Community Projection: Carlos Delgado
I talked a bit about Carlos Delgado yesterday, and how you'd have to be Kreskin to know what to expect out of him next year. His power could continue to dissolve mysteriously into the ether otherwise known as baseball twilight, or he could bounce back a bit and post numbers more in line with his natural decline. The latter could very well represent an improvement over his 2007 performance, and as I noted yesterday, anything resembling league average production at first base will be extraordinarily uplifting for the Mets' offense.
So, now it's your turn. Look into your crystal ball, flip over your tarot cards, wiggle your fingers around frantically and try to figure out what the near future holds for Mr. Delgado. Any hope at predicting the future requires at least a pedestrian understanding of the past, so here is what Delgado has done over the last three seasons.
| Year | PA | BB | K | HR | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 616 | 72 | 121 | 33 | .301 | .399 | .582 |
| 2006 | 618 | 74 | 120 | 38 | .265 | .361 | .548 |
| 2007 | 607 | 52 | 118 | 24 | .258 | .333 | .448 |
Two things to note here: the 36 point dropoff in batting average from 2005 to 2006, and the 100 point decline in slugging last season. His batting average only fell seven points last year, so the slugging decline was almost strictly a loss of power. In other words, Delgado's regression in OBP and SLG from 2005 to 2006 can mostly be attributed to his batting average decline; we can't say the same thing about his performance last season.
Delgado is a fun and interesting case for the community to project, so have at it. Project Carlos Delgado's 2008 performance in the following categories:
- Plate appearances
- Walks
- Strikeouts
- Homeruns
- Batting average
- On-base percentage
- Slugging percentage
PA,BB,K,HR,AVG,OBP,SLG You can even copy the line above, paste it into your comment, and then simply replace the categories with your projections. For example:
5800,55,125,25,.255,.350,.430
Posting in this manner will make it far easier for me to copy into Excel to tabulate. I'll post other pitchers and hitters in the coming weeks, and will tally our projections at the end. Don't forget any of the categories; I will be forced to discard any incomplete projections.
With all of that in the back of your mind, let 'er rip.
0 recs |
13
comments
Comments
Delgado
560,70,113,28,277,373,488
by whynot on Feb 27, 2008 6:53 AM EST 0 recs
C-Del
League average 1st baseman results from a resurgent year albeit one from a player still clearly in decline.
by Lunkwill Fook on Feb 27, 2008 9:07 AM EST 0 recs
Del-got-it
Not an elite player anymore, but a nice rebound year.
by future on Feb 27, 2008 11:43 AM EST 0 recs
Bounce-back
by twassel on Feb 27, 2008 5:34 PM EST 0 recs
woof
575,70,115,22,.255,.340,.470
not pretty, though maybe i should recuse myself though since i just read his PECOTA prediction. gross.
by kendynamo on Feb 28, 2008 12:13 AM EST 0 recs
Delgado
by Lunkwill Fook on
Feb 28, 2008 12:49 PM EST
up
0 recs
league average would be nice
by kendynamo on
Feb 28, 2008 1:04 PM EST
up
0 recs
PA,BB,K,HR,AVG,OBP,SLG
Man, I hope he gets his ill humours leeched out or his qi aligned or whatever he needs...
by citimetro on Feb 28, 2008 10:12 AM EST 0 recs
duh
I forgot the most important part.
by citimetro on Feb 28, 2008 10:15 AM EST 0 recs
Love him
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080302&content_id=2400571&vkey=spt2008news&fex t=.jsp&c_id=mlb , and I found that Carlos was pleased when he returned to the camp on Sunday after his cameo appearance in Manhattan on Saturday. That is really a good news. Then I will take my son to watch him play if he returns. Huh!
by dorothmmy on Mar 2, 2008 9:29 PM EST 0 recs











