LOBLOBLOB: Astros 5, Mets 4

by Eric Simon on Jul 25, 2009 12:12 AM EDT

Johan Santana was pretty bad tonight, allowing 15 baserunners in 6.2 innings while striking out just three. The Astros are a tough lineup for Santana, as they feature mostly right-handed free-swingers, led by guys like Miguel Tejada and Ivan Rodriguez -- that duo combined to go 4-for-8. Santana is still the Mets' best starter, but since his hot streak to begin the season he has been merely good, not spectacular like we were expecting.

The story of the game for the Mets was their ability to get on base and not get runners in. They pounded out thirteen hits and four walks but plated just four runs and stranded ten. They worked the Astros for 160 pitches over nine innings, but failed in most cases to get The Big Hit™ when they needed it. Every regular had at least one hit, so yay for that. That they reached base so often is astounding when you consider the on-base percentages of batters 4-8:

.288 (Francoeur)
.308 (Tatis)
.308 (Murphy)
.300 (Santos)
.091 (Berroa)

At this point I think the Mets would just be better off losing the rest of their games and drafting Stephen Strasburg next June after the Nationals fail to sign him this summer. Mike Hampton, whose two-run homerun off of Johan Santana helped swing the balance in Houston's favor, has a higher on-base percentage -- .343 -- than all but three of the Mets' starters tonight. That number will drop to two in a week as Angel Pagan continues to regress precipitously towards the mean. With the exception of David Wright and Luis Castillo, the Mets might be better off with Hampton at any position on the field in place of whomever the Mets currently have manning that spot.

For more on this game, check out James's Razor Shines dress down.

Jon Niese goes for the Mets tomorrow, so I guess we have that.

Swag Contest

Swag contest results can be found here and the next game's swag form already available. You can read more about the swag contest here.

SB Nation Coverage

* Traditional Recap
* Boxscore
* Amazin' Avenue Gamethread
* Crawfish Boxes Gamethread

Win Probability Added

Big winners: Omir Santos, +21.2% WPA, Luis Castillo, +12.5% WPA
Big losers: Johan Santana, -28.0% WPA, Fernando Tatis, -19.8% WPA
Teh aw3s0mest play: Pence GIDP in third, +16.0% WPA
Teh sux0rest play: Coste two-run double in fifth, -24.2% WPA
Total pitcher WPA: -20.8% WPA
Total batter WPA: -29.2% WPA
GWRBI!: Chris Coste

Game Thread Roll Call

Nice job by KeithsMoustache; his effort in the game thread embiggens us all.

Num	Name	# of Posts
1	KeithsMoustache	139
2	fxcarden	85
3	Kepler	76
4	firejerrynow	68
5	Jadden Hopkins	59
6	lstorie1971	41
7	AnthonyR	35
8	Pat Andriola	31
9	Syler	28
10	The Glider	24

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Comments

I can't think of many reasons to watch.

When do the camps start up? The Broncos may not be anything great this season, but damn if they won’t be interesting to watch anyway.

You may have Utley, Howard, Rollins, Hamels, and Lidge...but, WE have Fernando Tatis, baby. Two grand slames in one inning. Hello??

by ZaBlanc on Jul 25, 2009 12:58 AM EDT reply actions

Santana

I don’t even know that he’s been merely good. Merely fair is more like it. Since June 1 he has gone 64 innings, 34ks, 22 walks and 11 homers. Not a bad walk rate but a flyball pitcher with a low k rate has a tough time when the flyballs are flying out. He seemed to right himself in July prior to the break. Maybe the layoff was bad for the feel on his change.

by wobatus on Jul 25, 2009 1:06 AM EDT reply actions

I've never been so excited to go on a week's vacation in the middle of summer

Hopefully the Mets don’t broadcast in Belize.

For like the 5th time this week, thank God I did something other than watch the game

by Rigsay on Jul 25, 2009 1:12 AM EDT reply actions

High draft pick!

King of the bling come to lay down the evidence//Not George Bush, L-Millz be da president

by Sam Page on Jul 25, 2009 1:49 AM EDT reply actions

We're in the top 10 right now!

"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."

by Evan_S on Jul 25, 2009 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions

We need top 5.

If we can’t get Harper, hopefully we can get Anthony Ranaudo if he falls a few picks due to signability issues (once he inevitably signs with Boras).

He’s Big Pelf part II without the mouthpiece or yips.

Everyone is entitled to be stupid, but Jerry abuses the privilege.

by AnthonyR on Jul 25, 2009 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions

Although I'm not 100% that he's eligible in 2010

Everyone is entitled to be stupid, but Jerry abuses the privilege.

by AnthonyR on Jul 25, 2009 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions

He'll be a Junior next year

so yea. Control issues, but would be an exciting pick. I’ve never seen him play, as I didn’t go to as many Vandy games this year, but I’ll go watch him if we really are picking that high.

King of the bling come to lay down the evidence//Not George Bush, L-Millz be da president

by Sam Page on Jul 25, 2009 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions