The Bill James Handbook 2012
Each year, before the massive flurry of baseball annuals start pouring in, the Bill James Handbook is the first to hit store shelves. Barely a week after the World Series ends I have the book in my hands and I'm thumbing through hundreds of pages of stats, some commonplace, others unique to this volume.
If you love looking at stats, this book is right in your wheelhouse, though be forewarned that this is Bill James's handbook in little more than name only. There's very little written material overall, and the small bits James contributed are hardly his most insightful. Mainly, they're springboards into the various numerical reams which fill the book.
My biggest gripe with the Handbook continues to be its insistence on including several hundred pages of career stats for every active player, an exercise which grows increasingly pointless with each passing year as all of these stats are readily — and freely — available on the internet. It's a small complaint, as I can easily skip over that half of the book, but it seems to needlessly waste paper, resources, and shipping costs for something that adds only negligible value (in my opinion) to the reader.
Nevertheless, the Handbook is an enormous collection of stats ranging from the mundane to the enlightening. My favorite part about cracking it open each year is in poring over the numbers in search of interesting — and often esoteric — stats on the Mets from the previous season. Here are a bunch of them, presented with (very little) editorial comment:
Hitting
- The Mets had three of the top four batters in bases loaded situations (10 PA minimum): Angel Pagan (.571 AVG), Ruben Tejada (.545), and Jose Reyes (.500).
- Daniel Murphy was second in the NL with a .364 batting average with runners in scoring position.
- Jose Reyes's 84.8% stolen base success rate was the eighth-best in the NL.
- Carlos Beltran had the fifth-best OPS on fastballs at 1.005.
- Lucas Duda (.936) and Jose Reyes (.932) were both in the top ten in OPS on changeups.
- Jose Reyes had the lowest strikeout rate in the NL at .07 whiffs per plate appearance (approximately one strikeout per 14.3 trips to the plate).
- At 413 feet, Lucas Duda had the fourth-longest average home run in the NL.
Pitching
- The Mets' bullpen ERA was 4.33, 28th in baseball, which is especially bad considering how hard it was to hit at Citi Field.
- Mike Pelfrey was seventh in the NL with thirteen no decisions.
- Dillon Gee was tenth (worst) with 71 walks allowed.
- Dillon Gee was second in the NL with fourteen hit batsmen.
- Chris Capuano was second in the NL with 51 doubles allowed.
- Chris Capuano was fifth in the NL with 27 home runs allowed.
- Chris Capuano was ninth in the NL in run support with 5.03 runs per start.
- R.A. Dickey, amazingly, was second in the NL with 51% of his pitches thrown in the strike zone.
- R.A. Dickey threw the fourth-fewest pitches per batter in the NL at 3.58.
- Mike Pelfrey was third in the NL (bad) with 29 stolen bases allowed.
- R.A. Dickey was third in the NL with five pick-offs.
- Bobby Parnell had the third-fastest average fastball in the NL at 97.2 MPH.
- R.A. Dickey had the second-slowest average fastball at 84.4 MPH. Chris Capuano had the seventh-slowest fastball at 87.9 MPH.
- Bobby Parnell threw 84 pitches over 100 MPH, third-most in the NL (Aroldis Chapman threw 158 such pitches).
- R.A. Dickey led the league with 2,063 pitches thrown under 80 MPH. The next closest was Wandy Rodriguez with 1,154 such pitches.
- R.A. Dickey threw the lowest percentage of fastballs in the NL at 22.4%.
- Chris Capuano threw the highest percentage of changeups in the NL at 27.7%.
Fielding
- The Mets' defense was 36 runs below average, the third worst mark in baseball.
- The Mets were only above-average defensively at three positions: pitcher, first base, and center field.
- Daniel Murphy received eighteen points in the Fielding Bible Awards voting at first base.
- Jose Reyes received six points in the FBA voting at shortstop.
- Chris Capuano received two points in the FBA voting at pitcher.
- David Wright has -30 defensive runs saved over the past three seasons, the fourth-worst mark in baseball.
- Daniel Murphy had six defensive runs saved at first place last season, the third-best mark in baseball.
- R.A. Dickey had eight defensive runs saved in 2011 (third in basedball) and twelve over the past three seasons (seventh in baseball).
- Josh Thole had -5 defensive runs saved in 2011, the fourth-worst mark in baseball. Yadier Molina had -6.
- Using plus/minus, Jose Reyes was -13 runs and Justin Turner was -8 runs in 2011. Daniel Murphy was +6 (at 1B),
Miscellaneous
- Jason Bay was +16 in baserunning runs (stealing, 1st-to-3rd, 2nd-to-home, 1st-to-home, extra bases taken, advancing on outs, etc. etc.).
- Jose Reyes was +38.
- David Wright was +9.
- Angel Pagan was +27.
- Josh Thole was -18.
- Carlos Beltran was +8 (overall for both teams).
- Jason Pridie was +8.
- Daniel Murphy was -12.
- Justin Turner was neutral (0).
- Lucas Duda was -7.
- Overall the Mets were +72 on the basepaths, seventh in baseball.
- The Texas Rangers were the best (+113); the St. Louis Cardinals were the worst (-66).
- The Mets were second in the NL with 169 manufactured runs; they were fifteenth in the NL with 182 manufactured runs allowed.
- Jose Reyes was second in the NL with 35 manufactured runs; Angel Pagan had 23 and David Wright had 15.
- Citi Field had a park factor of 68 (32% below average) for home runs by right-handed batters, 80 for left-handed batters, and 73 overall.
- Right-handed batters hit fewer home runs at Citizens Bank Park (66) than at Citi Field (66).
