Don't let .324 fool you
I've heard and read a lot of comments from Mets fans who are pleased to see Francoeur hitting .324 since joining the club... as if a .324 BA and identical OBP in some way legitimize Minaya's acquisition of such a terribly confused hitter. Being a Mets fan in Atlanta I can tell you that from what I have seen, nothing has changed in terms of plate discipline or his overall approach in the batter's box. I decided to track all of his at bats since he joined the team (and will continue to do so, as I search for reasons to keep watching that don't include Hernandezisms), and then cross referenced some of that with the data provided by FanGraphs to break down his first 9 games:
In 37 Plate Appearances as a Met, Francoeur has:
- Swung at the first pitch 23 times (62%)
- Is averaging 3.5 pitches per at bat (actually an improvement from his 3.34 season average)
- Has drawn zero walks (I suppose that could be assumed)
- OSwing percentage is 36.2% (only pitchers and Angel Berroa are worse)
- ZSwing percentage is 88.3% (Leads the team, closest to him is Reed at 73%, and is 7 points higher than his season average and league leading 81%)
- Swing percentage is 62.7% (Up from his season average of 58%, which is third in the league)
Despite all that, Manuel somehow believes:
"He's the type of guy, where it looks like if he does get right, he can carry a club."
All of this must be kept in mind as fans look at the box scores and see 1 for 3's and 2 for 4's and think "well maybe this won't be so bad after all." Unless Francoeur can figure out how to improve his plate discipline and discover exactly what pitches in what locations are the pitches he can do the most damage with, we will be left with a lot of painful Sir Swing-A-Lot moments as we suffer through the remainder of this season. Obviously I want the best for this team, but at this point I'm hoping his average drops down to where it should be, so we can avoid Omar getting fooled by some decent stats and actually bringing this head case back for 2010.
6 recs |
170 comments
Comments
When Frechy doesn't swing at the first pitch,
it seems like he decides to not swing before stepping to the plate. I wish I could somehow prove this, but I have noticed at least twice a low slider or changeup first pitch followed by the exact same pitch which Frenchy swings out of his shoes, not even coming close to it. By the way, nice post, thanks for the numbers.
by Sokojoe on Jul 24, 2009 11:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Totally agree...I wouldn't doubt that is the case.
Everyone is entitled to be stupid, but Jerry abuses the privilege.
by AnthonyR on Jul 24, 2009 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
As a Braves fan
We’re all very aware of this phenomenon. Occasionally, it seems like Francoeur gets the idea in his head “I should try taking a pitch.” And that decision is made before the pitcher ever comes set. And then he’ll take a fastball down the middle, just so he can flail wildly at something offspeed and away.
Francoeur actually does have great physical tools for the game, but he’s never had a 3 BB despite seeing a smaller % of strikes than most batters. His ability to make contact is superb, but his recognition is awful.
by Bronn on Jul 26, 2009 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
but
what about all those RBIs he had in 06 and 07!?!
end sarcasm
by JDizzzy on Jul 24, 2009 11:36 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Please, you're preaching to the choir here.
These are the types of short sample size-osity that screw this team over year after year after year. Cause even after they suck again, they still recieve regular playing time (see Santos, Omir).
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jul 24, 2009 11:56 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Few players have the upside francoeur and omir have though.
Plus Jeff had 29 homers in a season and Omir is clutch, that cannot be ignored
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Jul 24, 2009 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Upside, perhaps
But when I look at things like francouer’s regression I just don’t see how he can return to his stats from a time when pitchers weren’t aware of the gaping holes in his swing, and he had bats like Chipper, an effective Andruw and McCann around him (5 guys on that team had over 24 homers, and renteria put up a .293/.797 line). Also, his HR/FB rate has gone down every season since he reached the bigs (17%, 15%, 9%, 6%, 5%). I love looking at half full glasses as much as the next guy, but to me I just don’t see this player ever delivering on the hype he created when he was first called up (see, kevin maas).
And omir may have a good avg. with RISP and 2 outs, but his other clutch stats are not overwhelming.
by carmine_riccardi on Jul 24, 2009 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think Evan was sarcastic there.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jul 24, 2009 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Frenchy does not have to go back to driving in 100+ rbis....
…just drive in as many runs as he can.
He won’t have as much pressure here as he did in Craplanta in front of his family and friends….
by MetsGod on Jul 28, 2009 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
THEREFORE HE WILL BE AN ALL-STAR
BECAUSE HE’S NOT PLAYING IN FRONT OF HIS FAMILY
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jul 28, 2009 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Does reductio ad absurdam work when what you’re replying to is already reductive and absurd?
by anonymous on Jul 28, 2009 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I CAN TYPE IN CAPS, TOO!
WHOOOHOOOOO!!!
(c’mon, Squid. You know better than that….)
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm with you sokojoe
I’ll try and incorporate some pitch f/x into it and see if there’s any pattern there… you are probably right.
by carmine_riccardi on Jul 24, 2009 12:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I was feeling pretty apathetic about this team already
But the Francoeur trade was the punch in the gut that took it over the top. Almost all of my concern about the team at this point is with regard to the future beyond 2009.
