Here We Go Again: Phillies & Mets (FanGraphs)
TOTALS
For the Phillies, we are looking at +26 wins from the lineup, +11.8 from the rotation, +3.4 from the bullpen, and +1.5 from the bench. This adds up to +42.7 wins. Given that a team chock-full of replacement players would win 47-48 games, the Phillies are projected to win 89-90 games in 2009.
The Mets will get +26.1 wins from the lineup, +14.3 from the rotation featuring Lowe and the aforementioned Niese projection, +3.6 out of the ‘pen, and +0.9 from the bench. This adds up to +44.9 wins, which we will round up to +45 wins. Added to the replacement wins total, the Mets are projected to win 91-92 games next season.
Once again, the teams are extremely close, and 2009 should treat fans to another stellar battle between the Mets and Phillies.
6 months ago
Eric Simon
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First post of 2009!
I’m waiting for Jimmy Rollins to argue these projections, but they seem accurate. Of course, none of it means a thing until the playoffs start.
"When the little children start to speak they once said 'Mama' and 'Papa', but with the fans we got they say the first thing, 'Metsie, Metsie, Metsie'." - Casey Stengel
by Prince on
Jan 1, 2009 2:59 PM EST
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you don't have to wait till the playoffs
none of it means a thing once opening day gets here. The Mets have been the better team on paper 3 years in a row, now they have to go and actually win the games they’re projected to win.
by cjmulrain on
Jan 2, 2009 6:33 PM EST
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