .272/.341/.446/7/29 line.
Of course, how would we know what he could do in a full season? Willie always wanted to see Shawn Green play.
And it's like this trade is the "fix" for 2008. We're still way far away from a championship, and downgrading at one position and carrying three catchers doesn't help.
by BlackOps on Nov 30, 2007 11:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Why is Church better?
Schneider is the best defensive catcher in the majors? News to me.
by BlackOps on Nov 30, 2007 6:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Trade
Church is a better fit for us in 2008. He's lefty, he's a better RF'ers than Lastings by far, and he has pop. You don't place number 35 in OPS playing in DC w/o being a good hitter. Sure, exstrapolate Milledge's numbers out all you want, but he's far from a proven commodity. Church may never be a star, but neither is Lastings at this point. If you want potential, Milledge is your man. But, if you want a hitter who will draw respect from RHP's who will have to Mitch to Moises, and somebody who plays good defense in RF it's Church.
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 7:38 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He calls great games?
by JC on Nov 30, 2007 8:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Calling a game
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 8:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Okay
by JC on Nov 30, 2007 8:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Scout
But tune in 2008, and you can see with your own eyes what great defensive catching is all about. Though, you may want to tune out when he steps to the plate.
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 9:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I wasn't questioning his defense....
Regardless, I hope you're right. And I hope Church has more upside than we are giving him credit for. I feel like the trade is a complete disaster, but if I'm wrong I'll gladly say it and be smiling the whole time. :)
by JC on Nov 30, 2007 9:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Church rarely plays right field
by BlackOps on Nov 30, 2007 11:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
More Omar
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 5:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Even if
Manny Acta must be fucking LAUGHING at us right now.
by Josh on Nov 30, 2007 6:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Ace
If you think Ryan Church is crap, then you don't know baseball.
by whynot on Nov 30, 2007 8:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
"Duh"
Church didn't get to the majors until 25. Since then he's had one good season and it took him until he was 28 to have that happen. Unless he starts taking steroids he's not going to improve drastically at this point in his career. And even at 28, he had almost exactly the same batting line as Milledge had at 22. Church strikes out a lot more often than he walks. So does Milledge at this point, but Milledge is young enough that he can learn plate discipline. For next season, PECOTA puts Church at .271/.354/.475, Milledge at .289/.361/.475. In other words, even before Milledge is done developing and Church is in the best years of his career, Milledge is better.
Church is 28 and he's had one productive year in the major leagues. Maybe "crap" was too harsh but there's no way he's worth one of our best prospects.
by Josh on Nov 30, 2007 10:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Steroids
There are too many "HUGE MISTAKE" and "GREAT DEAL" posts. Its not that bad, but not great either. We may be better off, but we probably parted with a bit much or got too little in return.
Maybe Omar plans to use Church off the bench, start Schneider at Catcher, and go after Kosuke Fukudome (Japanese RF) in free agency! I like that idea!
by SeanNY on Dec 1, 2007 7:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No
Now they're doing the same in '08, going with old crappy guy Ryan Church, except they don't even have Milledge waiting in the wings, ready to blossom. Just a terribly run team.
by vonhayes on Nov 30, 2007 4:27 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Omar on WFAN
By the way, this is not the first time Omar has traded for Church.
by JC on Nov 30, 2007 4:48 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
a stupid assed trade
by elifriedman on Nov 30, 2007 5:43 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I'm throughly digusted
by DoctorK16 on Nov 30, 2007 7:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I was wondering where you were Doc
by elifriedman on Nov 30, 2007 9:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm with you, Doc
by kingcritical on Nov 30, 2007 9:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/20/AR2005092002093.html
by elifriedman on Nov 30, 2007 9:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
yuck.
by kingcritical on Nov 30, 2007 9:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
be careful
I remember when that story broke, and it was a case of Church being a) dumb as a post, or b) never having met a Jewish person in his life before he started dating that ex-girlfriend, and thus actually listening to the words of Jon Moeller, the fire-and-brimstone loon who told Church that Jews are condemned to damnation. Church was likely just too dumb to keep his mouth shut about what Moeller told him.