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Jul 24, 2009 5:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
At least we're getting a high draft pick
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Jul 24, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know why you guys are all so down on Francouer
Yes, his approach is terrible, but that same approach allowed him to have a .370 wOBA in 05 and a .337 wOBA in 07. Given his plus defense (career 7.9 UZR/150 in right), if he is able to manage league average offensive production, he’s a 2 WAR player. And as cliche as this sounds, he still has potential to hit a lot better.
F%#& Billy Beane. Actually... I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 24, 2009 11:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Because Church is better
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Jul 24, 2009 11:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think is Frenchy per se
But the trade of Church/Francouer is more a microcosm of our FO, especially with the revelation that the trade was proposed in a “brainstorming session” and completed within 24 hours.
Also,


by Sokojoe on Jul 25, 2009 3:00 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
The ISO drop is disturbing
F%#& Billy Beane. Actually... I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 25, 2009 4:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
More disturbing is the HR/FB drop
In seemingly direct correlation to his K% drop. Fuck it, if you’re going to swing at every pitch, might as well swing hard.
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Jul 25, 2009 6:12 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A momentous day
Frenchy’s Mets OBP is now greater than his BA, thanks to the HBP last night.
by James Kannengieser on Jul 25, 2009 9:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
resign him
give him a 5 year contract.
"Put it in the books. The Mets are the 2006 National League Eastern Divison champions"--Howie Rose
by firejerrynow on Jul 25, 2009 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't let .327 fool you
especially not the 17 hits, 15 RBIS, and 2 Homeruns part as a met.
by MetsGod on Jul 28, 2009 3:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
make that 18 hits, 16 RBIs, and 2 homeruns...
by MetsGod on Jul 29, 2009 2:47 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
RBIs are useless, thank you.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jul 29, 2009 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
RBI are useless in player evaluation
but necessary to win ball games
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Jul 29, 2009 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I can now see why the .324 average could fool someone.
So I went to the game last night and got there very early. Walked around Citifield and watched batting practice from many different vantage points. I was there with a buddy of mine and the only Mets player that made us to shut up and watch was Francoeur. The ball comes off his bat differently. The guy was peppering the field with rockets line drives and his ability to make solid contact so consistently was quite impressive.
Now, this is obviously batting practice and not a game situation, but I could see how a team could look at his tools and take a chance on his upside. The man has a ton of potential, but alas, he will likely never put it all together since he has no knowledge of the strike zone.
I would also like to note that he came up in an RBI situation late in the game where all he needed was a deep fly ball to get a guy in from third and he proceeded to strike out on 3 pitches to Josh Fogg. If Beltran had done something like that he would have been skewered, but the fans have really gotten behind Francoeur for some reason.
by SQUAD on Jul 29, 2009 11:31 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
he seems like a decent dude
and he undoubtedly has a ton of pure talent. You said it best— he doesn’t walk and he has no knowledge of the strike zone.
by jasondg on Jul 29, 2009 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That was another thing I noticed.
Since I was sitting in the Pepsi Porch, I would watch him between innings warming up and he was always smiling and interacting with fans and even threw a few balls into the stands. He really does seem like a good dude.
by SQUAD on Jul 29, 2009 8:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I remember that particular at-bat where he struck out at a breaking-ball(or was it a slider) in the dirt....
He could be an all-world player if he’d just draw some walks here and there(or MAKE THE OPPOSING PITCHER THROW STRIKES RIGHT DOWN THE MIDDLE).
But you know what? When this team is healthy, it won’t be necessary for him to be a freakin’ superstar….just a good player who DRIVES IN RUNS and, in case the rules changed and I wasn’t paying attention, the idea of winning a baseball game is to have more runs than the opposing team after at least 9 innings.
I liken Frenchy to one NFL’s Chris Carter(in his case, all he did was score TDs and in Frenchy’s case, all he does is Drive in Runs).
by MetsGod on Jul 29, 2009 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ok, but that was a cliche
Cris Carter was a phenomenal wide receiver. He’s in the top 10 in career receptions, receiving yards, and touchdowns. Frenchy isn’t anywhere near the same ballpark.
And, of course, “driving in runs” IS NOT A SEPARATE SKILL FROM “hitting” and he is simply not very good at it. (“catching touchdowns” is perhaps more of a separate skill from “playing wide receiver” because getting open in or near the end zone can be more difficult than getting open elsewhere in the field.)
Still, props for the reference.
by JoshNY on Jul 29, 2009 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"the idea of winning a baseball game is to have more runs than the opposing team after at least 9 innings."
Yes, and how many runs has Francoeur scored since he came to the Mets? The answer is 4. Good ballplayers both drive in and score runs.
by SQUAD on Jul 29, 2009 8:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was not referring to Frenchy's scoring runs on foot himself....i was referring to him DRIVING THOSE RUNS IN.
He’s not here to be Jose Reyes by any stretch….
by MetsGod on Jul 30, 2009 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Francoeur has been helpful
I’m not going to discount his RBI production for the sake of harping on swing percentages and pitch recognition. He can get hot, and with an OPS+ over 100 in most of his clutch stats he has come through when presented with RBI situations in the past. I just worry that he doesn’t seem to have changed his approach or improved his pitch recognition, so fans should temper their expectations and not fall head over heels for his current output.
by carmine_riccardi on Jul 30, 2009 10:53 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
But here's the thing, carmine
If he’s improved his batting stance and that, in turn, improves his hitting, then whatever his OPS or any other Sabermetric-stat you geniuses here can up with really doesn’t matter. Only thing that does matter is driving in Runs and winning Baseballs games.
And IMO, Frenchy does both(or in the latter, he HELPS…)
by MetsGod on Jul 30, 2009 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You realize that OPS isn't really a sabermetric stat, right?
That’s a pretty simple stat, and all you need to know how to do is add. Unfortunately, due to your lack of recognition or appreciation for words and numbers, I’m not surprised you’re ignorant about that, right?
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jul 30, 2009 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The only words and numbers I appreciate or recognize are :
WINS and the # OF WINS.
Everything else are just a jumble to me that doesn’t warrant my attention.
when I watch a Mets game, for instance, I don’t sit there and think about OPS, OBP, or the like. I sit there hoping that the Mets player gets a hit, drives in a run, or gets on base so that the opportunity to drive in a run arises…I want to WIN. That is all that matters..
by MetsGod on Jul 30, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And there are many fans out there...
..who share my sentiment in some ways.
We all want the team to win, whether it’s in an ugly fashion or not. A win is a win is a win.
by MetsGod on Jul 30, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're contradicting yourself
On the one hand:
The only words and numbers [you] appreciate or recognize are wins and the number of wins.
On the other hand:
[You] sit there hoping that the Mets player gets a hit, drives in a run, or gets on base.
So either you:
A) Stare intently at the scoreboard during a game and react only when the score changes, as suggested by the first quote
OR
B) Pay attention to and understand the process that goes into scoring and preventing runs, which will ultimately enable a club to win, as suggested by the second quote.
My guess is that you’re much closer to option #2 but just enjoy baiting people in this forum with the typical get-your-head-out-of-those-books-poindexter drivel that so many choose to fall back on when presented with a rational argument that they cannot counter.
by Zwill on Jul 30, 2009 6:50 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
+1 for implicit-contradiction-unpacking
If you care about wins, you care a lot about OPS and OBP, whether you know it or not.
by anonymous on Jul 31, 2009 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's probably true...
…but like I said, I really don’t pay much attention to that. Only RBIs Driven by the player currently at the plate. Simplistic things. No Sabermetric rocket-science required.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 9:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
here's the problem:
When other people present evidence that you’ve been ignoring, “I really don’t pay much attention to that” is not a very convincing counter-argument. Your personal attention span does not determine the available facts on which the rest of us can base our analyses.
by anonymous on Aug 2, 2009 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You can't triple stamp a double stamp
Lloyd! Lloyd!!
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Aug 8, 2009 12:56 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
has the idea that...
I was being silly ever occured to you?
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And I am supposed to care because....?
I’m not sitting here trying to convince anyone to change their viewpoints ‘cause I know that’s impossible. But guess what? The same goes for you guys shoving all this negative data in my face. You can give me every single stat saying that Frenchy is the worst Baseball player in MLB History(and you may be right. I’m not denying any real facts wherever you dig them up) but frankly, I don’t care.
Let me repeat : I….dont…..care. I see Frenchy as a somewhat-minor upgrade from Church BUT With the difference of him having plenty of upside. Church is what he will always be.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And Francoeur is what he will always be
Which is, not a very good baseball player
by JoshNY on Aug 2, 2009 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yes I agree....
….but compared to the rest of the Mets team, he’s freaking Mike Piazza in his prime…
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 11:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe compared to Angel Berroa...
But “the rest of the Mets team” isn’t accurate unless it leaves aside almost every other player on the team. Frenchy has been worth -0.4 WAR this season. That’s AAAA level…which makes him about average for this team, actually, haha. But he’s still not good, or even worthy of playing in major league baseball with his current lack of plate discipline.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 6, 2009 11:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It has improved somewhat lately, though, squiddy..
He has been taking more pitches and as a result getting better pitches to hit. Now if he can just lay off a pitch way out of the strikezone on a 3-2 count and just draw a walk….
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The thing you don't understand is that this isn't an opinion,
Jeff Francoeur is a bad baseball player. You can think otherwise but that’s no different than me thinking the sun revolves around the earth.
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Aug 3, 2009 2:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The sun revolves around the earth???
NO WAY!!!!!
:)
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 11:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just because you don't pay attention to it doesn't mean it's not more valid.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Of course not, squiddy... ;)
I just don’t give a damn. I see only the Positives in Frenchy and take his negatives in stride…
Compared to what Church gave the team….OR DIDN’T, Frenchy has been a breath of fresh air.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You don't listen to anything anyone says, do you?
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why should I?
It’s my opinion….my viewpoint….What I believe.
It’s like someone tries to tell you : Oh. You’re not supposed to walk this way. or you’re not supposed to talk unless we tell you talk.
Please…..
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No one is saying that you can't like a specific player.
But this website is FACTS BASED. Saying, “Oh, whatever, it’s my opinion, so it’s ok to say it” does not fly, unless you give a reason why it’s valid. And so far, you have not done that.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
dude....Save the "facts based" arguments against me for when I...
…idiotically put crap in the FanPost section like last time.
This is a GAME THREAD where ANYTHING GOES.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This isn't a game thread...
…it’s a FanPost comment section. And even on game threads, it is most certainly not “anything goes”. Read this.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
grrrrrrrr...
AGAIN with the “community guidelines”?
Forget it, man. Just forget it. I’m not even going to comment on that ’cause I might say something that will get me banned. * sigh *
If this isn’t a game thread, then why is the title of this thread called the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS @ NEW YORK METS GAMETHREAD? Hmmm?
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
oops nevermind...IGNORE THAT LAST POST
I need a drink.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That might be the last thing you need.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But regardless....
Stop shoving the “community guidelines” in my face, okay?
I’ll never read them ’cause I already have the gist of what to do here without getting my ass banned…
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's a quote from it.
Rely on fact-based analysis. This is not a stats-first site, it’s a facts-first site. Intellectual honesty means being accountable for your assertions, so if you’re going to argue a point you better be sure you have the evidence to support it.
That means don’t just say, “Whatever, it’s MY opinion!!!” without backing it up. If you DO back it up, there’s no problem, even if everyone agrees with you.
Also, it says:
Be emotional in the gamethreads, but don’t check your rationality at the door. We all get caught up in the moment, but do try to be insightful if at all possible.
So again, “anything goes” isn’t accurate there, either.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You might want to check out the community guidelines
"He's definitely mixing it into his repertoire. That's French for 'repertoire' " - Keith Hernandez
by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Aug 3, 2009 12:44 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's the point though
You’re going to draw the scorn of the community if you just say “this is my opinion and I refuse to be convinced otherwise or articulate any sound evidence for it”. No matter how many times you ask people to “leave you alone” you are going to get called out on your poor claims here, like it or not.
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Aug 6, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you saw further down, I explained...
..what I"m going to do from now on.
And that is….Say NOTHING in reply.
If I let others bash me and have their way and don’t retaliate, then things would proceed more smoothly.
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To which I responded
Feel free to respond ;)
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Aug 6, 2009 10:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
this is not your personal blog.
If you just want to air your opinion, go to Blogger or Wordpress or somewhere and get yourself a blog of your own. This is a community site where people participate in a facts-based conversation. Just restating what you think again and again, while refusing all discussion with a flat, unchanging “it’s my opinion,” is simply not an allowable way of participating here.
by anonymous on Aug 2, 2009 7:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know what?
State your facts. I won’t argue anymore.
I’ll state what I want to state and you can go on proving that I’m wrong. I just won’t respond and simply move on.
I think that’s for the best ’cause there really is no point to this.
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough
So long as you understand that this dynamic is in place and will continue as it is. You may continue to partake, but if your whole case is “I only choose to look at the good things so I can stay positive” (trans: I want to create a selection bias so I can feel good about something) you are going to continue to receive similar responses.
Just for fun, here’s a fun fallacy present in your comment here.
State your facts.
In this case, associating facts with personal possession is a fallacy intended to evoke sympathy for your claim. Facts generally don’t have possession, unless they are so unique that only a select individual or small group of individuals are aware of them. Not the case here, since you are clearly in the minority of this argument.
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Aug 6, 2009 10:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
When I said...
…State YOUR facts, I was referring to the knowledge you had. Some have more knowledge than the others. That’s all I’m saying.
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Facts are objective
Knowledge is subjective. Different things. You can have knowledge OF facts, but knowledge =/= facts. If you wanted to make your statement fallacy free, it would have to read “State the facts,” though that wouldn’t have sounded quite as strong for your case now would it?
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Aug 6, 2009 10:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So now your claim reads
“State the facts, I won’t argue anymore”
So either you are admitting to willfully choosing to ignore facts, or you are conceding that you have misinterpreted said facts and decided to change your approach to analysis (or in this case, perhaps a better term than analysis would be "opinionization?)
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Aug 6, 2009 10:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A little bit of both, I think...
I choose to ignore facts but at the same time, I do look at facts and at times come to the wrong conclusion.
Nobody’s perfect. (shrugs)
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ouch
So you willfully ignore relevant evidence that you understand and draw false conclusions from the sets of evidence you do use? And your support of this method is to simply point out that “nobody’s perfect”? There’s another much more classic formal fallacy at play here, and its called the red herring. The existential possibility of perfection has no relationship to the relative quality of any other particular method that does not qualify as “perfection”.
Look, everyone makes mistakes, sure. But I think we can agree that an important practical goal of any person is to reduce the number of mistakes they make.
I was having a discussion with Sam Page a few weeks ago about the term “sabermetrics”. He feels its a somewhat broken term, and I agree. In popular baseball parlance, there’s a cache that’s been attached to the term that is somewhat akin to the cache associated with New Age Astrology and other various pseudo-intellectual subcutlures. This perception on saber-culture is, however, misinformed. There is no particular credo or dogma or denotation of any kind beyond “baseball” and “measurement”.
This is the dictionary definition of Sabermetrics from Merriam-Webster online:
* Main Entry: sa·ber·met·rics
* Pronunciation: \ˌsā-bər-ˈme-triks\
: the statistical analysis of baseball data
That’s all, its just statistical analysis. Technically, analyzing Batting Average or RsBI trends counts as sabermetrics. Sabermetrics doesn’t denounce RsBI and batting average because they’re “old age”, it just exposes why they’re flawed statistics for analytical purposes. But a stat like, say, Strikeouts is one of the most important pillars of some of the simplest and most advanced sabermetric concepts.
"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet
What a fool I was to defy him"
-HST
by Meddler on Aug 7, 2009 12:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My HEAD IS SPINNING, meddler.
sheesh….
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Look to my last post.
It is not an opinion
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Aug 3, 2009 2:29 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
oops. You're right. I was contradicting myself.
But I actually meant that I cared about Wins in the overall Big Picture.
I"m just reiterating my belief that nothing else matters(as far as Sabermetrics go) except driving in RBIs which help a team win(obviously).
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 9:15 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You can't drive in runs if there is no one on base.
And you can’t score a run unless you’re on base. Basically, OBP is the key factor in both RBI and Runs Scored.
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Aug 2, 2009 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And again, you missed MY point entirely..
I understand how things work. But i’m just saying that I don’t pay attention to any particular stat that doesn’t begin and end in R…B….I and W…I…N.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, he didn't miss it.
Your point is just completely asinine.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So, you care about wins, but not how we get them?
That’s really shortsighted. And pretty stupid. You can’t get lots of those RBIs that you love without a high OBP, and a decent SLG%.
by BobbyV_Incognito on Aug 2, 2009 10:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, to be fair
For a couple of seasons, Francoeur DID get a lot of RBI without a high OBP.
Of course, a good baseball player would’ve gotten even more.
by JoshNY on Aug 3, 2009 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Shortsighted, stupid....whatever.
It is what it is, man. You say it’s stupid….Whatever.
Moving on….(I’m tired of this)
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Your reasoning is flawless
I cannot believe I have been so blind. All that matters is the outcome, not the process to reach the desired outcome. Thank you for opening my eyes. My life will be completely changed from now on. No longer shall I struggle to find my way, I will only care about the results. Imagine a world where individuals didn’t care about what they did and only how it ended. MetsGod, you are a true visionary.
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Aug 3, 2009 2:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Okay..Now I know you're trying to pick a fight....
Knock it off!!!!!
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that's unnecessary.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 6, 2009 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You don't think he was trying to rile me up, squid?
I mean that “sarcastic” reply was pretty condescending, challenging, and abrasive…..He’s trying to bait me.
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It was more of a joke.
I agree it was a little aggressive, but I think he was just trying to lighten the mood.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 6, 2009 11:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No he's right
It was meant in a somewhat mean spirited matter. I’ll admit I’m an ass sometimes, but in my defense, his was an asinine argument.
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Aug 7, 2009 6:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed.
We’re all wrong here. No one is right. Life sucks…
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 7, 2009 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, Life doesn't suck.
Just the Mets.
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well then just say it was an asinine argument
Or rather say it’s an ASS-inine argument, in my case. lol.
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you really think that way, then you're less fit to manage a baseball game than Jerry Manuel.
Like I was always told, you fear what you don’t know.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Jul 31, 2009 2:45 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just what the hell are you talking about?
Where did I say that I think I could manage better than Manuel? Where do you come up with this stuff? Do you hear things(or rather, I guess, read things that aren’t there?)
I am a FAN like you, my friend. I leave the managing to the Manager. I only worry about which Met will drive in the next RBI and when. Winning Games is not one thing, it’s the only thing.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or is it that you're trying to pick a fight or something?
I hope not. You seem like a decent poster here. No need for this crap.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No...
Manuel isn’t a good manager because he doesn’t look at stats when making decisions, that’s all I was saying. Keep it chill, my friend.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jerry Manuel isn't a good manager, true. But he's still the Manager; I'm not.
So please next time, don’t post something alleging that I stated something when I really didn’t…okay?
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Point well taken
He’s been just what we needed, just when we needed it, so I completely see why a lot of folks are loving him. I am too, he’s a met, I’m always pulling for our guys to succeed. All I’m saying is, don’t get your hopes up. He hasn’t changed anything with his swing or approach to hitting (not that I was expecting some miraculous shift in his first month in Queens). I’ve had to watch the guy his whole career, and the only thing different this year is that he hasn’t come up with some new “timing mechanism” to help figure out why he’s slumping. At the end of last year, it was a toe tap (which he still does, but sometimes doesn’t). The year before that, it was an elbow twitch. It’s always some odd change he comes up with to compensate for his inability to pick up the ball out of the pitcher’s hand. He’s always been able to put it together for periods of success, it’s the prolonged slumps that I’m dreading.
Also, it’s not a saber thing, it’s a baseball thing. If he’s not being selective, if he’s not recognizing what’s coming at him, he’ll consistently find himself in pitchers counts with less opportunities to look for a pitch in a zone and attack it. I don’t want the guy to walk like everyone keeps saying, I want him to swing at strikes and work the count to his advantage. He has a natural ability to put the bat on the ball, which is what we’re seeing now… imagine if he could combine that with the ability to recognize pitches? He’d be a monster. Unfortunately, for three years he hasn’t made much of an improvement… and it’s not like our coaching staff is known for development. That’s what worries me.
by carmine_riccardi on Jul 30, 2009 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good response, Carmine...However, I disagree with you on one point :
This is from
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/7594/news;ylt=AojuEZz3Vw6MJBZR4ItIE.FCLcF
“Francoeur said he credited his recent hot streak to playing daily and the ability to pick David Wright’s and Gary Sheffield’s brains on hitting as fellow right-handed hitters. Wright and hitting coach Howard Johnson told Francoeur he needed to get his front foot planted quicker, and Sheffield showed Francoeur how to change his grip to use his top hand more. In addition, there is somewhat less pressure on Francoeur as he is no longer playing in front of his hometown fans in Atlanta, which also has eased his mind a bit. "
So there you go, carmine. He HAS been changing his swing a bit….
