2011 Amazin Avenue Top 50 Mets Prospects: Top 10

Finally we come to the end of our 2011 Amazin Avenue Top 50 Mets Prospects series. Yes, it's finally time for the top 10. As I've mentioned all week, you can find all of these rankings and a whole lot more in the minor league section of the 2011 Amazin' Avenue Annual. You can also find all of the previous rankings here (#41-50), here (#31-40), here (#21-30) and here (#11-20)

But first, the ST Farm Reports: Last night Triple-A Buffalo made their spring training debut, dropping their 2011 opener 5-4 to former Mets affiliate and current Marlins affiliate New Orleans. Of the interesting names in this one RHP Josh Stinson started and pitched three scoreless innings while RF Fernando Martinez went 1-for-3 at the dish. Big Val Pascucci went 1-for-2 with an RBI.

As for the Double-A squad, they were bested by the Dodgers' Jacksonville affiliate 12-3. RHP Matt Harvey made his first career start against pro competition and allowed three runs in a couple of innings; anticlimactic if I may say so. RHP Erik Turgeon followed with three more runs allowed in one inning pitched and RHP Brandon Moore was even worse, allowing six runs in two more innings. On the bright side, CF Matt den Dekker continued to excel going 3-for-3 at the plate with a double. 3B Jefry Marte was the only other B-Met to have a multi-hit day (2-for-3). With some traffic at third base in the lower minors it should be interesting to see where Marte starts 2011. Righties Eric Beaulac and Colin McHugh also combined for three innings of scoreless relief work.

So without any further ado, click past the break for the conclusion of our rankings:

1. RHP Jenrry Mejia

Team League W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO AVG
MTS GCL 0 0 3.00 1 1 0 0 0 3.0 4 1 1 0 1 3 6.00 .333
STL FSL 0 0 0.00 1 1 0 0 0 4.0 1 0 0 0 0 7 5.00 .077
BIN EAS 2 0 1.32 6 6 1 1 0 27.1 19 5 4 0 14 26 3.31 .200
BUF INT 0 0 1.13 1 1 0 0 0 8.0 5 1 1 1 1 9 3.33 .200
Minors 2 0 1.28 9 9 1 1 0 42.1 29 7 6 1 16 45 4.00 .200
MLB 0 4 4.62 33 3 0 0 0 39.0 46 21 20 3 20 22 2.43 .289

Team League W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV IP H R ER HR BB SO GO/AO AVG
LIC DWL 0 1 3.38 2 2 0 0 0 5.1 5 2 2 0 4 6 10.00 .227

Despite misguided bullpen experiment in ‘10, 21-yr old righty still possesses the ceiling of a staff ace thanks to a developing 12-to-6 hammer curve and a downright special mid-90’s hard sinker. Should be back in the bigs for good by late 2011; murmurs of long-term bullpen role persist

2. SS Wilmer Flores

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
SAV SAL .278 66 277 30 77 18 2 7 44 120 23 37 2 1 .342 .433 .775
STL FSL .300 67 277 32 83 18 1 4 40 115 9 40 2 4 .324 .415 .739
Minors .289 133 554 62 160 36 3 11 84 235 32 77 4 5 .333 .424 .758

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
MAR VWL .320 31 103 13 33 6 0 2 18 45 7 14 1 0 .365 .437 .802

Addressed ’09 concerns about power and plate discipline in the first half with Savannah, held his own in Hi-A as an 18-yr old in the second half with St. Lucie. Incredibly advanced hit tool and youth warrants high rankings but positional uncertainty precludes him from elite status.

3. RHP Matt Harvey

(no professional experience)

Drafted seventh overall in June, his excellent mix of high-90’s heat and promising secondary stuff plus an ideal pitcher’s build (6-4, 225) have many projecting a top half of the rotation workhorse. He’ll have to shore up somewhat spotty command but could move very quickly.

4. CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
BIN EAS .289 94 394 81 114 35 2 16 60 201 30 93 13 7 .337 .510 .847
BUF INT .225 30 120 10 27 8 1 2 17 43 11 39 0 0 .295 .358 .654
Minors .274 124 514 91 141 43 3 18 77 244 41 132 13 7 .327 .475 .802

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
MSS AFL .256 26 90 14 23 6 1 1 12 34 12 25 2 3 .356 .378 .734

Another year, another Sterling Award; second straight year he posted 16 hrs, 13+ sb’s & 800+ OPS at new level, this time at Double-A. Ranking is highly contingent on staying in CF which he has the tools to do; sneaky fast with good tracking ability for someone built more like a football player.

