Carlos Beltran Underappreciated By The Media, Part 879
Over at The Baseball Analysts, Patrick Sullivan and Rich Lederer invited Kevin Kernan of the New York Post to take part in an NL East preview. Player projections are presented, plus commentary and predictions from the three participants. Sullivan and Lederer provide some worthwhile objective insight, while Kernan generally tries to play up his role as New York media big shot. Here is the trio's take on NL East centerfielders:
Sully: It's rare that someone joins a big market team and then becomes underappreciated but is that what we are seeing with Carlos Beltran? After his ridiculous 2004 post-season, Beltran joined the Mets and save for a lackluster first season in Flushing, has been one of the best players in baseball. He's on a HOF track.
Rich: No contest here. Beltran is the man. He's the full package, a five-tool player capable of changing games with his bat, glove, arm, or legs.
Kevin: No one has more confidence than Shane Victorino and that cannot be undersold. Beltran says his knees are healthy again. For all the money the Mets spent on Beltran, they have one playoff appearance to show for it.
One of these responses is not like the others. Yes, Kernan's take is factually accurate, but the implication that Beltran is the reason for the Mets failure to make the playoffs the last two seasons is laughable. I'm beating a dead horse here, but for a writer of a New York publication with the country's 6th largest circulation it's some pretty sorry analysis. I suppose he's trying to uphold the New York media mantra of "win a championship or you're a bum", but seriously, how hard is it for a professional baseball writer to take a 30-second glimpse at Fangraphs or Baseball Reference to learn a player's value? Explanations of the excellence that is Carlos Beltran are supplied here, here, here, and here. I love Lederer's quote of "Beltran is the man". So simple yet so true. Here are a couple other gems from Mr. Kernan. This one is about NL East shortstops:
Kevin: Numbers don't tell the entire story of this position. Jimmy Rollins has an inner toughness that enables him to lift his game at the most vital times. This is the Division of Shortstops. Not a bad duo for Dominican team in WBC with Reyes and Ramirez.
The NL East is indeed the "Division of Shortstops", but please stop selling us the concept that Rollins is some sort of other-wordly clutch entity. His WPA was 0.53 in 2008, good for 6th on his own team. Is Rollins's "inner toughness" responsible for his .229/.289/.443 career postseason line? Here's Kernan on NL East first basemen:
Kevin: Over a 23 day span in September the revitalized Carlos Delgado slugged seven home runs and drove in 19 runs. Over that same stretch Ryan Howard hit 11 home runs and drove in 31 runs. Enough said.
I don't doubt that Howard is more valuable than Delgado, but the reasoning is pitiful. Let's reverse Kernan's statement, cherry-picking another 23 day span:
"Over a 23 day span from August 8th through August 30th, Ryan Howard slugged 5 home runs and drove in 16 runs with a .698 OPS. Over that same stretch Carlos Delgado hit 7 home runs and drove in 23 runs with an .864 OPS. Enough said."
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Comments
The Post: Never right about anything
Stupidity + Money + Permission = The Post. Any chance Rupert Murdoch will publish an apology to Mets fans?
phliadelphoe ite domum!
by Doc Manhattan on Mar 2, 2009 1:09 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
He picked the Mets to win the division
Don’t forget that, while you’re bashing Kevin for bashing the Mets, he did say Reyes and Santana would be in the MVP and Cy Young convo’s, and that the Mets would win the NL East.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 1:20 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Given his other analysis
I kinda wish he didn’t predict the Mets to win the NL East.
by James Kannengieser on Mar 2, 2009 1:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Also, I'm not bashing Kevin for bashing the Mets
I’m bashing him for his poor research and analysis.
by James Kannengieser on Mar 2, 2009 1:28 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i read that and come to the same conclusion
i think its hilarioius that the one paid-to-write-about-baseball-for-a-living participant in the conversation had the least insightful things to say and contributed less than nothing to the analysis of the NL East. i’m no thappy that newspapers are getting destoyed and going under, but this reorganization of twriting and reporting alent is long overdue.
HELLO HELLO MR WILPON. WE WANT THE MANSION NOT THE CONDO.
by kendynamo on Mar 2, 2009 1:20 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
In September,
Schoeneweis threw 6.2 innings with 7Ks and only 1 walk. Enough said.
Castillo had 9 walks with 3 SB to 0 CS. Nuff said.
Beltran hit .344/.440/.645/1.086, but probably only in non-clutch situation. 十分に言われる (Romanized: Juubun zenki.)
Wright drove in only 21 RsBI. Suffisant dite.
Schneider had an .801 OPS. Basta dicho.
Cole Hamels went only 3-2, almost a .500 pitcher. 충분히 말하는
Victorino batted a close to a personal best .344/.378/.516/.894, while lower than Beltran, his confidence is worth 2 Wins, which is not to be undersold, for less than 9 million given the current market situation. достаточно сказано.
by Sokojoe on Mar 2, 2009 1:41 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Did they invite Kernan there to make him look bad?
More insightful analysis:
Jerry Manuel is trying to pump new life in Luis Castillo, saying he could bat leadoff. Utley, who is always self-motivating, is coming back from hip surgery.
and this, with regard to the Mets bullpen:
K-Rod t-shirt ($28) is four dollars more than David Wright t-shirt.
I’m clearly in the wrong profession.
'Oh yes, I know all about that duty-of-a-citizen stuff. It doesn't go. There are exceptions to every rule, and this was one of them. When a man risks his liberty to come and root at a ball-game, you've got to hand it to him. He isn't a crook. He's a fan.'
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Mar 2, 2009 1:48 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
...how is K-Rod t-shirt more than Wright's
I’ve never seen different pricing for TShirts or Jersey, irregardless, what is the point of this comment anyway.
by Sokojoe on Mar 2, 2009 1:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I've never seen an athlete more OVERestimated by Amazin' Avenue
Great player…love him. But I still have never had that “Ohhhh, here comes Beltran!” moment when we need a big hit. I get far more excited to see Reyes come up in such situations and that shouldn’t be.
The 2009 NY Mets: WE GOT K-ROD! OMG, Putz, too! Sign Lowe! Lowe's a Brave. Sign Manny! Tim Redding, WTF? Sign Manny! Sheets or Perez? SHEETS! Perez?? Oh, Sheets is hurt -- good job, Minaya! WTF?! SIGN MANNY!
by ZaBlanc on Mar 2, 2009 1:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Well you should.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 1:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Why?
Cause he was clutch 3 times in 4 years?
The 2009 NY Mets: WE GOT K-ROD! OMG, Putz, too! Sign Lowe! Lowe's a Brave. Sign Manny! Tim Redding, WTF? Sign Manny! Sheets or Perez? SHEETS! Perez?? Oh, Sheets is hurt -- good job, Minaya! WTF?! SIGN MANNY!
by ZaBlanc on Mar 2, 2009 2:33 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
How many unclutch moments have you counted?
I imagine for every “unclutch” moment someone could find a “clutch” one. And I imagine if you included “clutch” defensive plays it wouldn’t even be close.
by Gina on Mar 2, 2009 2:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What about all the plays
defensively and offensively that Beltran makes that allow us to get into positions where we need big hits in the first place? Maybe he doesn’t get a clutch hit in one plate appearances in September/8th inning but without his production over the course of the year/game we probably wouldn’t be close enough for those to even be considered “clutch” situations.
by Gina on Mar 2, 2009 1:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
And that's why I like him.
I’m just pointing out the glaring weakness in his game that the rest of this community refuses to acknowledge. Doesn’t mean I don’t want him here.
The 2009 NY Mets: WE GOT K-ROD! OMG, Putz, too! Sign Lowe! Lowe's a Brave. Sign Manny! Tim Redding, WTF? Sign Manny! Sheets or Perez? SHEETS! Perez?? Oh, Sheets is hurt -- good job, Minaya! WTF?! SIGN MANNY!
by ZaBlanc on Mar 2, 2009 2:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Glaring weakness?
Now you’re just being ridiculous. Carlos Beltran is one of the best all around players in baseball; he doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses.
Beltran has been huge for the Mets down the stretch the past two seasons. Just because you don’t get a warm feeling in your tummy when he comes to the plate doesn’t mean he isn’t a dangerous hitter.
Beltran is the exact type of player you would want up in a clutch situation because you know he is less likely to do something stupid like “expand his zone” and roll over some fringe strike and ground out to second.
by SQUAD on Mar 2, 2009 2:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thank you ZaBlanc
for giving me a great idea for a post. Here’s a little preview:
Beltran, in high leverage situations (LI greater than 1.5 AKA “clutch” situations)
2008: .311/.404/.545
2007: .264/.349/.506
2006: .304/.443/.595
“glaring weakness”
by James Kannengieser on Mar 2, 2009 2:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Please do that post.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's inane, I'm sorry.
I understand what you’re saying, but you’re completely wrong.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Your fault, not ours.
'Oh yes, I know all about that duty-of-a-citizen stuff. It doesn't go. There are exceptions to every rule, and this was one of them. When a man risks his liberty to come and root at a ball-game, you've got to hand it to him. He isn't a crook. He's a fan.'
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Mar 2, 2009 1:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Not being snarky but here's some good stuff
August 30th Grand slam in the 9th, game decided by one.
September 26th Two outs in the 9th.
Plus he hit a two run homer to tie the game against the Marlins the last game, because Show lost the game, fans forget about that clutch HR. You sir, have either forgotton these at bats or take Beltran for granted. I could have probably found much more but I reached my two minute search limit.
by Sokojoe on Mar 2, 2009 2:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah I dunno
I don’t think it gets a WHOLE lot more clutch than the HR in the last game of the season, backs against the wall to make the playoffs, stadium packed because it’s the last game there. If everyone on the team hit like he did in September (.344/.440/.645/1.086) as sokojoe pointed out above, or even as well as he hit in September 2007 (.282/.328/.555/.882; the Mets overall hit .261/.345/.438/.783 in 9/08), the Mets may very well make the playoffs despite the bullpen woes.
by JoshNY on Mar 2, 2009 2:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You don't love Beltran
For over a year, your signature was “CAN SOMEONE TEACH BELTRAN TO GET A GOD DAMNED RBI?!”. (Those of us who were paying attention saw him average 113 over the past three years.) Whenever he does something good, you say “Well, I wasn’t expecting that.” Yet everyone else has come to expect it.
"One of the nice things about baseball is that there are no rules you can't break." - Jim Bouton
by Prince on Mar 2, 2009 2:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Dude
He’s got 4 years of time with the Mets. Yes, he’s had some clutch hits. Next thing you’ll do is point out some little thing Bush did and say that means he’s our greatest leader everest.
The 2009 NY Mets: WE GOT K-ROD! OMG, Putz, too! Sign Lowe! Lowe's a Brave. Sign Manny! Tim Redding, WTF? Sign Manny! Sheets or Perez? SHEETS! Perez?? Oh, Sheets is hurt -- good job, Minaya! WTF?! SIGN MANNY!
by ZaBlanc on Mar 2, 2009 2:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Comparing Beltran to Bush?
I agree with Prince, you don’t love Beltran. It’s obvious you have something against the guy.
by SQUAD on Mar 2, 2009 2:43 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
...
He’s got 4 years of time with the Mets. Yes, he’s had some clutch hits.
I just went over the last month of last season, I’m sure there’s plenty more.
Next thing you’ll do is point out some little thing Bush did and say that means he’s our greatest leader everest.
Liking Beltran = I’m an apologist republican that has terrible grammer (everest?)
You made a statement, I countered with actual data. You countered with some weird attack at me.
Beltran career OPS .853, career with Runners on .910, career RISP .919, RISP w/2 outs .825, career bases loaded .982.
For comparison’s sake, Captain Clutch
Jeter career OPS .845, career with Runners on .836, career RISP .839, RISP w/2 outs .867, career bases loaded .864.
Point is, with sample size issues, I doubt these variances are significant so “clutch” doesn’t matter. But if you want to argue it does matter, Beltran has outclutched Jeter overall with Jeter performing better with RISP w/2 outs, so I guess you can argue this is Beltran’s flaw and ignore sample size issues and the fact that Beltran is better than Jeter in every other clutch category.
And by the way, I voted for Kodos.
by Sokojoe on Mar 2, 2009 3:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
good job
Can you run those same numbers for Victarino?
Kodos
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 4:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If I may oblige
Because my work day is basically over.
Victorino: Career OPS .762, career with Runners on .761, career RISP .693, RISP w/2 outs .654, career bases loaded .764.
Thus, Victorino has more heart and grit and is more clutch than the morbidly un-clutch Carlos Blecch-tran.
'Oh yes, I know all about that duty-of-a-citizen stuff. It doesn't go. There are exceptions to every rule, and this was one of them. When a man risks his liberty to come and root at a ball-game, you've got to hand it to him. He isn't a crook. He's a fan.'
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Mar 2, 2009 4:28 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry 'bout that
Like I said, my work day is basically over.
I am, however, happy to have the opportunity to use the phrase “the morbidly un-clutch Carlos Blecch-tran” on a random Monday in early March.
'Oh yes, I know all about that duty-of-a-citizen stuff. It doesn't go. There are exceptions to every rule, and this was one of them. When a man risks his liberty to come and root at a ball-game, you've got to hand it to him. He isn't a crook. He's a fan.'
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Mar 2, 2009 4:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
A man who uses that phrase
watches baseball with his eyes, not with a calculator.
by Sokojoe on Mar 2, 2009 4:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Per request,
Victorino’s career OPS .763, career with Runners on .761, career RISP .693, RISP w/2 outs .654, career bases loaded .764. For all his confidence, he sure has a huge flaw in his game or, maybe, it’s a sample size issue.
by Sokojoe on Mar 2, 2009 4:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thank you gentlemen very much for you efforts.
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 4:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
My turn
I’ll do the unclutch, dancing fool Jose Reyes
career OPS .773
Runners on .800
RISP .840
RISP w/2 outs .912
Bases loaded .740
If only he knew how to play the game the right way like Victorino or David Eckstein!!!!
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 5:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Right Mr. Kernan
you baseball wizard you!!!
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 5:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Aah, people are idiots.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I kinda had a hunch Reyes was a good hitter with RISP
and it’s nice to know that numbers back that up.
by JoshNY on Mar 2, 2009 10:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What do you have against Beltran? Are you one of those "Minaya only likes Latino players" guys?
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i think its fairly obvious
from the evidence of my sweet beltran replica jersey, that beltran is, indeed, totally rad.
Q.E.D.
HELLO HELLO MR WILPON. WE WANT THE MANSION NOT THE CONDO.
by kendynamo on Mar 2, 2009 3:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Once again
I say it with feeling. For the Beltran haters and dopes like Kernan, it comes down to Game 7 2006 NLCS and one pitch for a called third strike. They think the man’s whole career should be judged on that one moment.
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 2:10 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
it's his own fault
He does lots of weight lifting and sprint drills and batting practice, but you never hear about Beltran doing any C.L.U.T.C.H. training.
He should start doing free throw shooting competitions with a really good high school player for $1000/game every day. That would give him a better feel for executing in high pressure situations. It might also improve his grit, as a second-order effect…
by mmxii on Mar 2, 2009 2:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thatnks for thinking for me.
Too bad you are on acid. :-)
The 2009 NY Mets: WE GOT K-ROD! OMG, Putz, too! Sign Lowe! Lowe's a Brave. Sign Manny! Tim Redding, WTF? Sign Manny! Sheets or Perez? SHEETS! Perez?? Oh, Sheets is hurt -- good job, Minaya! WTF?! SIGN MANNY!
by ZaBlanc on Mar 2, 2009 2:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
what's funny is the conveniently forget the 2004 playoffs
when he had the most clutch performance in the history of the sport.
by cjmulrain on Mar 2, 2009 3:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It was before he was with the Mets
so it doesn’t count
by JoshNY on Mar 2, 2009 4:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
why argue?
those who believe in clutchness as the defining measure of a player’s worth do not value statistics
by englishgrey on Mar 2, 2009 3:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Mets haven't won anything.
I’m the biggest Mets fan in the world, but running these advanced, weird looking stats doesn’t matter to me. All I know is, the team as a whole has done nothing. Zip. Nadda. So go ahead, we can sit here and talk about how Beltran > Victorino (which we know he is), but who cares? Victorino’s got the ring. End of story.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 5:21 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
It's advanced for people who go by RBIs, HRs, and AVG.
And thats it.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I never said OPS was advanced; I mean WAR, FIP, LI, etc., the one's that have these crazy formulas. I don't need a calculator to understand that a player is great.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:39 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
But I bet if you didn't look at that, you wouldn't have known that Brian Giles was the best RF in baseball last year.
Am I correct?
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not so sure about that.
Nor are they designed to figure out if a player is great or not as much as figure out how much a player contributes vs. another.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 10:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Following the logic
Wright > Feliz, but who cares? Feliz’s got the ring.
Church > Taguchi, but who cares? Taguchi’s got the ring.
Santana > Blanton, but who cares? Blanton’s got the ring.
KRod > Condrey, but who cares? Condrey’s got the ring
Putz >…. you get the point.
Saying Beltran is better than Victorino is a completly true statement and in no way diminishes the flyin’ hawaiian’s ring. The same can be said about the guys I’ve listed above. No one has ever said the Phillies didn’t deserve their championship. Using advanced statistics is a better way of predicting future outcomes than counting rings. Is it perfect? Of course not, that’s what makes baseball fun, you just never know, but at least you can have an idea.
by Sokojoe on Mar 2, 2009 5:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I see your point
But it’s like people are trying to prove something by saying we have better players. If all our players are better, why have we won nothing?? I’d trade Beltran for Victorino right now if it meant we’d win a ring. Last winter, we did this with Johan, and Johan had an unbelievable year. What happened? WE LOST. So maybe we should stop bragging about how our players are better, and actually win like we should. That’s all I’m saying. And hey, I’m not pointing fingers, I do it also. It’s just that maybe we should stop bragging about how Wright > Feliz, and Beltran > Victorino, etc. until we actually win.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 5:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
" I’d trade Beltran for Victorino right now if it meant we’d win a ring."
So would evryone, but it doesn’t work that way. Victorino wouldn’t make your team better than Beltran does, so it’s ridiculous to use that comparison.
Complain about the Mets’ failures, that’s fine. Don’t complain about Beltran, that’s lunacy.
And you have four of the top 15-20 or so best players in baseball at worst. Go right ahead and applaud their success. If you’d rather win that’s fine, I’m sure everyone would. But that doesn’t mean you have to pretend Beltran isn’t great. Instead, attack the organization and the players who aren’t great and recognize the guys who are great as great.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I never attacked Beltran. I told you, he's one of the top 10 players in the game.
All I’m saying is winning is the number one priority.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:15 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Okay, but that's irrelevant to this topic.
This topic is not about the Mets, it’s about Carlos Beltran. Your tangent has no use.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What I'm saying is that...
It looks bad that we brag about Beltran having better numbers. Yes, he’s an unbelievable player. But when we choke every year, it’s kind of hard to brag about having great players. It’s like a lot of Mets fans respond to the Phillies calling us chokers by saying “Oh, well, Beltran this, and Wright that.” Who cares? Let’s win, then talk. I really just want to win already, we all know our core is a group of amazing players, I don’t need numbers to tell me that Beltran, Wright, etc. are great players. BUT I JUST WANT TO WIN.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Choke
If clutch is a media-made hype engine, what is choke?
Who's world is it? It's yours.
by BlackOps on Mar 2, 2009 6:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Choking is being the favorite on paper, or being well ahead, and coughing it up. Mets unfortunately have done that the last two years.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:38 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
In what way did we choke last year?
Considering our injuries, we shouldn’t have won last year. We just happened to be in first for a bit at the end of the year because the Phillies choked more during August.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
How did we choke last year?
By losing to the Marlins again on the last day of the season, at home. By coughing up a 3.5 game lead with 16 to go to the Phillies. That’s called choking. Yes, after experiencing 2007, it may not seem like choking, but we choked last year.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
on that point
you couldn’t be more mistaken
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 6:44 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Didn't the Phillies cough up like 7 game lead mid-season?
by Gina on Mar 2, 2009 6:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
yes
and lost 12 out of 18 head to head. and a 3.5 game lead with 16 to play might as well be a zero game lead when your closer is out for the season and your right fielder, and one of your best hitters with RISP goes down in September. Again tell me what happens to Philly if they lose say Lidge and Jayson Werth down the stretch.
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 7:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
As someone who isn't a Mets fan. . .
. . . I don’t think it looks bad.
Nor do I think it’s bragging. It’s ragging on a member of the media who made himself look like a moron.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 10:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think anyone is "bragging" as you seem to be suggesting
Many of us here recognize, as you do, that Beltran is a good player, and we are irked by it when people fail to give him his due credit. (We’re also annoyed by when people who are paid to write about baseball are morons.) It’s not like we’re going over to Good Phight and trolling and saying “HELLO HELLO MR. PHILLIES PHANS WE WANT THE GOOD PLAYER NOT THE GUY WITH TEH RINGS.”
by JoshNY on Mar 2, 2009 10:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd rather see Mets > Phillies, than Beltran > Victorino.
That’s my main point.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 5:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but why can't you accept both?
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry to have three posts, but new example:
Someone up there compared Beltran to Jeter. Honestly, talent-wise, is Beltran better? There is a real argument that he is. But Jeter has 4 WS Rings to Beltran’s 0. Jeter has won before, so I don’t see how the argument matters. I bet you Beltran would trade the better stats for one ring. The rings are the whole reason baseball is played, you play to win. Especially in NY. Rings define you, as sports fans in NY, you guys should know that. Fair or not, rings define players. I want to see the Mets win, that’s the bottom line.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 5:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
rings do define you
just ask sonic the hedgehog.
this championship or nothing argument is fine for comparing tams but its totally meaningless when comparing players, especially two players who play the same position.
HELLO HELLO MR WILPON. WE WANT THE MANSION NOT THE CONDO.
by kendynamo on Mar 2, 2009 6:15 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm glad you are happy PhilKid.
He’s so happy to brag about how great our players are. Enjoy it. I’d rather see the Mets win.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm happy to brag about how great our players are?
I’m. . . not a Mets fan. . .
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The Yankees won three rings, Jeter was on the team.
The Mets have not won a ring, Beltran has been on the team.
Note the lack of “because.” If Jeter was surrounded by three great players and a whole lot of below average, he probably wouldn’t have won any rings. If Beltran was surrounded by a top notch organization with no worse than solid players from top to bottom, he probably would have some rings. That’s the way baseball works, if you didn’t know: a player is a cog in a machine and no player is single-handedly responsible for success or failure.
Stop using TEAM success to define how good an INDIVIDUAL is. Beltran is not in the front office and neither is Jeter. They are responsible for what they do with their plate appearances and in the field, not what the other players do.
If you use rings to define players, you’re insane. Players should be defined by what they have controll over. Just because other stupid people define players by something they have little control over doesn’t mean you should. Do you always let dumb people determine your thoughts for you? Are you incapable of thinking critically for yourself?
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
But Jeter didn't win by himself.
Beltran was on the Royals the beginning of his career. Captain Clutch has always been on the team with the highest payroll in baseball. So I’d sincerely hope Jeter has more rings. And Bernie Williams has way more rings than Beltran. But Beltran is significantly better.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:33 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What the Mets have done and how good Beltran is are completely separate arguments.
It’s silly if you can’t see that. The Phillies won the World series (thanks in no small part to luck), and the Mets didn’t. Victorino didn’t win the World Series and Beltran didn’t lose it. Beltran did everything he could and his team just didn’t win enough games to get there, but that’s not because of him. Victorino also did everything he could, and his team did win enough games, but that’s not because of him alone. The Phillies would be better with Beltran and the Mets would be worse with Victorino.
Stop evaluating a single player’s performance by looking at what his team does. Compare the Phillies to the Mets and Beltran to Victorino. Don’t cross those comparisons or you look like a fool.
And for the love of god, stop whining about a great player who is great and gives you very little to actually complain about. It really makes people like me, a Rangers fan who would give his left nut to have Beltran on his team the last five years, pissed off at your combination of a spoiled attitude and short-sightedness.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Calm down. Take a breath.
1.) Again, I said Beltran is one of the top 10 players in the game.
