Mets PECOTA Comparables

by Sam Page on Feb 6, 2009 10:19 AM EST Comment 15 comments

Baseball Prospects released its PECOTA projections recently. Here are the comparable players for some notable Amazin's (h/t DraysBay for the idea):

Beltran	NYN	Andy Van Slyke	Larry Walker	Chipper Jones	Kirk Gibson
Delgado	NYN	Fred Mcgriff	Andres Galarraga	Johnny Mize	Dave Parker
Evans	NYN	Darren Reed	Steve Gibralter	Wes Bankston	Kevin Sliwinski
Flores	NYN	Angel Villalona	Carlos Triunfel	Luis Gallardo	Felipe Gutierrez
Havens	NYN	Eric Valent	Ronnie Gideon	Geoff Jenkins	Louie Meadows
Maine	NYN	Dick Woodson	Steve Bedrosian	Ernie Broglio	Steve Arlin
Marte	NYN	Angel Villalona	Andruw Jones	Luis Gallardo	Adrian Beltre
Martinez	NYN	Bobby Abreu	Ruben Mateo	Alex Fernandez	Carlos Gonzalez
Murphy	NYN	Frank Catalanotto	Brad Mills	Mike Lamb	Matt Stairs
Niese	NYN	Steve Searcy	Dave Lapoint	Andy Rincon	Dallas Braden
Parnell	NYN	Scot Shields	Randy Bockus	Jack Nuismer	Reggie Patterson
Pelfrey	NYN	Chris Carpenter	Ron Romanick	Jamey Wright	Brian Holman
Reyes	NYN	Roberto Alomar	Jim Fregosi	Ryne Sandberg	Tony Fernandez
Rodriguez	NYN	Dick Selma	Scott Williamson	Mark Littell	Rich Gossage
Santana	NYN	Frank Viola	Mickey Lolich	Johnny Antonelli	Don Sutton
Wright	NYN	Ron Santo	Jim Ray Hart	Jeff Bagwell	Bobby Grich

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Comments

Marte

got a lot of love there…

by viktor06 on Feb 6, 2009 10:33 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Thanks for posting this

The F! comps are nice, not so much for Maine. Dick Woodson blew out his arm after his heavy workload at 27, I would’ve preferred the Darling top comp from last year.

by Sokojoe on Feb 6, 2009 11:22 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

I think Broglio did, too.

Pretty sure his arm went dead after the Brock trade.

by BobbyV_Incognito on Feb 6, 2009 6:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Niese's projection is less than inspiring

But I’ll be okay with that if they end up right about Parnell and Murphy.

Pelfrey’s comparisons are interesting.

by Gina on Feb 6, 2009 11:25 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

You could do a lot worse than Dave LaPoint.

The guy didn’t have a great career, but there’s something to be said for getting a decade of service time out of being league-average

by BobbyV_Incognito on Feb 6, 2009 6:15 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Searchy was only in mlb for 4 years

And it seems like our front office is expecting/counting on Niese to be better than league average, not this year obviously but going forward.

by Gina on Feb 6, 2009 7:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Marte's projections look better than Flores'

Hmmm…

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Feb 6, 2009 11:59 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Marte's rookie league line was actually way better than Flores's

in way less at bats though. And Flores’s time in A-, in only 30 at bats but that’s a lot of at bats when you’re talking about only 280 at bats in general, was pretty terrible.

by Gina on Feb 6, 2009 12:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Reese Havens

better hit for the cycle or I’ll be really disappointed.

by theflicker on Feb 6, 2009 12:27 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I just hope they mean the Andruw Jones of the past...

…not the present.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Feb 6, 2009 7:06 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I actually like Murphy's projections a lot.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Feb 6, 2009 11:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Not the list of comps, but how frequently I asked myself, “WTF is he”? And I’ve been following baseball for about 40 years now. Randy Bockus? Louie Meadows? Wes Bankston? I suppose I could Google ‘em, but I get the feeling I’d be underwhelmed by their career stats.

by madisonmetsfan on Feb 7, 2009 2:29 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Lol I know how you feel

But for different reasons, I’m 19 so I can’t say I’ve been following it for 40 years. Not even 20 years, but I definitely go “umm who?” most of the time when I read these lists.

by Gina on Feb 7, 2009 3:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Can I get some assistance?

I’m aware of PECOTA but not familiar.

How should I be reading this table exactly? Are these other players listed most similar to least similar? Least to most? Worst case to best case?

"Those who fear disorder more than injustice inevitably produce more of both." -- Rev. William Coffin

by dcrockett17 on Feb 7, 2009 4:22 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

These are just the Top 4

comps for each player. The list should be read from left to right (most comparable to least.) Though, there are various degrees of comparability, for example Delgado’s number 4 might be more comparable to Carols than Murphy’s first comparable. Hope, I didn’t confuse you.

by Sokojoe on Feb 9, 2009 12:25 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs