FanPost

2010: The best case scenario


With all the doom and gloom surrounding the team right now, I thought a little unrealistic optimism might be in order. What would happen if 2010 was the anti-2009, and everything went right? To try to figure that out, I made the following assumptions using only players currently on the team:

Everyone will be back healthy next year, and there will be no injuries.

Every starter/closer who has had a season better than 2 WAR will match that (except Luis Castillo, who isn't really the same player he used to be. I gave him a 2.0 WAR).

Every other starter will be league average (2.0 WAR).

Besides K-Rod, the bullpen will contribute 2 WAR.

Bench players will contribute 2 WAR.

Jose Reyes +5.9 WAR

Luis Castillo +2.0

David Wright +8.4

Carlos Beltran +7.0

Jeff Francoeur +3.6

Daniel Murphy +2.0

Angel Pagan +2.0

Omir Santos +2.0

Johan Santana +7.7

Mike Pelfrey +3.0

Oliver Perez +4.5

John Maine +2.7

Jonathon Niese +2.0

Francisco Rodriguez +4.0

Rest of bullpen +2.0

Bench +2.0

Replacement Level +47.0

-----------------------------------------------------

107.8 wins

Obviously the Mets aren't going to win 107 games next year, but let's not forget that a lot went wrong this season. Also, a couple free agent signings or a breakout prospect would give a little more margin for error. With a little bit (a lot?) of luck, the Mets have a pretty good shot at making the playoffs next year.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process.