Had Church dug further, he probably would have found out from the good rev. that gays, Catholics, members of the ACLU, Democrats, Ron Paul supporters, etc. are all damned as well. ;-)
So let's not condemn Church as an anti-semite any more than we'd condemn Milledge as a gangsta.
by Greenpoint Ian on Dec 1, 2007 11:23 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
give me a break
by elifriedman on Dec 1, 2007 11:49 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the analogy
I'm not happy with the deal, but let's not pre-emtively hate Church for no reason. I'm cheering for the guy in 2008.
by Greenpoint Ian on Dec 1, 2007 1:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Wow Ian
by elifriedman on Dec 1, 2007 3:10 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Who Cares?
by Josh on Dec 3, 2007 11:28 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
its kind of relavent
by DoctorK16 on Dec 3, 2007 8:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
thanks Doc
by elifriedman on Dec 3, 2007 8:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
you're in every position
by DoctorK16 on Nov 30, 2007 11:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I sure hope
This week, one of my favorite football players, Sean Taylor, was shot and killed in his home as you probably know. He was always labeled as a trouble man for an incident on the playing field stemming from when he spit into an opponent's (Michael Pittman) face during a game, and from being charged with assault and brandishing a gun. (of which the charges were proved to be false lies and he was never convicted of anything) These things happened years ago, but he was always labeled. He was a quiet guy and never really let the media into his life at all. When he died, every player who knew him and friend or family member or coach of the Skins said he turned his life around since that incident. Well, the moral of this story is that I really hope people get to know the truth about Milledge, whatever it may be, before he's [b]dead[/b]. These things happened years ago.
This past week I've been so crushed about Sean Taylor's death and now Milledge gets dealt away, and the first thing many people point out is his "troubles." I think it's a very sad deal that we don't get to know these guys really are until they're dead. From this point on, I vow to tell people who these guys really are without assumptions from the media and paranoia from the media.
It just sickens me that Taylor can be glorified once he's dead, but a guy like Milledge who has been looked at similarly by the media is still crucified simply because he's alive.
A long rant by me letting out a big steam of anger from Taylor's death to Milledge's trade, but the moral is that the media blows. They're all looking for a story, that's all they care about. It's sad that we only learn about a guy when he's gone.
I look forward to what you have to say, doc, because at this point I can't really express my feelings well. It's been a long week.
:(
by BlackOps on Nov 30, 2007 11:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Amen
by TheFlushingKings on Dec 1, 2007 12:31 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
very well said
by elifriedman on Dec 1, 2007 12:41 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
bbcode
by Eric Simon on Dec 1, 2007 12:37 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the media
by DoctorK16 on Dec 1, 2007 6:51 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Keith Law's take of the trade at ESPN.com
Lastings Milledge is still one of the better young outfield prospects in the game. By dealing him for an awful player in Brian Schneider, the Mets sold low on a former first-round pick with a lot of upside and committed two years and too much money to a catcher who can't hit.
The Mets get ... nothing, or close to it. Schneider will earn $10.3 million over the next two years to sit behind the plate when the rules call for it, and to make 300-odd outs at the plate while hitting .230/.320/.330 or thereabouts. He is the definition of replacement level -- his offensive production was roughly as valuable as what Guillermo Quiroz did in eleven plate appearances for Texas last year -- and paying him $10 million is bad enough. Giving up something of value to acquire that contract is horrible. It would be better to pay Johnny Estrada $3-4 million to be bad for one year than Schneider over $10 million to be worse for two years.
There's a small silver lining for the Mets in the acquisition of Ryan Church, a capable platoon bat in left or right field if you have a right-handed caddy for him. Unlike Schneider, he has value on a big league roster, but even swapping Milledge straight-up for Church wouldn't make sense because of Church's struggles against lefties, his long history of minor injuries, his age and his expense as a super-two player this winter.
Before Schneider's acquisition David Lennon of Newsday wrote the following about Estrada:
The Mets obviously were not satisfied with Paul Lo Duca - they didn't bother to make him an offer - and wanted someone who, along with Castro, would do a better job of handling the pitching staff. Based on his previous three stops with the Braves, Diamondbacks and Brewers, Estrada appears up to the task.
Starting with the Braves in 2004, each of those teams' ERAs improved after Estrada arrived. With Javy Lopez in 2003, Atlanta had a 4.10 ERA, which ranked 12th in baseball. That dropped to 3.75 with Estrada the following season, tops in baseball.
The trend continued in 2006 with the Diamondbacks. The previous year, with Chris Snyder the primary catcher, Arizona had a 4.84 ERA (25th). That dropped to 4.48 (13th) with Estrada.
The same thing happened in Milwaukee, where the Brewers' ERA went from 4.82 (25th) in 2006 to 4.41 (15th) with Estrada in 2007. The Mets had a 4.26 ERA - 12th in baseball - last season.
Of course, Estrada can be considered only one factor, but such a significant reduction should be noted on a catcher's resume. As for the criticism Estrada has endured for his poor success rate of throwing out would-be base-stealers last season, there are mitigating factors.
Estrada threw out 13 percent (11-for-84), but the 73 stolen bases he allowed still were fewer than Josh Bard (121), Jorge Posada (102) and Gold Glove winner Russell Martin (82). Nine catchers allowed between 68 and 74 stolen bases.
It's also important to consider that Estrada played last season with a bone spur in his throwing elbow. The spur was removed Oct. 4.
I hope the balls the Mets acquired in the proverbial bucket of balls for LM were at least autographed.
by gategem on Dec 1, 2007 1:53 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
from a happy camper
by elifriedman on Dec 1, 2007 1:07 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Title on the main page proved eerily prophetic
by Simons on Dec 1, 2007 1:58 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
blarg
17 games a year where young Lastings steals a bag, makes a grab, and strikes out will be grating...
by citimetro on Dec 2, 2007 10:17 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
weak sauce
Can all of you who have been posting non-disgusted reactions to this trade please (a) explain your reasoning about how this makes the Mets any better, or indeed even not palpably worse, on the field? Or (b) give a rationale of any kind about why this trade had to be made?
About point (a): this trade seems likely to hurt even the 2008 Mets, and virtually certain to hurt the team's future, as losing a talented youngster always does. As was mentioned upthread, Milledge and Church were roughly equivalent hitters last year, and only one of them is likely to improve. Schneider is no better as a hitter than Estrada or Castro, but he is well-paid, making him (moving on to point (b)) very low in trade value. The Nationals ought to have sought no return at all for him in trade, treating it as a pure salary dump, and even then they might not have found a taker other than Omar. Milledge's reputation was low right now, but he's a young and talented player; there was no earthly reason not to hang onto him, plug him into the major-league team for a year or two, and see how he adapted. This is a classic case of selling low and buying high; when even stat-allergic Buster Olney can't find anyone in baseball who thinks the Mets got a good deal, it's a sad day. Omar's looking more and more like a dumb guy who sometimes gets lucky, and less and less like an intelligent GM, with every passing minute: honestly, who can defend the intelligence of a guy who just got fleeced by Jim Bowden, of all people?
by anonymous on Dec 2, 2007 11:17 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Gotta Make one thing clear first
One more thing that I forgot to mention about Schneider is the fact that he's lefty, this will help get Castro in the lineup more which is a plus.
by sireric on Dec 3, 2007 12:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
catchers
Career OPS+
Lo Duca 99
Estrada 86
Castro 88
Schneider 82
So the guy we just traded our prize prospect for is basically the worst hitter among all the available options, even factoring in some of a likely decline in Lo Duca's aging curve.
