Amazin' Avenue: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
New Blog: Sounder At Heart for Seattle Sounders Fans!

First Place Beaches

I'm not really the type to say things like "a month ago the Mets would have never come back to win this game", but, frankly, a month ago the Mets would have never come back to win this game. Three guys made this game: Wright, Tatis and Delgado. They drove in all ten runs and went 8-for-13 with three homeruns, a double and a couple of walks. Johan Santana didn't have it tonight and was yanked after just four innings. The bullpen wasn't great, but they were good enough to keep the game close, and when the game is close and the ballpark is pint-sized anything can happen and usually does. That's especially true when you're on a big winning streak and things just find a way to go right for you.

The WPA was fascinating for this game. For starters, check out the rollercoaster graph; I think I puked at turn three. As a refresher, each team starts with a win probability of 50%. This isn't exactly accurate since home teams tend to win more games than road teams, but for the sake of simplicity all games start at 50/50. That means the game is essentially a battle for the other team's 50%. Once a team hits 100% win probability the game is over and that team has won.

Mets' pitchers contributed -60% WPA, which means they blew all of the Mets' starting pot of 50% and then some. That's not a good thing. When your pitching staff digs you into a hole like that you don't usually climb out of it. It's not possible for a team to lose more than 50% of WPA in a game, so when the pitchers lose 60% the hitters have to make up the difference, and in most cases it would be a +10% to the hitters to make an even -50% and a big fat loss. Not tonight, because the Mets' had their hitting shoes on and contributed a mind-boggling +110% WPA, which is enough to win two games and have a little left over for the third. Wow, we all say, but it gets even better. The aforementioned Delgado, Wright and Tatis combined to contribute +125.4% WPA, which means the rest of the offense contributed approximately -15.4%. Throw those three guys out and the rest of the Mets were at -75.4% WPA; keep 'em in the game and it's a Mets victory.

First place, people. How does it taste?

Big winners: David Wright, +42.8% WPA, Fernando Tatis, +42.3% WPA, Carlos Delgado, +40.3% WPA
Big losers: Scott Schoeneweis, -44.6% WPA, Johan Santana, -36.1% WPA
Teh aw3s0mest play: Nine-game winning streak not enough for Wright, +35.1%
Teh sux0rest play: Show blows, -46.4% WPA
Total pitcher WPA: -60.0%
Total batter WPA: +110.0%


Game Thread Roll Call

Nice job by itsmetsforme; his effort in the game thread embiggens us all.

Name # of Posts
itsmetsforme 48
pingel 40
JoshNY 28
future 19
Endys Game 16
LOUtheMETfan 14
kingcritical 12
sireric 5
DoctorK16 5
JohnPeterson 5
dissento 1
MetsfaninVA 1

0 recs  |  Comment 20 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

How does it taste?

This game was a shit sandwich and I loved every bite of it.

by Sokojoe on Jul 18, 2008 3:04 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

tastes like burning

burnin’ love baby!!

I.M. Forme

by itsmetsforme on Jul 18, 2008 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

a month ago the Mets would have never come back to win this game

Yup, and I forgot that this is not the Mets team of April-June, and thus shut the game off in disgust after the bullpen gave the lead back. I’ve got to remember that this team is now playing in super-2006 mode and can win pretty much anything.

This win makes taking 3 of 4 (which is what I want from the trip to Cincy) that much more attainable.

Also, I love the graphic. The Reds are entering a world of pain.

Vote change: DePodesta/Acta in 2009!!!

by Greenpoint Ian on Jul 18, 2008 9:06 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Walter kicks ass!

Shut the fuck up Don!

The time has come for someone to put his foot down. And that foot is me.

by sireric on Jul 18, 2008 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i prefer to ask the losing side how it tastes

as in, ‘how does it taste, reds? does it taste like poop and pee in your mouth?’ and fun and really juvenile.

by kendynamo on Jul 18, 2008 10:00 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

A month ago I would have shut this game off when Heilman came in

And looking back I probably should have. (Admittedly I was packing and not paying too much attention anyway) But even though he was responsible for the three runs I find it hard to blame him. Unless it is a super obvious situation I think intentionally walking a batter, especially when he represents the go ahead run is a bad move. I know Votto is a lefty and having a good year, but he doesn’t hit RHP’s that well. I’m not saying you give him anything good to hit, but at least try to get him out.

