Get Well Soon Jose And Dos Carlos
by James Kannengieser on Jun 27, 2009 12:00 PM EDT
in Stats
15 comments
Here are the projected wOBAs for last night's lineup for the rest of the season, according to ZiPS projections at Fangraphs:
| Player | Projected wOBA |
|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | .321 |
| Alex Cora | .301 |
| David Wright | .414 |
| Gary Sheffield | .342 |
| Fernando Tatis | .330 |
| Ryan Church | .350 |
| Nick Evans | .318 |
| Omir Santos | .286 |
A .330 wOBA is about average, meaning this lineup (which is essentially the Varsity lineup for the foreseeable future, interchanging Daniel Murphy for Evans and Brian Schneider for Santos) projects one superstar, 2 slightly above average hitters, 1 average hitter, and 4 below average hitters. The bench isn't much better, with Murphy's .323 leading the pack. Jose Reyes, Carlos Beltran, and Carlos Delgado are pegged at .366, .398, and .362, respectively. Who knows what we will get out of them coming off of injuries. Compare to the Yankees "A" Team:
| Player | Projected wOBA |
|---|---|
| Derek Jeter | .358 |
| Johnny Damon | .369 |
| Mark Teixeira | .399 |
| Alex Rodriguez | .404 |
| Robinson Cano | .351 |
| Nick Swisher | .366 |
| Jorge Posada | .372 |
| Brett Gardner | .312 |
| Hideki Matsui | .367 |
That is a terrifying lineup, and the one weak link (Gardner) is so good in the field at a premium position that he should be a ~3 WAR performer. Good luck tonight Tim Redding.
My message to our 3 injured stars: get well, get well soon, we want you to get well.
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Yikes.
Ramon Castro’s ROS Zips: .332 wOBA
Orlando Hudson’s ROS Zips: .356 wOBA
Adam Dunn’s ROS Zips: .395 wOBA
Just saying.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jun 27, 2009 12:16 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ehh, screw Hudson
Seriously, he’d be worth, what, 1-1.5 wins more than Castillo? Plus team would’ve had to eat $18M and yield their second round draft pick. In exchange for a couple of marginal wins, the Mets allow the farm system to suffer and ensure zero financial flexibility for in-season moves.
Orlando Hudson is not worth any of that.
by All Shook Down on Jun 27, 2009 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, I know.
What I’m saying is realistically, we could have had two of these guys, at least. Especially Castro.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jun 27, 2009 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Are you factoring in
the game Castillo lost in NY into that equation? Because if not, then it’s 2.5 wins and I’d take that when they’ve lost 2 years in a row by 1 game.
by David G on Jun 28, 2009 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And the average hitter
is Tatis, and we’ve all seen how great that’s been lately.
Ugh.
by mets81 on Jun 27, 2009 12:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Amazing
The Yankees’ alleged weak link (Gardner) has a 1.9 WAR, which is equal to Johan and bests all other Mets not named Wright or Beltran. Yet the Mets are a half-game out of first and have higher postseason odds than the Yanks. Dare we say that the Mets are lucky?
by Zwill on Jun 27, 2009 1:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Lucky they're not in the same division as the Red Sox, Rays, and Blue Jays
by James Kannengieser on Jun 27, 2009 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And the Orioles
Seriously, would they be leading the NL East?
by Zwill on Jun 27, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hey
At least we don’t have to hear from the Metsblog contingent about how dumb it was not to sign Manny. If he’d been playing all year, that noise would have been deafeningly loud.
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Jun 27, 2009 2:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
HELLO HELLO MR. WILPON
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jun 27, 2009 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ryan Church is the second best bat in our lineup.
Lord help us.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jun 27, 2009 3:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
"We have to find a way to play better, there's no doubt. Overall. I'm not pointing fingers at anybody. Offense, defense, pitching -- we have to find a way to play better. The reality of this is, coming here to Pittsburgh and being swept -- personally, I feel embarrassed." -- Carlos Beltran
by EMSfan9 on Jun 27, 2009 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like Gardner
Because he’s full of grission and grustle. I actually tried to explain those concepts to my brother-in-law last night, to no avail. I told him that grustle was like a force field that prevented outs from happening around Brett. And grission made him look and compare to Damon when he swings the bat.
By the way, Gardner even looks like a left-handed Eckssion.
by TBlz on Jun 27, 2009 5:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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