Second, the argument you advance in your last sentence is patently absurd. Why would the Mets need to trade for a third catcher at all, let alone deal Milledge for one, if the goal was to give Castro more playing time?
by anonymous on Dec 3, 2007 3:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
now who's being absurd
by sireric on Dec 3, 2007 3:59 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
you should hesitate before
by elifriedman on Dec 3, 2007 4:10 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
maybe I called the wrong guy a fool
by sireric on Dec 3, 2007 5:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
here we go again
by elifriedman on Dec 3, 2007 6:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
gotta call a spade a spade
by sireric on Dec 3, 2007 6:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Marty Noble's take on the trade
by twassel on Dec 3, 2007 5:43 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
What crap
Look at his frickin' arguments?
a) "Milledge has far more value to the Nationals than he had to the Mets..."
So he actually was valuable thus we should get more for him than we got.
b) "[Milledge had character issues]"
Blah blah blah, yeah it certainly stopped Gary Sheffield in his tracks.
c) "the perception by some that his five-tools were more like 3 1/2 to 4 and the presence of other outfielders contributed to the Mets making him available."
Unatributed nonsese, and downright falsehoods. What other outfielders? The Mets are still in need of more outfielders as they stand right now (and Marty says so later in the article)!
d) "That he brought less in return than he might have in the summer of '05 (Manny Ramirez) or the summer of '06 (Roy Oswalt) isn't the Mets' fault. It was a function of Milledge's performance."
What performance, Marty? At this point in that article he has not cited a single element of Milledge's actual performance. At best he has mentioned his lack of ability to play corner outfield. But has given no reason to think that sudenly sprang up in 07.
e) "That the Mets brought in a catcher they coveted and a left-handed-hitting outfielder in exchange for Milledge, made it a good trade."
So because the Mets liked Shneider that means he is in fact good and thus is a valuable piece of this trade... made by the Mets. Great circular reasoning. And apprently Ryan Church has "Left-Handed" in huge green letters on top of his resume.
f) "I see Schneider and Church as good fits, the kind of players that make the whole greater than the sum of it parts. "
I bet this guy is pissed we didn't sign Eckstein. But it's true, Milledge always seemed to make the sum less than the square root of half its parts.
g) "[Still not good OF power] which probably wouldn't have been forthcoming had Milledge remained."
So this trade is good because ways in which we definitely are poor, we probably still would have been poor without it. That's all you can ask for, people. After you make a trade, if you can say you continue to suck (or suck more) in areas you already weren't great at, then hey, you'll take it.
All of that crap against a lone coherent argument:
"Their [Tubby and Slappy] presence balances the batting order, improves the defense and allows manager Willie Randolph to use Endy Chavez and Ramon Castro in ways that benefit them and the team."
In short: left-handed, solid defense and legit major leaguers. Are guys like that so hard to come by??
Wow. Just, WOW, this guy gets PAID to know the game and defend crappy trades and this is the best he could muster. This is perhaps the best example of how we know this trade sucked.
by Nick T on Dec 3, 2007 10:15 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
nice dissection
And I have no idea what all the sum-of-the-parts stuff means at all.
by anonymous on Dec 3, 2007 10:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i wish
by DoctorK16 on Dec 4, 2007 12:09 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
my thoughts exactly
background checks, secret worrisome physicals, he was messing wit' Willie's daughter, something to make this trade not sound so dumb.
by citimetro on Dec 4, 2007 8:54 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree, that's how it looks
by anonymous on Dec 4, 2007 9:24 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Think about it
Bannister for Burgos
Heath Bell & Royce Ring for Ben Johnson & John Adkins
Those aren't very good trades. You bring up a good point about a dumb trade. Maybe Omar should stick to signing free agents.
by sireric on Dec 4, 2007 11:24 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the way we find out is for Lastings to hit the
by DoctorK16 on Dec 4, 2007 6:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'll take a stab at this...
Ryan Church is an upgrade over Shawn Green both defensively and offensively. You can lay all the odds that Milledge outperforms Church next season, but the fact is that Church has done it over a full season. Plus, he is a better defender than Milledge and lefty bat. Since most of the pitchers we'll see are RH, Church's platoon splits aren't as big a deal as everyone makes them out to be. Also, it's been mentioned the Nats kind of jerked Church around, similar to how we jerked Milledge around. As was mentioned by a poster over at Baseball Think Factory, maybe this turns into Roberto Kelly for Paul O'Neil. Maybe Church develops late in his career at Shea where Jeff Kent did not. Maybes aside, he hit 43 doubles last year with a decent OBP... not something to sneeze at.