2.) Winning comes first. That’s my main point. I don’t care about stats, I care about rings.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
it's simple
a team wins by acquiring the best players. the stats tell us who are the best players. unfortunately, there’s no simple formula that translates individual stats into team wins. the best we can do is hope the mets field the best players they possibly can at each position.
so, if you care about the team winning, you should care about the stats. WS rings only tells us which players we’re lucky enough to be on winning teams. it tells us nothing about their contributions to the team.
by englishgrey on Mar 2, 2009 6:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
"unfortunately, there’s no simple formula that translates individual stats into team wins."
Several front offices disagree, and there are even a few freely available stats that are pretty close.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
sorry
i am aware of WAR and other stats like that…i just meant that there’s no way to know with 100% certainty which team of players will win a WS. all they can do is try to field the best player possible at each position.
by englishgrey on Mar 2, 2009 6:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
But if Beltran and Victorino were on opposite teams, the Phillies would have been better, and the Mets would have been worse.
End of story.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:28 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That sums it up pretty well.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 10:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Gina, you know what I mean.
Victorino has the ring, and the Mets have nothing. So you can measure greatness however you want, I measure it with the number of rings on the persons’ finger. I feel like we, myself included, try to prove how great our players are, and it makes us look bad. Yes, Beltran, Wright, Reyes, etc. are great, fantastic baseball players. But the Mets as a whole haven’t won anything.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 5:32 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
you are missing the point
The issue is not who is better Mets or Phillies. That has been settled on the field as you say. The question is " Is there something about the Mets core Reyes, Wright, Beltran and Delgado vers the Phillies core Rollins, Howard, Victorino etc that favors the Phills or is it the secondary players, the bench and also the bullpen that gave Philly the edge the last two years? "
Jerks like Kernan and a certain blowhard on WFAN have publicly argued that the Mets cannot overtake the Phillies unless they trade or get rid of one of their core players because somehow the core isn’t clutch enough or man enough to get the job done. But all the stats basic, advanced etc say otherwise. Yet many people, including Met fans like Zablanc continue to argue this point. Its wrongheaded stupid and counterproductive. If Omar ever traded Beltran, the Mets would be much worse. Same with Reyes unless maybe we got Hanley back.
The Mets “Stars” are fine . Role players, Bench and bullpen have let this team down. And for the last time 2008 was not like 2007. If the Phillies had lost their closer, right field and left field the way we did, not to mention losing Maine and Tatis, they would have ended up 15 games out.
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 5:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Of course.
My real point is just that, every winter, Mets fans brag about having better “core” players, which I’m guilty of also. But where has that gotten us? The core isn’t the reason we lost, and I never tried to imply that it was. Maybe there is something to the ‘chemistry’ argument. The last two years, we’ve been the favorites on paper, only to lose. Yes, I agree 100% that it’s not the core that caused us to lose. But arguing with these media jerks about how good our players are makes us look stupid, because in reality, while our core is fantastic, we’ve choked the last two years. Amount of Philly rings > Amount of Mets’ rings. And that hurts really badly to type, that’s all I’m saying. I WANT TO WIN ALREADY!!!!! GO METS
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough
we all want to win and we are all sick about the last two years. That we can all agree on.
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 6:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
"Mets fans brag about having better "core" players, which I’m guilty of also. But where has that gotten us?"
Wait, wait, wait. . . do you think Mets fans enjoying how good a few of their players are stops the front office from building a good supporting cast? You think these people have some influence on the front office?
Nevermind your original point was basically that a person can’t judge players by stats that you haven’t bothered to understand, you should instead judge them by how their team does. . .
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Actually, Mets Rings=Phillies rings
With the Phils being around twice as long. Just to clarify.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
you measure greatness by the number of rings?
I guess you think Ted Williams was not a great player.
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 5:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Could it be you suck at expressing your point?
Because, by the logic you’ve shown, he’s correct: you must think Williams wasn’t great.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Actually, I don't really get your point.
By your definition, Pedro Feliz>David Wright. And that makes you stupid.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Mar 2, 2009 6:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
"So you can measure greatness however you want, I measure it with the number of rings on the persons’ finger."
You evaluate players by something not in their control but determined by 1) many other people, not only his teammates and 2) luck?
Please, explain to me how that makes logical sense.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Well
So you can measure greatness however you want, I measure it with the number of rings on the persons’ finger.
I bet Jerry Manuel has about 8 gangsta rings on his pimp hand.
King of the bling come to lay down the evidence//Not George Bush, L-Millz be da president
by Sam Page on Mar 2, 2009 6:50 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
+1
I laughed at this.
'Oh yes, I know all about that duty-of-a-citizen stuff. It doesn't go. There are exceptions to every rule, and this was one of them. When a man risks his liberty to come and root at a ball-game, you've got to hand it to him. He isn't a crook. He's a fan.'
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Mar 2, 2009 7:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I love the idea
that he has one pimp hand, and one straight-laced businessman hand…
by deadspy3 on Mar 3, 2009 3:50 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
"I measure [greatness] with the number of rings on the persons' finger."
So then does that mean Victorino is better than Ted Williams was because he has a ring? Is Pedro Feliz better than Ernie Banks?
by JoshNY on Mar 2, 2009 11:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
As soon as I'm not calm, I will.
