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I would have never predicted this...

(In the sprit of James’ post, Take Me Back to April.) 
Between Wright’s power outage and all the injuries, it’s been a really disappointing and frankly odd season.  Here’s a list of things I would have put money against at the start of the season: (apologies for bullet points)

•  The Mets would throw two complete game shut outs and they would be pitched by Nelson Figueroa and Pat Misch.
•  Tim Redding would have the third most strikeouts on the pitching staff (76.)
•  The owner of the third highest WAR for pitchers would be Livan Hernandez despite being released after 23 starts.
•  Daniel Murphy Blue Collar Blasts would lead the team. (12)
•  Fernando Nieve would lead the team in BA. (333 in 9 ABs)
•  David Wright would lead our team in SBs. (27)
•  Angel Pagan would have a higher ISO then Wright, Beltran or Sheff.
•  Small sample size issues of course, but our top three BB% owners would be Felicano, Andy Green, and Emil Brown.
•  Andy Green and Emil Brown would be on the team.
•  Fernando Tatis would have the 5th highest positional WAR on the team. (1.3)
•  Daniel Murphy would lead the team in UZR.  (4.2 at 1st)

Star-divide

Speaking of predictions:
I wanted to pat myself on the back for my best prediction of the season, Luis Castillo bouncing back. I guess-timated a .276/.386/.336/.722 line for Castillo and he actually hit .302/.387/.346/.732.  Hooray for me.

Equally, I wanted to put my foot in my mouth for predicting Ryan Church was going to have a re-breakout year.  Though he has played D well, his bat didn’t return to the level I thought it would.  Boo for me.

I’m sure I’m missing a bunch of other statistical anomalies and I’m curious what you guys feel are some of your best/worst predictions, so I figured we could use this thread to discuss.

1 recs  |  Comment 9 comments

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FYI, I wanted to make this a FanShot Chat but the format of the chats left much to be desired as the only two options are either having all text in the pink quote looking format or having the paragraph text automatically centered Haiku style.

Any advice on where to put this type of discussion in the future would be appreciated, I’m looking at you SiteBot.

by Sokojoe on Oct 5, 2009 4:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Perfectly cromulent FanPost

No worries about making it a FanShot.

by Eric Simon on Oct 5, 2009 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No need to move this

Well thought out post.

"We're just as bad as the old Mets, but this time nobody's laughing"
-Dallas Green

by Schmidtxc on Oct 7, 2009 8:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who the hell is Andy Green?

I must have repressed the memory of him.

by Reg Dunlop on Oct 5, 2009 4:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Owner of several

game-used shirts I saw unsold at Shea Citi last weekend.

by deadspy3 on Oct 6, 2009 1:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think if you wait a few weeks

They might take you up on that. Also unpopular:

Matt deSalvo

Robinson Cancel

Niemann!?

by deadspy3 on Oct 6, 2009 10:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Randy Niemann was on the '86 team!

You’d think people would buy his shirt for nostalgia value alone.

A shirt saying “Cancel” on it would be good too, because then people could make the “yeah, that’s what I’m doing with my ticket plan” joke.

by JoshNY on Oct 8, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

castillo

i was with you on the castillo bounceback bandwagon…im pretty impressed with the preseason prediction i made in this fanpost back in february:

prediction – .282/.375/.351 vs. actual – .306/.387/.346

by robcast23 on Oct 5, 2009 5:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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