FanPost

Free Agent Relievers

Here is the list (I'm leaving Rivera and Soriano off the list as they are not options for the Mets - there is SOME chance any of these guys could end up in Citi) - if you want the punch-line, skip to the end:

Dotel (37) - type B - 0.1 WAR, 4.20 FIP, 4.27 xFIP, 10.55 K/9, 4.5 BB/9 - numbers slipped slightly off his career averages.  Seems to be good for 60-65 innings these days.  Worth a look as a set-up guy.

Francisco (31) - type A - 1.0 WAR was lowest in last 3 years (which is still excellent for a set-up man).  Lost closer job to Feliz, probably will get a shot closing elsewhere unless he accepts arbitration.

Fuentes (35) - not offered arb, had 0.4 WAR in '10.  3.85 FIP, 4.54 xFIP belie 2.81 ERA, though career numbers trend that way - 3.41 career ERA, 4.00 career xFIP.  Off two shaky years with the Angels and being traded to Min to be a set-up guy, could be left as set-up guy again? 

Gregg (33) - type B - 0.8 WAR in '10, 3.57 FIP, 4.22 xFIP, 8.85 K/9, 4.58 BB/9.  Another borderline closer/set-up guy.  If we can get him for set-up guy money, could be a good fit.

Hoffman (43) - type B - had a -0.6 WAR in '10, 5.21 FIP, 5.26 xFIP.  An ignominious end to an amazing career.  Did the Brewers really offer him arbitration?

Qualls (32) - Type B - 0.3 WAR, 4.13 FIP, 3.91 xFIP, 7.32 ERA.  What the heck???  How does anyone have their actual ERA end up almost twice their xFIP?!?!  3.20 BB/9 well above '09's mark of 1.21, BABIP was .399.  LOB% was 53% compared to 71.9% in career.  Get him out of the desert.  Could be a cheap option for a rebound year as a set-up guy.

Rauch (32) - 1.1 WAR, 2.94 FIP, 4.18 xFIP in '10.  Thrived as closer for Twins then they replaced him mid-year.  Probably another guy more suited to be a set-up guy than a closer, but I could see the Pirates or some such team getting him as their closer.

Wood (34) - type B - 0.1 WAR, 4.17 FIP, 4.55 xFIP in '10.  5.67 BB/9 is a long way from 2.44 mark he put up closing for the Cubs in '08.  Another big K arm that may be looking to re-establish himself as a big-time reliever - willing to take set-up man money? 

Balfour (33) - type A - 1.2 WAR, 2.68 FIP, 3.78 xFIP in '10.  0.9 WAR in '09, 2.1 WAR in '08.  One of the top set-up men in baseball. 

M Batista (40) - had a -0.3 WAR in '10 after 0.0 in '09.  4.76 FIP, 4.78 xFIP.  No thanks.

D Bautista (28) - had a -0.1 WAR, 4.68 FIP, 4.88 xFIP, 3.74 ERA.  Career best WAR was back in '05 starting 7 games for the Royals.  Pass.

Bonser (29) - 0.2 WAR, 3.72 FIP, 4.32 xFIP, 6.12 ERA in '10.  Had WAR of 1.2, 1.6, 1.3 from '06-08 mostly as a starter before missing '09 due to injury.  Peripherals seem to indicate he is back.  I'd definitely be interested in him as a 7th inning guy at least.

Corpas (28) - 0.4 WAR, 4.19 FIP, 4.41 xFIP in '10.  Saved 10 for the Rox.  Career FIP is 3.82, xFIP is 3.98.  6.48 K/9 and 2.52 BB/9 in caereer.  Doesn't seem special.  If he could be had super-cheap ($500K), I wouldn't throw up.

Crain (29) - type B - 0.8 WAR, 3.45 FIP, 4.10 xFIP, 3.04 ERA in '10.  Seems to be generating a lot of interest as set-up guy.  I'd take him at the right price - $1.5-2mil maybe? - but I think someone else will offer more.

Cruz (30) - 0.1 WAR (only 5.1 IP all in April) - was cut for no apparent reason, and not picked up by anyone else.  Career FIP is 4.19, xFIP is 4.35, ERA is 4.15, 9.15 K/9, 4.72 BB/9.  I'd want to figure out what the heck happened before thinking about offering any kind of contract.

Dessens (40) - had a -0.3 WAR for the Mets, 4.72 FIP, 5.56 xFIP, 2.30 ERA, 3.06 K/9, 3.06 BB/9 for the Mets last year.  No thanks.

Donnelly (39) - had a -0.8 WAR, 6.47 FIP, 5.62 xFIP, 5.58 ERA in '10.  Pass.

