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Around SBN: On Hazards And Hulks And Tigers, Oh My!

How Bad Will The Mets Be In 2012?

Things are never so bad that you can't imagine them being any worse, which I suppose is what keeps me from digging a trench to lay down in whenever I contemplate the 2012 Mets. To be certain, there's not a lot about which to be optimistic these days. To recap:

  1. Mets ownership is in dire financial straits, the team itself is losing tens of millions of dollars annually, but commissioner Bud Selig thinks everything is fine and sees no reason the WilKatzes shouldn't keep on owning the Mets.
  2. The corollary to #1 is that payroll will shrink to around $100 million in 2012, leaving Sandy Alderson very little money to work with in order to improve upon a team that lost 85 games in 2011.
  3. re #2, there's little reason to believe that $100 million is the payroll floor for this franchise, particularly without doing something about #1.
  4. From the abovementioned 85-loss 2011 team, take away Jose Reyes and most of Carlos Beltran.
  5. The Phillies haven't gotten any worse, nor have the Braves, really, while the Marlins and Nationals have gotten better.

It casts a haunting pall over 2012 and beyond, and the only thing that keeps me going most days is that I respect and admire the acumen and perspicacity of the gentlemen in charge of baseball operations. To the extent that they can keep ownership out of the way I expect that the front office will make sound baseball decisions using their brains primarily and their guts only as a last resort. I feel sorry for the humorless toads who have already dismissed this front office for reasons they (the toads) must have a hard time convincing themselves of; without the knowledge that there are sensible adults running the show I'd have startlingly little to hang my hat on.

Star-divide

It's difficult to conjure a scenario where the Mets finish any better than fourth place in the NL East, though that point hardly precludes them from being entertaining this season. They were generally fun to watch last year despite finishing 25 games behind Philadelphia, and there should be plenty to enjoy this year as well, even if it is a transitional (or a transition to a transitional) one for them.

  1. Johan Santana will be back. Or might be back. He didn't pitch at all in 2011, so that shouldn't be too hard to improve upon. He's aging and rusty and owed an awful lot of money through 2013, but he's a helluva lot better than Kevin Mulvey.
  2. Ike Davis will be back. Or should be back. He was terrific through the first month-plus last year, but then David Wright stepped on his foot — or his ankle — and a day-to-day bruise turned into a season-long injury. I'm as excited to see Davis back on the field as I am to see anyone else this season.
  3. David Wright might hit some home runs again. They're renovating Citi Field as we speak, moving some fences in and making the ballpark more hitter-friendly. Wright is a hitter, therefore Citi Field will be more friendly to him than it has been in the past. In other words, quit being a jerk, Citi Field!
  4. Mike Pelrey something something.
  5. If R.A. Dickey survives Mt. Kilimanjaro (roughly translated as "kills men and eats them like churros"), he'll be back, which is a good thing because he's introspective and funny and sincere and modest, which places him in stark opposition to most athletes on all of those points.
  6. The bullpen should be better. It'll definitely be taller. And less punchy.
  7. Jason Bay should be better. He ended the season on a high note and the new outfield dimensions will probably help, perhaps contingent on whether Bay can still reasonably be referred to as a "hitter" without stripping that word of all but its most literal interpretation.
  8. A full season of Ruben Tejada at short.
  9. A full season of Lucas Duda in right and Big Lebowski references on Amazin' Avenue.

There are others, too: Andres Torres's defense, Josh Thole's patience, Jon Niese's development, Matt Harvey, Zack Wheeler, Jenrry Mejia, and so forth.

What are you most looking forward to this season?

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Moises Alou

uses that pee for a different reason.

Being born in New York and rooting for the Islanders, Jets, and Mets. Yeah, I know.
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by CharlieIsles on Jan 3, 2012 10:14 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Yea, I'd go with the Picard Trial as well

I just hope they keep Sandy after the Wilpons finally sell

"It don't make you a bad person" - Ron Bennington

by Pauly C on Jan 3, 2012 11:33 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

If the rumors that Selig sent him here are true, then buying the team will probably come with the caveat that he be allowed to do his thing for at least another year.

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by Donal on Jan 3, 2012 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Not very optimistic about the Mets being contenders

But I think the dire predictions of them being truly awful are overstated. Getting Davis back for a full year, having a (hopefully) better bullpen, and having Santana back for even part of a season compensates for losing Reyes and Beltran. Basically this is mid-70s win team, no better and no worse.

by dcmetsfan on Jan 3, 2012 10:39 AM EST reply actions  

mid-70's?

if you’re saying the loss of Reyes and Beltran is covered, you are essentially saying they are the same team. BUT, you also say that the bullpen is better. So you are saying they are the same team but with a better bullpen. And since the bullpen was directly responsible for a handful of losses last year, wouldn’t that make them more than a 77 win team? You’re saying they are going to be better but win less games. are you accounting for the improvement of the other teams in the division?

by CB13 on Jan 3, 2012 12:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm weighing all the factors together

So the improved bullpen is one of the factors that mitigates against the loss of Reyes and Beltran. In other words, subtract out Reyes and Beltran, add in the better bullpen, Davis for a full year, Santana for at least a partial year, and the fact that Tejada and Duda (or whoever plays RF) will at least be above replacement, and I think the net result is a wash.

by dcmetsfan on Jan 3, 2012 3:13 PM EST up reply actions  

ok that is fair...

also must factor in the fact that the Mets were almost just as good in the second half without Beltran, and Reyes for about half of it. Fourth in runs scored after the all-star break. that was with no Ike and no Murphy and a struggling Wright as well, and Reyes wan’t nearly as good when he returned. Add in the progression of the surrounding players, I think it MORE than makes up for the loss of Beltran and Reyes. Add to that the infinitely better bullpen, and improved defense with Torres and Ike, and I think they are a better team going in. Santana would be icing on the cake but I don’t have my fingers crossed. Not to mention definite possibilities of at least ONE of Harvey, Familia, Wheeler, Mejia making it to queens sometime during the year.

I’m projecting 81-84 wins. with further off-season moves still possible.

call me optimistic.

by CB13 on Jan 3, 2012 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I went the over-optimistic route last year

And kinda got burned, so I’m being a bit more conservative this year. For example I’m not holding my breath that the bullpen will be any better. I can see Wright continuing to decline or at least maintaining the status quo, Santana doesn’t pitch as much as expected, injuries, etc. So I’m gonna expect basically the same outcome, and if they outpace that I’ll be happy.

Don’t get me wrong, I think you could be right, I just don’t want another letdown.

by dcmetsfan on Jan 3, 2012 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

It would be hard for the bullpen to not be any better

they were beyond awful last year

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf. "

– Tug McGraw when asked about his preference for grass or astroturf

by Terry_is_God on Jan 3, 2012 4:51 PM EST up reply actions  

mid-70s?

More like early 90s! BAM!

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
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by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 3, 2012 9:54 PM EST up reply actions  

The unexpected improvement of x

that partly makes up for the inexplicable decline of y.

by Kepler on Jan 3, 2012 10:41 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Looking forward to

the rest of MLB ownership telling Selig enough is enough and make the WilKatzes to put up the For Sale sign

Agree 100 % the only thing that keeps me for saying “F” it for the season is Alderson/DePo/Riccardi and the fact they are the best front office staff since the Bow Tie Cashen days.

I’d be shocked, SHOCKED to see Santana on the bump before June

by SISHAMROCK on Jan 3, 2012 10:41 AM EST reply actions  

bad

very

The artful muppet formerly known as KrmtDfrog.
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by Cory Braiterman on Jan 3, 2012 10:58 AM EST reply actions  

Overrated

I’m all about Blue Smoke.

The MetsCast: Dedicated to the New York Mets and the community of fans that supports them.

by Donal on Jan 3, 2012 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Any chance the price of garlic fries will come down?

Oh, forgot, I am boycotting Shitifield this season.

__________________________________________________________________
Really good kid.A very good player.Not a superstar. #BlameWilponz. Never Forget

by ScottfromPeekskill on Jan 3, 2012 2:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Socks

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 8:43 PM EST up reply actions  

looking forward to

getting tic for any game I want and moving closer.

and yeah, shorter shake shack lines.

and for.next.season.

I think it was Bobby V who said: "You are never as good as you are when you are at your best, and you are not as bad as when you are at your worst."

by gbaked on Jan 3, 2012 11:16 AM EST via Android app reply actions  

You think the team will begin the climb out of the puke bucket in 2013?

__________________________________________________________________
Really good kid.A very good player.Not a superstar. #BlameWilponz. Never Forget

by ScottfromPeekskill on Jan 3, 2012 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

i am hoping 2012 is going to be our low point

I think it was Bobby V who said: "You are never as good as you are when you are at your best, and you are not as bad as when you are at your worst."

by gbaked on Jan 3, 2012 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Halladay, Lee, Hamels

And the closest thing to an AL caliber offense there is in the NL, makes this a good time to look to the future. With this said, I think the Mets can compete with the rest of the division if Johan is able to meet the high end of expectations. Nothing short of acquiring Felix Hernandez will allow us to compete with the 3 headed beast in Philly though.

