Open Thread - Game 137: Mets vs. Reds (09/03/2007) on SNY

by Eric Simon on Sep 3, 2007 12:19 PM EDT

Tale of the tape:

	Martinez	Harang
ERA		3.51
FIP		3.69
K/9		8.24
BB/9		2.08
K/BB		3.95
HR/9		1.04
WHIP		1.12
GB/FB		0.99
BABIP		.288
eBABIP		.296

Que se dillio:

I'm trying to temper my expectations for Pedro's 2007 return this afternoon. It certainly doesn't help that the Mets are facing one of the best starters in the National League, but ultimately Pedro's performance will stand on its own. The Mets said the other day that he would be on a fairly strict pitch count of 75 for the game, though all pitches aren't created equal and a lot will have to do with the level of duress under which he makes those pitches.

Check out the preview of tonight's game at Baseball-Reference.com.

The other side of the tracks:

Check out Red Reporter for discussion of this game from the point-of-view of the opponent.

Follow the game online:

- FanGraphs.com
- ESPN.com
- Yahoo!
- CBS SportsLine
- MLB.com

Tweet Comment 62 comments | 0 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

Pedroooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 12:24 PM EDT reply actions

5 innings if he's lucky

But they do still need to have him pitch.
I'm worried that they're treating this like a rehab assignment when the playoffs are still in question, though.

Talkin' Sports

by BlackOps on Sep 3, 2007 12:52 PM EDT reply actions

Pedro

I know I should temper my expectations, but even so...

HAPPY PEDRO DAY, EVERYBODY!

by Josh @ Amazin' Avenue on Sep 3, 2007 1:11 PM EDT reply actions

Woooo Pedro!

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 1:16 PM EDT reply actions

Yay Castillo!

Soar knee and all

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 1:19 PM EDT reply actions

I'm pumped

Taught my 3year old to say Pedro, but it comes out more like Pe-do

by The Irresistable Force on Sep 3, 2007 1:29 PM EDT reply actions

Haha

That's great. Bad luck for the pitch though.

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions

yikes

I'm trying to stay calm. Those first two runs were lucky just to get on.

by citimetro on Sep 3, 2007 1:35 PM EDT reply actions

Yeah thanks Alou

He was throwing at the end of that inning.

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions

He just made up for one!

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions

Holy Moises!

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 1:40 PM EDT reply actions

Alouuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 1:40 PM EDT reply actions

Good lord

Alou crushed that

by The Irresistable Force on Sep 3, 2007 1:41 PM EDT reply actions

467 feet

apparently.

EAMUS METROPOLIS!

by pingel on Sep 3, 2007 1:49 PM EDT up reply actions

3,000!!

Congrats to Pedro!

EAMUS METROPOLIS!

by pingel on Sep 3, 2007 1:53 PM EDT reply actions

# 3000

Lets hope he can make it a hella lot more./

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 1:53 PM EDT reply actions

3000 Ks for Petey

He looks good. That fastball is up around 88-90 his change up is still basically unhittable.

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 1:54 PM EDT reply actions

Mr. Wright!

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 2:00 PM EDT reply actions

DW

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 2:00 PM EDT reply actions

D WRIGHT!!!!!!!!!

EAMUS METROPOLIS!

by pingel on Sep 3, 2007 2:00 PM EDT reply actions

Good pace

37 pitches through three isn't bad at all, especially considering his first inning. Thank you Cincinatti Reds.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 2:08 PM EDT reply actions

well Petey throws strikes

The Reds have some walkers in there lineup. Griffey, Hatteburg and Dunn.

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions

Very true

It's become so foreign to me to have a Mets pitcher just throw strikes this way. I forgot just how many reaons there were I love Pedro.

Pedro pitched the greatest game I ever saw in person: 6/7/05 against the Astros. 9IP, 2H, 1R, 1BB, 12K. No hits allowed until a Chris Burke home run in the seventh. He struck out the side in the 9th.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions

mine too

The Pedro vs. Webb match up at Shea. He was amazing that night.

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions

Not as good a pace any more, unfortunately

Probably his last inning.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 2:42 PM EDT reply actions

yeah although it is the bottom of the order

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions

It would be nice

But I'm guessing they'll stick to their 75 (76) pitch limit.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions

Braves up 3-1

Feels very weird to say this, but lets go Braves.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 2:53 PM EDT reply actions

I was reading

On the Talking chop site yesterday, the braves fans were saying their team should just let philly kick them to let philly keep up with us. Gave me a good laugh

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 3:05 PM EDT reply actions

Argh

Scott Showenweis? Why?

Why why why?

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 3:08 PM EDT reply actions

lefties coming up

but still. He walks the first one too.

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions

Yeah but

Sometimes a pitcher's bad enough that lefty/righty just doesn't matter.

