Reasons To Keep Watching
With the Mets all but mathematically eliminated, players assaulting family members and the manager continuing to say and do incomprehensible things, sensible fans might cease tuning in to games. But I'm not sensible -- I'll watch the Mets no matter how bad they are. Most probably require more prodding than I to watch a ~$135 million team currently three games under .500 and eleven games out of the Wild Card. Here's an attempt, some reasons to watch the final 25 games.
Newer, younger faces
Lucas Duda made his MLB debut last week after mashing 23 homers at Binghamton and Buffalo.
Jenrry Mejia started this past Saturday for the first time in the big leagues.
Nick Evans isn't really new, but he crushed it in the minors this season and has a chance to contribute in the future.
Dillon Gee and his impressive strikeout-to-walk ratio (but hittable stuff?) will start Tuesday in place of injured Johan Santana.
Ruben Tejada and Josh Thole have already been around for a bit, but both have shown flashes, even if Thole has a greater shot at success. Thole and [insert someone here] should be the catching tandem in 2011. Tejada needs some more hitting work in the minors but a spot on the Opening Day roster in 2011 isn't out of the question.
Ike Davis was languishing with a .730 OPS just a few weeks ago. Below average for a second baseman, much less a first baseman. He has picked it up though, and after Sunday's 4-for-6 day he's up to a .782 OPS. Still not fantastic for a first sacker, but he's a rookie who is strong defensively. If he can maintain that level of offensive production, he would instill more confidence that he can become Adam LaRoche with the bat and Casey Kotchman with the glove. In other words, a more than adequate major leaguer.
This is the biggest reason to watch. The crew of veteran players we have complained about all season have almost all been excommunicated. Younger, cheaper and, in many cases, better players will have a month to show their wares.
Superstars finishing strong
This refers mostly to David Wright and Carlos Beltran, but should Jose Reyes return from his oblique injury he's also included. David's power has returned this season, though his control of the strike zone has taken a hit. He's on pace for 27 home runs and an .871 OPS -- if those ended up his final numbers I'd deem the season a success, but not on the level of his elite 2005-2008 seasons. However, he's capable of a monster month (witness the 1.138 OPS in June this season) and a finish like that would put him in the range of his career .900 OPS/.390 wOBA. And preemptively strike against the offseason "Traid David Wrongz" discussions.
Voltron has limped through his return -- the .231/.340/.350 slash line shows that he can still draw a walk but the power isn't there. The community projection of .276/.363/.460 appears to be a tad optimistic, especially the slugging percentage. Perhaps it was a bit much to expect the drivers of his power, his legs, to be ready to go after such a brief rehab stint. He has shown signs of improvement -- over his last 96 plate appearances he has a Pagan-esque .765 OPS, and has been on base eight out of his last 11 PAs. He will undoubtedly be the topic of trade discussions this offseason, even if I think it's a bad idea for reasons both objective and subjective. A strong finish just might assuage the desire to dump him for nothing, a desire that so many in the fan base seem to hold.
The Ollie Experience
The rare Oliver Perez appearance is an exercise in perverse comedy. I secretly root for a blowout, either way, on the off chance that LOLlie might make it into the game. Sunday's 18-5 drubbing of the Cubs was a prime opportunity, but Jerry Manuel denied us the sick pleasure of watching Ollie do his thing at windy Wrigley Field. How many will he walk this inning? How many home runs? Will his fastball crack 87 mph? Answers to these questions and more: Oliver Perez, September 2010.
Gary, Keith and Ron
Best announcing team in baseball. And they seem just as frustrated as us. You'll miss them in the offseason.
Spoiler Alert
The Mets have six games left with the Phillies and three left with the Braves. Depending on which NL East evil you consider to be lesser, this is a chance to watch the Mets do unto their opponents what their opponents had done unto them (Septembers 2007-2008). The Phillies are the greater evil, for me, so I'll be watching with great interest this weekend at Citi Field, and also the weekend of September 24-26 at Citizens Bank Park.
That's about it.
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This is a good article...
But I think you omitted the big picture to a minor degree. They’re the Mets. If you expect success every year (decade?) you will be disappointed. Every once in a while you get a day like today, however, where everything is clicking and the team is just fun to watch. That’s all. There’s no great secret or mystery. This is why I like baseball a lot, and why they play the games.
Agree
I considered adding one like that but thought it might come off too corny. Eat. Pray. Baseball.
by James Kannengieser on Sep 6, 2010 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions
Love, Prey, Eat.
Much better book about mantises.
no mention of dickey?!?!
JK I am seriously disappointed. He is reason #1 to watch our Metsies!
by Criss Angel Couldn't Make Frenchy Vanish on Sep 6, 2010 12:47 AM EDT reply actions
Oooooooh. I can't believe I missed that.
However, I think that one is so much of a given that Mr. K is excused for not mentioning it. It would be almost on the level of saying that “Jerry is bad at managing” or “David Wright better get to whatever number it is that Gina is getting her tattoo.” These things need not be repeated, they just are.
by MookieTheCat on Sep 6, 2010 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions
I hope we can move Beltran this off season
but I think that will be difficult if not impossible given his salary next year and his inability, thus far, to show that he has, or is on his way, to a full recovery. Right now, to me, he looks like he’s done. Next year is going to be a transition year to rebuilding anyhow. Beltran has become the face of the 2006-10 Mets as unfair as that may be. This team needs a makeover. Losing the way this team has over the last 5 years has stunk up the joint. We need a fumigation.
Hell, if I’m the Mets, NO ONE IS UNTOUCHABLE.
"Never throw a slider to The Glider."
- Ed Charles, No. 5
"Who has more fun than people?"
- Ralph Kiner
Mr Glider.
That is a lucid, intelligent, well-thought out objection.
OVERRULED.
by MookieTheCat on Sep 6, 2010 1:04 AM EDT up reply actions 3 recs
You want to hear something sad?
I had to Google this, thinking it might be close.
Then I thought it would be a blow out in Frenchy’s favor and I would make a post saying that it was sad how I thought for a second there it would be close.
and then I checked.
and Beltran has 25 to Frenchy’s 29.
So Yeah.
I bet Jerry Manuel just bunted.
by GilbertP on Sep 6, 2010 1:15 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
And after today
It’s 28 to 29
by James Kannengieser on Sep 6, 2010 1:39 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
He got a bunch when Jer-bear batted him 8th for awhile
by James Kannengieser on Sep 6, 2010 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah I rememebered that
i mean how is it even possible to actually walk less than a man in a brace who missed half the season.
mediocrity thy name is Wilpon- jdon
because he had someone worse batting behind him (!)
"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"
Jesus...
Good researching and thought process there. Props to Shevshevy and GilbertP for putting the cherry on the Frenchy shit sundae.
Did Beltran have another misplay today, too?
Or was it yesterday? Seems like they happen everyday right now.
Also, have to disagree on Tejada and a roster spot next year. Let’s not get all excited over a wind aided homer and a dunker to center. He’s a .200 hitter and he doesn’t run fast. He needs to be in the minors playing everyday and working on his hitting, he can’t do that as a defensive sub. And he absolutely can’t be the starting 2b. They can’t punt the 2b position for another year.
No....
He had a play that could be seen as a misplay in ESPN-land. He pulled up on a fly ball that was in the ivy at Wrigley to keep from running into the brick wall behind the ivy. Some said he should have gotten it. I thought that it was much better than he played it off the carom to prevent him from further injury.
Others may disagree with me, but I saw a few balls hit to center where he looked like old Beltran. Good jump on the ball that made hard plays look easy.
If I'm the Mets I'd have Beltran in the mix for 1B next season.
Davis has had a great 66 PAs, but those have been fueled by a .405 BABIP. If Beltran can hit but can’t really play the OF and can’t really be traded, it’s worth considering.
Very, very bizarre suggestion.
Intuitively I like the option, My qualm is that I think putting an OF as your 1B is almost pre-emptively declaring the season a failure. I’d love to either (i) be proven wrong about this or (ii) think the Mets were smart enough to think of this as being an option, but I fear that neither will occur.
If I'm the Mets I'd have Beltran remove his knee brace for next season
and keep him in CF, rather than learn a new position. Ike Davis’ ability to perform in the majors is not static. I would count on Ike Davis to improve in 2011, regardless of his 2010 BABIP.
I don't think you can just do that. I think you have to factor in whether he can physically play without it.
by Criss Angel Couldn't Make Frenchy Vanish on Sep 6, 2010 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions
I was really commenting on the absurdity of Beltran at 1B
Lets face it, if that knee brace remains on, his career as a starter is probably over, no matter what position he plays.
You can't just say "off with the knee brace".
if it’s serving a purpose, then it has to stay on. If it’s not helping him, I think Beltran will be taking it off anyway.
Save Jenrry Mejia!
In lobby for Josh Byrnes/Chip Hale as Mets 2011 GM/Manager.
I don't think he will be able to
and that is why he basically hits singles left handed. He hits with his hands only.
Lunacy.
A lot of players, when they can no longer handle the OF, make the move to 1b in an offseason or less—sometimes it’s on an emergency basis.
To think you’re going to tell Beltran to take off the brace regardless of whether he can play without is… what’s the word I’m looking for… “insane”?
i'm around more phillies fans
so naturally i’d want the braves to win, but since i cant do that, all i can really do is hope for injuries.
HELLO HELLO MR WILPON... BUY THAT MANSION. WE DONT NEED A CONDO.
Wright has a 4.1 WAR as I write this.
