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Back In The Saddle

When you've won nine games in nine days, how do you pick up after taking the next three days off? I guess this question applies to everyone but David Wright and Billy Wagner, who technically didn't take the day off on Tuesday but in retrospect probably should have, Wagner in particular.* I think conventional wisdom says that you don't want to interrupt a hot streak. Something about it being so rare that an entire team is playing in the "zone" that you don't want to forcefully bring it to an end before it would have happened naturally. A lot of it seems like mumbo jumbo to me, but I'll grant that players and teams go through periods where they feel really good, confidence is soaring, everyone's locked in, yada yada. I assume most of us have been there at one point or another, whether it was a pickup basketball game or late night Guitar Hero session. We've all had times where we've felt unbeatable at something, and baseball teams and players presumably go through the same thing.

* Quick anecdote: I missed the first seven or so innings of the All Star game. It was Tuesday, and Tuesday is free movie night. Nothing remotely interesting -- that we hadn't already seen, anyway -- was playing at the two closest theaters, so we schlepped out to Wayne to catch Hancock. Interesting premise, great supporting job by Jason Bateman, movie totally fell apart about an hour in. Probably worth a rent if you like superhero movies or Will Smith or both. Anyway, we get in the car to drive home and I flip on XM to check in on the game. 3-2 National League, though moments later Wagner coughed up a game-tying double to Evan Longoria. I remarked something to the effect of, "!@#$. Big stage, big spot and Wagner just can't get it done." To which Kim replied, "Isn't that kinda what he's known for?" I think she knows more than she lets on sometimes.

Well, whatever the case, there's no telling what kind of momentum the Mets will be able to carry through with them to the by-the-schedule second half of the season. Probably little. They open play with four games in Cincinnati, starting with Johan Santana against Johnny Cueto on Thursday. The Reds are a pretty mediocre team with some solid pitching and a few interesting hitters, including Adam Dunn, who'll be a free agent at season's end and should be on the Mets' first-base radar, copious strikeout totals and all. Of course, the Reds are far from terrible, and the early-season (i.e. April thru June) Mets could easily split or drop three-of-four. The new Mets (where have I heard that before?) should be able to win this series, because this time it counts, and even though our season has come I think we all just want to be playing meaningful games come September.

Beyond the Reds, the Phillies and Cardinals come to Shea for a three-game series apiece before shipping off to Florida for a three spot against the Marlins. After that, the Mets play 14 of 17 games against the dregs of the National League, including stints against the Astros, Padres (they suck, just not against the Mets evidently), Pirates and Nationals. The three non-crap games are against the Marlins, and we can only hope we get the All Star game version of Dan Uggla and not the everything before then version.

A minor programming note: I'm going to be in Austin (Texas, not Massachusetts) from Saturday through Wednesday. Blackfish is going to help out by posting game threads and I'm going to do my best to generate some regular content, and brief recaps at the very least. If anyone feels like posting something of substance in the FanPosts during that time there's a pretty great chance it'll get promoted to the main page as long as it's at least reasonably cogent and above a third-grade reading level. Interesting FanShots will probably be more likely to be promoted than usual, too, in case FanPosts are too verbose and you're more into the whole brevity thing.

(Note: the pic is of Maria Menounos at the ASG celebrity softball game. All baseball uniforms should fit so well.)

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I was beginning to wonder...

What on earth the picture had to do w/the article. You summed it up quite nicely.

The METS have my unrelenting faith. This is not hyperbole because they are on a nine game winning streak, but genuine faith because the wins they are producing appear to be quite legitimate. I say that because of the pitching. The pitching has been superb. The question that remains is; “Can this pitching remain CONSISTENT?” Enquiring minds want to know.

ESPN pontificates about K-ROD (Los Angeles Angels) entering free agency after the season is up and that he is not likely to sign w/the Angels because apparently they haven’t been even discussing a contract w/him for the future. Know a good team he could pitch for? Thinking what I’m thinking?

Wagner’s display last night was anything but a surprise. He’s beginning to slip like T. Hoffman. Sure, Hoffman is good company to be compared to but lets just call a spaid a spaid and admit that Wagner just ain’t blowin em away like he used to. I don’t know a great deal about the contract situation w/our current players but can we realistically get rid of the following before next season?:

1) Delgado
2) P. Martinez
3) Wagner
4) Alou (should be gone due to injury anyway)
5) Castillo
6) “El Duque”

Is releasing / trading any or all of these players a viable option? I hope so. I would love for the METS to have K-Rod for an extended period.

Well, here’s wishing / hoping for a great second half of the season and an OPPORTUNITY to compete in the playoffs.

Good luck METS and fellow METS fans!

"DUDE..."

by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Jul 17, 2008 2:36 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Contract Situations

1) Team option at 16 mil buyout at 4.
2) Expiring
3) One more year at 10.5
4) Expiring
5) Three more years at 6 a piece
6) Expiring

Personally, I’m more concerned about our 1st base/ LF positions as well as Starters than bullpen. Also, I read before the K-Rods slider is incredible stressful to his arm (relative to other sliders) and that he tends to throw it too much as well, so while healthy now, the latter fact could potentially be harmful over a long term deal (and he wants a long term deal.) Not saying I wouldn’t love having K-Rod but when the best closer in baseball of 2007 provides 18 win shares (Putz,) I’d rather have a not-the-best LF/1st providing 21 (Dunn 2007.)

by Sokojoe on Jul 17, 2008 2:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

thanks for the info...now...How I feel about the ALL STAR game...

First…The first four innings were completely dull. It was if the players were exhausted from the pre-game ceremonies and/or partying too hard the night before. How many times did I hear Steve Phillips (ESPN) in the post game talking about the dominance of the pitchers. Of course they were dominant! They knew they would only have to pitch two innings, so they are going to go out there and through they’re hardest, fastest and best stuff. A fresh pitcher versus a fresh batter? I’ll put good money on the pitcher every time. Geez…

Second…The last four innings (before extras) were very exciting and I enjoyed listening (couldn’t watch because I was working). I even enjoyed innings 10-12, but after that, I had had enough.

Third…The NL lost…Again. Opportunity after opportunity was wasted. I felt like I was watching a METS game.

Fourth…FLAPPINGUMS (Papelbon). Whether he said what was reported or not, most likely the context surrounding it wasn’t included in the paper nor was it mentioned by pundits. He said his wife was threatened in the crowd during the parade before the game. Dude, you have a history of saying stupid things so I’m going to give the benefit of the doubt to the media (which I hate to do). The best thing for you to have done was to have kept your mouth shut, understand the situation you were in and politely excuse yourself from any questions regarding what inning you think you should be pitching in. Terry Francona could have saved his star closer some grief by stating early and emphatically that Mariano Rivera would be his 9th inning closer. Papelbon, I don’t wish you any ill will, but you bring it upon yourself…Especially w/that stupid look on your face as you’re reading the catchers signal. You look like a kid about to throw a tantrum.

Fifth…How on earth did the NL allow so many stolen bases. Maybe it’s not such a good idea to have a rookie as a catcher in an All Star game.

Sixth…and finally. The ALL STAR game SHOULD NOT decide who gets to have home field advantage. The ALL STAR players are basically voted in by popularity. The players do have some say w/their votes as well. How can Selig let a game that is played by players that are decided by fans result in the outcome of who has home field advantage?Call me crazy but that’s like letting people vote on who is number one and two in college football play for the National Title game w/out playoffs…Wait a minute…

"DUDE..."

by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Jul 17, 2008 3:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wagner

I don’t lose that much sleep over Wagner right now except maybe when he pitches against the Phills. As far as the ASG goes, it looked to me like he threw a pretty good pitch to Evan Longoria and he just got a good swing on it. Tip you hat to him, I say. Young talented player and I understand he is he is dating Tony Parker too??

by Endys Game on Jul 17, 2008 8:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

He’s smokin’ hot too!

The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.

by sireric on Jul 17, 2008 8:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wait...

Are we talking about the same person?

The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.

by sireric on Jul 17, 2008 8:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

uniform snugness

aaron heilman’s uniform does fit that ‘well’ and it is NOT a good thing.

also i dont think getting in the ‘zone’ is so much mumbo jumbo. i was totally in the zone last night playing grand theft auto IV. i completely 3 missions in a row without dying or getting arrested. now i have a swank algonquin safe house and contacts all over liberty city. yeah.

by kendynamo on Jul 17, 2008 9:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

So many bloggers are going to Austin...

