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Around SBN: What If This Is It For The Celtics? End Of An Era Looming

Hall Of Fame Thread

The 2011 Hall of Fame ballot was released a few days ago, featuring the following players:

Roberto Alomar, Carlos Baerga, Jeff Bagwell, Harold Baines, Bert Blyleven, Bret Boone, Kevin Brown, John Franco, Juan Gonzalez, Marquis Grissom, Lenny Harris, Bobby Higginson, Charles Johnson, Barry Larkin, Al Leiter, Edgar Martinez, Tino Martinez, Don Mattingly, Fred McGriff, Mark McGwire, Raul Mondesi, Jack Morris, Dale Murphy, John Olerud, Rafael Palmeiro, Dave Parker, Tim Raines, Kirk Rueter, Benito Santiago, Lee Smith, B.J. Surhoff, Alan Trammell and Larry Walker.

My hypothetical selections:

  • Roberto Alomar
  • Jeff Bagwell
  • Bert Blyleven
  • Kevin Brown
  • Barry Larkin
  • Edgar Martinez
  • Mark McGwire
  • Tim Raines
  • Alan Trammell
  • Larry Walker

My selection process is saber-intensive. PED allegations, especially for players in the pre-testing era, don't bother me. Alomar, Bagwell and Blyleven are the slam dunks; Larkin and Raines are in the next tier; Brown, Martinez, McGwire, Trammell and Walker are a step below. Rafael Palmeiro is borderline but omitted. I also grappled with Brown and Walker. My heart says yes to John Olerud but my head says no.

Use this thread for any Hall of Fame discussion.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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My $.02

Or $.05:

Blyleven, Alomar, Raines, Bagwell, and Larkin. It’s funny, I hadn’t originally thought of Larkin as a Hall of Famer until I was bickering with a Yankee fan friend that Jeter is basically as good as Barry Larkin. Given that I’ve always freely admitted that Jeter is a Hall of Famer, I guess that makes Larkin one too.

"It’s just everytime we think the bar can’t get lower, they lower it. Now next year we’ll just be happy to hear that rogue shirtless officials aren’t implementing useless detrimental drills in spring training for no apparent reason."

-Gina, 3/1/10

by Greenpoint Ian on Dec 3, 2010 2:29 PM EST reply actions  

This is his last year

If he doesn’t get it then it goes to the Veterans commitee

Gas prices today are a lot like a pitcher's ERA. Anything under 3 is amazing, under 4 is pretty good and anything 5 and up is something you want to avoid.

by Bobby Baseball on Dec 3, 2010 4:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I find baseball's anti-Dutch bigotry unsettling

It's a triumph of number crunching over the human spirit...aaaaaand, it’s about time. -- Play-by-Play Announcer, The Simpsons.

by MookieTheCat on Dec 3, 2010 5:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Dayn Perry makes a pretty good case for Brown on fangraphs

He’ll never get in though

"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet

What a fool I was to defy him"

-HST

by Mark Himmelstein on Dec 3, 2010 2:30 PM EST reply actions  

I'll be surprised if Brown doesn't drop off the ballot soon.

Crazy how differently he’s perceived from a very similar pitcher like Schilling.

by Jack Str on Dec 4, 2010 4:39 AM EST up reply actions  

I would love to see Bert finally get in.

"If this doesn't light your fire, men, the pilot light is out."

by Lonborg and champagne, Ollie and vodka on Dec 3, 2010 2:30 PM EST reply actions  

Hope Bert gets in this time around

As for Leiter and Olerud, they may not be in the HOF, but they still belong in the Hall of Awesome, an honor I just created of which they will be the first two recipients.

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Dec 3, 2010 3:13 PM EST reply actions  

Bagwell
Blyleven
Alomar
Larkin
Lee Smith
Franco
Raines
McGriff
McGwire
Edgar

Any task BIG or small, Do it well or not at all

by Rickfansince76 on Dec 3, 2010 3:17 PM EST reply actions  

They're very close

Raines was a better hitter, but played a far less premium position. And based on everything I’ve read (and seen), Alomar was a great defender, while Raines was above average. Those top 5 guys — Alomar, Bagwell, Blyleven, Larkin, Raines — are the 5 I’d be annoyed about not being inducted. As annoyed as I can get about this process, that is.

by James Kannengieser on Dec 3, 2010 3:52 PM EST up reply actions  

well, Alomar seems to be much closer to the grail

in the voting thus far… Raines was also an excellent fielder and a better baserunner (if that’s possible)… actually after Rickey probably the most dangerous player on the bases in the last 40 yrs. Also had much more longevity, if that counts for anything (or as opposed to Robbie).

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 3, 2010 3:58 PM EST up reply actions  

"as opposed to Robbie"

Alomar was a very good player for 13 years, and finished with 2724 hits, which is more than Raines, more than Lou Gehrig, more than Ted Williams, more than a hell of a lot of guys. If you wanna compare his longevity to Pete Rose or Hank Aaron, than, yea, he didn’t have it, but compared to Raines he was just fine.

2009 Did Not Happen

by cjmulrain on Dec 3, 2010 4:51 PM EST up reply actions  

not really.

Raines played till 41 I believe… RA 35 or 36. obviously that isn’t the main thrust of the argument. I threw longevity up on a “fwiw” basis.

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 3, 2010 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree with you down the line

My only quibble is with Brown, and even then he has an amazingly good case. My friend pointed out his numbers to me a while back, and it took me by his surprise. Everyone remembers his burnout, but he was a pretty dominant pitcher for a decade.

by dcmetsfan on Dec 3, 2010 3:38 PM EST reply actions  

These guys I have no problem with going in, some are more deserved than others but i think all belong.

Roberto Alomar
Jeff Bagwell
Bert Blyleven
Barry Larkin
Tim Raines
Alan Trammell
Larry Walker

These guys are close to belonging but meh, maybe not.

Fred McGriff
Lenny Harris
Edgar Martinez

I don’t believe there should ever be a place for McGwire or Palmeiro for obvious reasons.

by ScottfromPeekskill on Dec 3, 2010 3:56 PM EST reply actions  

Lenny Harris?!

I suppose you threw him in to see if anyone’s paying attention…

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 3, 2010 3:59 PM EST up reply actions  

the guys who have to get in before others are:

Bagwell
Edgar
Raines
Walker

the next level is:
Blyleven
Trammell
Alomar
McGriff

Borderline:
Lee Smith
Whitaker
Larkin
Brown
Morris

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 3, 2010 4:02 PM EST reply actions  

I think Larkin at least belongs in the middle tier

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Dec 3, 2010 4:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Larkin is on the bubble

for me but i can see those who’d bump him a smidge.

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 3, 2010 4:36 PM EST up reply actions  

FRED MCGRIFF!!!!!!

Gas prices today are a lot like a pitcher's ERA. Anything under 3 is amazing, under 4 is pretty good and anything 5 and up is something you want to avoid.

by Bobby Baseball on Dec 3, 2010 4:07 PM EST reply actions  

Kevin Brown is an interesting case

He won’t get in because he was a bit testy with reporters & sucked as a Yankee(It’s not right, but that’s the zone that we’re left in). Brown had a stretch from 96-00 where he was a great pitcher(5 straight 6+ fWAR seasons including a 9.3 in 98, 5 straight years w/ a 3 or lower ERA including a 1.98 in ‘96 & 5 straight w/ 230+ IP) He was on his way to a 6th straight high-quality year in ’01, but only had 115.2 IP. And he has a much better resume than Hall of Fame lock Tom Glavine, who’s a guarantee to get in because of 300 wins.

What's that about?

by Brian. on Dec 3, 2010 4:11 PM EST reply actions  

Martinez as a mostly DH doesn't get in for me.

I don’t care how good he could hit. Bagwell, Alomar and Bert for me this year. A couple other guys should get in, but they can wait a bit for weaker classes.

Brown had awesome years, but he was always like the 5th best pitcher at any time. Big Unit, Pedro, Maddux, Clemens are the easy first ballot pitchers from his era alone. Brown falls into the Schilling and co second tier that probably should get in during weaker years.

by FrancoTAU on Dec 3, 2010 4:26 PM EST reply actions  

DH is part of the game, no?

this argument is a non-starter… as people rarely look at defensive contributions in making HOF cases. Edgar was a devastating hitter… 147 career OPS+… that’s prob top 25 or 30 all time. His OPS is also about 35th all time. It’s a joke if he doesn’t get in.

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 3, 2010 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't

But you can’t punish a guy for filling a position required by the league rules. If he played first base and sucked defensively, he’d be in. Just more reason to hate the DH.

by Evan_S on Dec 3, 2010 9:36 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, i hate the DH

but Martinez definitely filled that position well. Hard to begrudge him being signed to it

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Dec 3, 2010 11:08 PM EST up reply actions  

this

is what I don’t get. His bat was good enough that he would have been put out in the field, and he would have actually been hurting his team defensively, but he’d likely get into the hall. It just doesn’t compute.

I hate the DH, but we have it, and Martinez was the best hitter to ever utilize it full-time. He should be in.

2009 Did Not Happen

by cjmulrain on Dec 4, 2010 9:41 AM EST up reply actions  

You're not taking into account the physical toll

it takes to play the field everyday. Thome posted a 1000 OPS last year, but if he had to play first, his overall production would’ve been closer to average. Even more likely, Thome would’ve been on the DL or minor injuries sapping his offense a bit.

It’s hard to accurately penalize a guy for being a DH. If he was mostly a positional player than played his last couple years as DH than fine I don’t care. Being a full time DH in the Hall is ridiculous.

by FrancoTAU on Dec 4, 2010 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

The physical toll factor is a great point

On the other side, WAR (assuming WAR is being used here) takes a big hit from a DH’s value. Example — Edgar’s positional adjustment in 1998 was -16.0 runs, while Jose Reyes’s positional adjustment was 7.3 runs in 2008. That’s a 2-3 WAR difference between DH and SS, before even looking at offense and defense. Edgar’s bat was valuable enough to compensate, imo. Also, Edgar did play 592 games in the field during his career. Not much but still 3 seasons worth.

I trust the guts behind the WAR positional adjustments. So I think Edgar’s contribution to his teams winning games warrants HOF induction. He’s borderline though, definitely a case either way.

by James Kannengieser on Dec 4, 2010 5:37 PM EST up reply actions  

sure, and Albert

would hit .400 if he only didn’t have the burden of playing 1B.

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 4, 2010 9:56 PM EST up reply actions  

My ballot

Is the same as James’s. My one quibble is with putting Alomar in a tier before Larkin. Alomar did appear in a few more games than Larkin, but also had a lower WAR. The reason was principally defense. Alomar was probably a little overrated by the mainstream folks, though I do think the advanced metrics shortchanges him a little. But Larkin was a brilliant defender who would’ve won more Gold Gloves if not for Ozzie Smith. Considering the difference in position, there’s no doubt Larkin was more valuable defensively.

Larkin wasn’t as durable as Alomar in his prime. But Alomar also wasn’t good enough past 33 to stick around more than a couple years, whereas Larkin was still a good player into his middle and late 30’s. I think it mostly evens out.

The most interesting point of comparison between the two is in seasons of 6+ WAR and seasons of 5+ WAR. Alomar had 4 seasons of 6+ WAR, while Larkin had just two. But Larkin had 4 seasons valued between 5 and 6 WAR, while Alomar had just one. The reason is mostly injuries. In 1991, Larkin was worth 5.8 WAR in 123 games (!!). In 1995, Larkin was actually healthy, but only appeared in 130 games due to the strike (Alomar’s strike years weren’t his best).

If I could take either one at their best I might take Alomar, though I’d have to think hard. If I had to take the average season from either one, I think it would be a toss-up, since I’m giving Alomar a bump for defense and durability. Despite very different career shapes, I don’t see much difference in career value.

by Alex Nelson on Dec 3, 2010 4:26 PM EST reply actions  

I would . . .

Take the initial list except for Brown (really close, but I think I would rate him behind Smoltz and possibly Schilling, who is kind of borderline), Edgar (when you ar just a DH, you have to hit some more milestones) and Larry Walker (Hall of Fame ability when he was on the field, but basically played one complete season in his career. Gary Carter had more 150 game seasons then him, and he was a catcher).

by goquakers on Dec 3, 2010 5:37 PM EST reply actions  

Comparison

Curt Schilling: 3261 IP, 216-146 W-L, 128 ERA+, 4.38 K/BB, 1.0 HR/9, 86.1 WAR

Kevin Brown: 3256 IP, 211-144 W-L, 127 ERA+, 2.66 K/BB, 0.6 HR/9, 77.2 WAR

Remarkably similar.

by James Kannengieser on Dec 3, 2010 6:41 PM EST up reply actions  

good point.

his numbers are pretty much there. Just behind Schill in Ks. I’d be fine if Brown makes it.

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 3, 2010 11:08 PM EST up reply actions  

rings don't

count for Cooperstown. or should have minimal bearing unless there was a particular great post season performance. Rings are team, not individual accomplishments.

by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Dec 4, 2010 9:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Wezen Ball agrees with you

except they don’t have Kevin Brown. Whatever, their descriptive hall of fame ballot is funny as hell anyway.

by Five-Tool Tool on Dec 3, 2010 5:55 PM EST reply actions  

Also, here's my list (first ballot stuff aside):

Alomar
Bagwell
Blyleven
Larkin
E. Martinez
McGwire
Raines
Trammell
Walker

I’m not going to lie, I seriously thought about putting John Olerud on this list. I don’t think he and McGriff will get in, but I think Olerud’s has the better case.

by Five-Tool Tool on Dec 3, 2010 6:09 PM EST up reply actions  

So am I the only one left standing against McGwire's induction?

We should not sully the HOF by including people we know used an illegal edge to get in.

by ScottfromPeekskill on Dec 3, 2010 11:42 PM EST reply actions  

Time to move on

Don’t let frivolous government legislation determine what you think is right or wrong. When McGwire played, there was no MLB punishment for using steroids. He did nothing wrong.

by James Kannengieser on Dec 3, 2010 11:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess your right, he didn't do anything wrong

Just broke the law then made baseball look like an ass in Congress.

by ScottfromPeekskill on Dec 4, 2010 12:42 AM EST up reply actions  

If we're punishing people who broke the law, then there are many players who've committed equal or far worse offenses than steroids

Alcohol was illegal for a long stretch of time in this country yet none of them are excluded from the Hall of Fame. Many people advocate Keith Hernandez even though he broke the law by using cocaine. Ty Cobb beat up a spectator in the stands, a man who had no hands. Kirby Puckett has been accused of molestation and threatening to kill his wife. I’d say all of those are on par or worse than steroid use.

by Evan_S on Dec 4, 2010 2:35 AM EST up reply actions  

Breaking the law doesn't automatically mean he did something wrong

Also, MLB and Bud Selig don’t need Mark McGwire to make them look like asses. And why that last point should have significant bearing on Hall of Fame decisions is beyond my comprehension.

by James Kannengieser on Dec 4, 2010 10:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Or else.

In lobby for: Jaime Cevallos, Zack Lutz, orange unis
The Unwritten Rules of AA

by Michkin on Dec 4, 2010 8:01 PM EST up reply actions  

This

Marijuana is bad because it’s illegal therefore it’s illegal because it’s bad.

by Evan_S on Dec 4, 2010 8:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd vote for Bonds and Clemens

Because I think they were on their way to the HoF before the late 90s anyways. The only thing McGwire did well was hit for power and we know he most likely started to do the roids early in his career. I wouldn’t vote for him, but realize the whole trying to adjust for steroid usage isn’t an exact science.

by FrancoTAU on Dec 4, 2010 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah true, but cheaters are cheaters,

MLB should be consistent on this. if Pete Rose and Shoeless Joe is banned for life, those two definitely should be too.

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Dec 4, 2010 5:53 PM EST up reply actions  

difference being

Rose and Shoeless Joe broke rules that were in place when they broke them. Steroids weren’t against MLB’s rules. Yes, they were illegal, but so was alcohol in the 20’s, and Babe Ruth is still in the hall.

2009 Did Not Happen

by cjmulrain on Dec 4, 2010 9:47 PM EST up reply actions  

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