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 3, 2012 11:31 AM EST reply actions  

Heh, good catch

even without BeltReyes, full years from Wright and Ike could make our offense about as potent as last year, when it was (quietly) respectable, and easily better than the Philth’s. It’s really their amazing pitching that makes them so strong.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf. "

– Tug McGraw when asked about his preference for grass or astroturf

by Terry_is_God on Jan 3, 2012 1:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I think we also now have a better bullpen than them.

Lets see where Lidge and Madson end up, but, I think our hitting and BP is better than theirs.

__________________________________________________________________
Really good kid.A very good player.Not a superstar. #BlameWilponz. Never Forget

by ScottfromPeekskill on Jan 3, 2012 2:54 PM EST up reply actions  

question marks, but...

chances are high for Francisco and Rauch progression. Both coming from the AL East and hitter’s park. Coming to NL East and pitcher’s park is a different universe. Javier Vazquez anyone? Rauch was good in washington, and Francisco has been in AL hitter’s parks his entire career.

sign me up for widely better seasons from both of them. and the two of them together cost less than Papelbon. Plus Ramirez on top of that, who could very well end up the closer.

by CB13 on Jan 3, 2012 3:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I hear ya.

I’d like to have the last laugh as we end the season with the better set up guy and closer for peanuts as compared to what the Phillies spent.

by MetsFan4Decades on Jan 3, 2012 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

and also...

full seasons from Duda and Murphy as well (hopefully). Duda could very well replace what Beltran was doing. gotta figure Thole is going to progress too. Plus Bay had a monster September. maybe he figured something out. On top of Citi Field getting smaller, the chances are very good for Bay progression.

I think the lineup is better this year, even minus Reyes and Beltran. They were still fourth in runs scored post-all star break last year. just 10 less than the Phillies. That was without Reyes for a good portion of it, and no Beltran, and no Ike, and no Murphy. And that’s after the Phillies getting Pence, and having Utley back.

by CB13 on Jan 3, 2012 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

You're expecting Duda to preform at an All-Star level? Forgive me for calling that a long-shot.

Everyone says “oh, you have to figure all these guys will progress and be better than last year” when there is no guarantee that happens. Maybe Thole is only a 1-1.5 WAR player. Maybe Murphy won’t have a .345 BABIP again. Maybe Gee is only a .5 WAR pitcher. Maybe Tejada won’t be able to repeat a .331 BABIP. Maybe he won’t suddenly become a 2.5-3 WAR player at 22 years old. There are plenty of young players who take years to become even average major leaguere. There are also plenty who show promise but never amount to anything. Why are our guys presumed to be the exception?

Save Jenrry Mejia!
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by Ogre39666 on Jan 3, 2012 4:57 PM EST up reply actions  

dude...

that is why they are called projections. I didn’t say Duda was going to be an all-star. But Beltran had a .904 OPS before he left, then he left, and Duda put up a .920. I’d say that was filling in pretty nicely, no?

From June on, Duda was an absolute stud. Why is it crazy to think he can do something even comparable to it over the course of a full season?

I never said anything about guarantees. Simply projections using the information you have available.

by CB13 on Jan 3, 2012 5:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Dude, don't you know how projections work?

Exceedingly optimistic for other teams in the division, shit for us. Don’t you get that?

It is the most likely scenario that AAAA superstar turned big leaguer Michael Morse continues to hit like Henry Aaron whereas Duda will hit like Henry Blanco. That isn’t a projection, it is fact.

I am boycotting the team. Boy fucking cotting.

"Let them be stud muffins"
-Tom Seaver
Proud Mets, Jets, Knicks, Islanders fan.

by piazza62 on Jan 3, 2012 6:11 PM EST up reply actions  

By all means

keep handing the Wilpons your money. Keep fueling those who are reason for everyting wrong with the franchise.

And saying Duda won’t be Beltran ≠ he’s going to be Hank White-esque but you can keep pretending it does.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 3, 2012 6:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Going or not to baseball games isn't going to send anybody any kind of messages

Not singling you out or anything, but the whole “Boycott the Mets and show the Wilpons a thing or two!” movement is getting older than it was when it started, in my opinion.

Baseball games are a form of entertainment. Win or lose, a good team or a bad team, baseball games are fun. I don’t go to games to make or not make political statements. I go to be entertained.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 8:48 PM EST up reply actions  

On the contrary, I think a boycott definitely sends a message.

It’s a clear way to state your displeasure with the team.

"And that's why anybody who invested with Lenny Dykstra should really call that number. Lawyers are standing by."

by BobbyV_Incognito on Jan 3, 2012 8:59 PM EST up reply actions  

At the end of the day, 1 less $20 - $60 ticket is meaningless

Hell, at the end of the day, 100 fewer $20 – $60 tickets are ultimately meaningless.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 10:20 PM EST up reply actions  

When you're boycotting something

You’re not looking to only garner 100 people. You’re looking to to garner thousands. It’s not a “political” statement not to go; it’s a simple, “I don’t like these guys, and I won’t give them my money”.

The Mets lost 70 million bucks last year. If more people were going to the games, they would not have lost as much. If less people go to games, they will continue to lose money. Simple math. Will a real legitimate boycott catch on? Probably not. But if you don’t like the owners of the team and you think they are hurting your time merely by being there, then why pay them?

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Jan 3, 2012 11:28 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Because baseball is an enjoyable form of leisurely entertainment

I pay to see the players on a team I root for play. I don’t not pay, to “make a statement” regarding an aspect of the game (front office/ownership) that doesn’t have an immediate, non-abstract impact on my enjoyment of watching and attending a ballgame.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 1:20 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

The Wilpons spending money or not spending money

Doesn’t have a tangible impact on the team that is fielded that day winning or losing. Them spending more/less money is an abstract concept in regards to the actual team that they are fielding.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 12:02 PM EST up reply actions  

They could of not invested their money in a way such that they're so heavily in debt

just like I could have bought a winning lotto ticket. Neither changes that I’d be watching the team that they actually are paying for when I watch, or the fact that I’m not a millionaire. Nice to dream about, but neither changes the current situation.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 12:11 PM EST up reply actions  

The Wilpons spending or not spending money

has a major impact on the product they put out on the field, and thus the team winning or losing.

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Jan 4, 2012 8:54 PM EST up reply actions  

The Wilpons spending or not spending money has no impact on the team they are fielding, that I am watching at the game/on TV as it unfolds

Their spending money or not spending money is an abstract notion, because it didn’t happen as it’s imagined (spending more or less), that doesn’t have a tangible impact on the team winning as I watch it.

Would the Mets be better if they signed Reyes, Pujols, Darvish, and whoever else? Yes. Does the possibility that the Mets could have a better team increase or decrease the odds of the game I’m at?

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 5, 2012 1:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Agreed

The less people that show up at Citi the more money the Wilpons lose.

by graves9 on Jan 3, 2012 11:20 PM EST up reply actions  

It would if people (not singling you out) didn't go because "oh, $5 tickets on stubhub".

It’s the easiest way to send ownership a message short of a mass letter writing campaign. Money, or lack there of, speaks.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 3, 2012 9:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I prefer baseball to taking cursory soapboxes on things I have no control over

And to me, bad baseball > no baseball. I’ll break out the Butch Huskey jersey, buy my chicken fingers and hope whatever AAAA pitcher is on the mound pitches a non-no.

"Let them be stud muffins"
-Tom Seaver
Proud Mets, Jets, Knicks, Islanders fan.

by piazza62 on Jan 3, 2012 9:41 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Rec'd, Rec'd, Rec'ity Rec'd

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 10:21 PM EST up reply actions  

No one who wants to boycott is doing so because they are bad team

They are doing so because they want to pressure the owners to sell the team. If you want to shit on their boycott and tell them that it will never catch on and will be ineffective, that’s fine. But given the Mets financial situation, its perfectly reasonable that people wouldn’t want to give their money over to the Wilpons. It doesn’t mean they are fairweather fans, and they are really just boycotting because the Mets are bad.

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Jan 3, 2012 11:32 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Poor attendance will take care of itself for a bad team

And I can’t think of any other reason to hate this family with such fervor other than the team sucks. Did you have a problem paying them when the team was good?

"Let them be stud muffins"
-Tom Seaver
Proud Mets, Jets, Knicks, Islanders fan.

by piazza62 on Jan 4, 2012 12:11 AM EST up reply actions  

When the team was good

The Mets were still spending money. I never really liked the Wilpons too much, but I didn’t have a cause to boycott them as long as their finances weren’t hurting the team. Now their ownership is one of the biggest detriments facing the franchise, and is frankly just an embarassment.

FWIW though, I’m not boycotting the Mets at all. I’ve got season tickets. But I sympathize and understand those who do want to boycott, and I don’t think they are lesser fans for it.