Our man Show is just such a pitcher.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions

Well

He got out of it, but was lucky as hell to do so. I'll take it, of course, but hate so much that he's ever brought in when the differential is lower than five.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions

I hate No-Show

Delgado saved his bacon right there with the glove.

by citimetro on Sep 3, 2007 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions

Up by at least four against the Reds

Can they finally bring in Humber next inning?

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 3:20 PM EDT reply actions

Nope

Up 5, against the Reds, we still get Feliciano.

Willie drives me crazy. Hasn't he ever heard to resting people to make sure they don't get overworked? He does it enough with the rotation. Why does he have to slag the bullpen? No imagination. no imagination at all.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions

Ha!

Carlos Delgado gets a SB. If I were the catcher I would have just thrown to second.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 3:26 PM EDT reply actions

green

it's the only way he can get a run in w/ the bases loaded ... but i'm so satisfied with the way things are going right now, i won't dare complain!!!

by metsexile on Sep 3, 2007 3:33 PM EDT reply actions

he should have been hit for with Milledge

or Conine

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions

yup

but with a 5 run lead ... but as someone pointed out the other day ... wishing the "starter" millidge was in there in the first place!

by metsexile on Sep 3, 2007 3:36 PM EDT reply actions

I think Willie has made him a platoon player

at this point. It's silly IMO.

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions

Sigh

Up 5, against the Reds, we still get Feliciano.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 3:41 PM EDT reply actions

well if its just one inning its not bad

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions

These things add up

Even one inning can hurt in the long run--meaning that, really, it isn't one inning. It's one inning, than another the next, then another the next, and being brought in to warm up in between. This is what gave Wagner his dead arm.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions

Well,

Its just about safe to say we have a five game lead.

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 3:54 PM EDT reply actions

Phillies lose

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions

Shh

Don't jinx it.

You know things are going pretty well for a guy (and that he's making me selfish) that I was disappointed Wright made out right there. These days I'm surprised when he does make out.

It took a while, but I think it's now safe to say he's having the best season of any third basemen not also located in New York. Eat that, Miguel Cabrera!

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions

Sweep from yesterday

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 4:00 PM EDT reply actions

I'd make the same argument I made last inning

But a six run lead is the perfect time to pitch Mota.

Still, I just want to see Humber pitch. Is there any reason Willie can't bring him in in the ninth? I really, really hope he doesn't bring in Sosa for that one.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 4:03 PM EDT reply actions

Woo...

That was scary

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 4:04 PM EDT reply actions

Delgado

Delgotit!

by NewMet5 on Sep 3, 2007 4:09 PM EDT reply actions

carloses

... cb now over .280. cd now over .250. wright at .320. only hiccup is reyes down to .295. would be great if things finally start clicking wouldn't it???

by metsexile on Sep 3, 2007 4:09 PM EDT reply actions

not really a hiccup

Reyes's OBP is still a career high .369, showing that his value to the team doesn't depend solely on his batting average anymore. Everything is going pretty well if the drop below a .300 BA now qualifies as a "problem."

by anonymous on Sep 3, 2007 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions

good problem to have

...indeed. tho i do think that jose is having trouble with his consistency ... there seem to be a few too many games where he takes a 0-5, 1-5, etc. but my expectations of him are admittedly very, very high ... bc he usually delivers.

by metsexile on Sep 3, 2007 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions

Yeah

But on a purely selfish level don't you want to see Reyes get back to where he was a month ago? He's been pretty cold of late, and has only sporadically hit for power for about two months. I don't remember the last time he hit a triple.

Still, he's having a great season, just not the monster amazing one he was having at the start of the season. For a while he was leading majors in VORP.

The offense looks pretty damned good right now, but selfishly I want Reyes to explode. I guess maybe next season.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions

of course

I also want Reyes to be as great as he looked like he could be after last year if he continued to develop at the same pace. His improvement has leveled off a little bit this year, while Hanley Ramirez has turned into the clearly superior player of the two, which is annoying. I'd love to see Reyes add some power and some better pitch selection and strike-zone judgment next year. But we have to acknowledge that the 2007 version is not a disappointing player to have.

by anonymous on Sep 3, 2007 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions

Hanley is a superior offensive player

but is a terrible defensive SS at this point. I think their metrics with defense included are about the same.

Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Sep 3, 2007 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions

Wins Above Replacement Player

Which includes defense, has Reyes's WARP3 at 11.3 and Ramirez's at 9.5. Both are outstanding, superstar caliber seasons, but with defense Reye's is even better.

By the way, according to Baseball Prospectus's metric Reyes is having an obscenely great defensive year. Not quite Ozzie smith caliber, but close enough that when coupled with his merely "very good" offensive campaign he's hands down the best shortstop in baseball this year.

Still, with his talent, he could very easily have this great a defensive season while hitting .330/.400/.500 or so while stealing 90 bases. Which would give him, all around, one of the greatest shortstop seasons of all time.

by jalsonmi on Sep 3, 2007 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions