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Around SBN: 2011 In Extreme Home Runs

AAOP

First thing to do is to make sure that if the Padres are going to trade Adrian Gonzalez, they trade him to the Mets.  I'd offer Fernando Martinez, Ike Davis (expendable with Gonzalez coming in), John Maine, Wilmer Flores and Brad Holt.  If you think that's too much, then it's probably just enough.

Second thing to do is to see how much the Diamondbacks want to dump Chris Snyder.  I'd offer Castillo, Mejia and Nick Evans for Snyder and Brandon Webb (last year of his contract at $8.5mil).  The D-backs do this trade because they need 2b help, they hate the Snyder contract (3 years $12mil), are afraid they can't keep Webb and because it opens up additonal payroll for them to make a run at Lackey.

Then I'd see if we could sign both Gonzalez and Webb to long-term deals.  Given that Webb missed almost the whole season last year, he might sign something like 4 years $50mil if we tear up the $8.5mil for 2010.  And Gonzalez, I'd offer Teixeira money as a start. 

Third thing to do is to offer Jason Bay a 3-year $45mil contract.  I don't love Holliday, and I'm suspicious of any player whose numbers seem so dependant on playing in a certain ballpark.  Given the Mets' first year in Citi, I don't want to take a chance of being tied to a guy who has suddenly become a .276 hitter with 38 doubles and 15 home runs for $16mil per over 5-6 years.  And since I've used all our trading chips on Webb and Gonzalez, and the drop-off is significant after Bay, I see no other choice.  How's that for a ringing endorsement for a $15mil a year player?  "We have no other choice!" 

Then we need to shore up the bullpen by bringing back Octavio Dotel and bringing in Rafael Betancourt.  Last 2 years Dotel has been healthy, pitching to a 3.33 ERA in '09 with 75K in 62.1 IP pitching in a hitters' park in Chicago.  Betancourt has career ERA of 3.16 and WHIP of 1.12 with more than 1 K per IP. 

Yes, I'd move Murphy to second base.  First of all, if he can hit like he did in the second half last year (.282 with 27 doubles) he'll hit plenty for a middle infielder.  And secondly, he showed great range and hands at first last year.  I think he'd be at least passable at 2nd.  I'd bring in someone like Craig Counsell or Adam Kennedy as a utility infielder and as a back-up in case Murphy is no better at second than he was in left field.

And the last thing is to bring in some veteran pitchers on minor league deals like Contreras, Prior, Brett Tomko, Jason Schimdt.  Get 2-3 guys like that for the "break glass in case of emergency" situations.

So the lineup is Reyes (ss), Wright (3b), Gonzalez (1b), Beltran (cf), Bay (lf), Francoeur (rf), Murphy (2b), Snyder (c).  Santos would share catching duties again, with Thole in AAA.  Bring back Tatis, Pagan and Counsell as utility players.

The rotation would be Santana, Webb, Pelfrey, Perez, Niese.

The bullpen would be Rodriguez, Dotel, Betancourt, Feliciano, Parnell, Stokes and Misch. 

By my count, if Gonzalez and Webb both agree to long-term contracts starting this year, the Payroll would be about $150mil.  If not, it'd be around $135mil. 


This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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big NO to Jason Bay

Also you completely gut the farm system which I can’t get behind, especially for a pitcher who, as you said missed almost all of last season.

by KeithsMoustache on Nov 17, 2009 11:33 AM EST reply actions  

Agreed

Big no to Bay because he was the 5th worst fielder in the majors over the past 3 years according to UZR. I also read an article that compares him to Richie Sexon. While the stats are very similar and I don’t he’ll have nearly as big of a drop of as Sexon did, it is worth keeping an eye on. Also you’re giving up too much of the farm system for two guys who are not guaranteed to sign long term deals. Not to mention the fact the D-Backs might not even do the trade.

by ror0071619 on Nov 17, 2009 5:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Webb

Well, I’m really only proposing giving up Mejia for Webb. Evans is a B-level prospect and Castillo is a salary dump. The propsects are all going for Gonzalez. Check out his career numbers away from San Diego (average full season): .305, 40 hrs, 115 rbi, a .374 OBP and a .579 slugging percentage. Gold glove caliber first baseman.

by Boz_Paladin on Nov 17, 2009 12:07 PM EST reply actions  

I don't think the Diamondbacks make that trade

If the Diamondbacks didn’t want Webb back, they woudn’t have renewed his option. And if they do put him on the trading block, it’s going to take more than Meija.

by PeterFH on Nov 17, 2009 2:02 PM EST up reply actions  

D-Backs

Definitely possible that Arizona doesn’t make the trade as proposed. I do think they may be amenable to trading Webb if they can at the same time get rid of Snyder. I’d be willing to take on Snyder on the chance he can get healthy, and if not, fall back on Santos/Thole. If Evans/Castillo/Mejia wouldn’t get it done, add a Ruben Tejada or Eddie Kunz, or take back $1mil or so of Castillo’s salary. Castillo is not exactly chopped liver, much as he may have performed like it for the Mets. For Arizona, it’s the dumping of Snyder that would be inticing to them, I think. I don’t know if they’d necessarily go after Lackey, but I read they were interested if they could free up the payroll.

by Boz_Paladin on Nov 17, 2009 2:16 PM EST up reply actions  

This is late.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Nov 17, 2009 3:37 PM EST reply actions  

Way late.

Deadline was 5pm yesterday. Of course, this plan has greater flaws than punctuality.

by BobbyV_Incognito on Nov 17, 2009 10:23 PM EST up reply actions  

It's still fun to read people's opinions

Reader-created content is one of the great things about this site though he’s probably disqualified from winning the contest.

by TheBigStapler on Nov 18, 2009 12:00 PM EST up reply actions  

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