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Jan 4, 2012 8:56 PM EST up reply actions  

A by-product of buying a ticket to watch a game is giving the owner your money.

Giving the Wilpons money is inseparable from the action of attending a game (unless you win free tickets or something).

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 3, 2012 11:48 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm ok with that

I’m not going to deprive myself of my favorite sport for some cause I don’t care about.

"Let them be stud muffins"
-Tom Seaver
Proud Mets, Jets, Knicks, Islanders fan.

by piazza62 on Jan 4, 2012 12:15 AM EST up reply actions  

So you don't care about the Wilpons running the franchise into the ground?

And do you not own a TV?

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 4, 2012 12:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Poor attendance will generate itself

It’s already declining, and I doubt I will be any sort of catalyst.

And the TV comment, are you serious?

"Let them be stud muffins"
-Tom Seaver
Proud Mets, Jets, Knicks, Islanders fan.

by piazza62 on Jan 4, 2012 1:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Watching games on TV puts money in the pockets of the owners, anyway

People watch games, ratings are higher. When ratings are higher, advertisers are morethe willing to pay for commercial air time. That money goes into SNY’s bank accounts, which eventually makes it into the Wilpons’ bank accounts, with them being the majority owners and all.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 2:02 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Totally true

but it’s a lot harder to unsubscribe than it is to not buy tickets.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 4, 2012 7:35 AM EST up reply actions  

What's good for the goose is good for the gander

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 12:03 PM EST up reply actions  

What does this discussion have to do with sex-relations?

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 4, 2012 12:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Two things accomplishing the same end result

If one is bad, both are bad. If one is permissible, the other is permissible.

I have never heard the phrase used in relation to sex relations (though it can certainly be used in that context).

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 7:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Just because it's easier:

Here.
Basically a goose is a female goose and a gander is a male goose.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 4, 2012 7:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Very nice

Still within the context of one being bad, both are bad and if one is permissible, the other is permissible.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 5, 2012 1:25 AM EST up reply actions  

So because there may be fines or loss of other channels if I unsubscribe from SNY

it means buying tickets is still okay when the goal is to deprive the Wilpons of as much money as possible?…

Never mind that the Wilpons don’t get as much money from TV since they are only partial owners of SNY or as directly as they would through ticket sales.

I mean this is what I don’t get: You would gladly suffer a rebuilding year or two if it meant we would be competitive 3 years down the line, right? That’s giving up something now (wins), for something later (more wins). Well this is the same thing. You are giving up something now (watching in person) for something later (not having the Wilpons in control). How is one acceptable but the other isn’t? They both help the team down the line and require short-term sacrifice. No one is demanding that you have to give up following the team in the short-term or that you must forfeit your “fan card”.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 5, 2012 7:43 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I don't see the harm of going to one game.

Just going less than you normally would would probably be enough to help.

Chamption of the R.A. Dickey Face contest and "Cromulent Photoshopper Extraordinaire" of Amazin' Avenue!
You might know me as mistermet.

by Steve Schreiber on Jan 4, 2012 1:14 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't see going as a statement of support for the ownership,

but not going can definitely be a statement of the opposite.

"And that's why anybody who invested with Lenny Dykstra should really call that number. Lawyers are standing by."

by BobbyV_Incognito on Jan 4, 2012 1:44 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I go to baseball games because I enjoy baseball and baseball games,

not to send political messages on issues I am ultimately meaningless in.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 10:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Who said anything about a political message?

And since you brought it up, I guess you never vote then? One vote is meaningless, after all.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 3, 2012 11:49 PM EST up reply actions  

A boycott is a political action, in this context of baseball

And, no, I do not vote. The system itself inherently favors keeping an oligarchic elite class in power (see the 2005 mayoral election, where Mike Bloomberg spent tens of millions of dollars to crush his opponent), and as anlong aside, I live in a heavily conservative district, negating any votes I might tender.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 1:40 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Didn't necessarily mean to call you out specifically.

I was more of a response to people who project all the young guys to all take steps forward. Your suggestion that Duda could replace Beltran just caught me attention (or ire if you prefer). Could they be comparable offensively? Sure, Duda has shown he could in spurts, but that’s only one side of the ball; Duda’s defensive play will subtract from his bat. I have hopes he could become a -5 defender in the future but that will only be after years of playing the OF.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 3, 2012 7:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Wet blanket alert!

Chamption of the R.A. Dickey Face contest and "Cromulent Photoshopper Extraordinaire" of Amazin' Avenue!
You might know me as mistermet.

by Steve Schreiber on Jan 3, 2012 5:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I disagree.