Mtzfan22, learn2replybutton.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not whining about Beltran. If anyone looks at everything I said, from the beginning, you'll see that I said Beltran was ONE OF THE TOP TWN PLAYERS IN THE GAME.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
And that he should be judged by what his team does.
You have conflicting expressions here. . .
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 6:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
this is just dumb now
if we all agree that beltran is good and that the phillies won the last world series then what are we talking about?
HELLO HELLO MR WILPON. WE WANT THE MANSION NOT THE CONDO.
by kendynamo on Mar 2, 2009 6:19 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
judging from the tone of some these posts
I would have thought conflict in the Middle East but it appears as if its just about some baseball player named Beltran. Typical around here for some.
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 6:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i think the tone around here is usually pretty pleasant
which is why i like AA…but yea, this back and forth is going nowhere, so it’s probably time to give it up.
by englishgrey on Mar 2, 2009 6:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
you are right
I did not mean to imply that AA was generally unpleasant, quite the opposite. I just meant that for some reason these Beltran discussions sometimes tend to get out of hand and its often the same arguments and/or people involved each time.
by Endys Game on Mar 2, 2009 6:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Not me, I just started reading AA like a week or two ago.
AND I LOVE BELTRAN, I’M ON WHATEVER SIDE SAYS HE IS ONE OF THE BEST PLAYERS IN BASEBALL. Honestly, my arguments has less to do with Carlos, and more to do with wanting to stop bragging about stats, and start winning.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:51 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
So the commenters at AA need to start winning games for the Mets.
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 10:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Awesome, indeed.
I thought nobody would ever ask. I humbly offer my services as a LOOGY/OF/1B. If we’ve got Elmer Dessens and Casey Fossum in camp with Marlon, I think it’s only fair we offer our assistance.
by BobbyV_Incognito on Mar 3, 2009 12:07 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I never meant for this to drive people crazy.
This is the main summary of what I want to express to you: I find it really hard to watch Mets fans brag about having great players, while the Phillies walk around with rings on. We’ve done it every year, I’m guilty of it too. But it’s really frustrating to read a million times about how good our players are, yet every year, we lose. I’m frustrated, and want the Mets to win already, then we can talk. Yes, to me, winning is the ceiling, winning the World Series is the main objective of baseball. Never said trading Beltran for Victorino would cause us to win more, I said if someone told me that swapping the players would give us the heart and soul to actually win, like we should, I’d rather have the ring than the flashy stats. Basically: I love Beltran, would NEVER trade him. But bragging about his stats is pointless when every year, we can’t seal the deal. The Mets have, as a team, never equaled the sum of their parts. That’s the problem.
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 6:49 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: Your problem
You’re saying that you’re uncomfortable “bragging” about his player when the Phillies have won the World Series. The problem with that is:
1. There’s no bragging on this site. Many of our player are better and analysis shows that. Just because us having superior players hasn’t resulted in a World Series ring does not mean it isn’t true. During the season, there are many other variables, notably injuries, which a top-heavy team like the Mets doesn’t deal well with. Analysis that favors your players != bragging, especially if its good analysis.
2. The team probably should shut up and play. The fans aren’t the team.
King of the bling come to lay down the evidence//Not George Bush, L-Millz be da president
by Sam Page on Mar 2, 2009 6:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You're all missing my argument, maybe I'm not articulating it well. But I've wasted like an hour and a half here trying to defend the fact that bragging about stats makes us look bad, since our team can't win.
Winning is what’s important. Yes, Beltran is better, but it’s irrelevant to argue, because somehow, the Phils keep kicking our asses when it matters. So all I want the Mets to do is to focus less on stats, and more on guts and heart and chemistry, since it obviously counts for something
by Metzfan22 on Mar 2, 2009 7:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
if you dont want to hear any talk about stats until the mets win a WS
then unfortunately i dont think youre going to enjoy this website much. at least until we win another one.
HELLO HELLO MR WILPON. WE WANT THE MANSION NOT THE CONDO.
by kendynamo on Mar 2, 2009 7:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
NO ONE HAS BRAGGED
unless of course, by “bragged” you mean “observed how lucky we are to have one of the top 10 all around best players alive,” then of course yes, there’s lots of “bragging” going on.
I don’t understand why people come to this site, which is clearly stat-oriented, and say bullshit like “rings>>>>>stats>.” Ugh.
by gogomets on Mar 2, 2009 7:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i would go further and just say
that it’s just intelligent discussion oriented. competently analyzing stats just comes with the territory. otherwise we just waste everyone’s time screaming the same dumb tabloid headlines over and over again.
HELLO HELLO MR WILPON. WE WANT THE MANSION NOT THE CONDO.
by kendynamo on Mar 2, 2009 7:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think part of your problem is that you think stats don't think the Mets have problems that keep them from being better than the Phillies.
Which means you think everyone is so stupid they thing a handful of great players makes up for a bad team.