...might as well shut the Web down for a few days; kind of like an All-Star break.

by madisonmetsfan on Jul 17, 2008 9:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Eric, are you gonna keep up on the Swag while you're away?

We've got ourselves a ball club, the Mets of New York town!

by kingcritical on Jul 17, 2008 10:28 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'll make sure the forms get posted

Actually updating the scoreboard will be spotty, as usual.

by Eric Simon on Jul 17, 2008 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Whoo-hoo!

I’m still in the lead! kingcritical is still nipping at my heals, but that winning streak has been good to me.

by IanB in MD on Jul 17, 2008 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're going down.

We've got ourselves a ball club, the Mets of New York town!

by kingcritical on Jul 17, 2008 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I can't win any swag

But I’m playing for pride!

by ams258 on Jul 17, 2008 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Technically

You can still win swag by getting a perfect score on any particular game. It’s hard as shit to do, but it’s something.

by Eric Simon on Jul 17, 2008 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am totally gonna win!

And when I win, I will chose the “Date with Eric Simon” – no DVDs for me! I want to take him out for Tuesday night movie night.

by IanB in MD on Jul 17, 2008 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does "Hot Hand" analysis exist for baseball?

I believe some time ago, some did a study on the NBA to see if a “hot hand” existed—it was basically if a player had made 5 baskets in a row without missing, what was there chance of making the sixth? And how did that compare to their overall shooting %. The answer was that there was no significant correlation between average shooting percentage and shooting percentage following a hot streak.

I’m wondering if this has been looked at in baseball. (i.e. if a player gets 3 hits in a row, what’s their average in the 4th AB?).

"It's Father's Day today at Shea, so to all you fathers out there, Happy Birthday." -- Ralph Kiner

by dissento on Jul 17, 2008 10:32 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Basketball study

http://www.mccombs.utexas.edu/faculty/jonathan.koehler/articles/2003_JSEP.pdf

"It's Father's Day today at Shea, so to all you fathers out there, Happy Birthday." -- Ralph Kiner

by dissento on Jul 17, 2008 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

...kind of

I found this:

But it’s more about projection should be adjusted as a batter plays better, but that’s kind of what you’re talking about.

As for your real question, I there is this chapter in The Book, http://www.insidethebook.com/c02.shtml.
I believe they say no but I don’t have a copy with me to check that.

by Sokojoe on Jul 17, 2008 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"!@#$. Big stage, big spot and Wagner just can't get it done."

He’s one playoff-BS from Benitez-ville.

"It's Father's Day today at Shea, so to all you fathers out there, Happy Birthday." -- Ralph Kiner

by dissento on Jul 17, 2008 11:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Does anyone know...

Where I can get some cool METS gear? MLB.com and ESPN don’t have some of the cool stuff that I see METS fans wearing at the home game.

I’m out here in D.C. Anyone got any good places to go for some great gear? Anyone?

Thanks.

"DUDE..."

by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Jul 17, 2008 4:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Try this

Modell’s .com

The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.

by sireric on Jul 17, 2008 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My coolest Mets Gear is a T-shirt...

With the pink 7 train symbol. It simply says

7
Shea Stadium
Willette Point

"It's Father's Day today at Shea, so to all you fathers out there, Happy Birthday." -- Ralph Kiner

by dissento on Jul 17, 2008 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Distant Replay

They’ve got some pretty solid stuff, good retro selection, too.

Distant Replay.

by Eric Simon on Jul 17, 2008 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey, Simon!

If the Mets streak ends tonight, I’m blaming your McCain ad. It’s radiating bad mojo.

"It's Father's Day today at Shea, so to all you fathers out there, Happy Birthday." -- Ralph Kiner

by dissento on Jul 17, 2008 5:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If only I had creative control over the ads we show here

It’d be all porn, all the time. Hot, gay porn. Sadly, my hands are tied, and not in a gay, porn-y way.

by Eric Simon on Jul 17, 2008 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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