They get Utley and Pence for a full season, and Howard is walking already. With Howard playing, they are an AL style offense.

(Getting Utley back > Anything the Marlins have done this offseason.)

Even with a return to form for Hanley Ramirez, I still don’t see them outperforming Philly.

Utley, Howard = Ramirez, Stanton

Reyes gets the edge over Rollins in upside, but Rollins is a much bettter bet to actually play. Reyes is just as likely cap out at 300 ABs as he is to show up for 500 ABs. Forget 600+ ABs.

Polanco = Gaby

Mayberry/Brown > LoMo

Pence – The Marlins have no answer for Pence.

Victorino – No answer for Victorino.

Ruiz > Buck

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 3, 2012 7:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I feel like defending Reyes here

because Rollins is a turd and not nearly the ballplayer Jose is.

Astro Traveler

by BlackOps on Jan 3, 2012 8:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Mr. Rollins being generally more valuable than Mr. Reyes

This graph of a fan says otherwise

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 8:51 PM EST up reply actions  

WOBA and OBP

They’re a slot closer in WOBA and OBP. Reyes has the edge in peak, with Rollins clearly ahead in durability. (I like when my players are able to play.)

There isn’t nearly enough here to outweigh the other areas where the Phils outperform on paper.

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 3, 2012 8:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Rollins is pretty clearly in decline

Being able to put up 162 mediocre games isn’t all that great an asset.

by Stephen Schmidt on Jan 3, 2012 11:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Rollins is firmly above average for most of his career. Compare this to 105 above average games from Reyes, and 58 below average ones from Reyes’ replacement?

Bottom line is that in the context of comparing the Phils to the Marlins, it’s close enough that it doesn’t offset the other obvious strengths the Phils have over the Marlins.

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 4, 2012 1:11 AM EST up reply actions  

The above average games from Reyes

are a lot above average.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 4, 2012 7:44 AM EST up reply actions  

Reality Happens....

….whether you accept it or not.

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 3, 2012 10:13 PM EST up reply actions  

What fallacy?

My point is that his perception is not relevant in this discussion. This is a fact.

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 4, 2012 1:12 AM EST up reply actions  

I hate Phillies.

This doesn’t lead me to consciously overestimate Reyes or underestimate Rollins. Additionally, I never felt we’d win anything meaningful during Reyes’ time in NY, and I’m glad we didn’t bring him back at market value.

Getting back to the appropriate context, the difference is definitely not big enough to say the Marlins have a better offense.

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 4, 2012 3:32 AM EST up reply actions  

Will definitely be dreaming on the future this year

As Eric mentioned, just seeing Johan wearing 57 for the Mets (hopefully wielding some arm-strength to go with his patented Steely Glare will be a pleasure. Ike was becoming one of my favorite Mets EVAR, and would be amazing to see him return to his exciting (albeit SSS) form.

I think Tejada hasn’t hit his ceiling. Maybe Duda continues to mash. I have high hope that Dubs is gonna hit, and if Bay doesn’t totally suck, I will be happy.

Most importantly, I plan on paying much more attention to our Minor Leaguers, and following their seasons closely. Hoping for breakout years from Wheeler/Harvey/Familia. That Jennry comes back from TJS stronger than ever. That Gorski continues to improbably confound. That Flores, Puello, Vaughan, and Den Dekker improve and that Aderlin figures it out. Totally stoked to see if Nimmo kills it.

Plus, due to our poor showing last year, we get to see some nice high draft picks this year.

As Blondie used to sing: “Dreaming Is Free”. I trust we have grown-ups running things. I’m looking for entertainment and performance to dream on.

by neoncleon on Jan 3, 2012 11:37 AM EST reply actions  

the only thing that keeps me going most days is that I respect and admire the acumen and perspicacity of the gentlemen in charge of baseball operations.

This is what keeps me going too. What really terrifies me, though, is if Alderson and co. quite understandably say “This isn’t what I signed up for!” and resigns in disgust.

by chakrabs on Jan 3, 2012 11:58 AM EST reply actions  

I think behind the scenes

It was absolutely “what the fuck are we going to do about this mess?” and Sandy knew he was being assigned to a 5-alarm fire.

by SuperT on Jan 3, 2012 3:09 PM EST up reply actions  

If there's one thing I've learned about this team

since 2007, it’s you’d better be prepared to expect the unexpected.

Just what that unexpected will be in 2012 is anyone’s guess right now. Hard to get much worse so I’m going with the glass half full type and hope to be pleasantly surprised by at least one NY Met this season.

