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Make-The-Mets-O-Meter

Martin Gandy put up a "Making the Team Meter" over at Talking Chop, and I liked it so much I decided to steal it. Plagiarism is the sincerest form of flattery, no? I'm no Carlos Mencia, but I have taken the Mets' 40-man roster as well as all of their non-roster invitees and rated their current chances of making the Mets out of spring training. An up-arrow means their stock is on the rise, though it doesn't necessarily mean they are particularly likely to make the club. A down-arrow means they aren't doing so hot, and neutral is just that.

Technically open spots: three rotation spots, two bullpen spots, two bench spots.

I'll post an updated list once a week or so as circumstances encourage me to do so.

Player, Position Comment
Jon Adkins, RHP
--
Acquired from Padres in Ring/Bell deal, probably doesn't figure into Mets' bullpen plans.
Adam Bostick, LHP
Came to Mets from Marlins in Lindstrom/Owens trade. Has never pitched in the bigs, look for him to continue that trend in 2007.
Ambiorix Burgos, RHP
From Royals in Bannister deal, his right arm is a cannon without sight. Could fill out the back end of the 'pen.
Marcos Carvajal, RHP
--
Snagged off waivers from TB, probably won't be Queens bound in April.
Philip Humber, RHP
Feels great following 2005 TJ surgery, but has plenty of competition for the fifth starter spot.
Chan Ho Park, RHP
Willie likes his curveball; frontrunner for #5 starter.
John Maine, RHP
Impressed last year and in the playoffs, it will probably take a catastrophe for him not to make the team.
Mike Pelfrey, RHP
Like Humber, has his work cut out for him if he's going to make the club from the get-go. Everyone loves him, though.
Oliver Perez, LHP
Not as sure a thing as Maine, but he has the inside track at #4 in the rotation.
Alay Soler RHP
Didn't impress last year, probably won't impress this year.
Jorge Sosa, RHP
--
Long man? Maybe. Lousy pitcher? Assuredly.
Jason Vargas, LHP
--
Also competing for the fifth rotation spot, but is several ticks down on he depth chart.
Damion Easley, IF
Favorite for the do-everything utility spot, and can't be much worse than Chris Woodward was last year.
Anderson Hernandez, IF
Can hit in the minors, can hit in winter ball, can't hit big league pitching. IPOR is on the fast track to New Orleans.
Ben Johnson, OF
Nice player, should compete for the last spot on the bench.
Lastings Milledge, OF
Will be very good one day soon, but unless he is all kinds of nasty in spring training he will begin the season in AAA.
David Newhan, OF
--
Hard to get a reading here, but he's a useful utility guy.
Eddie Camacho, LHP
Career minor leaguer, will be one of the first cuts (if he's even in camp).
Willie Collazo, LHP
SEE: Eddie Camacho
Derek Lee, LHP
He's no Derrek Lee.
Kevin Mulvey, RHP
--
Drafted out of Villanova in 2006, no chance of making the team.
Clint Nageotte, RHP
SEE: Dried up husk.
Aaron Sele, RHP
--
Good insurance policy if Chan Ho doesn't work out.
Joe Smith, RHP
Great arm, sidewinder, could get a call up this year.
Lino Urdaneta, RHP
Forget it.
Jorge Vasquez, RHP
Hang 'em up.
Sandy Alomar, Jr., C
--
Needs an injury to Duke or Castro, but is still a better option than Heitpas, DiFelice, etc.
Drew Butera, C
Needs a rash of injuries to the catching corps.
Mike DiFelice, C
--
Just keeps hanging around this team.
Joe Hietpas, C
Behind DiFelice on the depth chart. Enough said.
Mike Nickeas, C
Keep walking.
Francisco Pena, C
--
Not this year, but someone to keep an eye on.
Jose A. Reyes, C
Only room for one Jose Reyes on this club.
Michel Abreu, 1B
Raked last year in the minors, but there probably isn't a spot for him right now.
Mike Carp, 1B
Nice prospect, good bat, no room.
Ruben Gotay, IF
Cleared waivers recently, will go back to AAA.
Chip Ambres, OF
Who?
Fernando Martinez, OF
The kid can mash, but is still a good two years from making his big league debut.
Victor Mendez, OF
...
Ruben Sierra, OF
--
Probably won't make the cut.

Key:
-- = Chance of making the team is even.
= Chance of making the team is going down.
= Chance of making the team is going up.

0 recs  |  Comment 10 comments

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nice chart
Even if "Last Backup to the Backup Catcher Standing" is a less than magnetically entertaining storyline (you know who I miss? Vance Wilson), this is a good rundown.  I'm not clear on exactly how many roster spots we're looking at these players competing for, since a lot of the 25-man is already effectively set.  But all your assessments seem completely accurate to me.

by anonymous on Feb 21, 2007 12:37 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

considering Castro came
into to camp looking he enjoyed a lot of fine dining in the offseason. Alomar might be around to give him something to think about.
its a ground ball...trickling... its a fair ball, its by Buckner, rounding third Knight, the Mets will win the ballgame, the Mets win

by DoctorK16 on Feb 21, 2007 9:24 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Alomar si...
...Castro no.

by Ralph Zig Tyko on Feb 21, 2007 3:25 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Ruben Sierra?
Geez, there isn't some 22-year-old who OPSed .800 at Binghamton last year who we could give a shot instead of Ruben Sierra?  I mean, why not invite Butch Huskey to camp while we're at it?
Driving the Oliver Perez bandwagon!

by Greenpoint Ian on Feb 21, 2007 9:39 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

he has no shot to make the team
its a ground ball...trickling... its a fair ball, its by Buckner, rounding third Knight, the Mets will win the ballgame, the Mets win

by DoctorK16 on Feb 21, 2007 11:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

blackmail
Maybe he has dirt on Willie from the yankee days.
"It's Father's Day today at Shea, so to all you fathers out there, Happy Birthday." -- Ralph Kiner

by dissento on Feb 21, 2007 2:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

daily racing form
love the comments. succinct and read like the comments in past performances in the DRF.

by babahr on Feb 21, 2007 10:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Scott Schoeneweis...
...stands a real good chance of making the team, me thinkith, and isn't on your list.
Aside, this is very informative, Eric. Thank you.

by Ralph Zig Tyko on Feb 24, 2007 7:09 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Schoeneweis
He has a guaranteed three-year contract. He's making the team.

by Eric Simon on Feb 24, 2007 9:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks...
...for the clarification, Eric.

by Ralph Zig Tyko on Feb 24, 2007 10:52 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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