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Community Projection: John Maine

The Mets may have bungled when they acquired Kris Benson at the 2004 trade deadline, but Omar Minaya spun straw into gold when he flipped Benson to the Orioles following the 2005 season. In return, the Mets got Jorge Julio (who would eventually be traded to Arizona for Orlando Hernandez) and John Maine, the latter of which was a key component of the Mets' surprisingly strong starting rotation in 2007.

Maine whiffed 180 batters in 191 innings last year and, despite fading a bit ERA-wise in the second half, managed to improve his strikeout rate as the season went along. He will turn 27 in May and is under the Mets' control for four more seasons.

Year GS IP H BB K HR W L ERA
2005 8 40.0 39 24 24 8 2 3 6.30
2006 15 90.0 69 33 71 15 6 5 3.60
2007 32 191.0 168 75 180 23 15 10 3.91

Whether or not the Mets finagle a trade for Johan Santana, John Maine figures to be a very important player in 2008. Can he be more consistent? Can he maintain his high strikeout rate? Is his remarkably low hit rate an aberration, or will he come back down to earth?

Let's project Maine's 2008 performance in the following categories:

  1. Games started
  2. Innings pitched
  3. Hits
  4. Walks
  5. Strikeouts
  6. Homeruns allowed
  7. Wins
  8. Losses
  9. ERA
And the customary disclaimer:

Try to avoid basing your prognostications on any of the projection systems (ZiPS, Marcel, Bill James, PECOTA, etc.) that are out there. Stick to what your gut says. Post your projections in the comments in the following comma-delimited format:

GS,IP,H,BB,K,HR,W,L,ERA

You can even copy the line above, paste it into your comment, and then simply replace the categories with your projections. For example:

20,140,130,45,135,16,10,6,3.50

Posting in this manner will make it far easier for me to copy into Excel to tabulate. I'll post other pitchers and hitters in the coming weeks, and will tally our projections at the end.

And... go!

0 recs  |  Comment 13 comments

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Maine Domination
33,203,210,72,193,24,16,11,3.76

by Manhasset Paulie on Jan 23, 2008 9:20 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Hoping he keeps the walks down
32, 195, 170, 70, 188, 25, 15, 10, 3.82

by vonhayes on Jan 23, 2008 9:37 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Comma delimited
32,195,170,70,188,25,15,10,3.82

by vonhayes on Jan 23, 2008 9:37 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think he improves with a full season....
33,210,178,79,203,27,18,7,3.28

I'm guessing career year here.  Some Cy Young votes.   Basically, Maine solidifies as the Mets' #2 following this career year.

by Lunkwill Fook on Jan 23, 2008 9:51 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I'm not as high on Maine as others...
31,187,180,72,174,24,14,12,4.17

by Danny on Jan 23, 2008 10:12 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Maine Man
32,205,173,70,185,20,17,8,3.55

Having better defense up the middle (Schneider, and Castillo to go with Reyes and Beltran), along with a better year from Delgado, and more games from Alou, = more wins and innings pitched, and less loses.

If you gonna act like a fool, I'm gonna treat you like a fool....Fool ~Judge Greg T. Mathis~

by sireric on Jan 23, 2008 10:37 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

johnny maine
fewer walks i'm hoping

32,201,176,59,195,24,16,8,3.49

by whynot on Jan 23, 2008 1:13 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

GS,IP,H,BB,K,HR,W,L,ERA
33,202,178,70,181,22,15,9,3.45
"I got my pregnant wife (the Yankee fan) with me. Hoping my kid learns to kick her everytime the Mets score." -Schifftis-

by future on Jan 23, 2008 3:08 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

GS,IP,H,BB,K,HR,W,L,ERA
32,200,170,65,185,20,17,7,3.50
.318/.379/.591
.299/.362/.543
.304/.396/.474
.317/.363/.517
.289/.375/.478
.288/.387/.474
.305/.385/.479
.278/.339/.399
Pick your poison

by BlackOps on Jan 23, 2008 5:37 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

GS,IP,H,BB,K,HR,W,L,ERA
35,211,159,85,188,25,16,9,4.11

by JohnP on Jan 23, 2008 6:25 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Maine has a good year
GS,IP,H,BB,K,HR,W,L,ERA
33,210,175,60,200,28,17,8,3.75
Keep Lastings Milledge Free

by DoctorK16 on Jan 23, 2008 10:05 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Maine ...
GS,IP,H,BB,K,HR,W,L,ERA
32,182,156,60,178,20,14,9,3.86

by Max in NJ on Jan 24, 2008 11:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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