Get Well Soon Jose And Dos Carlos

by James Kannengieser on Jun 27, 2009 12:00 PM EDT in Stats Comment 15 comments

Here are the projected wOBAs for last night's lineup for the rest of the season, according to ZiPS projections at Fangraphs:

Player	Projected wOBA
Luis Castillo	.321
Alex Cora	.301
David Wright	.414
Gary Sheffield	.342
Fernando Tatis	.330
Ryan Church	.350
Nick Evans	.318
Omir Santos	.286

A .330 wOBA is about average, meaning this lineup (which is essentially the Varsity lineup for the foreseeable future, interchanging Daniel Murphy for Evans and Brian Schneider for Santos) projects one superstar, 2 slightly above average hitters, 1 average hitter, and 4 below average hitters. The bench isn't much better, with Murphy's .323 leading the pack. Jose Reyes, Carlos Beltran, and Carlos Delgado are pegged at .366, .398, and .362, respectively. Who knows what we will get out of them coming off of injuries. Compare to the Yankees "A" Team:

Player	Projected wOBA
Derek Jeter	.358
Johnny Damon	.369
Mark Teixeira	.399
Alex Rodriguez	.404
Robinson Cano	.351
Nick Swisher	.366
Jorge Posada	.372
Brett Gardner	.312
Hideki Matsui	.367

That is a terrifying lineup, and the one weak link (Gardner) is so good in the field at a premium position that he should be a ~3 WAR performer. Good luck tonight Tim Redding.

My message to our 3 injured stars: get well, get well soon, we want you to get well.

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Comments

Yikes.

Ramon Castro’s ROS Zips: .332 wOBA
Orlando Hudson’s ROS Zips: .356 wOBA
Adam Dunn’s ROS Zips: .395 wOBA
Just saying.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Jun 27, 2009 12:16 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Ehh, screw Hudson

Seriously, he’d be worth, what, 1-1.5 wins more than Castillo? Plus team would’ve had to eat $18M and yield their second round draft pick. In exchange for a couple of marginal wins, the Mets allow the farm system to suffer and ensure zero financial flexibility for in-season moves.

Orlando Hudson is not worth any of that.

by All Shook Down on Jun 27, 2009 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

No, I know.

What I’m saying is realistically, we could have had two of these guys, at least. Especially Castro.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Jun 27, 2009 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Are you factoring in

the game Castillo lost in NY into that equation? Because if not, then it’s 2.5 wins and I’d take that when they’ve lost 2 years in a row by 1 game.

by David G on Jun 28, 2009 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

And the average hitter

is Tatis, and we’ve all seen how great that’s been lately.

Ugh.

by mets81 on Jun 27, 2009 12:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Amazing

The Yankees’ alleged weak link (Gardner) has a 1.9 WAR, which is equal to Johan and bests all other Mets not named Wright or Beltran. Yet the Mets are a half-game out of first and have higher postseason odds than the Yanks. Dare we say that the Mets are lucky?

by Zwill on Jun 27, 2009 1:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Lucky they're not in the same division as the Red Sox, Rays, and Blue Jays

by James Kannengieser on Jun 27, 2009 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

And the Orioles

Seriously, would they be leading the NL East?

by Zwill on Jun 27, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Hey

At least we don’t have to hear from the Metsblog contingent about how dumb it was not to sign Manny. If he’d been playing all year, that noise would have been deafeningly loud.

"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet

What a fool I was to defy him"

-HST

by Meddler on Jun 27, 2009 2:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

TRAYD 4 MANNY!

by James Kannengieser on Jun 27, 2009 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

HELLO HELLO MR. WILPON

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Jun 27, 2009 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Ryan Church is the second best bat in our lineup.

Lord help us.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw

by squid92 on Jun 27, 2009 3:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

+1

"We have to find a way to play better, there's no doubt. Overall. I'm not pointing fingers at anybody. Offense, defense, pitching -- we have to find a way to play better. The reality of this is, coming here to Pittsburgh and being swept -- personally, I feel embarrassed." -- Carlos Beltran

by EMSfan9 on Jun 27, 2009 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Let's Go Buffalo!

by Reg Dunlop on Jun 27, 2009 3:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

I like Gardner

Because he’s full of grission and grustle. I actually tried to explain those concepts to my brother-in-law last night, to no avail. I told him that grustle was like a force field that prevented outs from happening around Brett. And grission made him look and compare to Damon when he swings the bat.
By the way, Gardner even looks like a left-handed Eckssion.

by TBlz on Jun 27, 2009 5:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs