Amazin' Avenue: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Voodoo Five for South Florida Bulls Fans!

In Praise Of Sean Green

On the surface, Sean Green has not had a very good season. An ERA just south of 5, initially wearing the same number as Aaron Heilman and several high profile late game meltdowns will create such a perception. However, as Sam pointed out earlier, things are not what they seem. Here is a look at Green's numbers this year compared to 2008, when he was a ~1 WAR pitcher and a valuable piece of the Mariners bullpen:

Season K/9 BB/9 HR/9 GB% FB% FIP xFIP
2008 7.06 4.10 0.34 63.3% 19.5% 3.65 4.08
2009 7.20 4.15 0.69 66.3% 19.9% 4.28 3.96

The seasons are nearly identical, except for a slightly higher groundball rate and doubled home run rate in 2009. It appears he was somewhat lucky as far as surrendering the long ball in 2008 (6.1% HR/FB %) and unlucky in 2009 (12.8% HR/FB%), demonstrated by the similar xFIPs.

An ongoing concern for Green is his struggle against lefthanded hitters. For his career, lefties have knocked him around at a poor but not terrible .273/.398/.422 clip. This season, they have hit .232/.372./.424, a similar line which highlights his main issue vs. lefties: walks. He's a borderline ROOGY, but if used properly can be effective as a non-specialist. He can navigate an inning vs. mostly righties with a lefty batter mixed in, preferably not a Chase Utley or Adam Dunn type. A look at the lefty batters who have homered off Green this year shows that maybe he hasn't been set up for success (Adrian Gonzalez, Nate McLouth, Ben Zobrist).

An average of Fangraphs and Statcorner WAR says he has been worth about .5 WAR in 2009, and going forward it looks closer to .7-.8 WAR over a full season. Relief pitcher valuation is an inexact science, but this is perfectly acceptable from a pitcher making $471K this season who doesn't figure to earn much of a raise next year. A bullpen role for Green means one less roster spot that Omar Minaya might fill with John Grabow or Brandon Lyon for 3 years, $10 million.

I'll leave you with a batter's view of Green's release point earlier this season compared to where it's been recently. Analysis of this will come at another time:

Sean_green_release_points_medium

(Click to embiggen)

0 recs  |  Comment 3 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Just like with Heilman

it’s about lack of control. Heilman was okay when he wasn’t walking batters. His walks always led to his meltdowns. Green just hasn’t consistently thrown strikes, and the amount of wild pitches he’s thrown has been ridiculous.

by David G on Sep 22, 2009 12:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Shawn Green was awesome

wait, who are we talking about?

You don't cheer for the Mets. You drink for the Mets.

by Kevin H on Sep 22, 2009 3:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Start posting about the Mets »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

Cbs_fantasy_baseball_promo

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Buckner_small
Prospect Smackdown: Davis vs. Freeman vs. Morrison
Screenshot_small
Chris Carter: virtu and fortuna
Small
Thinking about David Wright's 2010

Recent FanPosts

Headshot_small
A Quick Poll: Francoeur versus Dukes
Mania_123wx118h_small
ALL-NL CENTRAL TEAM
Orosco_small
Jenrry Mejia poll
Small
The Resurrection of Ike Davis
N16115505_31581383_8646_small
Come check us out!
Buckner_small
All-Time Most Hated Mets
Llama_small
Alex Cora does have something over Felipe Lopez....

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recommended FanShots

Who should replace Reyes at the top of the Mets order? MLB The Show offers this hilarious suggestion.
Advice for Jose Reyes.

Recent FanShots

Feliciano departs after taking liner off leg
Relievers are volatile, up and down. So teams can luck into late-game...
Tim Marchman On Ron Washington
Yahoo! report Cleveland claim Anderson Hernandez
New draft blog coming to SB nation
Holt takes a line drive to the leg...
CC Sabathia in a Bad Company 2 mock PSA
Nationals release Elijah Dukes
Mike Lupica is a Big Jerry Manuel Fan

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

Sponsors

SBNation.com Recent Stories

Milwaukee Brewers third baseman Mat Gamel can't field a bunt by Chicago Cubs' Kosuke Fukudome, of Japan, during the first inning of a baseball game in Chicago, Thursday, Sept. 17, 2009.(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)

Brewers Third Baseman Mat Gamel Diagnosed With 'Slightly' Torn Lat

Texas Rangers'  Nelson Cruz, left, and Chris Davis, center, are congratulated by Toby Hall, right, after they scored on a double by Elvis Andrus against the Colorado Rockies in the third inning of  a Cactus League spring baseball game in Tucson, Ariz., on Thursday, March 11, 2010. (AP Photo/Ed Andrieski)

SB Nation's 2010 MLB Previews: Texas Rangers, Dripping With Promise

In this photo taken on Sunday, Feb. 21, 2010, Colorado Rockies pitcher Huston Street throws from the mound during baseball spring training in Tucson, Ariz. Street has not worked out with the team in four days because of a sore shoulder. (AP Photo/Ed Andrieski) +1 updates

Rockies Closer Huston Street To Start Season On DL

More from SBNation.com >


THE BIG GUY

Aa_avatar_small Eric Simon

THE INCREDIBLES

Blackfish2_small Alex Nelson

Mos_def_def2_small Sam Page

Aaavatar_small Mark Himmelstein

Best_infield_ever_small James Kannengieser

THE NEWS GURU

Wrightfront_small Joe Budd

THE POET LAUREATE

Hamheadshot__1__small Howard Megdal