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 9:27 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But his approach hasn't changed.
In 76 PA with the Mets, he’s got just 1 BB vs. 7 Ks. With the usual caveats about small sample sizes, his walk rate has actually decreased since he got traded (3.8% with ATL, 1.4% with the Mets). It’s nice that he’s making adjustments to his swing, but it’s not making him any more patient.
by BobbyV_Incognito on Aug 2, 2009 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Notice I only stated a change in his swing. Not approach.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But a change in approach is what he really needs to become effective (again).
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well I don't hear HoJo doing anything about that....do you?
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well....Looks like HoJo reads these posts...
Frenchy has started to < gasp > take pitches and work deep counts more often than not.
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I didn't say that you had.
My point was that changing his swing is pretty useless since it doesn’t change the underlying problem with his offense. Until Frenchy becomes a more patient and disciplined hitter, he’s just rearranging deckchairs on the Titanic.
by BobbyV_Incognito on Aug 2, 2009 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
Haha
rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic
by James Kannengieser on Aug 3, 2009 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nice analogy.
Considering that this entire Mets team IS The Titanic.
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
MetsGod You missed the point.
There are 2 things to consider. When Francouer had those 2 years in which he had 100 RBI (barely, 103 and 105) for ATL he was batting behind a lot of guys he who got on base alot. He also played in all 162 games each of those seasons (yes that’s good but it makes the RBI total a little bit less impressive). So he drove in just over 100 runs batting in the middle of some very potent lineups and playing in all 162 games. That’s not that very impresssive. I would guess that a league average hitter would have driven about the same, maybe more runs in those lineups.
But of course this post is about this year. The point about this year is that, yes, Francouer has helped the Mets win some ball games by driving in runs and we are all very pleased by that, but because of the swing data we really don’t expect this level of production to continue and we hope that Omar also doesn’t. Look, if he continues to produce like this for several years (over an RBI per game) we’ll all be pleased, but the swing data suggest that this is not likely.
by TMS on Aug 1, 2009 5:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Why is it that other players who drive in 100+ RBIs....
..are “bashed” even less than Frenchy?
I swear that he is getting unjust hate from everyone here just ‘cause he doesn’t fulfill the quota of what people here think is the right way to play baseball.
And by the way, you’re right He did have a lot of guys who get on base alot which enabled him to drive in runs. And that right there tells you more about how well the players he had in front of him were playing this year in Craplanta than anything else.
Remember that to drive in runs, you need someone in scoring position. That’s something that’s true for ALL MAJOR LEAGUERS, not unique to just Frenchy.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That basically proves how pointless RBI is for player evaluation.
We don’t bash, David Wright for instance, for his 100+ RBI seasons because he does everything else right. He hits for power, usually, hits for a high average, and takes the free base when they give it to him. Francoeur goes up there and swings as hard as he can. He makes good enough contact, but when he has his mind set on swinging, he does it. It’s almost as if he decides to take a pitch or swing before the ball is even thrown. He’s just not going to be a good player for any length of time. He’s hot now and lets hope he keeps it up. I’m just not optimistic
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Aug 2, 2009 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well he's cooled off a bit BUT...
He’s actually started to take more pitches and go into deeper counts.
hey, man! That’s Progress. :)
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
claims don't become more believable when repeated more times
You just drove through here and said in response to three separate threads that Francoeur is “taking more pitches” and getting more selective.
Do you have some kind of evidence for that claim, or is it just more knee-jerk opinion? Because the facts seem to disagree with it:
Francoeur as of today:
P/PA: 3.31 with Atlanta, 3.29 with NYM
BB/PA: .037 with Atlanta, .027 (!!!) with NYM
by anonymous on Aug 11, 2009 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
uhh....I just watch the games and the at-bats he is in...
I make my observations that way.
You make your observations in another way, I guess. That’s fine.
But I call it like I see it.
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
by the way
Funny how you don’t post those P/PA and BB/PA stats at the bottom of the page in opposition to Frenchy’s stats as a Met thus far.
And yes for the millionth time, I know it’s a small sample size but I guess you can say that your stats are a small sample size(especially with the Mets). It goes both ways.
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 9:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If it keeps working I'll be happy
and surprised – but still happy
by TMS on Aug 2, 2009 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If the Mets keep getting men on base for him, more often than not he'll do something PRODUCTIVE with his bat.
Yup.
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And that skill is called "On base percentage".
That thing that you hate so much.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Whatever, man.
I’m tired of arguing with you.
Are you the only one here?
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Aren't you here?
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 6:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I mean aside from me. Stop trying to be witty.
man…
by MetsGod on Aug 2, 2009 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, just one of us would be boring, right?