Schneider, for his offensive deficiencies, is regarded as a defensive maestro. Now there is no way to really quantify this, so we either need to a. reserve judgment until we get to see him or b. take his reputation as it is. Most likely his rep is a bit overblown (most reps are) but he has to be an upgrade over LoDuca, who had a glass arm and was awful at blocking the plate.
Further, I see the OPS+ stats for LoDuca, Estrada, and Schneider posted. As far as I'm concerned, you can throw LoDuca's career OPS+ out the window because he is going to be 36 and posted an OPS+ of 80 last year. So we have no idea how he would hit next season. When old catchers lose it, they tend to lose it fast. Estrada's career OPS+ isn't that much better than Schneider's and when you take out his one superlative year in Atlanta out (which he hasn't come close to while hitting in good parks in Arizona and Milwaukee) his OPS+ is a lot closer to Schneider's than you'd think.
Lastly, Estrada and LoDuca are both coming off injury riddled years, and Estrada hasn't exactly been Cal Ripken over his career. I remember him being on the DL often while in Atlanta. With Castro looking at more playing time, you would want his partner to be able to handle a full season, since Castro himself is a risk to hit the DL with his arthritic back.
As for Lastings (and disclaimer: I've always liked him personally. I feel like he's been the victim of a media witch hunt and had a chance to become a very good player if they just put him in RF and left him alone), his value has obviously dropped. Gomez and Martinez have obviously surpassed him in the eyes of the organization (and apparently others in baseball) so dealing him doesn't really hurt the future, because they have both of these kids on the way to flank Beltran. And whether it is fair or not, the media was all over this kid. He was never going to get a fair shake here, and while unfortunate, that also had to be considered. He's no sure thing, and I've read that some believe Milledge will either hit for power or average, but not both. Take it for what it's worth. Sure, it stinks we didn't deal him at his peak value, but who's to say he would have regained it? Is it so ludicrous to believe that his value dropped, he now projects as being a solid MLB CF but nothing more, and the Mets dealt him before his value dropped even more?
Also, Buster Olney may have found no one who thinks this was a good trade... which is funny because John Heyman said the only people who think this trade was a dud is the fans. So, there you go... mixed reviews at best.
One more note: what the Mets have lacked in this trade market are useful MLB capable players. Whatever your opinion of Milledge, Gomez, and Martinez, they don't have a lot of experience. Church gives us a chip that may be attractive to some of the teams we are trying to work our a deal with. May be a stretch, but it has diversified their offerings a bit.
So, in sum for all the skimmers. Church and Schneider are both defensive upgrades at their respective positions (which should have a subtle effect on the pitching staff) who hit LH. Church is a solid complementary player who still has a small chance of improving in a park more suited to LH hitters. Schneider and Castro should combine to provide the Mets with better production at catcher than LoDuca would have provided alone, and with better defense. While losing Milledge hurts, the Mets are still covered for the future with Martinez and Gomez, while upgrading and solidifying two positions for their '08 team.
by SQUAD on Dec 4, 2007 1:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
can't say i disagree
by sireric on Dec 4, 2007 2:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I know...
But I am prepared to be peppered with all the same arguments people have been giving against the trade. And I get them, I really do... heck, I'm not even sold that this was a good trade. The point I am trying to make is that it is not the Kazmir trade and actually makes some sense when you look at the big picture.
But no one wants to do that. Plus, I'm kind of irked at how everyone is tearing down Ryan Church just because their beloved Lastings has been dealt. Church is by no means a superlative player, but he is a nice lefty bat and plays solid D. A definite improvement over Shawn Green. Who knows what will happen given a chance to play everyday? It's not like guys don't take off later in their careers: Jason Bay, Jeff Kent, Paul O'Neill.
by SQUAD on Dec 4, 2007 3:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I meant a reliver
by sireric on Dec 4, 2007 3:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs




