Heilman doesn’t seem to recover from trouble all that well. Asking him to come back from an IBB seems like you’re asking for trouble.
Either way the Reds were out of their element.

by Reg Dunlop on Jul 18, 2008 10:12 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It tastes like chicken

And I do like chicken.

"It's Father's Day today at Shea, so to all you fathers out there, Happy Birthday." -- Ralph Kiner

by dissento on Jul 18, 2008 11:26 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd watch the game tonight but

I DON’T ROLL ON SHABBOS!

The butcher and the baker and the people on the street, where did they go? To meet the Mets!

by Rod Gaspar Fan Club on Jul 18, 2008 3:51 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Tatis

Once again, a hero. Hmmm. Who’s missing. FIRST PLACE BEACHES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The 2008 NY Mets: Reyes singles. Castillo infield single. Wright walks. Beltran lines out. ZaBlanc bitches. Delgado strikes out. Reyes picked off third. Fans boo. Padres win 2-1.

by ZaBlanc on Jul 18, 2008 3:51 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yeah

You’ve got to go all the way back to ONE WHOLE GAME BEFORE THIS ONE to find a major contribution by Beltran. That’s just unacceptable.

by JoshNY on Jul 18, 2008 4:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And

His single following Wright’s homerun in the ninth set the table for the go-ahead runs.

by Eric Simon on Jul 18, 2008 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah right.

The single was nice…but Wright took the pressure off there for him. Go read my apology I’m about to post.

The 2008 NY Mets: Reyes singles. Castillo infield single. Wright walks. Beltran lines out. ZaBlanc bitches. Delgado strikes out. Reyes picked off third. Fans boo. Padres win 2-1.

by ZaBlanc on Jul 18, 2008 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What?

You mean the 7-0 shutout of the Rockies? Real clutch. Yeah.

The 2008 NY Mets: Reyes singles. Castillo infield single. Wright walks. Beltran lines out. ZaBlanc bitches. Delgado strikes out. Reyes picked off third. Fans boo. Padres win 2-1.

by ZaBlanc on Jul 18, 2008 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It was 0-0 when Beltran went yard, not 7-0

But somehow he knew the game was going to be 7-0 when he hit that HR. Yeah.

by JoshNY on Jul 18, 2008 9:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Big Lebowski

Dude…

(One of my all time favorites!)

Well gang, I need to get my butt out of the apartment and have a drink. Unfortunately the bar I’ll be frequenting this evening is most likely one of Boston’s satellite bars. I’m here in Alexandria, Va and this bar I go to his heavy and I mean HEAVY on Red Sox Nation. It’s a great bar (w/the exception of being Red Sox fans). I go there for the good drinks, good pizza and baseball games and normally just keep my mouth shut.

Something Papelbon should have done

Good luck METS and METS fans. Was I the only one to post a vote for winning all four games of the series?

"DUDE..."

by LOUtheMETandNATSfan on Jul 18, 2008 5:56 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Start posting about the Mets »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

The_buddha_by_lord_karsus_small
2009 Mets Gangsta and Grission Awards
Buckner_small
The robcast Mets Offseason Plan
Hamheadshot__1__small
Poem: There's Only One October Wish

Recent FanPosts

Mwsos8pj_1__small
How Would Other Teams Do in 2009 With The Mets Injuries?
Small
Gonzalez over Davis?
Small
Off-season reading: the best baseball books
Small
Thoughts on Yankees vs. Phillies
43cd0dee9d920fd72b0a2b2bce4f8a00-getty-90957610bb021_los_angeles_k_small
Just curious as to why Met fans "hate" the Phillies
Small
It All Started With Torrealba...
Metseyes_small
'10 Mets Sep-Oct Schedule: Advantage Mets

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recommended FanShots

Pricks Beat Douchebags to Win World Series

Recent FanShots

Ramon Hernandez an option?
SNY series digs into Mets history
Scouts opinions and grains of salt
Hustle, Dedication, Intelligence, and Teamwork
Myers done with Phillies
Chapman likes New York
White Sox Buy Out Dye's Contract
BA Mets Top 10
Carlos Gomez dealt to the Brewers for JJ Hardy
Hit-and-run victim outside Phillies game dies from injuries

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

Sponsors


THE BIG GUY

Aa_avatar_small Eric Simon

THE INCREDIBLES

Blackfish2_small Alex Nelson

Cj_small Sam Page

Best_infield_ever_small James Kannengieser

THE NEWS GURU

Wrightfront_small Joe Budd

POET LAUREATE

Hamheadshot__1__small Howard Megdal