5. 2B Reese Havens

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
STL FSL .281 14 57 9 16 2 1 3 7 29 8 18 0 1 .369 .509 .878
BIN EAS .338 18 68 12 23 2 1 6 12 45 6 15 0 2 .400 .662 1.062
Minors .312 32 125 21 39 4 2 9 19 74 14 33 0 3 .386 .592 .978

After revealing a recent rib surgery, injuries are a serious concern. In brief time at Double-A in ’10 he showed the kind of offensive potential (.446 wOBA) that has many envisioning a future All-Star but he won’t get there if he can’t stay on the field. Also moved off of short in ’10.

6. 3B Aderlin Rodriguez

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
KNG APP .312 61 250 44 78 22 0 13 48 139 15 43 3 1 .352 .556 .908
SAV SAL .200 8 30 3 6 1 0 1 11 10 6 10 0 0 .333 .333 .667
Minors .300 69 280 47 84 23 0 14 59 149 21 53 3 1 .350 .532 .882

18-yr old burst onto the scene with Kingsport, crushing 13 bombs with a fantastic .244 ISO. He’s probably a first baseman long-term but his good bat and massive power give him possibly the highest offensive potential of anyone on this list, with the ceiling of a 30+ home run masher.

 

7. OF Fernando Martinez

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
STL FSL .267 4 15 1 4 1 0 0 0 5 1 2 0 0 .313 .333 .646
BUF INT .253 71 257 39 65 16 0 12 33 117 17 65 1 0 .317 .455 .772
Minors .254 75 272 40 69 17 0 12 33 122 18 67 1 0 .317 .449 .765
MLB .167 7 18 1 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 5 0 1 .273 .167 .439

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
ESC DWL .333 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 .250 .333 .583

More injuries and stagnation are hurting his stock but he remains in top 10 thanks to proven ability to hit for good power (.202 ISO in ’10) against near-major league pitching at age 21. Arthritic knee will limit him to corner OF where he’s likely a low OBP, power-hitting option at best.

8. OF Cesar Puello

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
SAV SAL .292 109 404 80 118 22 1 1 34 145 32 82 45 10 .375 .359 .734

Quickly rising in prospect circles thanks to excellent all-around game, the 19-yr old showed advanced offensive approach after modifying stance in May. If rumored move to CF pans out, his value jumps; if not, he’ll have to prove himself with a lot more in-game power after 1 homer in ‘10.

9. 3B Zach Lutz

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
MTS GCL .316 5 19 2 6 1 0 1 4 10 1 4 0 0 .350 .526 .876
STL FSL .000 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000
BIN EAS .289 61 225 42 65 14 0 17 42 130 33 63 0 2 .389 .578 .967
BUF INT .300 5 20 3 6 4 0 1 9 13 2 3 0 0 .364 .650 1.014
Minors .287 72 268 47 77 19 0 19 55 153 36 72 0 2 .380 .571 .951

Obviously I'm very high on Lutz; injuries remain a concern but he quietly possesses one of the best all-around bats in the system. After proving his strong mix of power & patience in Double-A, Lutz is a big sleeper in any other organization, but unfortunately positionally locked in the minors with this club.

10. OF Lucas Duda

Team League AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
BIN EAS .286 45 161 30 46 17 0 6 34 81 29 27 1 0 .411 .503 .914
BUF INT .314 70 264 44 83 23 2 17 53 161 31 57 0 0 .389 .610 .999
Minors .304 115 425 74 129 40 2 23 87 242 60 84 1 0 .398 .569 .967
MLB .202 29 84 11 17 6 0 4 13 35 6 22 0 0 .261 .417 .678

Best minor league hitter in the system in ’10, a breakout campaign which delivered long-awaited power from the lumbering lefty; his 27 longballs were 2nd in the entire organization. Suddenly a very viable major league lefty platoon option right now with a starting corner OF slugger role becoming very real possibility.

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