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MLB Top-Prospect List Leaves Off Jenrry Mejia. How?

MLB.com released its top-50 prospect list yesterday, with the Mets being one of only 4 teams not represented. While the Mets system receives some unfair criticism from writers attempting to counter the hype surrounding New York prospects, this omission is pretty odd, considering the players Jonathan Mayo ranked ahead of Jenrry Mejia. Jenrry Mejia has durability and control concerns, but at age 19, dominated AA hitters and has top-tier "stuff." He got passed over for the following pitchers:

  • 51. Tyler Maztek, who has yet to throw a pro pitch
  • 49. Ethan Martin, good stuff but control problems kept him in Lo-A. One year older than Mejia
  • 47. Phillipe Aumont, a reliever who couldn't throw strikes in AA. One year older than Mejia
  • 44. Jhoulys Chacin, a starter who had a good, not great year in AA and got promoted to the majors as a September call up. Two years older than Mejia
  • 43. Mike Montgomery, a starter who pitched between Rookie and A-Ball. A few months older than Mejia, Montgomery was successful by allowing no homeruns at a level where Mejia was successful by blowing everyone away.    
  • 42. Jacob Turner, a high school draft pick with no pro experience. Oh, his fastball sits at 92. How projectable
  • 41. Aaron Crow, who is 3 years older than Mejia and has thrown all of 18 minor league innings due to two contract holdouts
  • 40. Drew Storen, a reliever, who is two years older than Mejia
  • 39. Tanner Scheppers, who is also 3 years older than Mejia and has not pitched yet due to a contract holdout. I think he pitched in some indy league last season. 
  • 34. Julio Teheran, an 18-year-old with success in rookie league (Jenrry Mejia a season ago)
  • 28. Casey Kelly, a pitcher/short stop, who had success pitching in A-ball at Mejia's age

Yes, I'm biased and, no, these lists don't determine which propects end up succeeding. But c'mon...

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That is probably the worst list ever

Austin Jackson at 36? Montero at 19 is way too low for a guy with his bat. Brett Wallace at 16. It’s ridiculous that Mejia and Fernando aren’t on a top 50 list.

"Three home teams advance, and the fuckin' Jets" - Rex Ryan

by Evan_S on Jan 28, 2010 1:23 AM EST reply actions  

Apparently he said Fernando wasn't eligible

Which is confusing, since he has some guys with MLB service time, and Fernando is still a rookie.

"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet

What a fool I was to defy him"

-HST

by Mark Himmelstein on Jan 28, 2010 2:27 AM EST up reply actions  

A badly put together list.

There appears little criteria and too much visual evaluation. Austin Jackson might not be the best prospect in baseball but he is top 10. Stupid compilation.

"Wait till Biggus Dickus hears about this!"

by scott from peekskill on Jan 28, 2010 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Austin Jackson Top 10?

You mean Jesus Montero? Austin Jackson is nowhere near Top 10.

"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet

What a fool I was to defy him"

-HST

by Mark Himmelstein on Jan 28, 2010 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

i really hope that was a slip of the tongue

John Olerud, Hall of Famer. Got a nice ring to it.

by squid92 on Jan 28, 2010 1:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Austin Jackson top ten?

Seriously? He shouldnt even be a top ten outfield prospect, much less overall.

"We're just as bad as the old Mets, but this time nobody's laughing"
-Dallas Green

by Schmidtxc on Jan 30, 2010 5:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Having seen so many Top Prospect lists lately, I've realized we can't trust anything the "mainstream media" says about Minor League prospects.

This MLB list doesn’t have any Mets listed anywhere near the top list. A list by MLB Fanhouse has three listed in the top 50 +/-. John Sickles said that the Mets’ farm system was a 2.48 GPA, situating it in about the middle of the pack. Project Prospect lists Fernando Martinez in the top ten.

