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Around SBN: Dissecting Nick Diaz's Positive Drug Test

Notorious F.I.G.: Mets 9, Cardinals 0

Jon Niese started this afternoon's game and, after being staked to an early lead on a David Wright two-run homer in the bottom of the first, left after straining his right hamstring chasing a grounder in the second inning. He was replaced by Nelson Figueroa, who just two days ago turned in one of the worst pitching performances in recent memory, allowing six runs on ten hits in just 1.2 innings. Suffice it to say that things were looking bad early today. Figueroa's first batter was opposing pitcher Kyle Lohse, who was disposed of with little trouble. Figueroa came to the plate in the bottom of the second inning with two runners on and rocked a triple to center, scoring Brian Schneider and Angel Berroa to give the Mets a 4-0 lead.

Figueroa allowed just four hits and struck out five in 4.1 scoreless innings of relief, which is good for the Mets because he might be seeing a bit more action if Niese is going to miss any considerable amount of time. Bobby Parnell replaced Figueroa and tossed three scoreless innings for the "save", allowing just one hit and striking out three.

Wright's homerun was his eighth of the season, which might be more like 14 or 16 were Citi Field's dimensions a tad more forgiving. He went 3-for-4 on the day with a walk and has his on-base percentage up to .420 and his slugging up to .477. Angel Pagan picked up three more hits, including his seventh triple of the season. In the biggest news of the day, Jeff Francoeur went 2-for-3 and drew his first unintentional walk as a Met, which means the counter starts over at 0.

The Mets head for PETCO Park to begin a four-game series with the Padres tomorrow night.

Star-divide

Swag Contest

Swag contest results can be found here and the next game's swag form already available. You can read more about the swag contest here.

SB Nation Coverage

* Traditional Recap
* Boxscore
* Amazin' Avenue Gamethread
* Viva El Birdos Gamethread

Win Probability Added

Big winners: David Wright, +17.4% WPA, Nelson Figueroa, +15.1% WPA
Big losers: Alex Cora, -4.3% WPA, Angel Berroa, -3.6% WPA
Teh aw3s0mest play: Wright two-run homerun in first, +16.4% WPA
Teh sux0rest play: Lugo double in fifth, -4.5% WPA
Total pitcher WPA: +21.0% WPA
Total batter WPA: +29.0% WPA
GWRBI!: David Wright

Game Thread Roll Call

Nice job by blueandorange4life; his effort in the game thread embiggens us all.

Num Name # of Posts
1 blueandorange4life 80
2 Jadden Hopkins 54
3 Abstract NYC 40
4 fxcarden 37
5 Michkin 36
6 Pat Andriola 33
7 Prince 32
8 itsmetsforme 25
9 Steeeve 23
10 twon8 15

Comment 56 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I bet the offense will be excited to go to a nice hitter friendly environment like Petco

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 5:19 PM EDT reply actions  

GAH

I knew Figueroa’s name looked wrong on the box score, but I couldn’t figure out why. ANOTHER injury. Great.

by JoshNY on Aug 5, 2009 5:22 PM EDT reply actions  

I have a hypothesis

Jimmy Hoffa is buried under CitiField

President of the Ramses Barden Fan Club

Fact on Villanova Sports

by Hoyadestroya85 on Aug 5, 2009 5:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Jeff Wilpon's stadium design team

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

"I reject your reality and substitute my own"
-Adam Savage

by blueandorange4life on Aug 5, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ed Price from AOL Fanhouse on Reyes:

MRI shows signif scar tissue and inflammation behind R knee. Now phys therapy to break up scar tissue and reduce inflam.

Give me a freakin’ break already.

by Pat Andriola on Aug 5, 2009 6:54 PM EDT reply actions  

they are just getting around to physical therapy now?

what the hell has he been doing for the past forever and a day?

I.M. Forme
"When you get yourself into trouble is when you feel you have to do something, and then you get yourself in trouble." --Omar Minaya

by itsmetsforme on Aug 6, 2009 3:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Pagan .295 .340 .462 with .351 wOBA

He has around 150 PA, so taking this as a guideline:

 50 PA: Swing % = 38.7 % (less than the 45.1 % average)
100 PA: Contact Rate = 80.0 % (more than the 62.3 % average).
150 PA:
Strikeout Rate = 15.9 % (around the same as Shef or Omir)
Pitches/PA = 3.8
Line Drive Rate = 17.1 % (BABIP = .345)

His BABIP is concerning (compared to his LD%).
He’ll regress sooner or later. His ZiPS (update) is .286 .332 .433 with .336 wOBA.

by Michkin on Aug 5, 2009 6:57 PM EDT reply actions  

he's a good fourth outfielder

but he’s not a starter
same as Endy Chavez

"We're investigating the investigative procedure of the investigation of Tony Bernazard"---Omar Minaya (he really didn't say it but he would"

by firejerrynow on Aug 5, 2009 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

yup

if he gave you 200 – 250 PAs at .286/.332/.433 .336 wOBA – as 4th OF, wouldn’t be too bad.

by mets81 on Aug 5, 2009 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

but lets face it

if he is the starting LF next year, Omar should be fired. If he hasn’t already

"We're investigating the investigative procedure of the investigation of Tony Bernazard"---Omar Minaya (he really didn't say it but he would"

by firejerrynow on Aug 5, 2009 7:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

yes, absolutely

F! should be starting over him.

by mets81 on Aug 5, 2009 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well Holliday/Crawford should be starting in LF

with F! in AAA. When he tears up triple A for a few months, then he can replace Francoeur in right.

"We must win and we must know how to win rather than win because we have statistical people."

by Evan_S on Aug 5, 2009 7:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

That would be the ideal situation

As I’ve mentioned before, I think Francoeur as a pinch hitter could have value. Francoeur as a regular has none.

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

of course

I meant when Omar fails to address this in the offseason.

by mets81 on Aug 5, 2009 7:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

If they sign a LF, but don't sign another RF

Starting Frenchy in RF over Pagan solely on his arm?

ZiPS (update)
Frenchy .256 .291 .379
Pagan .286 .332 .433

Pagan UZR/150 in CF is 7.0 and 39.5 in RF. Frenchy is 0.6 in RF. (all samples for def are too small, but that gives an idea)

by Michkin on Aug 5, 2009 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

To clarify, who is playing RF until F! is healthy/ready to play everyday?

All this under the assumption that Voltron will be healthy to play.

by Michkin on Aug 5, 2009 9:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd DFA Francoeur, but you know Omar is planning on him starting.

Any stat you could use to prove your point is irrelevant, as you’d likely use modern statistics. Omar can’t even spell sabermetrics, much less use them to evaluate performance. Any realistic proposal about next year’s lineup has to take into account Omar’s failed logic, and the best case scenarios to come from that logic.

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 9:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Meant to Non-tender, not DFA

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 9:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not trying to predict what Omar/Jerry will do, but what would make sense (if it were another GM)

If you are going to start with “any stat you could use to prove your point is irrelevant, since it is Omar”, then there is no way to evaluate how they are doing their jobs.

It’s like saying, since they don’t use “stats”, the fans shouldn’t either. Or to prove a point, you can’t use stats, only Omar failed logic.

by Michkin on Aug 5, 2009 10:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was trying to say you're not correct, I'd go with Pagan over Francoeur as a starter if given the choice.

I just don’t think it’s a realistic option if Omar is still in charge.

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 10:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

*wasn't*

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 10:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now David Wright is being criticized for not charging the mound

http://www.metsblog.com/2009/08/05/question-to-charge-or-not-to-charge/

I guess he’s not gritty enough.

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 7:18 PM EDT reply actions  

of course

he didn’t strike out today and he hit a homerun, so its that he’s not got enough grission.

by mets81 on Aug 5, 2009 7:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

I guess he should have tried to bust into their locker room and fight after the game.

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 7:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

the funny part is that the Metsblog article mentions the Piazza/Clemens thing made

people in the clubhouse to question Piazza,

but he went after Mota in springtraining for something like that – its always mota.

by mets81 on Aug 5, 2009 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is a no-brainer

if you’re part of the crowd that thinks Piazza should have charged Clemens and gotten himself suspended from the WS.

by Mount17 on Aug 5, 2009 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is such horseshit

Let’s have our lone remaining uninjured position player charge the mound. Of course the source of that discussion is talk radio, no surprise.

by James Kannengieser on Aug 5, 2009 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe it's just me,

but it seems like MetsBlog always seemed to discount talk radio prior to the SNY deal. That site has really gone downhill…

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Adam Rubin

lobby Jon Niese to have surgery

by mets81 on Aug 5, 2009 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Another less than shocking development.

I hope the Mets are getting some sort of bulk discount this season.

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 8:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

doubtful

got to have something to laugh about this season

"I reject your reality and substitute my own"
-Adam Savage

by blueandorange4life on Aug 5, 2009 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

This whole season has been something to laugh at

"If I ever decide to do a book, I've already got the title...The bases were loaded and so was I."

-Jim Fregosi

by Stephen Schmidt on Aug 5, 2009 8:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

we're not laughing at it we're laughing with it

at least if you use jerry’s reaction as a proper guideline after games

by KeithsMoustache on Aug 5, 2009 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Of course

That’s the price of a win these days. At this rate, we’ll be out of our active roster by the end of the season. We’ll just have to lose more frequently to keep players healthy.

by mnbv on Aug 5, 2009 8:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Shut down everyone on the DL who's under contract for next year ...

… bring back Wagner and Delgado, play the crap outta them for until August 30, then try to move them to a contender for WTF you can get outta ‘em. Lose games by the bushel (should be NP) and get a high pick next year. Ok, see y’all in 2010!

by RetireNumber17 on Aug 5, 2009 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

And if Reyes or Beltran need surgery make sure they get it as quick as possible.We need everyone healthy next year to be able to contend

by Jadden Hopkins on Aug 5, 2009 8:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sucks for Niese

I hope he’s ready for 2010.Who will be the last important Met standing.Johan or David?

by Jadden Hopkins on Aug 5, 2009 8:11 PM EDT reply actions  

Man

This season is the pits. New ways to upset Mets fans nos. 245 – 292.

by deadspy3 on Aug 6, 2009 2:10 AM EDT reply actions  

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