Mets vs. Phillies Saber-stat Preview

by Bill Petti on Sep 23, 2011 4:00 PM EDT

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Tonight, the Mets (74-82) begin their final series this year against the Philadelphia Phillies (98-58).

The Mets avoided being swept by the Cardinals with an improbable 9th-inning comeback last night, but alas the quest for .500 is no more. Meanwhile, the Phillies are on cruise control, gearing up for a run at their third trip to the World Series since 2008.

And while it's true that the Phillies are only 3-7 over their last 10 games, the Mets have to face Cole Hamels and Roy Halladay in this series. Thank God for Kyle Kendrick!

Mets stave off a sweep, take one out of three.

For more on the Phillies, check out the always excellent The Good Phight.

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Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.

Statistics have not been park adjusted, but are adjusted for each team's respective league.

Offense

RS/G: Runs Scored per Game

wOBA: Weighted On-base Average

OBP: On-base Percentage

SLG: Slugging

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

LD%: Line-drive Percentage

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio

Defense

RA/G: Runs Against per Game

FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching

tERA: True Runs Allowed

SIERA: Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average (FanGraphs' version)

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

K/BB: Strikeouts to Walk Ratio

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio

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Comments

You mean thank God they throw Cole Hamels out there for this series.

We should at least take 2 of 3 in this series.

Proud supporter of a New York baseball team and a Boston football team. Yeah, deal with it!
"We don’t listen to the hype. I don’t think we ever have. We really take after our coach and he says ‘When you win, say little. When you lose, say less.'"--Tom Brady
The 2011 New York Mets: I don't know what to describe them as...
Staunch Parishioner Of The First United Church of R.A. Dickey

by R_Adragna on Sep 23, 2011 4:19 PM EDT reply actions

It really is uncanny how bad his splits are against the Mets.

Hard to explain.

Columnist at Beyond the Box Score. Contributor at Amazin' Avenue.

by Bill Petti on Sep 23, 2011 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions

Would you say he is a choke artist, perhaps?

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Sep 23, 2011 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions

It's ouch time

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Sep 23, 2011 4:27 PM EDT reply actions

...

Did you just quote Phantom Menace? Why would you do that?

Now, kids, being eaten by a crocodile is just like going to sleep; in giant blender.

by meigs1414 on Sep 23, 2011 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs

Sorry

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Sep 23, 2011 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions

All right

I’ll let it slide this time. But you watch your ass Mister!

Now, kids, being eaten by a crocodile is just like going to sleep; in giant blender.

by meigs1414 on Sep 23, 2011 9:53 PM EDT up reply actions

Hey, lets try to get a better draft position.

by FrancoTAU on Sep 23, 2011 4:35 PM EDT reply actions

Let's not.

by Curtis3331 on Sep 24, 2011 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions

I wish I could get my pulse up for this series.

There is literally nothing we could do that could have a negative effect on the Phillies. They have the division, they have home field advantage throughout the playoffs. I guess we could hurt their chances at setting a franchise wins record, but does that even matter? The 1976 Phillies won 101 games and were swept in the NLCS. The 2008 Phillies won 92 games and blew out Tampa Bay in the World Series.

I was still excited for the Atlanta and St. Louis series because we could have (and likely did for St Louis) ruined their season.

Mark Cuban for owner! Save us from the Wilpons!

by Greenpoint Ian on Sep 23, 2011 5:28 PM EDT reply actions