Amazin' Avenue: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Anonymous Eagle covering Marquette!

Blogger Smackdown: Dan Moore from Viva El Birdos

The Mets start a four-game series tonight at Citi Field against the Cardinals, so to get an idea of what's going on in St. Louis this season I checked in with Dan Moore at SB Nation Cardinals site Viva El Birdos. I answered some questions for Dan as well, which you can read here.

Star-divide

Talk to me about Joel Piniero: he's not striking anyone out, but neither is he walking anybody nor giving up any homeruns. Is he doing something differently this year, or, if not, which of these can we expect to change between now and September?

Every pitcher who joins the Cardinals is, until proven otherwise, assumed to have developed a sinker and an aversion to strikeouts as soon as he comes into physical contact with Dave Duncan. For Joel that lazy sportswriter tic has proved truer than usual--from his first start with the Cardinals he's pitched to contact in the grand Duncan tradition.

The difference between this year and the last two, now that he's started to strike people out—in the early going he was striking out two batters per nine innings—is that he's stopped allowing home runs altogether, after giving them up at Sam's Club volumes over his first season and a half.

The strike-zone religion is real, but the home run stinginess is an illusion. If he can keep from snapping all the way back to 08 and 09 in that regard, he'll be a fine back-end starter.

Albert Pujols seems to be having one of his best seasons at the plate this year, though a closer look shows that his line drive rate and BABIP are the lowest of his career, while his overall flyball rate and his HR/FB are the highest of his career (his intentional walk rate is also the highest of his career). Has his swing been any different this year than in years past? Is there anything else you've noticed?

Since, say, 2006 there's been a run on the same conventional wisdom once or twice every year—he'll get intentionally walked a few times in a row while he's in the midst of a slump, and the two will be conflated, and all of a sudden he is pressing because he's not confident in the offense around him or otherwise frustrated.

Is there any truth to it? I try to avoid inferring psychological stuff from performance as much as possible, but Pujols isn't a "natural" walker like Adam Dunn or Jack Cust—it's not a part of his game plan—so it's probably fair to imagine that he doesn't appreciate being pitched around. But for me, he's looked as Pujols-ian as ever, and until it's carried over a full season I'm inclined to think of the depressed LD% and increased home run rate as noise, rather than a change in approach.

Will the real Ryan Ludwick please stand up? His line drive rate has fallen from 28.1% last year to 17.9% this year (his traditional rate stats have fallen off precipitously from 2008). Is this just a nasty case of regression to the mean, or is something else going on? What can we expect from him the rest of the way?

The way in which the Cardinals have struggled on offense this year—at least, prior to this last series—has been particularly frustrating because it's come from the two spots, outfield and third base, that we fans had just months ago been conspiring to trade from. Depth, no matter how perfectly planned, has a way of vanishing instantly when it's needed.

Ludwick started off even hotter than he was last year, and was in the middle of a pretty serious slump when he tweaked his hamstring and spent almost exactly fifteen days on the DL. He came back in the middle of the Cardinals' own slump to end all slumps, and did even worse. He's shown some signs of life in the last few days, just like the rest of the offense, and with Ankiel and Duncan doing no better the Cardinals won't give up on him any time soon.

He's not a .600 slugger, but he's at least a true-talent .850 OPS guy.

Colby Rasmus has arrived, and has acquitted himself quite well so far. What are you most impressed with, and in what areas do you expect to see significant improvement?

As a fan, Colby Rasmus is just an exhilarating player to watch. To use the scout cliche, the ball makes the Good Sound off his bat, whether it's aimed out of the park or right back over the mound. His offense has been a little spotty at times—he didn't hit for any power to start the season, and now that he's white hot he's stopped drawing walks altogether—but Cardinals fans have been particularly enchanted with his defense; his UZR/150 at this moment is 30.1, and he's the kind of outfielder that looks like he's that good, too.

He's not in the same class, and he probably won't be, but the breadth of his talent, and the smooth way in which he deploys it, reminds me a lot of Carlos Beltran.

Manager contributions to a team's success are pretty tough to measure, and it's an area of team evaluation for which subjective observation may actually be more important (or as important) than objective analysis. You watch Tony La Russa every day; what's your take on the Cardinals' manager?

This is a sore spot for a lot of Cardinals fans, because for all his talents—and I really do think he's an all-time great—he's made some bizarre field-manager decisions this year that are both less defensible than his greatest hits (batting the pitcher eighth, playing the platoon match-up as often as possible) and more irritating.

The worst tic so far has been carrying thirteen pitchers for most of the year, to no apparent tactical benefit. The thirteenth pitcher is a long reliever who is rarely used even when the game is out of hand—yesterday the Cardinals hung 12 runs on the Royals early and Blake Hawksworth, the current specimen, still only got one inning. In the meantime the pitchers the depth is supposed to protect from overexposure—Jason Motte, a converted catcher, and his one pitch, etc.—still pitch too often.

