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The Search for the Mets' 2012 Closer: Recently Injured Pitchers

In light of Sandy Alderson's comments during his interview in the SNY booth on Tuesday night regarding the importance of finding a closer for next season, I thought it'd be worth taking a look at the free agent market for relief pitchers. Unsurprisingly, Alderson pointed out that it's not necessary to overspend on the position. He also mentioned that finding a new closer could be done via trade, but if he turns to the free agent market, there will be plenty of options.

There will plenty of big names on the market, most of which are likely to be Type A free agents: Heath Bell, Matt Capps, Kyle Farnsworth, Ryan Madson, Jonathan Papelbon, Francisco Rodriguez, Francisco Cordero, and Jose Valverde. If there's one thing that Alderson's front office has clearly emphasized in its time running the team, it's the amateur draft. Considering the loss of a draft pick associated with signing a Type A free agent and the types of contracts required to sign these pitchers, it would be a big surprise to see any of them in a Mets uniform come Opening Day.

There are plenty of other relievers slated to hit the market, and a few might make sense for the Mets this winter. The Mets showed last winter that they were not afraid to leverage pitchers with injuries to find value in the free agent market with Chris Capuano and Chris Young, and that's where I'll start. There's more to come on some other candidates in the coming days.

Star-divide

Jonathan Broxton: The Dodgers, specifically Don Mattingly, may not want Broxton back next year after he spent the grand majority of 2011 on the disabled list with bone spurs in his elbow. He's had surgery to get rid of the bone spurs, and if his recovery goes as well as other pitchers who had the same procedure, he could be ready for spring training.

Prior to the injury, Broxton was dominant, striking out over eleven batters per nine innings in his career. He's still only 27-years-old and will turn 28 in June. There was some concern about Broxton's drop in average fastball velocity in 2010, a 2.5 mph drop, but he still managed a pretty good year out of the Dodgers' bullpen. If the best Broxton can get this winter is a one-year, incentive-laden deal, he seems like a no-brainer for the Mets.

Joe Nathan: He may not want to leave Minnesota, but whether or not the Twins bring him back remains to be seen. Nathan had Tommy John surgery in 2010 and returned to the mound with Minnesota in June. He's made forty-five appearances since then, posting pretty good rates of 8.86 K/9 and 2.81 BB/9. His fastball is a bit slower than it was pre-injury, which might partially explain why Nathan has given up home runs many more often than he did in the past. He's turning 37 in November, which makes his odds of injury higher but potential salary lower for next season.

Joel Zumaya: His list of injuries makes the other two guys look like models of pitching health, but Zumaya will only turn 27 in November. He hasn't really pitched much in the majors given the number of seasons he's been a major league player, but in 2010, his fastball averaged 99.3 mph. Control was a major issue in every year except 2010, which could have been an improvement or a mere statistical aberration. If he's available on the cheap, he might be one of the under-the-radar types to which Alderson referred in his interview.

***

Next up: healthy relievers who've yet to become Proven Closers™, probably sometime tomorrow.

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Boo

I’m in the middle of a FanPost on this subject, analyzing the same things, and you stole my thunder.

Traid!

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Sep 22, 2011 12:09 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Not Fansworth, no Papelbon

I’d be OK with any of the others.

One day, this team is going to kill me.

by fxcarden on Sep 22, 2011 12:15 PM EDT reply actions  

Paps

has basically the same save percentage of Mariano. That’d probably be fine with me.

-Ceetar, the Optimistic Mets Fan

by Ceetar on Sep 22, 2011 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pass.

He’ll cost too much.

"And that's why anybody who invested with Lenny Dykstra should really call that number. Lawyers are standing by."

by BobbyV_Incognito on Sep 23, 2011 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Way too much.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
Keep Reyes, Trade Wilpon.

by Ogre39666 on Sep 23, 2011 12:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

even Wah Rod?

I say we build from within….enough with the Omar Minayaing of elite closers

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Sep 22, 2011 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like Zumaya

But I don’t think we can rely on him to pitch more than half a season at most. The only way I would go after him is if it’s a very cheap, incentive laden deal and not to be handed the closer job.

by ZZPops on Sep 22, 2011 12:17 PM EDT reply actions  

Stony Brook's Own Joe Nathan?

Or is that too much of a Catalanotto-esque move?

El Esta Gone!
7/28/2011...We will never forget.

by RudyTerrasasWarRoom on Sep 22, 2011 12:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Nathan has a recent history of being good.

Cattalanotto did not.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
Keep Reyes, Trade Wilpon.

by Ogre39666 on Sep 23, 2011 12:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

It'll come down to the price range each one will command.

If they ask for a high base salary/multiyear contract, they won’t be options. Also doesn’t mean we’ll only get 1 RP, if SM Sandy can work out incentive laden deals or minor league contracts (until the pitcher is healthy and ready).

In lobby for: Jaime Cevallos, Zack Lutz, orange unis and Rickroll as the 7th inning song.
The Unwritten Rules of AA

by Michkin on Sep 22, 2011 12:44 PM EDT reply actions  

probably a few other names too

Unfortunately they’ll probably consider names like Izzy, Padilla, Rodney and Todd Coffey. Let’s face it, for better or for worse, we are not going to over-spend for a closer this time!

by Boz_Paladin on Sep 22, 2011 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

However,

at the rate the Mets are going, their first round pick would be protected if they signed a type-A free agent. Also, because the market for “closers” is deep this year, Alderson may be able to find a steal from that list. And also bring in a few guys coming off of surgery, of course.

