FanPost

Mets' Young Stars and Their Mets Futures


Here are the non-pitchers who have accumulated the most Wins Above Replacement (baseball-reference's formula) for the Mets through their age 28 season:

1. Darryl Strawberry 37.7 WAR
2. David Wright 32.5
T3. Jose Reyes and Edgardo Alfonzo 29.1
5. Howard Johnson 17.8
6. Cleon Jones 17.0
7. Lenny Dykstra 16.4
8. John  Stearns 13.9
9. Dave Magadan 13.7
10. Wayne Garrett 13.2

Wright and Reyes are 28 now, leaving the arc of their careers going forward of course unknown.  The other eight guys on the list above collectively produced 158.8 WAR for the Mets through their age 28 seasons.  These same eight guys collectively accumulated only 13.6 WAR for the Mets after their age 28 seasons.  Straw and Fonzie left as free agents after their  age 28 seasons.  Dykstra was traded in the middle of his age 26 season and Garrett was traded in the middle of his age 28 season.  So those four guys produced 0 WAR for the Mets after their age 28 seasons.  Cleon added only 0.6 WAR for the Mets after his age 28 season, and Magadan only 1.5 WAR.  John Stearns had 4.6 WAR for the Mets, and Hojo had 6.9 WAR, after their respective age 28 seasons.   I'm fervently hoping Wright and Reyes create a new tradition for the Mets of having young hitting stars continue their success and to do so with the Mets.

The Mets have not had quite the same problem with their young pitching stars.  The Mets pitchers who accumulated the 10 highest career pitching WAR totals for the franchise though age 28 totaled 221.8 WAR for the Mets through their age 28 seasons:

 

1. Tom Seaver 52.0 WAR
2. Dwight Gooden 41.9
3. Jon Matlack 27.0
4. Jerry Koosman 19.0.
5. Sid Fernandez 18.4
6. Ron Darling 16.0
7. David Cone 15.9
8. Tug McGraw 11.7
9. Jesse Orosco 10.1
10. Craig Swan 9.8


These same 10 guys accumulated 63.6 pitching WAR for the Mets after age 28.  That's a big drop from their through-age-28 level but it's a lot more respectable than the numbers on the hitters side, thanks especially to Seaver and Koosman doing their thing for the Mets into their thirties (23.8 and 22.8 WAR respectively for the Mets after their age 28 seasons).  And Sid Fernandez had his most productive season at age 29; he also pitched well at age 30 over the half-season he was healthy.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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