John Sickels had a all question answered thread again. For the benefit of those that don't want to read through all the comments on the page, I have copied and pasted those questions about Met prospects. Most interesting I think were his evaluations of what Reese Havens can be and his basic assessment that the Mets will mess up their good young talent (a-rod). All Q's after the jump.
Every pitching prospect the Mets have has regressed terribly this year, and most of them seem incapable of throwing a strike. I hate to use minor league coaches as scapegoats, but when do the Mets wake up and look into this? I didn’t mind the Harvey pick, but I’m less than confident they’ll be able to hardness his stuff …mets
Yeah it seem odd that so many of their guys would have problems like this. If I were running the Mets, I’d have an inquiry about this, assign a staffer I trust and who has some independent authority to find out if there is a commonality or if it is just a fluke. Is it a particular coach? Something wrong with organizational philosophy or teaching? Or just bad luck?
If healthy, what kind of hitter is Reese Havens in the bigs?
Chase Utley is a career .294/.380/.518 hitter. Shave that down to .264/.350/.460 and that is what havens can be.
Keith Law has infamously torn him a part, but Mets 4th round pick Cory Vaughn is impressing in the NYPL. Granted, it’s the NYPL. But still, his line is impressive:
.303 / .381 / .607 / .988
14:21 BB:K ratio in 32 games
7/8 in SB attempts
If the draft were to be held again today, could you see Vaughn going higher? What is his ceiling?vaughn
Vaughn….well I still think third or fourth round is where he’d go, given the totality of his track record. He’s off to a fast start obviously and the tools have always been there, but the flaws he showed in college aren’t likely to have just disappeared. Let’s see how he handles full-season pitching next year. The Florida State League could chew him up.
What’s his power ceiling, and if moved off shortstop, can he stick at third base?flores
I suspect he can handle third base, yes.
Power ceiling….hmmm…..given his age it could be enormous, but I’ll say “expect a 20-homer guy and be happy if he hits 30”.
Just a sentence or two on these guys:
1. Oswaldo Arcia
2. Aderlin Rodriguez
3. Oscar Tejada
Arcia: Very intriguing bat, tearing up the appy league but low walk rate is a caution flag. 2011 in the Midwest League will tell us a lot
Rodriguez: Same deal….power potential is very impressive, but problems with the strike zone could chew him up at higher levels. He is younger than Arcia and probably a better long-term prospect, though I trust the Twins to develop Arcia more than I trust the Mets to develop Aderlin.
Tejeda: already answered above.