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I think that just confirms
That Dickey is awesome
AAARRRRRRRSSSSSHHHHHHHHAAAAAAVVVVVIIIIIIIIIIIINNNNNNNNNN!
Dream goal!
Whoops
I was going to say that the team’s defense was really poor last season. But surprisingly enough, Pagan apparently wasn’t one of the worse contributors (Mets were above average at CF). Our infield defense needs to improve, as well as our catching. I don’t know how we improve in the IF though. I assumed we were taking a hit without Ike at 1B, but Murphy seemed to fill in quite nicely there at 1B. Maybe he can translate that advantage to 2B while still upgrading defensively with Ike at 1B.
And man, Wright’s defense has truly fallen off a cliff the last 3 years. I don’t know how much longer he can man 3B if he’s going to play like that.
I wonder why DRS liked Pagan's defense so much more than UZR and TZ did this year
Park factors? Different hit-type categorization? Something else entirely?
I wish the people who published these stats showed their work so we could examine more closely how they came to these conclusions.
According to Fangraphs, the Mets’ pitching staff had the second best LD% in the majors and the 5th best GB%. Is there a bias in this data that’s unfairly discrediting our fielders? How would we know?
Well
In UZR the Mets as a team were pretty bad as well. Not as far down as here though. But, I think from watching the games we all knew that the Mets weren’t going to be ranked high on any defensive metrics. Considering all the botched double plays, booted grounders, and dropped fly balls all year. The Mets were much better defensively in 2010 though. So I’d have to think that Ike returning to man 1B, and a bounce back defensively by Pagan could change a lot of this for us.
Wright's defense
didn’t take the sharp UZR decline until 2009, he was a very good defensive player the previous two years. If he can hit next year, his defense will be fine, and I don’t have to be rational about things.
Still Amazin'.
Jose Reyes is a MET in 2012.
Funny that the Rangers were the top baserunning team
and the Cardinals were the worst. I guess that tells us absolutely nothing about the importance of baserunning.
Also, “Right-handed batters hit fewer home runs at Citizens Bank Park (66) than at Citi Field (66).” Typo?
Time to update this: 2009 Did Not Happen. Neither did 2010. Or 2011. Sports suck.
Ah, since it's relevant, I found this free for download
http://sabr.org/research/baseball-analyst-archives
"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.
AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest
by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Nov 10, 2011 1:20 PM EST reply actions
If he's an above average CF,I am blind.
by Putnan Prince on Nov 11, 2011 12:32 AM EST up reply actions
Meditations on First Philosophy, Renee Descartes
Several years have now elapsed since I first became aware that I had accepted, even from my youth, many false opinions for true, and that consequently what I afterward based on such principles was highly doubtful; and from that time I was convinced of the necessity of undertaking once in my life to rid myself of all the opinions I had adopted, and of commencing anew the work of building from the foundation, if I desired to establish a firm and abiding superstructure in the sciences. But as this enterprise appeared to me to be one of great magnitude, I waited until I had attained an age so mature as to leave me no hope that at any stage of life more advanced I should be better able to execute my design. On this account, I have delayed so long that I should henceforth consider I was doing wrong were I still to consume in deliberation any of the time that now remains for action. To-day, then, since I have opportunely freed my mind from all cares [and am happily disturbed by no passions], and since I am in the secure possession of leisure in a peaceable retirement, I will at length apply myself earnestly and freely to the general overthrow of all my former opinions.
But, to this end, it will not be necessary for me to show that the whole of these are false—a point, perhaps, which I shall never reach; but as even now my reason convinces me that I ought not the less carefully to withhold belief from what is not entirely certain and indubitable, than from what is manifestly false, it will be sufficient to justify the rejection of the whole if I shall find in each some ground for doubt. Nor for this purpose will it be necessary even to deal with each belief individually, which would be truly an endless labor; but, as the removal from below of the foundation necessarily involves the downfall of the whole edifice, I will at once approach the criticism of the principles on which all my former beliefs rested.
All that I have, up to this moment, accepted as possessed of the highest truth and certainty, I received either from or through the senses. I observed, however, that these sometimes misled us; and it is the part of prudence not to place absolute confidence in that by which we have even once been deceived.
But it may be said, perhaps, that, although the senses occasionally mislead us respecting minute objects, and such as are so far removed from us as to be beyond the reach of close observation, there are yet many other of their informations (presentations), of the truth of which it is manifestly impossible to doubt; as for example, that I am in this place, seated by the fire, clothed in a winter dressing gown, that I hold in my hands this piece of paper, with other intimations of the same nature. But how could I deny that I possess these hands and this body, and withal escape being classed with persons in a state of insanity, whose brains are so disordered and clouded by dark bilious vapors as to cause them pertinaciously to assert that they are monarchs when they are in the greatest poverty; or clothed [in gold] and purple when destitute of any covering; or that their head is made of clay, their body of glass, or that they are gourds? I should certainly be not less insane than they, were I to regulate my procedure according to examples so extravagant.
"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.
AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest
by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Nov 11, 2011 1:40 AM EST up reply actions 3 recs
This is where I'd make some snide remark about how he really is an above-average CF,
but how could you read it?
"And that's why anybody who invested with Lenny Dykstra should really call that number. Lawyers are standing by."
by BobbyV_Incognito on Nov 11, 2011 1:51 PM EST up reply actions
Weird how the two world series teams were the worst and best baserunning teams in baseball.
Rey-sign Rey-ass
Logic Your Sense Makes None.






























