Meet Wilson Valdez: The latest in a long line of torn off straps of pant leg
Wilson Valdez has a career 36 OPS+.
Look, we're all in favor of Omar Minaya acquiring a shortstop of sorts to tide us over until we get Jose Reyes back. But Wilson Valdez isn't a prototypical gold no hit/good glove middile infielder, he's a negative hit/good glove middle infielder. James descrbed his offense as "exceptionally poor", but I don't think that even begins to put into words how bad he has been. Valdez isn't just a standout, he's cream of the crap.
Neifi Perez, oft-joked about as the worst offensive player of the decade, had a career 64 OPS+. Upon the occassion of Tony Pena Jr. being intentionally walked by Blue Jays skipper John Gibbons, Joe Posnanski said that he would've "fired him on the spot." Tony Pena Jr has a career OPS+ of 47, although to be fair he was in the midst of a season where it ended up being 7. To put this in a Mets fan perspective, do you remember last year when Marlon Anderson kept getting to pinch-hit in key spots even though he was essentially an automatic out? His OPS+ last year was 40, or 6 points higher than Valdez's CAREER MLB numbers.
Beyond the fact that Valdez couldn't hit in the California Penal League, look at the long-range plan of this move. He's already 31 and he's in the midst of a season in which he is hitting .198 in the International League. So let me get to defense, since this is obviously the only reason this move was made. Yes, Ramon Martinez isn't really a shortstop at this point in his career. Fernando Tatis was never really a shortstop at any point in his career. So alright, you pitch me the argument that Valdez is valuable because he'd give the Mets someone who could play a competent shortstop. Well alright. Pray tell me then, why they couldn't find one that was even marginally competent with the bat?
Omar Minaya has always tended to look past marginal youngsters for bench spots, leaving the system ill-prepared for a rash of injuries of this magnitutde. In 2007, the Mets lost Ruben Gotay on waivers to the Braves. Not really a big deal. In fact, he's mostly forgotten now. But Gotay has a respectable .334 wOBA for the Diamondbacks this year in Reno. We didn't just deal him for something we needed, we gave him away for free. We gave him away because at the time we wantead Brady Clark on the bench at the start of the season, the same Brady Clark who appeared in seven whole games for the Mets in 2008.
Alright fine McCown, but Gotay was never really a shortstop! He played some games there, but yeah, fair point, although he's as much a shorstop as Ramon Martinez is at this point. Well, how about when we, ironically, in another panic-induced trade, dealt Anderson Hernandez away for 19 games of Luis Ayala? Hernandez is, by both scouting and numbers, a competent defensive middle infielder. He's in the midst of a career offensive year, although I'm not going to use that to buoy my argument, since it's probably going to last about as long as Girls Club lasted on FOX. However, he does have a career 66 OPS+. He's also 25. Gotay is 26. This is another key point: they both possibly have (or in Anderson's case, are having) a career year or spike in them. The only spike Wilson Valdez has left is his dog, assuming he has one and that it's named Spike.
It's just a matter of sloppy managing. As much care and consideration as Omar gives to the big dollar signings and the big trades in the offseason, watching him fill the back end of his roster is like watching a ten-year-old boy trade for baseball cards. "Oh I've heard of him!...Used to be an Expo...He played in the World Series one year...This guy hit a homer at a game I went to..."
Not many teams would be able to withstand their starting shortstop and his primary backup going down at the same time without having some problems, but when you have a team as thin as the Mets are at the top of the minors, both due to Omar's negligence and the team's penchant for promoting players who shouldn't really be where they are yet, it goes from bullet wound to shotgun blast to the leg. Most teams have people like Gotay or Anderson to turn to in the minors in case of an event like this, and the Mets have nothing. They carry first aid kits, and the Mets tear off a piece of their pant legs and tie it around and hope it heals.
For every Fernando Tatis or Jose Valentin, we get three Jose Offermans. Before Carlos Delgado started hitting again, our backup options were something like Marlon Anderson, Andy Phillips, and luring Lee Stevens out of retirment if that didn't work out. When the Mets were relying on Moises Alou, Orlando Hernandez, and Pedro Martinez last year, injuries were an excuse for the club not playing up to expectations. I would argue that the Mets are a team that is uniquely in a position where good health is a neccesity for their chances, not only because so much of their talent is concentrated in their stars, but also because there is absolutely nothing behind them.
