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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

First Half Grades: Mets Batters

"I'm not this bad. I can't be this bad. Am I this bad?" (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)

I covered the pitching staff last week. Now the "hitters".

---

Rod Barajas: D+. wOBA by month: April: .306, May: .392, June: .226, July: .120. Two months ago he looked like a bargain, which he can still be if the Mets just stop playing him altogether. He's vastly inferior to Henry Blanco and, in all likelihood, Josh Thole, who should be platooning with one another while Barajas sells used cars.

Jason Bay: C-. If you think Bay's grade should be lower, oh well. He has hardly been awful -- he has just been an awful version of Jason Bay, which is disappointing but kind of like an Albert Pujols version of Jeff Francoeur. The history of All-Star-level performance is there for Bay, and despite underperforming to this point I think most people figure he'll be fine in the long run.

Henry Blanco: B. Not much to complain about here. Blanco is making hardly any money and has been an average NL catcher offensively (Blanco: .727 OPS, NL catchers: .728 OPS) with superb defense. Blanco has gunned down seven of 16 would-be base-stealers, and he'd probably punch me in the mouth just for bringing up the nine guys who made it safely.

Chris Carter: C-. Sure, we all love Chris Carter. His nickname is "The Animal" and he hit those two dingers in Baltimore. But take away those two home runs and he's hitting .250/.280/.319 with below-average defense and baserunning. I didn't expect to be wowed by Carter, but I expected more than this.

Luis Castillo: D+. The best thing you can say about Luis Castillo is that he isn't Alex Cora, which on this team actually means something. He's still drawing tons of walks and making some use of them by stealing successfully in seven of eight chances. The batting average is way down, which hurts his other rate stats as well. He's slugging an unfathomable .283. His .305 wOBA is lower than those of David Eckstein (.306), Cristian Guzman (.314), and Jeff Keppinger (.323). Then again, he isn't Alex Cora.

Star-divide

Alex Cora: D-. So bad. Whatever your opinion of the BABIP fairy, the hits don't seem to have fallen in for Cora as often as they probably should have. A .232 BABIP with a 21.2% line drive rate likely means that quite a few at-em balls found gloves instead of the outfield grass. As bad as Cora is, he probably isn't this bad. .254 wOBA bad.

Ike Davis: B. I wanted to give him lower marks but I'll cut him some slack since it's his first go-round in the bigs, plus he seems to be rebounding a bit in July. After a ridiculous start in April, things got bad in May and worse in June. The walk and home run rates have shot back up this month, though, and his defense has appeared solid throughout. Whatever the true performance advantages, aesthetically it's nice to have a lefty-throwing first baseman again.

Jesus Feliciano: D. On the plus side, Feliciano got his first taste of big league action after nearly 5,000 minor league plate appearances. He also hit .291, which is a fine batting average. On the other hand, he hit just four doubles in 58 plate appearances -- no triples or home runs -- and drew a lone walk. He didn't play all that much, so maybe he would turn all of that around if only the Mets would stick him in the lineup more often. Or not that.

Jeff Francoeur: D-. Doesn't hit for average, doesn't hit for power, doesn't get on base, doesn't run well, doesn't range well. What else? He's affable and has a great arm, which, along with $350,000, will get you a replacement-level right fielder who would be just as good at baseball as Jeff Francoeur.

Gary Matthews Jr.: F. How'd he do? Oh, just one of the worst collections of 65 plate appearances I've ever seen in a Mets uniform. UZR liked his fielding in a small set of opportunities, but it hasn't liked him since 2005 (+/- hasn't liked him since 2006) so that could be statistical noise. I don't know if a Mets player has been reviled this much since Mussolini's cup of coffee in 1977.

Angel Pagan: A. Trying to imagine where the 2010 Mets would be without Pagan gives me IBS. I can't even fathom having given Jesus Feliciano 340 plate appearances in center. Or Gary Matthews Jr.? Now that Carlos Beltran is back in center, Pagan, starting most games in right field, is a nice insurance policy against future Beltran calamities.

Jose Reyes: B. Apart from the injuries, the biggest concern with Reyes this season has been his walk rate, which is down considerably from the past few seasons. Basically, he has been a league-average hitter with a terrific stolen base success rate (19 of 21) playing a crucial defensive position. That's nice, and the result is a fine player, but not the superstar we had all grown accustomed to in 2006-2008.

Fernando Tatis: D+. BABIP haterz move along, because it looks like Tatis has probably been the unfortunate victim of random variation. His .227 BABIP is far lower than we'd expect from a 19.6% line drive rate (a rough-and-dirty expected BABIP range would be .300 to .330). He's on the disabled list now but if he ever comes back it wouldn't be terribly unreasonable to predict better things from Tatis moving forward.

Ruben Tejada: D+. Tejada looked slick with the glove early on, but his bat didn't hold up and even his defense started slipping at the end there. He's just 20, so you never know, but he has nothing to contribute to a big league team right now.

David Wright: A. It certainly looks like 2009 was an aberration as Wright is back among the best players in baseball. The mounting strikeout total -- now over the century mark -- is not encouraging, but so long as he's getting on base and hitting for power it's not terribly discouraging either. Is he the clubhouse leader the local media Mets need him to be? I have no idea, nor do I know if it makes any difference. I do know that he's an awesome baseball player who grew up a Mets fan and does a lot to help the community, so why anyone would advocate trading him is a mystery to all but the dimmest of cretins and nincompoops.

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my grades

Barajas- I agree, after being teased in April he has really done nothing since- D

Bay- also agree, he hasn’t been that bad. Citifield is not a HR park, so if he could get the AVG to .285 and just be a little better and especially raise his .258 with RISP- C

Blanco- getting the D we expected, but he hasn’t done much hitting lately. but what Mets has?- B-

Carter- he came up hot, had a few hits, and then has cooled down. Now a lot of this is because he isn’t getting any starts to keep his swing going, Jerry shoul dhave gotten him in a little more. but his performance- C

castillo- the only thing that keeps him passing is he works the pitcher and makes contact, but only a – D

Cora- I disagree with you here, he has hit .308 with RISP so I have to give him a C

Ike Davis- in the field he has been great, and will be a solid 1B to anchor the infield, at the plate he has some great days, but has too many Ks, He is a rookie so I will say B-

Feliciano- I strongly disagree. I would have liked to see some SB or 2B but still in the little time he had he hit .291. plus after going 3-16 .188/.188/.423 he settled in and hit .333/.435/.768. he a miny slump after you debut after 5000 ABs in the minors is just nerves- B

Francouer- he really never got the big hit, .235 with RISP. His D keeps him at a C-

GMJ- why even include him – F

Pagan- He has been a consistent bright spot in the field and at the plate, easily an A

Reyes- coming back from injury, still the spark plug. after a way to long experiment batting 3rd, went back to lead off, – B+

Tatis-F he should be DFA, has done nothing .185/.338/.592

Tejada- he got on base some, and scored quite a bit. whil ehe was in we won. C

Wright- after a little of a slow start really came on strong, he still makes a few more errors than I like but still he is the top 3B in the league- A

Thole- just got called but has been a very solid hitter every AB- A

by Rickfansince76 on Jul 21, 2010 7:37 AM EDT reply actions  

Pagan

he really hit great in the 6th spot, he drove in a lot of runs. actually all season .391 with RISP. maybe we should try hitting Beltran 2nd, Davis back 4th and Pagan back to 6th. I hate to see him lose 1 AB every game by dropping down, but maybe he drives in more runs. plus it gives Beltran some time to get back into MLB shape

by Rickfansince76 on Jul 21, 2010 7:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

I like Thole at #2

Classic #2 – good bat control, seldom strikes out, the kind of guy you want for hit and run. I would drop Ike down unless/ until he gets hot again:

Reyes
Thole
Beltran
Wright
Bay
Pagan
Castillo
Ike
Pitcher

LIke starting over after Bay; if Ike hits it out, that clears the bases for the pitcher.

by steve2z on Jul 21, 2010 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

For all the crap Omar gets, this is really THE reason he's a bad GM

He really isn’t that bad at drafting/development or trades. He just has no idea how to fill out a roster or get a good read on the free agent market which leads to huge overpays. This is especially absurd when you’re the 3rd biggest revenue team and can afford some overpays.

by FrancoTAU on Jul 21, 2010 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

That

and his 40-man roster management .

Save Jenrry Mejia!

by Ogre39666 on Jul 21, 2010 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

So speaking of...

Jeff Francoeur? Can Braves fans and Mets fans (and apparently everybody in baseball except for the NY and ATL media) agree on at least one thing?

I hate the Phillies so much...

by frozendesert on Jul 21, 2010 7:57 AM EDT reply actions  

traitor

giving up on wincoeur. after all the grit and passion and delta airline frequent flyer miles he’s given the team. where’s YOUR heart?!?

HELLO HELLO MR WILPON... BUY THAT MANSION. WE DONT NEED A CONDO.

by kendynamo on Jul 21, 2010 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, Frenchy stinks

"Tony Gwynn made sacrifices. Cal Ripken made sacrifices. I'm not sure Derek Jeter made sacrifices given the ungodly deep pockets the Yankees have." - Chipper Jones

by MBL1 on Jul 21, 2010 4:28 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Nice ...

I would agree with your grades, nice job, thanks.

Overall I would give the Mets a D grade for the position players. They rank in the lower third of all the important team stats, and the defense has not been great either.

They would be in spitting distance of 1st place if not in 1st if not for the inconsistent offense.

by George_Sloan on Jul 21, 2010 9:14 AM EDT reply actions  

I enjoyed and agree with this line
he’d probably punch me in the mouth just for bringing up the nine guys who made it safely.

by Sokojoe on Jul 21, 2010 11:30 AM EDT reply actions  

I wonder if you have to add to your consideration of LD%

Some consideration of where the guy hits the ball, e.g., is he hitting liners to all fields, or is he predictable?

by tmu on Jul 21, 2010 11:41 AM EDT reply actions  

what was the cutoff for plate appearances or whatever?

or were these players selected based on impression or something? just curious, because i don’t see caltanfgfdfgotoasucko and jacobs, not that it really matters.

by clip on Jul 21, 2010 11:57 AM EDT reply actions  

Can't say I disagree

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!"
Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jul 21, 2010 12:01 PM EDT reply actions  

i need some prozac to boost my spirits

that is a whole lot of suck.

I hate Philadelphia so much.

by the caveman on Jul 21, 2010 12:51 PM EDT reply actions  

but if that's how our batters have done thus far...

given our record, that’s very encouraging. so if dubs continues smoking the ball, reyes gets a little better, bay regains his swing, and beltran voltrons all over everyone’s faces, that’s a pretty all right line up. oh and also pagan and ike continue studly performances and castillo doesnt, i dunno, start injuring players in the dug out, i say yes lets do this.

AND, lets not forget the francouer is a natural and its only a matter of time before he starts his hall of fame career path we all know he is destined for.

HELLO HELLO MR WILPON... BUY THAT MANSION. WE DONT NEED A CONDO.

by kendynamo on Jul 21, 2010 1:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think

this is too harsh

actually all things considered the fact our offensive numbers are so bad yet we’re still middle of the pack in runs and are now adding in Beltran and Castllo is kind of awesome.

Though I hate the fact I have to be excited about the presence of luis castillo.

I want Jerry Manuel fired now, not three years from now. That is my stance.- John Peterson

by Gina on Jul 21, 2010 2:08 PM EDT reply actions  

Where is Smithtown's Own? And JaKobs? And Justin Turner?

Incomplete list is incomplete

http://www.doublebobbyjones.com/ -Double Bobby Jones: a Mets blog

by metsguy234 on Jul 21, 2010 3:10 PM EDT reply actions  

this seems about right

they mostly all suck, hence we go through stretches where we suck at scoring

I like Ike, I hate Jerry

by astromets on Jul 21, 2010 4:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Right now,

everybody gets a big F except for Dubs, Jose, and Angel.

Beltran doesn’t count (yet).

One day, this team is going to kill me.

by fxcarden on Jul 21, 2010 7:18 PM EDT reply actions  

A little unfair on Carter

You can’t just “take away” his two home runs. If you take away that from a guy who plays limited time, of course his numbers won’t look good. 3-run home runs are a very rare thing on this team, and he hit two big ones the handful of starts he was given.

by David G on Jul 21, 2010 9:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Haha

I’ve been off drinking beer him, Brian Stokes, and Oliver Perez’s fastball.

"All energy flows according to the whims of the great magnet

What a fool I was to defy him"

-HST

by Mark Himmelstein on Jul 22, 2010 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Rec'd.

Simply for the return of the Himmelstein.

"He's definitely mixing it into his repertoire. That's French for 'repertoire' " - Keith Hernandez

by Catsmeat Potter-Pirbright on Jul 22, 2010 12:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Are these grades from Animal House?

Fat drunk and stupid is no way to go through life…

by MookieTheCat on Jul 22, 2010 2:45 AM EDT reply actions  

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