FanPost

2010: The best case scenario


With all the doom and gloom surrounding the team right now, I thought a little unrealistic optimism might be in order.  What would happen if 2010 was the anti-2009, and everything went right?  To try to figure that out, I made the following assumptions using only players currently on the team:

Everyone will be back healthy next year, and there will be no injuries.

Every starter/closer who has had a season better than 2 WAR will match that (except Luis Castillo, who isn't really the same player he used to be.  I gave him a 2.0 WAR).

Every other starter will be league average (2.0 WAR).

Besides K-Rod, the bullpen will contribute 2 WAR.

Bench players will contribute 2 WAR.

Jose Reyes +5.9 WAR

Luis Castillo +2.0

David Wright +8.4

Carlos Beltran +7.0

Jeff Francoeur +3.6

Daniel Murphy +2.0

Angel Pagan +2.0

Omir Santos +2.0

Johan Santana +7.7

Mike Pelfrey +3.0

Oliver Perez +4.5

John Maine +2.7

Jonathon Niese +2.0

Francisco Rodriguez +4.0

Rest of bullpen +2.0

Bench +2.0

Replacement Level +47.0

-----------------------------------------------------

107.8 wins

Obviously the Mets aren't going to win 107 games next year, but let's not forget that a lot went wrong this season.  Also, a couple free agent signings or a breakout prospect would give a little more margin for error.  With a little bit (a lot?) of luck, the Mets have a pretty good shot at making the playoffs next year.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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