With a title like that, it's tough for this post not to sound embellished. I will try to be as clear and neutral as I present this but I am not perfect.
As far as 2010 is concerned. I have thrown in the towel. It's not really a matter of statistical nitpicking or exaggerated pessimism, there's just simply no way I can envision the Mets return to prominence with the current system we have in the front office. There are patterns within the organization that are simply unacceptable when building a respectable franchise that must be stopped.
1) Limited Allocation of Funds towards the draft....combined with poor player management at the minor league levels: (http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/draft/?p=1763) That table is simply unacceptable. The in the front office seems to be that the majority of home grown talent will either come from Latin America or a handful of late draft picks. If you look at the rosters of the World Series teams this year you will notice that the majority of their players are coming from within. I'm not sticking a fork in guys like FMart and Mejia but when you're just relying on hope and prayer, a change is in order. (http://www.minorleagueball.com/2009/10/26/1101719/comparing-the-phillies-and-the)
2) Absence of Sophisticated Statistical Assessment in Player Evaluation: Let's face it...the teams at the top right now are all engineered by stat oriented guys: Andrew Friedman, Theo Epstein, Brian Cashman. if the Mets are going to be one of those teams on the way up they're going to need one of two things: A ridiculous amount of luck or a a new stat-oriented guy in charge. I've heard John Ricco is a numbers guy (though I'm weary about promoting from within) and there are plenty of others out there who would qualify (I really like Thad Levine from the Rangers). Compare a guy like Friedman (http://www.draysbay.com/2009/11/16/1157546/tampa-bay-rays-gm-andrew-friedman) to Omar. Someone clearly has an idea what's going on...and someone else doesn't.
I think that's a good place to stop and take criticism/questions. Please do so politely and constructively.