Durbin (33) - 0.3 WAR, 3.97 FIP, 4.19 xFIP, 3.80 ERA in '10.  8.26 K/9 and 3.54 BB/9 compared to 5.90 K/9 and 3.93 BB/9 career.  Doesn't seem like a bad 6-7th inning guy, but nothing special.  League minimum offer or minor league contract OK, more than that, no thanks.

Escobar (34) - did not pitch in '10, seems to me I remember him from somewhere.  Had only 20.2 IP in '09 and 5 IP in '08.  I'd say he owes us a year at a minor league contract.

Farnsworth (35) - 1.0 WAR, 3.06 FIP, 3.63 xFIP in '10, 8.49 K/9, 2.64 BB/9.  Actually seemed useful last year.  HR/9 of 0.56 is biggest change from Yankee years (1.35 and 2.24).  Might do well in Citi.  One year $1.5-2mil? 

Frasor (33) - type A - 0.9 WAR, 3.31 FIP, 3.85 xFIP good peripherals, not worth losing a draft pick over.

Gaudin (28) - had a -1.0 WAR, 6.16 FIP, 4.91 xFIP in '10.  2.20 HR/9 compared to 1.07 career average seems the biggest culprit.  Won 11 games for the A's in '07 as a starter.  4.68 career FIP, 4.69 career xFIP = pass.

Guerrier (32) - 0.2 WAR, 4.23 FIP, 4.53 xFIP, 3.17 ERA in '10.  5.32 K/9, 2.79 BB/9.  No thanks.

Heilman (32) - type B - 0.1 WAR, 4.47 FIP, 4.72 xFIP, 4.50 ERA in '10.  K/9 down to 6.88 from career 7.79.  Pass.

Howry (37) - had a -0.6 WAR, 6.36 FIP, 5.97 xFIP, 7.71 ERA in '10.  Pass.

Lincoln (36) - 0.0 WAR, 4.35 FIP, 5.29 xFIP, 7.32 ERA in '10.  No thanks.

MacDougal (34) - 0.0 WAR, 4.36 FIP, 5.03 xFIP, 7.23 ERA in 18.2 IP in '10.  Minor league deal maybe.

D Mathis (27) - had a -0.5 WAR, 7.74 ERA, 5.07 xFIP, 6.04 ERA in '10.  No thanks.

G Mota (37) - 0.36 WAR, 3.86 FIP, 4.76 xFIP, 4.33 ERA in '10.  Getting up there in age.  Omar might've but I wouldn't.

F Nieve (28) - had a -0.1 WAR, 6.08 FIP, 4.74 xFIP, 6.00 ERA in '10 for the Mets.  8.14 K/9 is the only nice thing to say.  Pass.

Owings (28) - had a -0.1 WAR, 5.03 FIP, 5.10 xFIP, 5.11 ERA in '10.  9.45 K/9.  Career .293/.323/.538 hitter in 198 major league PAs.  Worth a shot in the minors as the next Ankiel?

Park (38) - 0.1 WAR, 4.32 FIP, 4.07 xFIP, 4.66 ERA in '10.  1.5 WAR in '09.  Not a bad 6th/7th inning guy for the right price - $1.5-2mil max I'd say.

Putz (34) - type B - 1.5 WAR, 2.52 FIP, 2.87 xFIP, 2.83 ERA, 10.83 K/9, 2.50 BB/9.  Oh, THAT'S the guy the Mets traded for!  Will probably close somewhere in '11.  I'd give him 2 years $5mil to set up though, if we had protection against a relapse (a Lackey-like option for a club option year at league minimum if he has a recurrence of previous injury).

Riske (34) - 0.0 WAR for second straight year.  Pass.

Saito (41) - 1.2 WAR, 2.43 FIP, 2.83 xFIP, 2.83 ERA, 11.50 K/9, 2.83 BB/9.  Old but not showing it (yet).  1 year $2-3mil with a club option at similar.

Sampson (33) - had a -0.5 WAR, 5.91 FIP, 4.22 xFIP, 5.93 ERA in '10.  4.75 K/9.  Pass.

S Shields (35) - had a -0.4 WAR, 5.43 FIP, 5.13 xFIP after a -0.1 WAR in '09.  Pass.

Uehara (36) - 1.4 WAR, 2.40 FIP, 2.91 xFIP, 2.86 ERA, 11.25 K/9 in '10.  Saved 13 games at year-end for O's.  I'd be surprised if they don't ask him back.  I'd take a flier on him, but '09 (6.46 K/9, 3.56 FIP, 4.51 xFIP in 12 starts) are troubling.  Could be (like Takahashi) better suited to relief.  1 year $1mil.

T Walker (35) - 0.2 WAR, 3.90 FIP, 3.84 xFIP, 3.57 ERA, 7.64 K/9.  Seems like ages ago he was a Mets farmhand.  I'd offer a minor league deal, but he'll probably set up for a (different) bad team somewhere.

