With all the doom and gloom surrounding the team right now, I thought a little unrealistic optimism might be in order. What would happen if 2010 was the anti-2009, and everything went right? To try to figure that out, I made the following assumptions using only players currently on the team:
Everyone will be back healthy next year, and there will be no injuries.
Every starter/closer who has had a season better than 2 WAR will match that (except Luis Castillo, who isn't really the same player he used to be. I gave him a 2.0 WAR).
Every other starter will be league average (2.0 WAR).
Besides K-Rod, the bullpen will contribute 2 WAR.
Bench players will contribute 2 WAR.
Jose Reyes +5.9 WAR
Luis Castillo +2.0
David Wright +8.4
Carlos Beltran +7.0
Jeff Francoeur +3.6
Daniel Murphy +2.0
Angel Pagan +2.0
Omir Santos +2.0
Johan Santana +7.7
Mike Pelfrey +3.0
Oliver Perez +4.5
John Maine +2.7
Jonathon Niese +2.0
Francisco Rodriguez +4.0
Rest of bullpen +2.0
Bench +2.0
Replacement Level +47.0
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107.8 wins
Obviously the Mets aren't going to win 107 games next year, but let's not forget that a lot went wrong this season. Also, a couple free agent signings or a breakout prospect would give a little more margin for error. With a little bit (a lot?) of luck, the Mets have a pretty good shot at making the playoffs next year.