Mets Starting Pitcher PECOTA Comparables

by Eric Simon on Feb 26, 2009 8:00 AM EST

PECOTA pitcher cards are now available at Baseball Prospectus for the 2009 season. Here are the Mets' potential starters and their first five PECOTA comparables.

Mets Pitcher	Comp 1	Comp 2	Comp 3	Comp 4	Comp 5
Johan Santana	Frank Viola	Mickey Lolich	Johnny Antonelli	Don Sutton	Warren Spahn
John Maine	Dick Woodson	Steve Bedrosian	Ernie Broglio	Steve Arlin	Ron Darling
Oliver Perez	Tim Lollar	Barry Zito	Kevin Gross	Don Gullett	Steve Carlton
Mike Pelfrey	Chris Carpenter	Ron Romanick	Jamey Wright	Brian Holman	Dave Coggin
Tim Redding	Jim Wilson	Josh Fogg	Jim Colborn	Ramon Ortiz	Armando Reynoso
Freddy Garcia	Stan Williams	Rick Helling	Ted Power	Turk Farrell	Jim Clancy

Interestingly, Ron Darling was Perez's #6 comparable; Bob Ojeda was #11. His #5 comparable is why everybody loves him; his #1 comparable is why he's so frustrating.
Pelfrey's #1 comp is encouraging. Chris Carpenter was one of the game's better pitchers a few years back before injuries knocked him down.
I think we'd all be pretty happy if Maine turned out like his #5.
Redding & Garcia: What did you expect?

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I don't get it.

Does this mean that Freddy Garcia is a rich man’s Turk Farrell, or vice versa?

"The people of Houston are spending money like oil's selling at $40 a barrel."

by IanB in MD on Feb 26, 2009 11:56 AM EST reply actions

I read this list, and I come away with one thought:

OLIVER PEREZ IS GOING TO TURN INTO STEVE CARLTON!!

by cjmulrain on Feb 26, 2009 12:31 PM EST reply actions

I think you've distilled this chart right down to its essence

by Eric Simon on Feb 26, 2009 12:55 PM EST up reply actions

Love the Oliver Perez comps

For all the people who have been claiming the Mets over paid and should have just signed Randy Wolf or Odalis Perez, I wonder if either of their top PECOTA comps include Steve Carlton and Barry Zito.

by acerimusdux on Feb 26, 2009 9:28 PM EST reply actions