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Mets Draft Suggestions

I'm the Mets "scouting director" for John Sickels's mock draft over at minorleagueball.com on Saturday. I though I'd post here and ask if anyone has any suggestions about who they'd like the Mets to draft. I'm not necessarily looking to mimic here what the real Mets might actually do, I'm more interested in what would you do if you had those picks.

Star-divide

I already have a pretty good idea what I'll do with the first 2 picks. I expect the first dozen names off the board in this draft to be the consensus top 10 (the same 10 as in BA's latest mock), plus Hunt and Wallace. After that, the high school pitchers all look set to go, Hicks, Martin, Odorizzi, Melville, and Cole. There's a chance one of those will fall, if someone takes Collier. I might take a HS pitcher there (I think Cole is the one who will fall), and a bat I like at 22, but I probably won't take Friedrich. Anyway, I think I have worked out who I want at those spots. More wide open as far as possibilities is pick 33. So I've decided to do a poll on the people I expect will be available there.

But I'm also looking for suggestions for later picks. We're going 5 rounds, so I have picks at #18. #22, #33, #68, #100, #134, and #164. As an aside, I noticed Baseball America had a couple of local college pitchers, Scott Barnes of St. John's and Bobby Lanigan of Adelphi, ranked at #128 and 129. Should I consider either of these guys in round 5? Anyone know anything about them?

The guys I'm looking at for pick #33 are Tyler Sample, Tyson Ross, Andrew Cashner, Allan Dykstra, and James Darnell (click names for scouting reports and video).

Thanks!

Update:

Thanks guys. Our first three picks were:

18. Jason Castro
22. Ike Davis
33. Brett DeVall

I didn't realize DeVall would still be there at 33. So I took him.
Poll
Who should the Mets take in the supplemental round of the draft?
Tyler Sample
0 votes
Tyson Ross
0 votes
James Darnell
0 votes
Allan Dykstra
4 votes
Andrew Cashner
5 votes

9 votes | Poll has closed

1 recs  |  Comment 14 comments

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Comments

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Draft prospects

Tough call. Among the hitters I prefer Dykstra to Darnell. Darnell’s got tons of raw power and might be able to stick at third base, but most believe he’ll wind up in the outfield, and I think his approach at the plate will lead to buckets of strikeouts. Dykstra’s got a lot more refinement at the plate, and while he has his faults, I think his bat is more likely to hold up, even given the difference in position.

Among the pitchers, I’m not a big fan of Ross. His mechanics are allegedly messy, he doesn’t use his body effectively, which puts stress on his arm. Otherwise, he would be the best bet.

Cashner’s the more highly regarded pitcher of the remaining two due to his velocity, but I intuitively like Sample a lot. He needs some work, but he’s got age on his side. Personally, I think Cashner will go before the supplemental round—someone will take a chance on that arm.

I think I’d have them Cashner-Sample-Ross for pitchers, Dykstra-Darnell for hitters. I’d probably go Cashner-Sample-Dykstra-Ross-Darnell, but you could talk me into moving some guys around.

All I’ve heard about Barnes is that scouts are split on him; he’s had some inconsistent velocity, I believe. Don’t know a thing about Lanigan.

by Alex Nelson on May 30, 2008 1:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

thanks

I think I agree on Dykstra over Darnell. Darnell had a decent season in Cape Cod, but with a fairly low average and a lot of strikeouts. The better athleticism does make him attractive, though. I think he’ll be in the outfield, but will be good there.

With Ross, I was sort of looking at it the other way around. He’s pretty good now as it is, and if they can clean up that delivery a bit, lengthen his stride some, maybe there’s even more there. But maybe I’m projecting too much there.

by acerimusdux on May 30, 2008 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ross

If it was just his stride, I’d agree with you. But check out that follow through. Or lack thereof. Not only is he not using his size to take stress off his arm, but he’s abruptly halting his motion, which will sort of shock his arm a second time. And that’s something you’re not gonna be able to teach differently without completely overhauling that delivery.

by Alex Nelson on May 30, 2008 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good Point

The damage already done to his labrum/rotator cuff will still be there as well.
I guess I’ll pass on Ross.

by acerimusdux on May 31, 2008 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I asked Hubie Brown.

He said to draft someone with terrific length, a great motor, and tons of upside. Hope that helps.

Wait, which draft was this again?

by madisonmetsfan on May 30, 2008 9:43 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

What about Lenny's boy?

The other Dykstra in the draft. Where do you see him going?

The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.

by sireric on May 30, 2008 10:00 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Cutter Dykstra

I’d say second round. Maybe third. He’s athletic, fast, and strong for size, but he’s short and his swing looks stiff to me. Defensively, he was already moved off shortstop to center field this year, and people aren’t sure he’ll stick there, either. I might like him better as a second baseman—his arm is just adequate. Not sure if people expect him to be a tough sign; he’s committed to UCLA.

by Alex Nelson on May 30, 2008 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe 4th round?

Baseball America has him ranked 109 overall, so maybe even round 3.

by acerimusdux on May 30, 2008 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What would I like to see the Mets draft?

Anything. The farm system is bare. Generally, I’d prefer a polished college hitter at the top, with pitching taken in bulk in later rounds (Jake Peavy being the best example of the kind of gems that can be uncovered in the bargain bin of the draft). The college hitters tend to be better bets and less injury-prone than pitcher, too.

I don’t follow college baseball or the draft well enough to know who would be a good fit for the Mets. Generally, I’m only familiar with names like Alvarez and Smoak (i.e. guys who will be gone by the time the Mets pick).

Flushing, Queens: soon to be known as Johan's-burg!!!

by Greenpoint Ian on May 30, 2008 5:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Acer

Please contact me at my AIM address (mtk52983) to chat some more about this
With the first two picks I would not mind a high upside HSer (I do like Ethan Martin a lot and also Zach Collier) and maybe a more polished college guy (such as Ike Davis or Brett Wallace or Jason Castro). In Round 2, I know he is a reliever, but check out Aaron Weatherford. Mayo has a write-up on him at minorleaguebaseball.com. Top-notch fastball and unbelievable stats this year. Keith Law has him in his top 40, but since Baseball America has him lower I think he could be there in Round 2

by mtk52983 on May 30, 2008 6:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks

Your thinking here is very close to my own.
I am reconsidering not taking Friedrich though.
So it might be Friedrich and a bat.

by acerimusdux on May 31, 2008 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have no problem with Friedrich

He looks like he has the tools to be a solid #3 innings eater. If Maine continues to develop with Johan Santana already here a #3 that could develop quickly (like Friedrich) may be just fine

by mtk52983 on May 31, 2008 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Klapisch

Bob Klapisch has a nice piece on the Mets’ draft philosophy on ESPN.com. Nothing much about specific players, but some good general discussion and a couple nice quotes from Omar and other people in the organization about how they intend to approach it.

by anonymous on Jun 3, 2008 8:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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