The lack of follow-through on his current mad-scientist trick is uncharacteristic of Tony; normally when he has a plan, like moving Skip Schumaker to second or Khalil Greene to third, he is serious about it, but for large swaths of the season it's like he hasn't remembered he's got the extra pitcher. The result has been a seriously stretched bench, and lots of pitchers pinch-hitting, for no obvious gain.

I love La Russa, though, and I think that when they aren't watching him on a day-to-day basis most Cardinals fans do, too. He's an idiosyncratic field manager, but every year he's hit with injuries and inefficiencies, and every year the Cardinals seem to succeed within them.

0 recs  |  Comment 8 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

LaRussa's handling of the 13 man staff

has been very odd. Especially since LaRussa seems like the perfect manager to utilize a 13 man staff.

by Sokojoe on Jun 22, 2009 2:51 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Great stuff, thank you!

I’m glad these smackdowns have resumed — they give a really nice taste of what it’s like to be a fan (ideally a clever and reflective fan) of the other team, the thrills and the disappointments and the frustrations and the question marks. This is a lot better material than the Rays guy gave you, too.

by anonymous on Jun 22, 2009 3:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

I enjoy these little tete-a-tetes, especially with the usual quality of the SB Nation sites.

"He's definitely mixing it into his repertoire. That's French for 'repertoire' " - Keith Hernandez

by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Jun 22, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

rubin is saying that beltran could be on DL

takahashi sent down. fmart up

http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/mets/2009/06/breaking-beltran-could-be-head.html

"The Mets have shown me more ways to lose than I even knew existed."
-Casey Stengel

by He'sGotPotential on Jun 22, 2009 4:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Unbelievable

Just ridiculous.

Really, Jerry?

by Prince on Jun 22, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Start posting about the Mets »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

Cbs_fantasy_baseball_promo

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Buckner_small
Prospect Smackdown: Davis vs. Freeman vs. Morrison
Screenshot_small
Chris Carter: virtu and fortuna
Small
Thinking about David Wright's 2010
Small
The Resurrection of Ike Davis

Recent FanPosts

Headshot_small
A Quick Poll: Francoeur versus Dukes
Mania_123wx118h_small
ALL-NL CENTRAL TEAM
Orosco_small
Jenrry Mejia poll
N16115505_31581383_8646_small
Come check us out!
Buckner_small
All-Time Most Hated Mets
Llama_small
Alex Cora does have something over Felipe Lopez....

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recommended FanShots

Advice for Jose Reyes.

Recent FanShots

Holt takes a line drive to the leg...
CC Sabathia in a Bad Company 2 mock PSA
Nationals release Elijah Dukes
Mike Lupica is a Big Jerry Manuel Fan
Mets have interest in Cristian Guzman
Francoeur armed with unique skill
durned parents valuing education...
"F-Mart will start the season in the minors. We want to let him develop...
Maine wasn't "into it"
Ben Sheets gives up 10 runs without recording an out

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

Sponsors

SBNation.com Recent Stories

Colorado Rockies Carlos Gonzalez, center, is congratulated by coaches and Troy Tulowitzki, right, after he scored in the third inning of a spring baseball game against the Chicago Cubs in Tucson, Ariz., on Monday, March 15, 2010. (AP Photo/Ed Andrieski)

SB Nation's 2010 MLB Previews: Colorado Rockies, It Starts With The Arms

Texas Rangers manager Ron Washington, left, jokes with Kansas City Royals manager Trey Hillman before a spring training baseball game, Saturday, March 6, 2010, in Surprise, Ariz. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall) +1 updates

Rangers' Ron Washington Tested Positive For Cocaine

Members of the Arizona  Diamondbacks and Seattle Mariners benches rush onto the field during the altercation between Diamondbacks' Chris Synder  and Mariners' pitcher Cliff Lee during the third inning of a spring baseball game at Tucson Electric Park on  Monday, March 15, 2010 in Tucson, Ariz.   Lee was ejected for throwing at Snyder. (AP Photo/Arizona Daily Star, Jill Torrance) +3 updates

Spring Training News & Notes, 3/17: Catching Up With Everyone

More from SBNation.com >


THE BIG GUY

Aa_avatar_small Eric Simon

THE INCREDIBLES

Blackfish2_small Alex Nelson

Mos_def_def2_small Sam Page

Aaavatar_small Mark Himmelstein

Best_infield_ever_small James Kannengieser

THE NEWS GURU

Wrightfront_small Joe Budd

THE POET LAUREATE

Hamheadshot__1__small Howard Megdal