Jeff Weaver (34) - had a -0.3 WAR, 4.79 FIP, 5.24 xFIP, 6.09 ERA, 5.28 K/9 for the Dodgers in '10.  Pass.

Wheeler (33) - 0.1 WAR, 4.11 FIP, 3.90 xFIP, 3.35 ERA, 8.57 K/9 for the Rays in '10.  Decent middle reliever.  1 year $1mil?

Wright (36) - 0.0 WAR, 4.23 FIP, 4.66 xFIP, 4.17 ERA in '10.  4.32 K/9>  Nothing special.  Pass.

LEFTIES:

Beimel (34) - 0.1 WAR, 4.59 FIP, 4.94 xFIP, 3.40 ERA, 4.20 K/9 in '10.  Pass.

Chen (34) - 1.3 WAR, 4.54 FIP, 5.01 xFIP, 4.17 ERA, 12-7 in 23 starts for KC.  A long way from making the 9/11 start for the Mets.  Pass.

Choate (35) - type B - 0.5 WAR, 3.50 FIP, 3.55 xFIP, 4.23 ERA, 8.06 K/9 for the Rays in '10.  Definitely worth a look as a lefty specialist (.201 ave vs lefties, .378 vs righties).

Downs (35) - type A - 1.2 WAR, 3.03 FIP, 3.51 xFIP, 2.64 ERA in '10 for Jays.  Too pricey I think particularly with draft pick too.

Feliciano (34) - type B - 0.8 WAR, 3.22 FIP, 3.86 xFIP, 3.30 ERA for Mets in '10.  Think I agree with offering Arb seeing what else is out there for lefties.

Flores (35) - had a -0.5 WAR, 5.85 FIP, 5.19 xFIP, 3.19 ERA in '10.  Pass.

Hendrickson (37) - 0.4 WAR, 4.09 FIP, 4.13 xFIP, 5.26 ERA, 6.57 K/9 in '10.  Could be worth a look at 1 year $1mil or so if Feliciano doesn't accept Arb.

Mahay (40) - 0.1 WAR, 4.23 FIP, 3.84 xFIP in '10 for Twins.  Pass.

Ohman (32) - 0.3 WAR, 3.98 FIP, 4.24 xFIP, 3.21 ERA, 9.21 K/9 in '10.  Reasonably successful vs righties too - .289 ave vs R in '10, .222 ave vs L.  Interesting option.

D Reyes (34) - 0.0 WAR, 4.26 FIP, 4.58 xFIP, 3.55 ERA, 5.92 K/9 in '10 for Cards.  Has earmarks of Dave Duncan project.  Let the Cards keep him.

Rhodes (41) - 0.9 WAR, 3.24 FIP, 3.84 xFIP, 2.29 ERA, 8.18 K/9 in '10 for Reds.  1.0 WAR in '09, 1.2 WAR in '08.  Doesn't seem to have slowed down yet.  1 year, $2-3mil?

Romero (35) - had a -0.4 WAR, 5.40 FIP, 5.38 xFIP, 3.68 ERA for Phils in '10.  Pass.

Seay (33) - 0.8 WAR, 3.61 FIP, 4.72 xFIP, 4.25 ERA, 6.84 K/9 in '10 for Tigers.  1.0 WAR in '09 and '08 each.  Career BAA vs L is .258, vs R is .253.  Good middle relief option - 1 year $2-3mil.

Schoeneweis (37) - had -0.1 WAR in '10 for his 4th straight negative WAR season.  How much money did Omar give him?  Pass.

Tallet (33) - had a -1.5 WAR, 6.70 FIP, 5.53 xFIP, 6.40 ERA in '10 for Jays.  They tried to convert him to a starter in '09 and it didn't work.  Could be worth a minor league contract to see if he can go back to being a reliever.

Tankersley (28) had -0.7 WAR for second straight year for Marlins.  8.25 FIP, 6.64 xFIP.  No thanks.

Randy Williams (35) - had -0.1 WAR, 5.24 FIP, 5.89 xFIP, 5.40 ERA, 7.92 K/9 in '10.  Pass.

 

PHEW!  So out of 59 relievers, I have 27 of them split into these categories:

Set-up Guy:  (12) Dotel, Fuentes, Gregg, Qualls, Rauch, Wood, Balfour, Crain, Park, Putz, Saito, Uehara

7th inning guy:  (5) Bonser, Seay, Wheeler, Ohman (L), Rhodes (L)

Other (minor league deal, major league minimum guy):  (7) Corpas, Cruz (depending on what happened last year), Escobar (I know it hurts!), MacDougal, Owings (as a hitter?), T Walker, Tallet (L).

Lefty Specialist:  (3) Choate, Feliciano, Hendrickson

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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