You’re ridiculous. People can analyze the team using statistics because it tells them a whole lot AND want the Mets to win. Why is that a tough concept for you?
by philkid3 on Mar 2, 2009 10:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Of all the Beltran debates that have taken place on this site
This has to be one of the most inane. I’m also disappointed you all couldn’t have done this during my work hours, when I could have wasted company time reading it.
'Oh yes, I know all about that duty-of-a-citizen stuff. It doesn't go. There are exceptions to every rule, and this was one of them. When a man risks his liberty to come and root at a ball-game, you've got to hand it to him. He isn't a crook. He's a fan.'
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Mar 2, 2009 7:30 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I'm disappointed you all did this during my work hours,
when I couldn’t have wasted government time participating in it.
by BobbyV_Incognito on Mar 2, 2009 8:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
I had the day off from class, and I spent most of it sleeping.
On the plus side, there were some fantastic posts, including those from philkid3.
"One of the nice things about baseball is that there are no rules you can't break." - Jim Bouton
by Prince on Mar 2, 2009 9:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You missed a good time
community really banded together
by Sokojoe on Mar 2, 2009 9:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Baseball was played before 2007.
First of all, this is a Mets site and most of us are Mets fans. The season hasn’t started yet, so in lieu of chatting/posting about the games, this is the time of the year when we take the time to show our gratitude and say things like, “holy crap, we have been really lucky to have one of the best all around players in baseball patrolling CF. It is incredible that he doesn’t get more publicity, especially since he plays in NYC.”
Second, for those of you who start to bleed from the ears when you see numbers on the screen, here is a reason why I want Beltran up in the clutch: The dude knows the strike zone and won’t expand his zone and swing at a pitch that will result in an out. He will be patient and wait for a pitch to drive, or he will walk and keep the inning alive so maybe the next guy in the lineup will get a better pitch to hit.
Third, did everyone forget how the Phillies would underachieve every year under Bowa? Did Gillick trade Rollins, Utley, or Howard? As a Mets fan, did you sit back in your chair with your feet up on the coffee table saying “well, this division should be ours for as long as Wright, Reyes, and Beltran wear blue and orange. We have the playoff experience now and the Phillies are a bunch of chokers. Just a matter of time until we get enough championship to have our own ‘Got Rings?’ t-shirt.”
I’ll go ahead and answer for you. No, you didn’t say that. If you have a modicum of intelligence, I’m sure your thoughts after 2006 were more along the lines of, “Crap, this was our year… winning the division won’t get any easier, not with Howard, Utley, Rollins, Burrell, and Rowand in Philly.”
The point is this. Baseball is not football or basketball. To win a title in MLB requires a whole lot of luck (or incredible pitching.) In the latter two sports, one player can carry his team to victory; this is not the case in baseball. In baseball you need to win a best of 7, and you need to be lucky enough to be healthy after a grueling 162 game season. And you also need to have your team playing good baseball during the playoffs. In short, there are a lot of variables. Ted Williams never won a run. Neither did Ernie Banks. Nor Nolan Ryan. Nor Tony Gwynn. Nor Barry Bonds. I could keep going, but you get the idea.
And finally. If you don’t like to read what you consider “bragging” then don’t read the post/comments.
by SQUAD on Mar 2, 2009 8:09 PM EST reply actions 4 recs
+1
Well said.
'Oh yes, I know all about that duty-of-a-citizen stuff. It doesn't go. There are exceptions to every rule, and this was one of them. When a man risks his liberty to come and root at a ball-game, you've got to hand it to him. He isn't a crook. He's a fan.'
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Mar 2, 2009 8:28 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Play well in September...
and then October, and then we can talk!
" World Champions. WORLD PHUCKIN’ CHAMPTIONS"
-Chase Utley, 10/31/08
by Phightin Phils! on Mar 2, 2009 10:42 PM EST reply actions 5 recs
Dude!
Respect! His team are the Champtions!
'Oh yes, I know all about that duty-of-a-citizen stuff. It doesn't go. There are exceptions to every rule, and this was one of them. When a man risks his liberty to come and root at a ball-game, you've got to hand it to him. He isn't a crook. He's a fan.'
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Mar 2, 2009 11:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Champtions??
Please tell me that’s what the rings actually say.
by BobbyV_Incognito on Mar 3, 2009 12:09 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Rec'd
Maybe consider proofreading before trolling on a Mets site. ‘WORLD PHUCKIN’ CHAMPTIONS’ [sic] says it all.
by Eric Simon on Mar 3, 2009 1:20 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
this is why philadelphia is the best
their fans are so cool!
weeeeee are the champtions, my frieeeeeeends.
HELLO HELLO MR WILPON. WE WANT THE MANSION NOT THE CONDO.
by kendynamo on Mar 3, 2009 9:58 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Damn
I go away for two days and find 151 posts to catch up on, figuring there must have been some big Beltran news. And then this old chestnut….
Let us all just take a deep breath and think about the might of Carlos Voltron.
by deadspy3 on Mar 3, 2009 3:53 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

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