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Mets PECOTA Comparables

Baseball Prospects released its PECOTA projections recently. Here are the comparable players for some notable Amazin's (h/t DraysBay for the idea):

Beltran NYN Andy Van Slyke Larry Walker Chipper Jones Kirk Gibson
Delgado NYN Fred Mcgriff Andres Galarraga Johnny Mize Dave Parker
Evans NYN Darren Reed Steve Gibralter Wes Bankston Kevin Sliwinski
Flores NYN Angel Villalona Carlos Triunfel Luis Gallardo Felipe Gutierrez
Havens NYN Eric Valent Ronnie Gideon Geoff Jenkins Louie Meadows
Maine NYN Dick Woodson Steve Bedrosian Ernie Broglio Steve Arlin
Marte NYN Angel Villalona Andruw Jones Luis Gallardo Adrian Beltre
Martinez NYN Bobby Abreu Ruben Mateo Alex Fernandez Carlos Gonzalez
Murphy NYN Frank Catalanotto Brad Mills Mike Lamb Matt Stairs
Niese NYN Steve Searcy Dave Lapoint Andy Rincon Dallas Braden
Parnell NYN Scot Shields Randy Bockus Jack Nuismer Reggie Patterson
Pelfrey NYN Chris Carpenter Ron Romanick Jamey Wright Brian Holman
Reyes NYN Roberto Alomar Jim Fregosi Ryne Sandberg Tony Fernandez
Rodriguez NYN Dick Selma Scott Williamson Mark Littell Rich Gossage
Santana NYN Frank Viola Mickey Lolich Johnny Antonelli Don Sutton
Wright NYN Ron Santo Jim Ray Hart Jeff Bagwell Bobby Grich

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Marte

got a lot of love there…

by viktor06 on Feb 6, 2009 10:33 AM EST reply actions  

Thanks for posting this

The F! comps are nice, not so much for Maine. Dick Woodson blew out his arm after his heavy workload at 27, I would’ve preferred the Darling top comp from last year.

by Sokojoe on Feb 6, 2009 11:22 AM EST reply actions  

I think Broglio did, too.

Pretty sure his arm went dead after the Brock trade.

by BobbyV_Incognito on Feb 6, 2009 6:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Niese's projection is less than inspiring

But I’ll be okay with that if they end up right about Parnell and Murphy.

Pelfrey’s comparisons are interesting.

by Gina on Feb 6, 2009 11:25 AM EST reply actions  

You could do a lot worse than Dave LaPoint.

The guy didn’t have a great career, but there’s something to be said for getting a decade of service time out of being league-average

by BobbyV_Incognito on Feb 6, 2009 6:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Searchy was only in mlb for 4 years

And it seems like our front office is expecting/counting on Niese to be better than league average, not this year obviously but going forward.

by Gina on Feb 6, 2009 7:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Marte's projections look better than Flores'

Hmmm…

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Feb 6, 2009 11:59 AM EST reply actions  

Marte's rookie league line was actually way better than Flores's

in way less at bats though. And Flores’s time in A-, in only 30 at bats but that’s a lot of at bats when you’re talking about only 280 at bats in general, was pretty terrible.

by Gina on Feb 6, 2009 12:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Reese Havens

better hit for the cycle or I’ll be really disappointed.

by theflicker on Feb 6, 2009 12:27 PM EST reply actions  

I just hope they mean the Andruw Jones of the past...

…not the present.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Feb 6, 2009 7:06 PM EST reply actions  

I actually like Murphy's projections a lot.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Feb 6, 2009 11:35 PM EST reply actions  

Kind of embarrassing.

Not the list of comps, but how frequently I asked myself, “WTF is he”? And I’ve been following baseball for about 40 years now. Randy Bockus? Louie Meadows? Wes Bankston? I suppose I could Google ‘em, but I get the feeling I’d be underwhelmed by their career stats.

by madisonmetsfan on Feb 7, 2009 2:29 PM EST reply actions  

Lol I know how you feel

But for different reasons, I’m 19 so I can’t say I’ve been following it for 40 years. Not even 20 years, but I definitely go “umm who?” most of the time when I read these lists.

by Gina on Feb 7, 2009 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Can I get some assistance?

I’m aware of PECOTA but not familiar.

How should I be reading this table exactly? Are these other players listed most similar to least similar? Least to most? Worst case to best case?

"Those who fear disorder more than injustice inevitably produce more of both." -- Rev. William Coffin

by dcrockett17 on Feb 7, 2009 4:22 PM EST reply actions  

These are just the Top 4

comps for each player. The list should be read from left to right (most comparable to least.) Though, there are various degrees of comparability, for example Delgado’s number 4 might be more comparable to Carols than Murphy’s first comparable. Hope, I didn’t confuse you.

by Sokojoe on Feb 9, 2009 12:25 AM EST up reply actions  

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