FanPost

Rule 5 Draft - Player Analysis Part II

Chuck Lofgren - LHP

Year Age Org Level W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO H9 HR9 BB9 K9 WHIP
2006 20 Cle A+ 17 5 2.32 25 25 139.2 107 51 36 5 54 125 6.90 0.32 3.48 8.06 1.15
2007 21 Cle AA 12 7 4.37 26 26 146.1 153 79 71 14 68 123 9.41 0.86 4.18 7.57 1.51
2008 21 Cle AAA 0 1 10.80 1 1 5.0 7 6 6 1 3 7 12.60 1.80 5.40 12.60 2.00
2008 22 Cle AA 2 6 5.99 28 15 85.2 93 59 57 9 52 72 9.77 0.95 5.46 7.56 1.69

Live arm, too many walks. Pass on both phases.

Daniel Mayora - RHP

Year Age Org. Level Pos G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO HBP IBB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2006 20 Col A- ss 74 276 40 84 19 2 5 30 8 4 23 70 9 1 .304 .375 .442 817
2007 21 Col A 2b 127 516 88 160 42 1 14 78 26 9 41 124 6 3 .310 .366 .477 843
2008 22 Col A+ 127 486 65 140 34 5 7 55 8 8 44 100 12 3 .288 .360 .422 782

Mayora is a very interesting player. Tell me if this sounds familiar, a Daniel, who plays second base, good minor league power numbers albeit in a hitter friendly environment, a few too many strikeouts and reasonable walk rate. If you said Daniel Murphy, you are a Met-centric fanboy, if you said Dan Uggla, huzzah I guess. The main caveat against the Uggla comparison is that while Uggla did put up his numbers in the hitting environment of Arizona's farm system, Mayora did it in Colorado's. However, in Mayora's favor, he started his career as a third baseman before moving to SS then to second, so he has a versatile glove. He has yet to play above A+ so I don't think he should be selected in major league phase, but, could be worth a flier in the minor league phase. He has, and I stress, the potential to be a young, power right-handed, utility player who could be used to make a Daniel-Squared Second Base Platoon…or his power numbers are Colorado created, his strikeouts will only get worse as he moves up, the walks are power-driven, and his defense is awful at all positions.

Eduardo Morlan - RHP

Year Age Org Level W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO H9 HR9 BB9 K9 WHIP
2006 20 Min A 5 5 2.29 28 18 106.1 78 31 27 6 38 125 6.60 0.51 3.22 10.58 1.09
2007 21 Min A+ 4 3 3.15 41 0 65.2 55 25 23 7 17 92 7.54 0.96 2.33 12.61 1.10
2007 21 Min AA 1 0 2.25 2 0 4.0 3 1 1 0 3 7 6.75 0.00 6.75 15.75 1.50
2008 22 Tb AA 4 2 3.64 30 0 47.0 44 21 19 5 15 45 8.43 0.96 2.87 8.62 1.26

There's not much to say about Morlan that can't be easily seen by his numbers. Good K9 – Check, Good BB9 – Check, Reasonable HR9 – Check, Reasonable H9 – Check, Age Apporiate League – Check, Worth a Rule V pick – Check?

Chris Nicoll - RHP

Year Age Org Level W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO H9 HR9 BB9 K9 WHIP
2006 22 Kc A 4 9 2.82 23 23 134.0 105 49 42 13 40 140 7.05 0.87 2.69 9.40 1.08
2006 22 Kc A+ 2 0 4.86 3 3 16.2 17 11 9 3 6 26 9.18 1.62 3.24 14.05 1.38
2007 23 Kc A+ 2 4 7.06 12 10 43.1 40 35 34 4 22 33 8.31 0.83 4.57 6.85 1.43
2008 24 Kc A+ 2 1 2.91 20 1 43.1 34 15 14 7 15 49 7.06 1.45 3.12 10.18 1.13
2008 24 Kc AA 4 1 3.09 19 1 43.2 43 16 15 2 8 55 8.86 0.41 1.65 11.34 1.17

Polished pitcher who dominated A ball at 22. Nicoll then struggled with A+ ball upon promotion as well as with an arm injury in 2007. Came back strong in 2008 with a move to the bullpen and did well when promoted to AA. HR9 a bit high, so are the walks, but good stuff as shown by K9. Worth a minor league selection perhaps.

Jay Rainville - RHP

Missed all of 2006 with an arm injury. After a good 2007 in A+, did not impress in 2008. A move to the bullpen could warrant a longer look as well as non-fragment sentence analysis.

James Skelton – LHB, RHT

Josh Thole meet James Skelton. Like Thole, Skelton is a left-handed catcher, with a great eye at the plate, lacking power, and questionable defense. Unlike Thole, Skelton was one year older at each level; however, was aggressively promoted to AA midseason where he maintained his great eye and minus-power. I would consider Thole a better prospect based on age and showing of a bit more power last year, but Skelton has done it at a higher level and is a pretty good baserunner to boot. Fans need to realize how shitty the average ML catcher is (.254/.327/.388.) Skeletor has a chance of being league average next year, and can be had in the minor league phase. With Schneider and Castro, the Mets cannot afford to carry a third catcher, no matter what Omar thinks, and I'm sure someone will take a chance on him, the Tigers for one are in need of a young backup who might prove to be more…oh wait.

Tim Stauffer - RHP

Stauffer is a sad story. The fourth overall pick in 2003 was a can't miss prospect. However, look at his innings total in college, he averaged nearly 8 innings at age 20 and 21, completing 23 games in 33 starts. Seriously, fuck the heck with some college managers. Stauffer has been mishandled by the Padres, never seeing AA and only 35 innings below AAA and the majors. He needs a fresh start and I don't think the Mets are a team that can offer him the start he needs.

Wade Townsend - RHP

Exhibit B of college managers mishandling their pitchers. Townsend averaged roughly 8 innings per start at age 21, at age 20 he not only averaged roughly 7.8 innings per start but also came in for 16 games of relief. Seriously, what the fuck. Unsurprisingly, Townsend career has been marred with injuries as with many Rice pitchers, but hey, at least Wayne Graham is happy. Townsend will miss most of 2009 recovering from another surgery.

Philippe Valiquette - LHP

He's lefty, I got nothing else…wait, he's got alright HR9 numbers…kind of.

Donald Veal - LHP

He's lefty, he has a history of striking guys out, he also has a history of walking everyone…moving on…

Ryan Wagner - RHP

Year Age Level W L ERA G IP H R ER HR BB SO H9 HR9 BB9 K9 WHIP
2003 20 NCAA 6 5 1.93 38 79.1 39 19 17 1 21 148 4.42 0.11 2.38 16.79 0.76

Inspired by Chad Cordero, Wagner was selected by Jim Bowden and quickly rushed through into the majors. Just to remind us why he was so highly regarded, I left his last college season up. Wow. Injuries and losing his stuff have contributed to his decline; someone will probably pick him though.

Kyle Waldrop - RHP

Mediocre stuff, mediocre stats. A move to the bullpen looks likely.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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