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Redding's Debut

Tim Redding is happy he's not facing the University of Michigan, Monday, May 18, 2009, in Los Angeles.  (AP Photo/Gus Ruelas)

More photos » by Gus Ruelas - AP

Tim Redding is happy he's not facing the University of Michigan, Monday, May 18, 2009, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Gus Ruelas)

The Mets signed Tim Redding to a 1-year contract this past offseason to little fanfare.  The general consensus was that it was a decent signing to solidify the back end of the rotation, and the Mets starting pitching projected nicely assuming Derek Lowe could be signed as well.  That was not meant to be, and the difference in projected performance between $36 million Ollie Perez (96 tRA+ in 2008) and $2.25 Redding (90 tRA+ in 2008) was minimal.  That topic has been covered enough though.  After battling injuries in spring training and getting lit up by the University of Michigan baseball team, Redding made his Mets major league debut last night, once again to little fanfare.  Let's take a look at his start.

Velocity

Redding's average fastball velocity last year was 90.7 mph, and last night it was 89.3 mph.  However, he dialed it up to as high as 91.8 mph last night, and was at 90+ on about ten pitches.  Considering he's probably still building up arm strength after his issues this spring, this shouldn't be anything to worry about.  The difference between his fastball and changeup last night was about 8 mph, which is about where it's been for his career.  Not quite Santana-esque, but not terrible.

Location and Batted Balls

Here is his strike zone plot:

Location_php_medium

via www.brooksbaseball.net

Remember that this is from the point of view of the catcher.  Two things stand out here.  One is that we can see why Redding is a fly-ball pitcher; he lives up in the zone.  The other is that he didn't serve up many fat pitches.  The heart of the strike zone has very few dots.  This is a good thing.  In fact, he didn't allow any line-drives last night.  While obviously unsustainable, this is a sign that batters weren't putting great swings on Redding's pitches.  His control wasn't very good in the first inning (10 strikes, 11 balls) but his strike % thereafter was 61%.  Sam noted yesterday that a key to Redding's success is minimizing walks, which is what he did in innings 2-6 (just 1 unintentional walk).  His final line was 6 innings, 2 hits, 4 walks, 4 strikeouts and 2 earned runs, good for a 143 tRA+ (enjoy it while it lasts Timmay).

Redding wasn't spectacular, but he certainly wasn't craptacular either.  If not for his first inning struggles, I'd grade the start an A.  Additionally, he apparently graduated from the Steve Trachsel School of Game Pace Management.  The best way to describe the start is "encouraging", especially considering that the Dodgers lineup sans Manny is still formidable.  His stuff in general isn't all that impressive, but weighing his salary and role he should have value to this team. Despite missing almost two months, Redding can likely be counted on for  a little less than 1 WAR the rest of the way.  He's better than Livan Hernandez, but a rotation featuring both of them the rest of the season does not bode well for Mets playoff hopes.  Hopefully Ollie can regain his form or Jon Niese will get another shot

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He also hit

a nice opposite field line drive on 0-2 with 2 outs!

by TheBigStapler on May 19, 2009 12:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice write-up

If Redding can consistently pitch 6+ innings like he did last night, first inning excepted, I’ll be more than pleased. Not necessarily saying I expect it, but it would be nice.

Now if we can just get trim some excess fat from the rotation . . .

"The definition of edge is going out there and getting a few wins, and then all of a sudden you don’t have to worry about anyone talking about edge anymore," Wright said. "That's a thing in the past. Go ask Omar about that."

by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on May 19, 2009 12:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I like Redding. I think his stuff is good not incredible but he reminds me of Bobby Jones

Not great stuff but has a sense of the strike zone and gets batters out. Good start for Redding.

by Major on May 19, 2009 12:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I like Redding for the #5 spot

He’s always been fairly efficient with his pitches, and seems to have pretty good control. The big hope now has to be that Ollie proves he can be consistant enough to slot him in instead of Livan. I think that would certainly be nice to know in advance of the trade deadline.

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Schmidtxc on May 19, 2009 2:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

some good news

f-mart has gone deep twice off clay buchholz today and game is only in 6th. f-mart also went deep yesterday and had a a double.

by fl1pm0de98 on May 19, 2009 2:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Very valid point.

Of course, Wieters is a catcher, so that obviously doesn’t necessarily mean Martinez>Wieters, but it does bode well for his offensive potential. Especially because F-Mart is doing it in AAA as a 20 year old, 2 years younger than Wieters.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on May 19, 2009 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fernando looks great

He’s looked good all winter, and it seems to be translating over to this season very nicely. I have no problem letting him stay in Buffalo and develop some more though. Let Sheff play in left, Church play right, and Let Murph play 1st. This let’s us see what Murph can offer there, giving us a better idea what we need to do in the off-season. It also leaves Reed and Tatis to substitute as needed. We really need to see that lineup soon though, so we can at least get an idea what we have.

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Schmidtxc on May 19, 2009 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jon Niese

should be on his way to LA as we speak, as Livan is tricked onto a flight to Buffalo using an elaborate trail of cookie crumbs and Hostess cupcakes.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on May 19, 2009 3:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

At least Reyes is in the lineup tonight

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Schmidtxc on May 19, 2009 8:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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