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Jose Reyes Cumulative WAR Versus Other Shortstops

FanGraphs now has historical batter WAR and broke out some sweet new graphing tools to go along with that data. I quickly ran Jose Reyes's cumulative career WAR by age and compared it to those of Derek Jeter, Miguel Tejada, and Nomar Garciaparra.

1736_826_941_190_ograph__20_medium

Even with his lost season in 2009 Reyes is right there with Jeter and Nomar and well ahead of Tejada, who retroactively got a late start when we learned a few years ago that he was older than he claimed. If it looks like Reyes is lagging a bit at the end it's because the graph includes his age 27 season -- i.e. 2010 -- which is barely a quarter of the way through (and which has shown encouraging signs of life lately).

The takeaway here is to all of the Reyes haters -- I'm looking at you, Bob Klapisch -- who think he somehow isn't living up to your expectations: By season's end, Jose Reyes will have accumulated as many wins as your beloved Derek Jeter through age 27. Sure, Jeter had four rings by then, but if you think that says more about Jeter vs Reyes than it does about their respective teams, you're probably just passing through here on your way to some other site. Godspeed to you, then.

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All I can say is

Jose Reyes is awesome.

That is all

I support Jenrry Mejia as a starter. Screw you Jerry Manuel for thinking he's a set-up man.

by EMSfan9 on May 26, 2010 11:05 AM EDT reply actions  

I hope Omar sticks around long enough to pick up his option

cause I’m not at all convinced anyone else in the front office has enough of a baseball mind to see he’s been worth it despite what the media says.

I wonder if Carl Everett believes Jamie Moyer exists.

by Gina on May 26, 2010 11:08 AM EDT reply actions  

I hope Reyes is a little more Derek Jeter

and a little less Nomar Garciaparra. Nomah was so good, but he never fully recovered from his injuries. I would be very depressed if Jose has a similar career path (though if it means the Mets give up on him in a year or two and then go on to win the World Series, I’ll deal with it gladly)

2009 Did Not Happen

by cjmulrain on May 26, 2010 11:09 AM EDT reply actions  

This is a fantastic tool and a great post

It also highlights just how young Reyes was when he was brought up. One of the upshots of the Mets’ rushing/hyping their prospects is that the MSM is quick to dismiss them as “busts” when they don’t pan out within a few years of the MSM’s having heard of them, regardless of said prospects’ age and reasonably expected performance at that age. (See, e.g., Martinez, F!).

by dontstopbelieving on May 26, 2010 11:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Jeter

has had 4 seasons better than any Reyes has ever had, per fangraphs war. He has had 4 seasons of 6.2 or better, including one at age 32 and one at age 35 (his 7.4 WAR year last year). Reyes hit 6 WAR once.

Since Reyes first full season, 2005, he has been worth 20 WAR. This doesn’t count Jose’s partial 2003 and 2004 seasons. Jeter has been worth 23.2 in that same span. his age 31 to age 36 seasons (he turns 36 in June).

In his 4 fully healthy seasons of 2005-2008, Reyes averaged 4.8 war. In his 5 full seasons from 2005-2009, Jeter has been worth 5.6 war.

Jeter had great seasons at age 24 and 25 in 1998 and 1999, better than Reyes’s age 24 and 25 seasons in 2007 and 2008, per fangraphs.

Jeter has had better peaks. He had them at the same age, and even over the last few years his peaks have been better (just not in the same years). He has been less injury prone.

Leave the championships aside. Jeter has been a better player than Jose Reyes. Jose Reyes is a very good player, has had some great seasons, and still has time on his side. But Jeter has simply been a better player than Reyes over his career, and even over the last 5 years. Reyes was better than Jeter in 2007 and 2008, and then Jeter went and had a season better than Reyes has ever had.

I love Jose Reyes. I am not a Yankee fan. Maybe the MSM likes him for the wrong reasons, but he’s been pretty damn good and I don’t think Reyes is there, through this age or otherwise.

Also, maybe I am wrong here, but Jeter had 29 WAR through the end of his age 27 season, 2001. Reyes has 22.6, and he will be 27 by then end of this year. Reyes needs 4.4 more WAR, no, by year end? And he played 2 partial seasons at age 19 and 20, before Jeter made the bigs.

by wobatus on May 26, 2010 12:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Not a question of fair due

The issue seems to be people think he gets more than his due, or Reyes gets less than his.

by wobatus on May 26, 2010 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I question that

Jeter is a very, very good, hall of Fame player, in NYC, has been better than Reyes at his peak, over the last 5 years, over a long career, on a multiple championship winning team that is as famous as any sports franchise. Why is Jeter getting more than his due? I think that’s a perception issue for Mets fans. Yes, the media focuses on his rather uninteresting, tame persona, his rarely causing controversy, his “winning” ways. Sure, he also Ks in clutch situations, makes errors, etc. I don’t think i have ever seen him not bust it out of the box, etc. Those things may be overrated by the media. But strictly by WAR, fairly objectively, he has been better than Jose Reyes. Not every year, but he has just been better, even though he was a piss-poor fielder for years (not the last 2+ years or so per UZR).

Maybe I am just being a contrarian or self-loathing Mets fan, but Jeter getting a lot of credit for his career seems pretty normal to me.

Reyes may come in for a bit more criticism than he warrants, especially after 2006-2008. That winning titles, staying healthy, etc. would help I have little doubt. Whether that’s fair doesn’t mean much to me. That the general public’s opinion, or mainstream media doesn’t quite get it isn’t surpuirsing to me, and maybe I am jaded at my age. I don’t worry about public perception of my team’s players much. But the kernel of truth is still there that Jeter has been better. Durability counts. Longevity counts. Peak seasons count. Just going purely on objective stats, ones the MSM is ignoring perhaps, backs it up to a degree.

To me, some part of Mets fandom has a bit of the issue Figueroa attributes to the clubhouse. Maybe we worry a bit too much about what folks think of our players. part of that is having the yankees in your face.

by wobatus on May 26, 2010 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well the whole post is about combating erroneous popular perception, no?

Not too many people on this site need to be schooled about properly appreciating Reyes. And I don’t think you’ve ever seen Jeter not given his proper due here. He is really great. He’s just not the second coming.

And as for popular opinion, I keep promising myself that I’m going to be careful not to scroll past the end of news articles so as not to see the idiocy on display in comments, but New York is just full to overflowing with bullshit opinions on Reyes’ lack of hustle and lack of caring and lack of accomplishment and lack of just even reason to exist.

I like Figgy, but it was very nice to see his “we don’t get too excited about it in this clubhouse” rewarded with that loss last night.

by SuperT on May 26, 2010 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Right

The point isn’t that Jose Reyes is better than Derek Jeter (he isn’t), but that the difference between them through age 27 will be pretty small, maybe 2-3 WAR. Given that, it’s prepoculous that Jeter is (in many ways justifiably) considered a fantastic player while lots of people wants to ship Reyes out of town posthaste.

Both are/were amazingly productive shortstops.

by Eric Simon on May 26, 2010 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

anyone who says Reyes should be shipped out

is a moron and should just be ignored.

This chart will do nothing to convince them, because they wont understand it… the different lines will confuse them.

by gbaked on May 26, 2010 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

I get it

There’s a certain counting aspect to that, since Reyes played 3 seasons (2 partial), before Jeter made the bigs for more than a cup of coffee. Of course, that’s to Jose’s credit, and counter-balanced by the injuries, but the injuries cut both ways. It’s just that Jeter’s peak seasons at 24 and 25 were better, per war, than any Reyes has had. Not by a lot, but 7.4 war to 6 is still a win and a half at peak.

Longevity and durability is a different story which isn’t what you are addressing, but Reyes has been above 2.2 3 times. Jeter has been above 3 13 seasons in a row.

Just to be clear, I wouldn’t advocate shipping reyes out of town. He’s a very good player not at his peak value trade wise. I wouldn’t trade him for, say, Mientikwhatever his name is and Orlando Cabrera. The Sox at least waited until Nomar was 31. :)

by wobatus on May 26, 2010 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

correction

Jeter had 27 war through his age 27 season. Not 29. Jose could be very close by the end of this year.

by wobatus on May 26, 2010 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

looking at that

and while I am happy with Jose, it is an impressive line by Jeter.

Mr. Consistent… that line just moves steadily up. Every year.

by gbaked on May 26, 2010 1:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Are there any other SS with similar profiles at a young age

who ended up sucking ballz? I’m always wary of comparing a player ONLY to successful comparators, because the embedded message is that he’ll necessarily (barring catastrophic injury) continue the trajectory.

by tmu on May 26, 2010 1:29 PM EDT reply actions  

You know who was better through age 27 than Jeter or Reyes?

Alan Trammell. 31.1 WAR through age 27.

I’d have to think about who was good and then sucked. Nomar sucked after age 32 about.

by wobatus on May 26, 2010 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

i can tell you without looking it up

over 9000

I wonder if Carl Everett believes Jamie Moyer exists.

by Gina on May 26, 2010 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Gerry Templeton

Didn’t have the peaks or even the average season of Jeter or reyes, but he did have 20.4 war through age 27, although by then he had already started to fade, and over the next 8 years he averaged .6 war a year.

Not very similar type player to either.

Rafael Furcal came up a bit later, and likewise didn’t have Reye’s peaks, but he had some pop, double digit homers 4 years in a row, and speed. He’s been downhill since his age 28 season in 2006. Injuries, including to his back. Reyes is better than Furcal ever was, better fielder when he was going good, a bit more power. Jose has had 3 seasons better than Furcal ever had, came up younger.

by wobatus on May 26, 2010 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

It seems like

these ratings are emphasizing offense over defense. Presumably, these stats aren’t normalizing among the positions, right?

by tmu on May 26, 2010 2:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fielding

and positional value are taken into account. UZR wasn’t until 2002, so they must use different fielding stats for earlier years. I’mm just using fangraph’s WAR.

by wobatus on May 26, 2010 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hey WFAN callers

shut up

"We're investigating the investigative procedure of the investigation of Tony Bernazard"---Omar Minaya (he really didn't say it but he would"

by firejerrynow on May 26, 2010 3:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Do you think those people will understand this graph?

Paperwork is false hustle. “New numbers” don’t count, because they don’t understand them.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!"
Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on May 26, 2010 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Jeter-Reyes comparisons aren't really fair for Jose

Jeter is historically good, he has outhit everyone since he started playing and Ichiro is probably the only player who has been able to collect hits at a pace equal to or (in Ichiro’s case) greater than Jeter. Jose can still make his own mark on the game but it will be different than Jeter’s, and that is fine because they are different beasts. Also, it can be argued that Jose still hasn’t had a defining season or string of seasons and that the best is yet to come.

by astromets on May 26, 2010 4:29 PM EDT reply actions  

What separates Jeter is his edge

Kind of tautological, except that his Edge is a car he wouldn’t be caught dead driving because, you know, he’s Jeter.

by tmu on May 26, 2010 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

His edge and his ringz.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!"
Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on May 26, 2010 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Reyes and some other notable Mets shortstops

I never realized how good Fregosi was until that trade.

by psiogen on May 26, 2010 5:29 PM EDT reply actions  

Voltron...

John Olerud, Hall of Famer. Got a nice ring to it.

by squid92 on May 26, 2010 5:37 PM EDT reply actions  

Not Mets related

but here’s a good one…it’s incredible how close they are in their primes:


click to embiggen

2009 Did Not Happen

by cjmulrain on May 26, 2010 7:05 PM EDT reply actions  

Wow, really makes you appreciate Pujols.

You know… more than usual.

Save Jenrry Mejia!

by Ogre39666 on May 28, 2010 3:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

Now that even backward folks such as HOF voters are aware of OBP

and aware as well that even impressive stolen base totals are largely irrelevant when it comes to creating wins, I wonder how much Reyes’s career OBP of .334 and lack of any one outstanding feature to his game other than the stolen bases will get in the way of his making the Hall. With no gold glove (nor one imminent in his future), with an average glove according to most fielding metrics, with no better than a seventh-place MVP vote, with no claim to ever having been the best player on his team or to having been a difference maker in any Mets playoff push, I wonder if we’re severely overestimating Reyes’s shot at the Hall of Fame, at least according to how he’ll fare with the voters (as opposed to whether he’s genuinely deserving).

by Jack Str on May 28, 2010 3:16 AM EDT reply actions  

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