Well, the 2011 Mets baseball season is only 10 incredibly frustrating (for the most part) games old, and there has been a lot that we fans have had to complain about. But when we look a little closer at the stats, it seems as if there actually is some hope for this year yet. More after the jump.
THE GOOD:
There has been a lot to be frustrated with this year (ahem) Bullpen (ahem), but there has actually been many good things for the Mets this year.
Hitters
Jose Reyes- .5 WAR, 8.5 K%, 128 OPS+, does have an unsustainable .372 BABIP
David Wright- .5 WAR, 151 OPS+, .225 ISO, does have an unsustainable .407 BABIP
Ike Davis- .4 WAR, 167 OPS+, 11 RBI, .80 WPA, .216 ISO, does have an unsustainable .414 BABIP
Carlos Beltran- .2 WAR, 123 OPS+, .300 ISO (not a typo)
Pitchers
St. Chris Young- .4 WAR, 268 ERA+, 8.76 K/9, He hits, does have an unsustainable .197 BABIP.
Jonathan Niese- .4 WAR, 3.18 xFIP, 2:10 BB:K Ratio
Fransisco (that's fun to say) Rodriguez- 0 WAR (hasn't cost us anything yet!), 12.27 K/9, 3.57 FIP
THE BAD:
Hitters
David Wright- 30 K%, unsustainable .407 BABIP
Willie Harris- 37 K%, unsustainable .438 BABIP
Scott Hairston- -.2 WAR, 53.3 K%, -30 OPS+
Josh Thole- -.1 WAR, .034 ISO (that's poor), 24.1 K%, unsustainable .364 BABIP, -2.0 FLD (in only 71 Innings at Catcher)
Pitchers
Ryota (Toyota Irrigation) Igarashi- -.1 WAR (in .2 IP), 9.35 xFIP
Blaine Boyer (DFA)- -.3 WAR, 7.52 FIP (4.90 xFIP), 1.3 K/9
THE HOPEFUL:
Hitters
Angel Pagan- unsustainably low .171 BABIP, 13 BB%, 7.7 K%, .1 WAR (even while playing poorly)
Carlos Beltran- unsustainably low .217 BABIP
Brad Emaus- unsustainably low .222 BABIP, 10.7 BB%
Pitchers
Jason Isringhausen- SSSS, but did hit 92 on the radar gun Monday night
Tim Byrdak- unsustainable .455 BABIP, 13.5 K/9, 3.04 xFIP
Bobby Parnell- unsustainable .417 BABIP, 14.54 K/9, 3.27 xFIP
Mike Pelfrey- unsustainable .348 BABIP, 43.5 GB%
Blaine Boyer- He's gone
Looking at all these stats, it looks like as soon as the BABIP gods straighten everything out, the bullpen will improve and Pagan and Emaus will actually start hitting. Hopefully this will happen sooner rather than later and the Mets can play some decent, watchable baseball. Until then, the Mets need to focus on doing the small things well on offense (e.g. someone other than Ike or Dubs getting the man in from third with less than two outs) and actually throwing strikes (something foreign to a Dan Warthen pitching staff).
My thanks to Fangraphs and Baseball-Reference for the stats.
In an unrelated note: Watch Emaus and Endy on SNY then stay tuned for Ivan Rodriguez: Professional Hitter.
This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.
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