FanPost

I would have never predicted this...

(In the sprit of James’ post, Take Me Back to April.) 
Between Wright’s power outage and all the injuries, it’s been a really disappointing and frankly odd season.  Here’s a list of things I would have put money against at the start of the season: (apologies for bullet points)

•  The Mets would throw two complete game shut outs and they would be pitched by Nelson Figueroa and Pat Misch.
•  Tim Redding would have the third most strikeouts on the pitching staff (76.)
•  The owner of the third highest WAR for pitchers would be Livan Hernandez despite being released after 23 starts.
•  Daniel Murphy Blue Collar Blasts would lead the team. (12)
•  Fernando Nieve would lead the team in BA. (333 in 9 ABs)
•  David Wright would lead our team in SBs. (27)
•  Angel Pagan would have a higher ISO then Wright, Beltran or Sheff.
•  Small sample size issues of course, but our top three BB% owners would be Felicano, Andy Green, and Emil Brown.
•  Andy Green and Emil Brown would be on the team.
•  Fernando Tatis would have the 5th highest positional WAR on the team. (1.3)
•  Daniel Murphy would lead the team in UZR.  (4.2 at 1st)

Speaking of predictions:
I wanted to pat myself on the back for my best prediction of the season, Luis Castillo bouncing back. I guess-timated a .276/.386/.336/.722 line for Castillo and he actually hit .302/.387/.346/.732.  Hooray for me.

Equally, I wanted to put my foot in my mouth for predicting Ryan Church was going to have a re-breakout year.  Though he has played D well, his bat didn’t return to the level I thought it would.  Boo for me.

I’m sure I’m missing a bunch of other statistical anomalies and I’m curious what you guys feel are some of your best/worst predictions, so I figured we could use this thread to discuss.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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