So we have our new pants leg strap. But for one thing, he's not really any better than Ramon Martinez, even if he can field better than him, since his batting is probably somewhat similar to when Mr. Burns showed Ozzie Smith how to bunt in The Simpsons. If all he's going to be is a defensive replacement for Martinez...well, why are we not better off just playing Tatis there and seeing if he can reel in 80% of the plays the average shortstop makes? For another, we gave up actual cash for him, money that I'm sure would probably be better used taking X amount of children to the ballgame one day to watch Ramon Martinez. Thirdly, where is the way out of this? We're wandering around from strap to strap here and have been for some time. Hell, I'd almost rather deal one of our 15-20 prospects for someone like Ronny Cedeno or Maicer Izturis than watch us run out Valdez. At least then theres a chance you have an actual solution.
So we've established that Valdez can't hit, hates children, and is the root of all evil. No, I'm sure Wilson Valdez is a great guy. Might wanna try out those "ster-oids" or whatever they call them, but his acquisition is the problem, not him. The very fact that there was a reason to ever trade for Valdez, like Ayala and Trot Nixon before him, is an indictment against the Mets organizational philosophies. Branch Rickey is famously quoted as saying that luck is the residue of design. While that quote doesn't quite encapsulate everything behind how the Mets have managed to blow division leads in September two years in a row, it sure is evident that they aren't doing everything in their resources to put together a solid amount of MLB-ready replacement players for Buffalo in case of disaster.
On the plus side, while the Mets are stumbling around with their pants leg strap, gritting their teeth all angrily, they sure do look like a badass. It shows pluck and determination to keep going on, and this should increase team grission levels. Grission and "edge" don't win you any actual games in the standings though; that takes talent. Something that Wilson Valdez doesn't have enough of to be in the majors.
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Comments
You are making way too big a deal out of absolutely nothing.
Valdez is a fantastic defensive SS. We got him for literally nothing but a small amount of cash. You keep mentioning his terrible career OPS in the majors, but how about 2007, when he had an .848 OPS in AAA? Obviously he’s not a good hitter. But I don’t see how you could possibly make a legitimate argument that this was a bad move. He will be off the team in like 6 days when Cora comes off the DL.
Maybe so.
It probably is a bit over the top considering the scope of this particular move.
But this is a more general idea. I don’t understand why the Mets, an organization with a top 5 payroll over the last five years, would ever be at a point where Wilson Valdez should be on the roster. It rankles me.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement
by riversmccown on May 28, 2009 6:13 AM EDT up reply actions
No snark
but who would you have signed/traded for to be the third string SS who would have to know that he would being playing in AAA unless Reyes (with his 153+ games over the past four years) and Cora got hurt. I mean look at the Red Sox, who we can all agree are the “best” team when considering money available and smartness of the front office, their SS situation at the start of the season was a combination of the terrible signing Lugo and unproven Jed Lowrie with his career .705 OPS. Lowrie got hurt and they called up their third string Nick Green, lucky start aside, was projected to have a .290 wOBA and should have been expected to have terrible defense at SS.
Both Jed Lowrie and Nick Green are legitamite prospects.
There is no comparison at all here.
by JohnPeterson on May 28, 2009 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Nick is green is a legitamite prospects
Right…You do realize Green is 30 years old, was out of the league all last year, and has a .670 OPS in 905 PAs, not to mention he isn’t really a SS. As for Lowrie, yes he is a prospect, but that’s what I’m saying even the Red Sox have problems when it comes to a third strong SS, Green is pretty shitty, that’s the comparison.
Well if you're going to give the Red Sox FO that much credit
Then shouldn’t you give them credit for seeing in Green someone who could come in and do exactly what he has done, despite the projection systems?
Anyway, taking your question a little more seriously…how about Chris Woodward? He’s an ex-Met, he’s got enough range to be average at SS, and he’s put up some nice minor league numbers for awhile. I’d be totally fine with him as a AAA SS. Maybe someone like ex-Ranger 1st rounder Drew Meyer if we wanted someone with a little more upside. This is just glancing at minor league FA’s from last offseason and not counting guys who actually have MLB experience.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement
by riversmccown on May 30, 2009 9:02 AM EDT up reply actions
Thanks for putting some thought into it,
I love hearing actual suggestions rather then (not saying you) hearing someone say we need better players. Woody is hitting alright in AAA this year but had pretty medicore seasons in 07/06, also he hasnt played average SS for five years, his last alright season at SS was 2004, so I don’t really consider him better than Ramon Martinez (who still sucks) but that’s neither here nor there as maybe you like him and to each his own. You just have to remember it can be hard for the Mets to get “freely available talent” like minor league FAs because the chance to actually get called up on a team with a Jose Reyes is much slimmer than where Woodward ended up (Seattle.)