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 2, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
As I said before
If Jeff Fracncoeur drives in 100 runs, all that means is that a superior player would drive in more in the same position. Nobody is saying you have to care about OBP or other statistics people around here and on other sites, but without them you won’t get an objective, fact based evaluation of a player
"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."
by Evan_S on Aug 3, 2009 2:42 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What about Wright? Beltran? Delgado??
They drove in 100 runs, didn’t they? Using your logic, a superior player would drive in more in the same position as they are…..But I guess since they actually…you know…WALK, it’s not the same which is again very….interesting logic.
oh well…..believe what you like. It’s all good.
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
RBIS ARE NOT GOOD STATS
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 6, 2009 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
SLG
I think it’s comical how to most objective observers, Francouer has been a great boost to the team, but here, everyone is so eager to show off their sabermatrician chops that you MUST hate Francouer or not be in with the intelligensia.
God forbid you think Francouer helps the team by, I don’t know, doing stupid things like driving in runs, then you are obviously a complete boob, who hasn’t been enlightened yet.
Francouer could win the MVP award, and there would still be some random Bill James stat that “proves” what a shitty player he is. “His xUZR sucks!” “His park adjusted VORP is laughable!”
Regardless, I’ll jump into the fray…
I read an article somewhere here that SLG was a better predictor of player value than OBP (which seems intuitively correct). Since Francouer came to the Mets, he has a higher SLG than AA Poster Boy David Wright. (And curiously, even though Wright is on pace to break Dave Kingman’s all time Met single-season strike out record, and his HR total has fallen off a cliff, he is still abjectly deified. Ah, the glory of OBP.)
Flame away! :-)
by Mex_17 on Aug 3, 2009 11:18 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
This is an asinine comment.
First of all, you’re saying Francouer>Wright? I don’t think you are, but if so, I can rip you a new one on that topic. But, again, I don’t think you are, so we’ll move on.
Could you link me to this “article” that you probably just made up right now that proves SLG is a better indicator of hitting ability than OBP? Because wOBA, one of the most widely agreed upon measurements of batting ability, incorporates both but rates OBP as decidedly more important than SLG (read this article to see what I mean).
These stats aren’t everything. If someone sucks in a couple of stats, but is good in others, all of them are and should be taken into account. But the thing is, almost all good stats rate Francouer as Sucky McSucksuck. So, there really isn’t much you can say here.
And again, AA poster boy David Wright? That’s just stupid.
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 3, 2009 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
I definitely made up something I read in order to strengthen my opinion in a pointless and anonymous internet argument. Good call there. You caught me.
I’m mostly just amused at how your head is exploding because Francouer has been getting positive reviews. I picture you punting your remote every time he hits a HR. It’s obviously very important to you that he fails so that it validates your analysis.
Don’t worry, we’ll still think you are brilliant even if Francoeur plays well in NY.
Anyway, the amount of all out hatred for the guy here is hilarious. I think Bobby Bonilla is more popular.
Personally, I think Francouer has been a great addition so far, and I root for him to succeed, because when he does, it helps the Mets.
I know, that’s asinine.
by Mex_17 on Aug 3, 2009 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No one's rooting for him to fail.
It’s just that 20 games is not nearly enough of a sample size to say if he has or has not failed. However, the last season and a half is much better in terms of making those judgments.
You still haven’t linked me to this article, or mentioned why SLG is a better tool than OBP…
"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf"
-Tug McGraw
by squid92 on Aug 3, 2009 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ahhh...There is the infamous "Sample Size" term again..
When I go to a restaurant, I should ask : “May I have the Sample Size meal, please?” ;)
But in all seriousness, I’m in agreement with Mex(shocker of shockers, I know) who is pretty much stating what I’ve been saying(although in a more controlled and intelligent-sounding way) regarding sabermetrics and Frenchy.
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do you have this article?
I’d be curious to read that. It’s my understanding that OBP is more closely correlated with scoring runs than SLG so I’d be interested to read this piece.
Also, Frenchy’s line in 80 PAs since the trade is 301/325/493. If he continues like this for the remainder of the season while providing marginally above-average defense, I’ll be content with his contribution even if I still don’t support the trade or think that he’s a better player than Church. His performance isn’t inflated by an artificially-high BABIP (276) so we can’t call it a fluke right now. Furthermore, his contact rate is the highest of his career, his FB/GB ratio and ISO are the best since his rookie half-season in 2005, and his HR/FB is his best since his first full season in 2006. These are all great signs but obviously that’s a very small sample size and not quite enough to dissuade me from thinking that his previous 2000+ PAs are a better indicator of who he really is as a hitter.
by Zwill on Aug 3, 2009 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
which observers?
No one’s denying that Frenchy has had a nice couple of weeks, with a lot of timely hits. But who are these “objective observers” who think this means he’s been, or will continue to be, a big upgrade over Church? I think their objectivity needs a little work.
by anonymous on Aug 3, 2009 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's interesting that you reference Kingman in your post
Since he’s one of the poster boys for “great SLG + awful OBP = not a very good baseball player”. I mean, don’t forget that Kong set a franchise record for HR in a season (well, technically, tied his own previously-set record) the same year he set the single-season K record. 37 HR and 99 RBI sound pretty good superficially, but when you pair them with a horrendous .285 OBP, the end result is not very productive. And isn’t that basically what Francoeur does, except without as many home runs?
by JoshNY on Aug 3, 2009 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Intelligensia?