It’s not inconceivable that he gets to 5, maybe even 5 and change, by the end of the season.
Save Jenrry Mejia!
In lobby for Josh Byrnes/Chip Hale as Mets 2011 GM/Manager.
I, for one, can't wait until the season's over.
I get to meet David Wright sometime in October. (: (: (:
But I actually do watch every game I can. As weird as it sounds, it keeps me sane. Offseasons depress me.
by wrightttxgirlllx3 on Sep 6, 2010 2:20 AM EDT reply actions
know what ya mean about offseasons
bad as Mets games can be (and often are) I always start to miss baseball the second it ends.
Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?
by KeithsMoustache on Sep 6, 2010 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions
Davis
I do not expect him to maintain this level of production but to improve upon it. Of course, guys who skip AAA can regress after their first year and not improve (Francouer), but I think more likely than not they improve, and I think Ike’s walk rate bodes well in that regard.
you forgot one important reason to keep watchin
AA gamethreads, and the ridiculous conversations that happen therein.
Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?
I've actually been on game threads when I wasn't watching or listening to the game.
So it’s not a requirement to actually pay attention
by HotChipWillBreakYourLegs on Sep 6, 2010 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions
a good point i suppose
Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?
by KeithsMoustache on Sep 6, 2010 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions
I hate the Adam LaRoche comparison
Davis’ wOBA is currently .342. LaRoche’s is .353. The current difference offensively between the rookie Davis and LaRoche isn’t huge. To hope that Davis will become LaRoche with the bat is a pretty low expectation. I hope he’s due for more improvement than that.
Trying to believe is my full-time occupation.
Davis's wOBA is .343 because of a recent hot surge
less than 1.5 weeks ago it was as low as .320
mediocrity thy name is Wilpon- jdon
Additionally
Davis’ walk rate this year is higher than any mark LaRoche has ever had. Better yet, a rookie’s BB% is due to improve.
Trying to believe is my full-time occupation.
A rookie with his K rate will almost always struggle.
But what’s remarkable is that Davis has added .6 WAR in just the last two weeks—that’s a HOF pace. His BABIP is over .400 for those two weeks, but his number for the season isn’t outrageous.
Maybe he really is learning to hit the breaking stuff. Good for him. I’d love to see the Mets with another excellent 1bman (and they’ve had several).
And Davis had been brutal for months
This is kind of an even-ing out.
Trying to believe is my full-time occupation.
you think that has nothing to do with evening out?
John Olerud, Hall of Famer. Got a nice ring to it.
i mean, if you can call this a hot streak, you have to call what he was going through before a cold streak
John Olerud, Hall of Famer. Got a nice ring to it.
3 months of cold streak?
i’d say its more because his sample size in general is so small, one season of PA’s isn’t really much to draw conclusions on, looking at stats right after one or two weeks of hot streaks can have a huge affect. If you looked at Laroche’s wOBA prior to the last few at weeks it would actually have been much higher (just for example he’s dropped 20 OPS points in the last 2 weeks.) You could probably look at their respective wOBA’s 2 weeks from now and see a much smaller difference or more substantial one. A 10 point difference in wOBA now could easily be a 20 point one in two weeks.
mediocrity thy name is Wilpon- jdon
Fair
But 24 year-old rookie LaRoche had a .350 wOBA, .278/.333/.488, very similar to Ike’s current line, with a tradeoff between patience and power. It depends on how optimistic you are about Ike going forward. My expectations are pretty tempered but I don’t begrudge anyone who is more optimistic.
If he hits like LaRoche and fields at +5 < x < +10, he would be a ~3.5 WAR player. I’ll take it.
by James Kannengieser on Sep 6, 2010 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah I'm more optimistic moving forward
Since Ike has huge power. Even so, a 3.5 WAR player is very valuable. These are the kind of supporting players we need.
Trying to believe is my full-time occupation.
so Wright is 6 for 16 with 2 HR and 4 RBI so Jerry sits him
is he hurt? I mean he seemed to be getting hot and then he gets 2 PA in the last 2 games
Any task BIG or small, Do it well or not at all
Since I've been watching them for 48 years I don't plan to stop now...
…for all the reasons James mentioned and also because as maddening as they are, as angry as Ollie and Castillo and K-Rod make me, as dumb as the owners are, as buffoonish as Jerry Manuel is and as hit and and miss as Omar is, they are still -always have been and always will be - my team.
Jerry the Clown: available for birthdays, bar mitzvahs and unfortunately all Met games as well
strikethrough unintentional
Jerry the Clown: available for birthdays, bar mitzvahs and unfortunately all Met games as well
by Ballonthewall on Sep 7, 2010 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions
Anonymous, you're lucky...
"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!"
Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.
by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Sep 8, 2010 12:20 AM EDT up reply actions

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