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David Wright's Spray Chart in New Citi Field

The new Citi Field outfield wall dimensions were announced today, and the first meme was born almost simultaneously. With the walls pulled in, David Wright was happy, or he was about to hit more than ten home runs -- check the twitter machine for your favorite version of that one. How it will actually affect the third baseman's power is something we won't know until he actually hits in the park, but we can take his 2011 hits and lay them on top of a composite image of the wall changes released today by the Mets.

Ta. Da.

Wrightspraying2_medium

When we did this with Jose Reyes, it was obvious that the new park wouldn't make much of an impact on his power. This overlay is less definitive. 

See those four blue dots in left-center? Those are a lot closer to the wall now. They used to be doubles, but now they might be triples. It's also unclear exactly where katron.org's landing spots come from. Was that where the fielder was standing when he caught the ball? Or are they landing spots for the ball? In the second case, a ball could have hit the wall and dropped to the ground there. They might go over the wall now. There might also bee some orange dots that used to be outs that might now drop as the outfielder stumbles on the warning track.

In any case, the new walls are probably not going to double Wright's home run production at home. But this exercise does suggest that he will enjoy a non-zero boost next year when they pull those walls in. And paint some blue!

EDIT: I updated the chart using Texas Leaguers info. Those are all of Wright's 2011 hits, not just his Citi ones. But the left-center power alley is still interesting to Wright.

Comment 28 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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I think the effect will be more drastic than the chart indicates

As he won’t have to pull to the ball to left to get it to go over, or at least bounce off of, the fence. I look forward to watching some (hopefully good, or at least stomachable) Mets ball at the “new” field!

Mets, Jets, Islanders, Knicks.
GO RANGERS! Get Endy a ring!

by piazza62 on Oct 31, 2011 6:26 PM EDT reply actions  

i can't see shit

I do know he hit two 415 foot doubles in the same game off the Great Wall of Flushing, so unless the walls are changing so that those are 4-baggers instead of 2, then it’s a load of pocky.

The artful muppet formerly known as KrmtDfrog.
Please read my sardonic wit and over-blown sense of self over at headkicklegend.com

by Cory Braiterman on Oct 31, 2011 7:33 PM EDT reply actions  

That wall is changing

A shorter (8 ft instead of 16 ft wall) is going to be constructed in front of the Great Wall of Flushing…so those two shots off the top of the wall would in all likelihood be HRs in the adjusted park.

I think him getting his old swing back (if he can) would be the biggest benefit. He did lose some HRs as is, but it seemed like the biggest problem has been him constantly tinkering with and screwing up his swing. Hopefully fixing Citi can bring back his Shea-type swing.

by LGNYM on Oct 31, 2011 7:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Can we look at Duda and Davis?

I think they would benefit from these moves the most. It will be nice for Dubs to be more confident about going deep the opposite way, knowing he doesn’t have to hug the foul line or get it all, and then some.

2012 New York Mets, World Series Champions!

by astromets on Oct 31, 2011 8:11 PM EDT reply actions  

You are right there.

First guy i thought of is DW but Ike and the Dude are going to have a field day! This is going to become a very good LH hitters park.

Big fan of the Assassinate Kevin Burkhardt Society

by scott from peekskill on Oct 31, 2011 9:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can see D-Wright changing his approach

Hopefully it returns him to the 2006-08 David Wright.

AAARRRRRRRSSSSSHHHHHHHHAAAAAAVVVVVIIIIIIIIIIIINNNNNNNNNN!
Dream goal!

by Aidan Gibson on Oct 31, 2011 8:48 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

This chart is horrible.

One day, this team is going to kill me.

by fxcarden on Oct 31, 2011 8:59 PM EDT reply actions  

.410 wOBA or bust

one does not simply walk into mordor...unless winter is coming

by Gina on Oct 31, 2011 9:35 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

I don't know how accurate this data is honestly

I can’t say for sure but it just seems incorrect that he hit only like two fly balls to the warning track the whole year. Also that one fly ball in the game against the Rockies that would have been a walk off grand slam doesn’t seem to be one of the data points. I know nobody wants to watch the video (http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=13777429) but that fly ball definitely isn’t there or at least it’s in the wrong spot and that would have been a home run with the new dimensions (yes I’m still mad about a game from April).

by joma16 on Oct 31, 2011 9:49 PM EDT reply actions  

yeah you are right.

Mo Zone ate that Grand Slam up!.

http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=13777429

This link gives a little better representation of the changes. The Mo zone patrons better keep their eye on the game when the dude comes to bat.

Big fan of the Assassinate Kevin Burkhardt Society

by scott from peekskill on Oct 31, 2011 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

You posted the same link, but still

FUUUUUUUUUU MO ZONE

Mets, Jets, Islanders, Knicks.
GO RANGERS! Get Endy a ring!

by piazza62 on Oct 31, 2011 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

They sent out emails and everything.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
Keep Reyes, Trade Wilpon.

by Ogre39666 on Oct 31, 2011 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

You missed the big news today, apparently.

Chamption of the R.A. Dickey Face contest and "Cromulent Photoshopper Extraordinaire" of Amazin' Avenue!
You might know me as mistermet.

by Steve Schreiber on Oct 31, 2011 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Daniel Murphy

Can we see how Murphy’s spray chart will look with the new Citifield walls.

by lionstein on Oct 31, 2011 11:17 PM EDT reply actions  

I know for a fact that I have seen some odd looking spray charts, but this one looks quite good. However, it can be quite hard to pinpoint if the accuracy is correct, as people above have stated. This is a good visual aid, though, as all of the spray charts are.

by Michelle Hardy on Nov 1, 2011 12:51 AM EDT reply actions  

Sorry about the spray chart

I agree it’s not great. I used katron.org. Maybe I can get a better one. I used the MLB picture to get you those blue lines that represent the new walls. I think maybe those doubles up near the wall of flushing, the ones I pointed out in the piece, were actually against the wall and would be over.

I still think the number is more likely to be like 4+ next year. I’ll work on this and try other hitters, maybe we can get it looking better.

by Eno Sarris on Nov 1, 2011 1:05 AM EDT reply actions  

Okay

Is that better? The blue lines are the new walls. Left-center is still the power alley that will most benefit Wright.

by Eno Sarris on Nov 1, 2011 1:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

You could time your watch to his one home run a year.

And then he had that ridiculous year where he had 3! That year was unforgettable.

Chamption of the R.A. Dickey Face contest and "Cromulent Photoshopper Extraordinaire" of Amazin' Avenue!
You might know me as mistermet.

by Steve Schreiber on Nov 1, 2011 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Dude should’ve been tested for steroids….tripling your home run output in one season is unheard of!

by Russ.McManus on Nov 2, 2011 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Better Idea

Judging from the chart, I think it would help Wright much more if we move 3rd base in 15 feet.

by Kingmans_Rat on Nov 1, 2011 3:57 PM EDT reply actions  

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