Amazin' Avenue: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:



Around SBN: Brad Ziegler Diaries Bar-right-arrows



Community Projection Results: Carlos Delgado

Here are the results of the Delgado community projection from the other day. As is customary, I have provided the projections from a variety of forecasting systems to compare with our own.

PA BB K HR AVG OBP SLG
AA 567 66 116 27 0.271 0.363 0.489
CHONE 585 62 114 27 0.262 0.354 0.479
Marcel 565 57 112 25 0.265 0.349 0.485
Bill James 593 73 123 30 0.269 0.373 0.508
ZiPS 566 61 112 26 0.257 0.349 0.476
PECOTA 491 48 91 21 0.265 0.343 0.471

For the first time, I think, our projections for a Met player haven't been terrible optimistic. I know that we root heavily for our own and often over-inflate our predictions for these guys, perhaps fueled as much by optimism as by wishful thinking. This time around, the Bill James projection is actually quite a bit more optimistic than our own, and anything approaching a .269/.373/.508 season for Delgado would be a sure sale to just about any of us.

It's hard to talk about Delgado at all right now without mentioning his hip impingement, though his prognosis has improved of late. He has been goosing up on cortisone shots and anti-inflammatories, as well as the odd spin in the whirlpool to help accelerate his return. The signs have been positive, and there's a chance he may even play in a game this week.

Delgado's most immediate understudy, not counting Damion Easley and Marlon Anderson, would be Michel Abreu, but even he has been unable to avoid the plague of injuries that has been sweeping across Mets camp like murrain. Abreu sustained a strained right hip flexor that should keep him out of action for at least a few days. Scott Hatteberg might be available. Tony Clark is still out there. Uhh... Rico Brogna might be kicking around somewhere.

Thoughts? What are the Mets' best options if Delgado is unavailable/ineffective for some significant portion of the season?

0 recs | Comment 7 comments

Story-email Email | Print |

Comments

Display:

Delgado
Unfortunately, I made my projection before his hip injury and now I'm not so sure.  It sounds like, even if nothing else happens, a condition that might bother him the rest of the year.

The problem replacing Delgado is that we'd have to replace what he does for us which is provide a 5-6 hole bat.  That means decently consistent power and Scott Hatteburg ain't going to do it for us.  I hesitate to give Clark too many at bats because he seems the type to famously not do as well when over exposed (playing every day).  I think the only way we can come close to replacing Delgado is to work out some sort of platoon.  Maybe a Miller/Clark platoon.  Unfortunately, that would use up some precious room on the bench.  Fortunately, the bench seems to be catching the injury bug as well so that might not be as hard....

by Lunkwill Fook on Mar 5, 2008 8:42 AM EST   0 recs

Don't care
As long as it's not Easley or Anderson.

Maybe Omar will re-sign Jeff Conine or Shawn Green so that Willie can inexplicably play them as well.

by vonhayes on Mar 5, 2008 9:04 AM EST   0 recs

trade
Jorge Sosa and Anderson Hernandez to Houston for Ty Wigginton

by citimetro on Mar 5, 2008 9:05 AM EST   0 recs

How about another deal with the Nationals?
Dmitri Young. My sense is that the Nationals are going to go with Nick Johnson now that he appears fully recovered and fit.  I'm guessing that Young can be had for relatively cheap.  I wouldn't expect him to put up the same impressive numbers he produced for a good chunk of last year in place of Johnson, but I do think he'd be better than Easly, Anderson, Clark, Green, and probably Conine.

by Tom on Mar 5, 2008 10:08 AM EST   0 recs

hope he gets healthy, it's the only plan we have
This really was a predictable enough situation that the Mets ought to have had some kind of plan in place.  As I said at the time, before Sean Casey signed a cheap one-year deal with the Red Sox he'd have been a perfect bench bat and fill-in 1B.  Now we're reduced to dregs and to hoping Michel Abreu can develop into a replacement-level bat fast.

by anonymous on Mar 5, 2008 10:37 AM EST   0 recs

Casey
I don't think Sean Casey would be a huge upgrade over, say, Scott Hatteburg.  That being said Dmitri Young wouldn't be bad if we could get him cheap.

by Lunkwill Fook on Mar 5, 2008 10:54 AM EST   0 recs

Billl James
Jesus, if Delgado can put up the numbers James expects from him, I'll be ecstatic.
Flushing, Queens: soon to be known as Johan's-burg!!!

by Greenpoint Ian on Mar 6, 2008 8:47 AM EST   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Your #1 home for lethargic New York ballplayer discourse.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Reg_dunlop_small
Johan Santana and Pitch Counts
Small
How the numbers back up the belief that the Mets bats really have been terrible in the clutch.
Me_go_mets_small
AA Day at Shea

Recent FanPosts

Small
Mets "pursuing" Livan Hernandez?
Splash_small
HOW THE METS COMPARE TO THE WORST TEAM IN BASEBALL
Reg_dunlop_small
The "Untouchables"?
Small
Damned if you do...
Aa_avatar_small
Yanks Acquire Pudge
Small
mets in on Bengie Molina?
Sp_small
CitiField Preview Center

Post_icon New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recommended FanShots

Beltran the Thief scales the wall, via the New York Times.

Recent FanShots

Post: Niese Unlikely to Pitch Saturday
Nationals release Lo Duca
Hardball Times article "The remains of the season: Mets edition"
When Manuel took over as manager, he said that he would watch Pérez’s st...
Dodgers dealing for Blake - Let's Go Tribe!
Yankees acquire Xavier Nady, Damaso Marte from Pirates-Update
via assets.espn.go.com

Big Pelf gettin' it done.
THE NEW FACE OF THE METS...ENTHUSIASM!!  

I don't have too much to add gang. I think the picture speaks for itself. I'm not too much of a stats geek, I just go off of what I see from the players and the Win / Loss column. This pic was taken from Thursday's phenomenal game against the hated Phillies! I can't remember the last time David Wright got this excited about scoring a run or making a play. It really feels good to see the entire team enjoying a win. The team desperately needed this. I NEEDED THIS from David Wright. It just gives me goose bumps.
My 9-year-old son with the SWAG prize.

Post_icon New FanShot All FanShots Carrot-mini


Managers

Aa_avatar_small Eric Simon

ad

Site Meter