In no way am I pleased when he fails, he’s a met (and a likeable one too) so I’m pulling for him to do well and help them win. But for the same reason I don’t care about the wisdom shef is passing along, I’m just not going to believe he can remotely keep up with the pace of his first twelve games. He has a naturally strong swing and can put the bat on the ball with the best of them, he just hasn’t figured out how to be a hitter in this league.
Shef could pass on loads of helpful tips, but it’s not a grip issue or a foot placement issue (which he’s tweaked before), it’s a recognition issue. Remember, he played with Chipper for his whole career, came up with a solid hitter in McCann, and had a guy like Smoltz around to sponge information out of… it’s not like Shef is the first guy to pull him aside and pass on some knowledge. I think if anything will help, it’s Warthen sharing his scouting report with him. Hopefully, getting a close up into how other teams approach him will help him develop an approach at the plate.
by carmine_riccardi on Aug 3, 2009 10:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Regarding
I read an article somewhere here that SLG was a better predictor of player value than OBP (which seems intuitively correct)
How does it intuitively seem to be better to hit a double 50% of the time than a single 100% of the time?
"Look at me! I'm Tomokazu Ohka of the Montreal Expos!"
by jessef on Aug 6, 2009 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ugh, meant to say double 75% of the time.
"Look at me! I'm Tomokazu Ohka of the Montreal Expos!"
by jessef on Aug 6, 2009 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The real Francouer?
At tonight’s game, I saw Frenchy during 4 at bats. He went 0-4 and swung at the first pitch all 4 times. The last two times he swung at the first pitch and immediately grounded out, the last time leaving Gary Sheffield on base in the 8th, preventing us from tying the game. I could be wrong, but I don’t remember if he took a pitch at all.
I don’t care what you think about sabermetrics, what you think about his stats,or his perceived value over Ryan Church (which I am not supporting or discounting), anything. If you can’t recognize the difference between a good pitch to hit and a good pitch to take, then all the RBIs and HR in the world do not make up for it. Yes its nice that Frenchy has produced runs since becoming a Met but you cannot know that he will continue to do so. In fact, I would argue that he will in fact start trending towards what he did tonight until he figures out how to change his approach. It’s not even an issue of drawing walks, just of seeing more pitches. The longer you keep an at bat going, the more chance the pitcher will give you something to hit.
Bottom line, I think the issue is that long term Francouer will not be able to maintain the run production he has going right now unless he changes his approach. 20-25 games is not a big enough sample to tell anything. You could even make the case (which I don’t necessarily support), that his numbers in 06-07 were due to being an unknown quantity to most of the pitchers he faced. Said pitchers eventually figured out that you could taunt him enough with bad pitches to hit because he is impatient at the plate, accounting for his dropoff in 08 and this year.
And look at it this way, only good things can happen (probably) if he does improve his patience. Its not as if being more patient will diminish his power or his ability to make contact, and in fact might allow him to make contact more often.
"I reject your reality and substitute my own"
-Adam Savage
by blueandorange4life on Aug 3, 2009 11:08 PM EDT reply actions 2 recs
+1
rec’d.
"We're investigating the investigative procedure of the investigation of Tony Bernazard"---Omar Minaya (he really didn't say it but he would"
by firejerrynow on Aug 6, 2009 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Even I have to agree with this assessment....
I am no believer in sabermetrics, but I do believe that Frenchy seems to have trouble recognizing a ball and a strike….In fact, he probably sees anything close to be a strike….Maybe someone should remind him that he gets 2 free strikes to take before having to swing…
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Looks like someone did just that....
Now he’s taking more first pitch ball/strikes and actually works the count. That can only increase his chances of getting a pitch to hammer….
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
exactly my point
"I reject your reality and substitute my own"
-Adam Savage
by blueandorange4life on Aug 13, 2009 2:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Many have you have already read this
But there’s a fun conversation between Joe Posnanski and Bill James that was published recently about the underappreciated base on balls.
It’s an intuitive, anecdotal tribute to the walk.
by TheBigStapler on Aug 4, 2009 10:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I dunno, Francouer reminds me a lot of...
John Olerud.
/throws grenade
/runs for cover
"It's Father's Day today at Shea, so to all you fathers out there, Happy Birthday." -- Ralph Kiner
by dissento on Aug 5, 2009 5:34 PM EDT reply actions 2 recs
+1
haha
"I reject your reality and substitute my own"
-Adam Savage
by blueandorange4life on Aug 5, 2009 9:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow and you didn't start a war
Must be in shock from the mets win.
Just know, if there's ever a riot at Citi Field and Oliver Perez was the starter, I started the riot.
by meigs1414 on Aug 5, 2009 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think he's a little faster than Olerud on the bases.....
….about as fast as Ventura perhaps?? lol.
by MetsGod on Aug 6, 2009 10:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Frenchy Stats Update
Through 27 games :
Has 31 Hits
Scored 10 runs
Drove in 19 RBIs
Hit 4 HRs
And
Actually WALKED 3 TIMES (STOP THE PRESSES!)
Oh and his OBP is .327.
by MetsGod on Aug 11, 2009 12:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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