A Scrutiny Of The Weekend's Roster Moves
Alex Cora is gone, a dozen or so games shy of locking in a vesting $2 million option for 2011. It was a smart and long-overdue move that will cost the Mets the remainder of Cora's salary this season -- $650k or so -- in order to not have to pay him to be lousy next year. A smarter move would have been to either not sign Cora at all (his signing became especially painful after Orlando Hudson signed for $5 million and Felipe Lopez signed for just $1 million) or, alternatively, to release him before he racked up substantial sub-replacement value (-0.4 fWAR -- or Fangraphs WAR -- and -1.2 rWAR -- or Rally WAR, available at Baseball-Reference.com). Cora might have been smote a bit by the short end of random variation's whimsical stick, but even in a good year he's barely replacement level so there's no sense in paying him good money to be, well, replaceable. Given his performance this season the Mets would have been better off cutting him a $2 million check in April and then stuffing him in a box for six months with a water bottle and a few Lunchables to get him through the summer.
Cora was replaced on the roster by Ruben Tejada, who, in his earlier stint with the Mets this season, was about as bad an offensive player as any you could imagine. He drew just six unintentional walks in 126 plate appearances and just four of his 18 hits went for extra bases, all of them doubles. His .037 ISO (Isolated Power, or slugging percentage less batting average) was lower than those of Jon Niese (.054), Cora (.071), Johan Santana (.100), Raul Valdes (.125), and Justin Turner (.125), among others. He did manage to get struck by six pitches, which is one every 21 plate appearances and would be around 30 HBPs over a full season. I doubt he'll sustain that; in his minor league career he has been struck by one pitch every 53 plate appearances, less than half as frequently as in his limited big league experience.
Given all of that, it's no surprise that Tejada is in there primarily for his defense, which faded noticeably at the end of his first go-round but has looked splendid in two games since his return. The plan seems to be for Tejada to get the bulk of the playing time at second, leaving ubergimp Luis Castillo on the bench most of the time. It's not really clear that doing so will benefit the Mets in the short- or the long-term, but it's hard not to recognize that Tejada looks a lot better out there, and maybe that alone is in the best interests of a team that almost certainly won't be in the playoffs this season.
The other move the Mets made this weekend was to demote Jesus Feliciano and call up Fernando Martinez, aka Fartinez, aka the Fernanchise, aka Alex Escobar Plus. Martinez won't be 22 until October, but it probably feels like he's older than that because he has been in the system forever. His professional career to this point can be summed up like so: hurt a lot of the time and unspectacular much of the rest. His approach at the plate has deteriorated a bit; he has 60 strikeouts and just 17 walks (plus eight HBP) in 277 plate appearances. The good news is that his power has been impressive, with 29 of his 67 hits of the extra-base variety (17 doubles and 12 home runs).
Feliciano isn't anything special with the bat or in the field, and while he's probably better than Jeff Francoeur overall and perhaps all-around, the Mets are still holding out hope that they'll get some value out of Frenchy down the stretch, particularly if he's in a semi-strict platoon with Martinez. Jerry Manuel has said that Francoeur will get some starts against righties when the matchup is favorable, though I can't really imagine a situation where that might be the case. Oddly, in the aforelinked article, Adam Rubin relays Manuel's concerns about the Mets' right fielder, whose name I have removed.
Manuel doesn't seem sold on [outfielder] just yet ... The manager said [outfielder] needs to have better pitch-recognition skills than last season, when he swung at pitches out of the strike zone.
The comment is about Martinez, but could just as easily be about Francoeur, who might have worse pitch recognition than Martinez without the latter's youth, power, or upside. Martinez probably isn't ready for the big leagues -- you could argue that he isn't even ready for Triple-A -- but he's here, and if the Mets won't be playing Meaningful Games™ this summer I'd sooner he get some on-the-job training than continue to watch Francoeur's effortless alchemy of at-bats into outs.
Whatever you make of Tejada replacing Castillo and Francoeur platooning with Martinez, on aggregate the moves from this past weekend guarantee a more palatable 2011 club, one that seems certain to lack the valueless grission of Alex Cora.
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as usual your analysis is very sound
I only add the fact that it appears as if the vets, in particular Francoeur, were very upset about the cutting of Cora. There were quotes in the Times to the effect that his leadership was essential to the club, Frenchy called him a mentor! and that his cutting was a sign that the Mets had given up on the season. If this is an accurate reflection of the sentiments of the team, it pretty much sums up how the constant losing over the last couple of years has caused the entire organization to become batshit crazy and why we have a long long way to go to change the mindset and culture of this team into a winning one. If it is just Francoeur talking, then it sums up why he is an awful awful player.
by Endys Game on Aug 9, 2010 7:08 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
If Frenchy really did consider Cora a mentor, then it's even better that he's gone.
I wouldn’t say that such a mindset is a result of all the losing of the past few years. Athletes like to talk about leadership and hustle and intangibles like that, and it seems obvious that Jerry does, too. I would put less value on Cora’s leadership, and more on his complete inability to do just about anything baseball-related well.
May you be locked in a battle of wits against Jerry Manuel.
by BobbyV_Incognito on Aug 9, 2010 7:18 AM EDT up reply actions
Agree...
From all accounts Cora would be a good coach. Perhaps now would be a good time for him to make that leap. That is about the only baseball-related thing he possibly does well, but no one ever said you have to be a good player to be a good coach.
i was saddened over the loss of Cora too
the mets have turned me batshit crazy
mediocrity thy name is Wilpon- jdon
by Gina on Aug 9, 2010 7:19 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
yeah, I know what you mean
They may lock me up when Castillo gets axed.
Wow. "cutting him was a sign that the Mets had given up on the season"
Wow. Wow. Wow. It seems like more of a sign that they are trying real hard not to suck as much, which is kind of the opposite of giving up.
by enigma2029 on Aug 9, 2010 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
same here
it seems like it makes more sense to see if we have useful bench pieces in those guys by playing them regularly than calling up F-mart who was clearly overmatched in AAA.
mediocrity thy name is Wilpon- jdon
i would rather duda and evans than any of the above
I like Ike, I hate Jerry
I agree with Duda/Evans over Jesus
but Carter still hasn’t really received enough PA’s to get a solid feel for what he can do.
Save Jenrry Mejia!
Shuffling Deck Chairs
On the 2010 season.
So when does Frenchy get removed from the middle of a game when he’s in the midst of one of his patented 0-15, 16, 20 streaks?
I know Voltron has looked pretty putrid out there but the indignity of getting pulled from the game when more egregious offenders on this road trip alone get to stay in is all the more insulting.
by MyFavBaseballSquadron on Aug 9, 2010 7:22 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
yeah that's the problem with Frenchy
when he’s hot they won’t take him out, when he’s cold for 2 months they won’t take him out cause they gotta get him going.
mediocrity thy name is Wilpon- jdon
When he's hot?
When was this? Is the implication here “when he is basically playing to the level of an average replacement” or did I miss some part of the season? :P
by MookieTheCat on Aug 9, 2010 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
well the first like 15 days
and then like the 2 game streak last week….and yeah thats about it
mediocrity thy name is Wilpon- jdon
A fan with an ounce of integrity would
realize that in reviewing Tejada and Martinez the ONLY thing they have on Cora and Francouer is youth. In fact if you put Francouers level by level numbers against Martinez you have a surprisingly shocking clone. Could Martinez just be a lazy primadona waiting to get to MLB like say Hanley Ramirez, sure. And I could also be managing the Mets next season.
lol our best current hope is he's a lazy prima donna
aaawwwwssssoommmeee
mediocrity thy name is Wilpon- jdon
by Gina on Aug 9, 2010 7:33 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I hope this doesn't mean
They trade him for 2010 version of Josh Beckett.
Plus Frenchy will always have F! beat in Sports Illustrated covers that look embarrassingly short sighted in hindsight.
by MyFavBaseballSquadron on Aug 9, 2010 7:40 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Omar's grand plan
for 2010 has failed, and it’s taken him over 4 months to realize it was doomed to fail from the start. Just review the cast of characters who have fallen by the wayside or are hidden in the back room(ollie) I hope this is Omar’s Last Stand
That depends
Is the sun going to come up tomorrow?
Did Rubin go on to describe the reporters rolling on the floor in hysterical laughter
at the thought that the implied positive in a comparison of pitch-recognition ability was Frenchy?
I am rolling on the floor in hysterical laughter
at the thought of reporters recognizing Francoeur as flawed
by Bieser's Balk on Aug 9, 2010 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions
Duda should have been the pick over F-Mart
Unlike, Fernando he’s earned the promotion with a big year, exhibiting plate discipline and power and could also be used exclusively against righties. Honestly, who cares about the D in left field, this team is more in need of guys with the ability to draw a walk and hit with power. That should have been the priority. At 24, this was the time to see what they had with Duda. Can he be a productive major leaguer? Can he be a trade chip? We know that both Tejada and F-Mart are still a year or two away. There was also an extra spot on the 40-man for Duda, so it really is perplexing why he didn’t get the chance.
Right arm.
Martinez is nowhere near close to playing in the bigs. Time to find out if Duda is.
so Jerry requires pitch recognition from Martinez
and squat from Francoeur. Laughable.
Admit it folks
Someone in the Mets Front Office is reading this blog, but on a time delay of a few months. They’ve made every move suggested here:
Dropping Mejia back to AAA
Promoting Carter
Waiversing Ollie
Cutting Cora
Benching Frenchy
Benching Castillo
Pretty much everything but Nicky Who? has been done, but sadly always a few months too late.
Maybe Omar and Jerry are next, about 1 year too late?
I'd like to think they're reading here, but
it’s more on the order of the team’s preferred plan utterly sucking for months leaving them nothing else but to try the smart thing.
This is truly it:
We’re the Mets—When Stupid Fails, We Get Smart!
Non-sequitor
Did anyone see dave cameron’s piece at fangraphs today about some of his thoughts about his NYC trip? he says he met a young fan named Evan whose curiosity and intelligence were both impressive. I was wondering if he meant AA’s own Evan_S.
I don't see how Ruben Tejada could possibly be ready to play in the majors
He is 20. His OPS in AAA is .673. His OPS in the ML is .510 (.232 wOBA). What am I missing? Is his defense like +30 runs?
His babip seems way-off
I for some reason am having a hard time getting onto the simple xbabip calculator, but his .239 babip seems awfully low given his compnents. 45.64% groundball rate, 24.4% lindrive rate, 3.7% infield fly rate, that should have him above .300 in babip. Which would make him merely awful rather than sub-basement. Although Robin Yount was awful for a full year at age 20 too. Not this bad, but Yount’s in the Hall, and I don’t expect Ruben to be, but he still has promise, albeit he is overmatched. OK, I know he shouldn’t be here but I like having him up anyway. Logic be damned.
From his skillset, it appears that his linedrives don't leave the infield.
Even his groundballs are slow rollers to SS, not those hard hit groundballs to the middle/hole.
In lobby campaign for Chris Carter.
Yeah
I did see him rip a liner off the wall at citi field. I may have gotten lucky. haven’t had a chance to watch many games recently. i was in Belarus for a while and hard-to-believe but it’s hard to get Mets games there. Actually, i saw a ton of satellite tv dishes on the smallest shacks, but i don’t think anyone signed up for that package.
He's the best we got...
Kinda. Anyone beginning to think that Murphy at 2nd is sounding less bad every day?
I've wanted it all along
even though I know its crazy
Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?
by KeithsMoustache on Aug 9, 2010 6:17 PM EDT up reply actions
I saw one thing in this article...
How much ink was just spilled at the release of Alex Cora and the call-up of two guys who had been called up before and performed at a below-average level? This is how starved for news of anything other than ugly losses we have become. I thought it was a good analysis and an interesting read, but whoever made the shuffling deck chairs comment above got it exactly right. Releasing one bad player after the trade deadline and bringing up two possibly marginally better players: is this really all we got?
Eric
are you getting paid for the Blackberry Messenger ad that features your chat about Fernando martinez? It keeps pooping up every SB Nation site I go to.
Not sure if this is the place for it but I thought this was interesting:
“It is now clear that the Mets would be open to trading Beltran this winter, when he will be going into the final season of his seven-year, $119 million deal and will be owed $18.5 million. Even more, the Mets are ready to let Beltran go right now, for nothing in return, if a team claims him off waivers.” From the NYTimes.
The latter scenario makes sense if you think Beltran is unlikely to be worth his salary next year, but I didn’t know the FO was letting on that they would be willing to do this.
It was reported that only 4 players were put on waivers: Ollie, Castillo, Hess and Feliciano.
In lobby campaign for Chris Carter.
Normally they will put everyone on waivers
Usually everyone on the 40 man roster will eventually be put on waivers. If they get claimed they are rescinded, unless of course you want the player gone. It was in an article I read over the weekend that Francoeur had already cleared waivers. The only limitation is that a team can only waive 5 players a day. Altough it is impossible to know for sure, since the waiver wire is confidential, I would think they would waive Bletran if for no other reason to see if any other team is interested in him.
by George_Sloan on Aug 10, 2010 6:50 AM EDT up reply actions