The Mets have shown me more ways to lose than I even knew existed.

-Casey Stengel

by ALL YOUR EYES on Sep 22, 2011 1:26 PM EDT reply actions  

WHile this is true

I still don’t think Alderson will want to hand out multiple millions in a contract to a reliever.

by TheBigStapler on Sep 22, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

I could see Broxton

seems like the type of guy Sandy would look at

Any task BIG or small, Do it well or not at all

by Rickfansince76 on Sep 22, 2011 1:39 PM EDT reply actions  

I know this isn't the trade (or should I say "TRAID") article but

in terms of that market, I’d love to see if they could try to steal Kenley Jansen from the Dodgers. He’s putting up a ridiculous 15.8 K/9, a 1.86 FIP/2.14 xFIP and has strangely been passed for the closer’s job by Javy Guerra, a 25 year old who’s been good but looks to have benefitted from a ridiculously low HR/FB% this year (2.06 ERA compared to a 3.99 xFIP due to a minuscule 2.2% HR/FB).

It’ll depend on whether Ned Coletti is still the GM there and how they value Jansen but he’s easily a better pitcher than Guerra and two years younger. Maybe Sandy can pull a fast one on Coletti…it’s been done before.

Chamption of the R.A. Dickey Face contest and "Cromulent Photoshopper Extraordinaire" of Amazin' Avenue!
You might know me as mistermet.

by Steve Schreiber on Sep 22, 2011 1:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Ridiculous stats are ridiculous

I like Broxton the best out of the three injured options, although I wouldn’t be completely against trading for a young reliever with potential. We do have an overabundance of ML ready utility guys that could be borderline starters in Murphy, Satin, Evans, Turner etc. I wonder how much we could get back for one or two of them.

by crazycarLUXC on Sep 22, 2011 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

We also are going to have a crunch when it comes to protecting prospects from Rule V

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Sep 22, 2011 4:47 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Then it's settled

Nick Carr, F!, and Satin for Kenley Janson.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
Keep Reyes, Trade Wilpon.

by Ogre39666 on Sep 23, 2011 12:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly what All Your Eyes said

Our first round pick is going to be protected, so your argument isn’t as strong as you think.

"I got my pregnant wife (the Yankee fan) with me. Hoping my kid learns to kick her everytime the Mets score." -Schifftis-

by future on Sep 22, 2011 1:44 PM EDT reply actions  

A second round pick

Isn’t as big a loss, but you might be right, Sandy might not want to give that pick up either.

"I got my pregnant wife (the Yankee fan) with me. Hoping my kid learns to kick her everytime the Mets score." -Schifftis-

by future on Sep 22, 2011 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

It also comes down to money

And, the recovering/marginal guys are more likely to be better bangs for the buck, assuming they’re able to pitch in shades of how they used to.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Sep 22, 2011 1:52 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I don't see him getting a Type A reliever, when he is trying to build a quality farm.

This would be giving up a 2nd round pick worth something like 1.5m~2m. It’ll be hard to recoup that value from a reliever when they are generally volatile year-to-year (midseason trade), and there is some uncertainty about the compensation system going forward.

In lobby for: Jaime Cevallos, Zack Lutz, orange unis and Rickroll as the 7th inning song.
The Unwritten Rules of AA

by Michkin on Sep 22, 2011 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Mets are not signing any Type A free agents this year

So it makes no difference.

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Sep 22, 2011 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

I want Heath Bell

Because I love Heath Bell.

"I got my pregnant wife (the Yankee fan) with me. Hoping my kid learns to kick her everytime the Mets score." -Schifftis-

by future on Sep 22, 2011 3:06 PM EDT reply actions  

Could Manny be the Man?

What about Acosta? Pre-All-Star Break numbers are awful this year. But since the All-Star Break, he has a 2.37 ERA with 28 hits, 9 walks and 35 K in 30.2 IP. Last year in 39.2 IP for the Mets he ahd a 2.99 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP and 42 K. Career in 196 IP, he has a 3.44 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP with 170 K.

by Boz_Paladin on Sep 22, 2011 3:43 PM EDT reply actions  

You've got to understand that Boz lobby us to sign Manny!

I thought you wanted to sign the Mansion, I am disappoint.

In lobby for: Jaime Cevallos, Zack Lutz, orange unis and Rickroll as the 7th inning song.
The Unwritten Rules of AA

by Michkin on Sep 22, 2011 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Could be.

I’ll have something on the internal options, too. Sandy didn’t completely rule them out.

by Chris McShane on Sep 22, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

See my FanPost about the splits he's had this season

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Sep 22, 2011 4:48 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I think the closer thing is overplayed

Parnell or Acosta could handle it. Maybe Parnell’s new curve ball will help him. The stuff is there, the location and demeanor may not be yet. What they need are quality guys to replace Iggy, Izzy and possibly Carrasco (who should probably be cut/demoted and just eat the contract). They need to target those guys first.

by David G on Sep 23, 2011 1:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Forgot Beato

He should probably spend some time in the minors next year, so that’s yet another replacement that they’ll need.

by David G on Sep 23, 2011 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

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