-1
This is about how Omar Minaya and the Mets are consistently unprepared and make extremely poor player personnel decisions at the margins, and it always comes back to bite them.
At some point someone needs to tell Omar Minaya that it actually hurts the team to fill AAA with crappy over-30 players no one else wants and hope to be called a genius if they produce anything.
by JohnPeterson on May 28, 2009 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions
Mr. Burns showed Ozzie Smith how to bunt.
Not Ozzie Guillen. He was not one of Burns’ ringers.
Also, I am not particularly broken up over the Valdez deal.
"He's definitely mixing it into his repertoire. That's French for 'repertoire' " - Keith Hernandez
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on May 27, 2009 11:38 AM EDT reply actions
That was my biggest problem with this post.
I’m not sure if that’s a good thing or a bad thing.
"I was so frustrated [Saturday], I [could have said] anything," ~Oliver Perez
by Lance Johnson on May 27, 2009 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions
It's a good thing
It shows you have the proper focus.
"He's definitely mixing it into his repertoire. That's French for 'repertoire' " - Keith Hernandez
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on May 27, 2009 10:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Oh god
I’m gonna do 25 pushups for that error. Christ. I’m more embarrassed about that mistake than any mistake I have ever made in writing.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement
by riversmccown on May 28, 2009 6:14 AM EDT up reply actions
I rec'd this
because it was well-written and funny, but I agree with supermets, you’re blowing this out of proportion.
Agreed with everyone above,
Granted, his hitting statistics do seem to be almost laughably bad, but hopefully he won’t have to play too much. On the other hand, when you make the Simpsons reference, doesn’t Mr. Burns decision to pinch hit Homer for Darryl Strawberry for the Lefty/Righty matchup seem like something Jerry Manuel would do?
I would have agreed with that
until recently, when he left in LOOGY Pedro F to face lefty-killer Matt Diaz, and since he no longer appears to think Daniel Murphy merits games against right-handed pitchers. I honestly have no idea what makes Jerry tick.
Gangsta.
"He's definitely mixing it into his repertoire. That's French for 'repertoire' " - Keith Hernandez
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on May 27, 2009 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions
I agree with the premise
But this deal is neither here nor there for me. Also, Ramon Martinez is hitting somewhere around .100 right now, so how much would you really lose by replacing his bat with Valdez.
I didn't realize till I was at the game tonight
that Ramon has a higher BA than OBP, which is awesomely terrible. I tried explaining it to a few drunk guys, and they just didn’t get how it was possible. Pretty funny.
Well this comes down to "true talent" vs. "perceived talent"
Ramon Martinez in 2008: .314 wOBA for AAA, .338 wOBA for the Mets
Ramon Martinez in 2009: .310 wOBA for AAA, .242 wOBA for the Mets. ZIPS Projection: .270
Wilson Valdez in 2007: .388 wOBA for AAA, .244 wOBA for the Dodgers
Wilson Valdez in 2008: .256/.326/.308 for the Yakult Swallows
Wilson Valdez in 2009: .231 wOBA for AAA, no projection due to no 2008 MLB stats.
Career wOBA: .233
So, even factoring in Martinez’s slow start, his true talent shows him as a superlative option to Valdez with the bat. So much so that I’d think it’d be really hard for Valdez to catch up defensively.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement
by riversmccown on May 28, 2009 6:25 AM EDT up reply actions
You also have to consider that
Martinez is hurt and according to UZR his defense has been disgustinly bad over the past two seasons he’s been in the majors(UZR/150 of -56.8 and -67.7, that’s shit.)
I'm not really defending Martinez here
But I’ll take the guy with the .30 point difference in wOBA unless he’s Todd Hundley in LF bad.
- Rivers McCown, From Mom's Basement
by riversmccown on May 30, 2009 9:04 AM EDT up reply actions
The problem is that someone like Wilson Valdez wasn't around to begin with.
AAA is supposed to supplement the big league club and all they could provide was an old dude with a hole in his bat that last played MLB SS five seasons ago. Oh, and five seasons ago, he was a bad defensive SS. Couple that with the fact that until Cora, the Mets haven’t had a legitimate backup shortstop on the active roster since 2006. Anderson Hernandez started in AAA the last two seasons, and along with Reyes, represented the entirety of the Mets SS depth chart.





























