Schwinden Makes "Verducci Effect List"
Chris Schwinden, 24, Mets (+43). He became the Mets' version of Axelrod -- or their next version of Dillon Gee, whom I red flagged last year before he hit a second-half wall (5.25 ERA). The Mets were supposed to give one courtesy September appearance to Schwinden, a guy with an underwhelming fastball who has become an overachiever, but because of injuries on the staff he made four of them to go well beyond his previous high, from 2009.
4 months ago
cpins
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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 18, 2012 7:26 PM EST reply actions
that guy....
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I like articles like this
I just wish the included a baseline stat to compare it. What’s the average injury rate/regression of young guys who stay within their inning workload?
I just think there were a couple high profile examples
So he decided to run with it. Did you know that Derek Jeter is a clutch hitter?
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by Hoyadestroya85 on Jan 19, 2012 12:35 AM EST up reply actions
The Verducci Effect
Is generally overstated. And I don’t know if Dillon Gee really ‘hit the wall’ or just ‘saw his ERA rergress closer in line with his DIPS’
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by Jeffrey Paternostro on Jan 19, 2012 10:18 AM EST reply actions
Not only overstated
but has been debunked. Verducci cherry-picks guys who had great years, then when they fail to reach those same goals, he claims to have been proven correct.
not just cherry picked
The guys who throw lots of innings and increase their inning load dramatically they almost always did so by staying deep in games by outperforming their peripherals. They therefore tend to regress.
by djg2111 on Jan 19, 2012 1:47 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
so basically
two easy articles per year at minimum
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