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Around SBN: Are The Orioles Bad Or Unlucky With Their Young Pitching?

2009 Player Preview: David Wright

 

Wrighda03_010_medium

 

via www.baseballprospectus.com

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Thats pretty good.

To say the least.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Apr 2, 2009 10:17 AM EDT reply actions  

Oh, and by fringe, do you mean fringe starter?

Or like a AAAA player?

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Apr 2, 2009 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Those are BPro designations

Fringe = fringe major leaguer
Scrub = somehow worse than that but still a major leaguer
Drop = this guy’s still a major leaguer?

by Eric Simon on Apr 2, 2009 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

I see.

Can we get more of these for other people on the team? I’d especially like to see Murph’s.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Apr 2, 2009 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

PECOTA

And of course, that David Wright rose on the third day to play the hot corner for one true team.

phliadelphoe ite domum!

by Doc Manhattan on Apr 2, 2009 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

which is to say

we don’t know, because the methodology used to determine PECOTA projections isn’t public, I don’t believe.

by JoshNY on Apr 2, 2009 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

We don't know the exact alogorithms used

but we do know that unlike most other projection systems (which esstainly are weighted averages) PECOTA uses comparable players to determine possible career paths. There are a variety of inputs to determine what players are comparable including, but not limited to, age, adjusted performance, body size, position, heart. Based on Wright’s comparables, 80% of the projected career paths Wright could take have him producing at a superstar level for the next three years, awesome

by Sokojoe on Apr 2, 2009 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

What Sokojoe said

I’m a longtime BP subscriber and that’s one of the best brief explanations of PECOTA I’ve read.

by Straight Flushing on Apr 4, 2009 12:51 PM EDT reply actions  

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