I’d trust the people who know the Minor Leagues to make accurate lists over people who probably don’t have very much firsthand knowledge.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!"
Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 28, 2010 1:27 AM EST reply actions  

And Keith Law has the Mets system ranked 15 in baseball

"Three home teams advance, and the fuckin' Jets" - Rex Ryan

by Evan_S on Jan 28, 2010 1:34 AM EST up reply actions  

From my understanding,

the MLB list is done by polling scouts. Last year’s list was controversial as well. I forget the number of guys that were polled but it was significant. There were several choices that caused consternation among fans and bloggers. The one I remember was Escobar at 8.

The Fanhouse list is done by a scout. Sickles I like because he seems careful and measured in his judgments and if he doesn’t have a lot of information, he’ll say so. Law is on the other end. He loves bombast and has a long standing reputation of making strong judgments based on little information.

One reason Martinez might not have been on there is because of the makeup of the polling group. Maybe it didn’t include many guys who actually saw him play. That’s just a WAG though.

by ol Pete on Jan 28, 2010 9:50 AM EST up reply actions  

argh – brain cramp – didn’t mean to say Martinez

by ol Pete on Jan 28, 2010 9:52 AM EST up reply actions  

If that's the case, it still leaves the list fundamentally flawed.

I, personally, don’t understand how they can make a list- especially if it’s one being compiled by the MLB!- and not have the information they need.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!"
Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 28, 2010 1:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Chacin is a legimately good pitch though

Over 7 K’s and less than 2.5 BB’s per 9 in the minors in his career, as well as a 60% groundball rate. He’s changeup and two-seamer are legitimately great ground ball pitches, at least based on their movement/velocity, and his FF was a swing and miss pitch for him last year in the majors:

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/best-stuff-2009-rookies/

Doesn’t really have anything to do with anything, but I thought I’d just mention that little blurb.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 28, 2010 1:40 AM EST reply actions  

The only thing that saves that awful camo hat-jersey combo

are the bright red socks to make the whole thing look ridiculous and funny.

by dtro on Jan 28, 2010 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

I like that it's desert camo

That’s what you’d actually need if you were trying to fight at Coney Island (presumably against the Gramercy Riffs.)

On the other hand, the Mets don’t need anything else to make decent prospects harder to find.

phliadelphoe ite domum!

by Doc Manhattan on Jan 28, 2010 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

he forgot him

theres really no other excuse.

because i usually respect what jon mayo has to say about prospects and would be really surprised if he made such a glaring omission intentionally. i mean a lot of those names are interesting but really, tanner scheppers? tyler matzek? phillipe aumont? for the sake of mayo’s credibility i hope that was a mistake.

by Rob Castellano on Jan 28, 2010 10:15 AM EST reply actions  

this is why

i only pay attention to a few prospect lists, including sickels, BA and a couple others. certainly not mainstream outlets like MLB.com or AOL Fanhouse. you can’t ask major league guys to rank minor league prospects, it’s like asking their opinion about the strongest basketball team in the big east. will they have an opinion? yeah probably. but is it worth anything? no.

by Rob Castellano on Jan 28, 2010 10:20 AM EST reply actions  

I think

the MLB list is from minor league scouts. They’re hired by MLB teams, but I assume that’s not what you meant.

by ol Pete on Jan 28, 2010 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

What no love for Goldstein?

I saw the prospect list show last night, and I must say that I was also puzzled.

Mayo does a fantastic job of covering the minor leagues, but his lists are usually lacking. He has an especially tough time vauling the fringy tools that put up solid numbers.

I remember a while back when Jacobs was in our system, and he was going over a prospect list for the Mets, and left Mike Jacobs off, dismissing him entirely. Jacobs’ OBP hamstrung him, but he was a productive ball player at the MLB level.

That is why I love Goldstein, he usually gives the fringy guys a fair shake, and states clear reasons for ranking players in certain spots. What’s more, he is fairly consistent.

Toby Hyde is my personal fav, but he mainly concentrates on the Mets, so I guess we have to leave him out of the conversation.

by Coolpapabell on Jan 28, 2010 11:06 AM EST reply actions  

Although I doubt this is the case, this might simply be a case of perception = reality. It’s strange that Mejia isn’t a top prospect in his rankings but gets praise from every other minor league talent evaluator.

Coming this April, fun times with Jeff and Gary!

by Brian. on Jan 28, 2010 4:54 PM EST reply actions  

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