Here’s to it being the fact that RA Dickey pitches the first Mets no-no. Scratch that, let’s go for the perfect game.

by MetsFan4Decades on Jan 3, 2012 12:08 PM EST reply actions  

Yeesh, some of you need to lighten up

I prefer mistermet’s Optimism! fanpost. Not that I think the team will be good this year, but that rebuilding with Alderson and Co. is the best thing the team could be doing while it’s still in the Wilpons’ clutches. And they will indeed be entertaining regardless; honestly, if nothing else, the Mets are never boring.

Also, I don’t think we should take for granted how LIKABLE the team is. We all (ought to) know that Wright is a real mensch by now, as is that poor clod Bay, and guys like Thole, Duda, Tejada, Murphy etc. etc. seem like legitimately decent human beings and team players, which makes them real easy to root for (curious to see how Torres fits in since SF fans seem to think he is a great human being too). Dunno if it’s due to Dickey rubbing off on them or what, but that’s my personal perception of the current team.

Anyway, no matter how ugly their ultimate record (and I for one don’t see it being much worse than last year if at all) I think they can just look at the ridiculous competition currently in our division in conjunction with the unfortunate state ownership is in and hold their heads high regardless. It will be our turn to contend soon enough… possibly sooner than we think if the Wilpons can be ousted sooner rather than later. (please Dickey please)

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf. "

– Tug McGraw when asked about his preference for grass or astroturf

by Terry_is_God on Jan 3, 2012 1:17 PM EST reply actions  

we do have a lot of good guys

and that’s easy to overlook.

Jesus Fucking Christ already with the Dickey thing, though. They’re good guys,a lot of them. Dickey himself is a fine guy. I’m so on the very verge of despising him, though, because he does not eclipse everything else about every other player. I know it’s a joke, but seriously, it’s reaching exhaustion.

by SuperT on Jan 3, 2012 3:16 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

you're no fun

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf. "

– Tug McGraw when asked about his preference for grass or astroturf

by Terry_is_God on Jan 3, 2012 4:58 PM EST up reply actions  

I mean, you have a point, but Dickey is at this very moment on an epic journey of a lifetime for a good cause

I think right about now should be the peak, so to speak, of our exultation of Dickey.

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf. "

– Tug McGraw when asked about his preference for grass or astroturf

by Terry_is_God on Jan 3, 2012 5:08 PM EST up reply actions  

"Dickey himself is a fine guy. I’m so on the very verge of despising him, though, because he does not eclipse everything else about every other player."

GTFO. Now.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 8:52 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

wait, what ?
take for granted how LIKABLE the team is

WTF are you smoking ?

Other than the knuckleballer, there is nothing to like on this team…and, just wait until he falls off the mountain.

One day, this team is going to kill me.

by fxcarden on Jan 3, 2012 6:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Rock bottom.

Yikes.

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 3, 2012 9:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I totally agree

Reyes and Beltran were the only players I liked, and as a long suffering Mets fan since 1961 they are the reason I became fans. Now who do I have, Ike, Wright, Duda? All are AAAA players to me.

"Let them be stud muffins"
-Tom Seaver
Proud Mets, Jets, Knicks, Islanders fan.

by piazza62 on Jan 3, 2012 9:37 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Don't do that to David

He’s clearly one of the top 5 players in Mets history. Hopefully he gets Lasik surgery and that magically fixes his troubles, but he still had a number of great seasons and a few good ones to go with them. If he never played another game with the Mets the only thing I’d be disappointed about, besides the fact that he wouldn’t be a Met, is that we didn’t win a World Series with him. But maybe I like him more than you do.

Astro Traveler

by BlackOps on Jan 4, 2012 2:19 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't think he was serious.

Note how he said he’s been a fan since 61 and Reyes and Beltran are the reasons why.

by MetsFanXXIII on Jan 4, 2012 12:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Meh I suppose I'm a little defensive of David

Considering how I felt when Jose left, I’m not sure if I’d make it through David leaving.

Astro Traveler

by BlackOps on Jan 4, 2012 8:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, I really wasn't

I’ll be the first to defend the guy if he hits like Brandon Inge and fields like Richie Allen.

It’s impossible for me to avoid writing an overly snarky comment in response to someone proclaiming a team with DW on the roster has nothing to like about it, and still claim they are a fan of the Mets.

"Let them be stud muffins"
-Tom Seaver
Proud Mets, Jets, Knicks, Islanders fan.

by piazza62 on Jan 4, 2012 11:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Ike Davis?

What could be better than Dan Johnson
hitting .108
Let's trade Reddick for Heyward! 
Herreshoff.info -- The most awesome website since the invention of the internet.
by QW on Sep 28, 2011 9:47 PM CDT

by SandalsNoPants on Jan 3, 2012 10:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Ike David

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 10:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Are you telling me you don't even like Lucas Duda?

I don’t believe you. As for what I’m smoking, “I’ve been smoking the TRUTH, man!” – Adrian Monk

"I dunno. I never smoked any Astroturf. "

– Tug McGraw when asked about his preference for grass or astroturf

by Terry_is_God on Jan 4, 2012 3:22 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I project them to be better

Thole better, full season of Ike, full season of murph, tejada will regress a little full season, Wright better, Bay better, Torres is a better player than Pagan, full season of Duda and I think he’ll progress, hopefully we get some of Santana, Pelfrey will be better, Niese will be better, Dickey will be Dickey, Gee will be better hopefully if he regains his command, Bullpen is infinitely better than it was game 162. Defense is better and park is smaller. Not to mention possibility of late season contributions from some good prospects.

I am optimistic about this season.

by CB13 on Jan 3, 2012 1:28 PM EST reply actions  

You're young, aren't you?

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Jan 3, 2012 4:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't concern myself with other teams

We know we’re not going to be meaningful contenders save some really spectacular run, so who cares? We’ve lost some important pieces, but other pieces that we have are projected to do better than they did last season, making up for all or some of that net loss. All in all, I imagine we have a 75-80 win team, and given the circumstances that everything is in, I am alright with that. As long as Ike Davis is at first, David Wright is at third, and R.A. Dickey is pitching, I’m good.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 1:29 PM EST reply actions  

Well,

even though we won’t likely be any kind of contenders I still want the LOL factor watching the Phillies falter and the Yanks finishing behind the Red Sox and Rays.

by MetsFan4Decades on Jan 3, 2012 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

And hopefully Ike David is in his rightful place

batting third and sixth in the batting order.

Chamption of the R.A. Dickey Face contest and "Cromulent Photoshopper Extraordinaire" of Amazin' Avenue!
You might know me as mistermet.

by Steve Schreiber on Jan 3, 2012 5:57 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Firsthird basemen bat thirst

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 8:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I will look forward to not giving the Wilpons a cent (except for TV since I can't just unsubscribe from SNY).

I will also look forward to Alderson moving everyone not named Wright, Ike, Duda, Niese, ect. for prospects come the trade deadline.
Finally, I will look forward to the day when Bud Selig is finally out of baseball and a Commissioner who won’t make decisions based upon his relationship with someone is in place.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 3, 2012 1:35 PM EST reply actions  

This is a circumstance which never has been the case and never will be

Baseball Inc. exists outside of law and outside of market forces. They are a friendly cabal, and always install a commissioner whom they feel is amenable to the cabal’s interests. McCourt was an outsider and so did not receive their protection, but Wilpon is their long-time compadre. He would have to do a lot more than he’s done to be thrown over. They’re assuming that when real estate recovers, he will too. It’s going to be a long, long time before they cut him off. In other words, it won’t happen.

by SuperT on Jan 3, 2012 3:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Basement is more like it :{

Look at what we lost, Beltran, Reyes, K-Rod and a few others. What did we gain? The real question is what did the NL East gain, ALOT!!! We are the worst team in th eNL East and have little to no hope for that to change anytime soon. I had hope, yes false hope, but hope that past few seasons, “IF, Beltran, :IF” REYES, “IF” Santana, “IF” Bay, now, what do we have? I just wish we could forfeit the season and move on, it is gonna be a long and painful thing to watch.

by PiazzaHOF on Jan 3, 2012 1:35 PM EST reply actions  

I thought you stopped watching

What happened?

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 8:54 PM EST up reply actions  

I canceled my MLBTV subscription

This year, will be the first year that I will not even give a cent to the Wilpons. And it feels good.

"I got my pregnant wife (the Yankee fan) with me. Hoping my kid learns to kick her everytime the Mets score." -Schifftis-

by future on Jan 3, 2012 1:35 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

I am with you.

I think the team will be ~.500 and be fun to watch. i will not watch them at Shiti, not giving them a penny.

__________________________________________________________________
Really good kid.A very good player.Not a superstar. #BlameWilponz. Never Forget

by ScottfromPeekskill on Jan 3, 2012 2:56 PM EST up reply actions  

and if one of our prospect arms is completely dominant (Wheeler?)

getting to see him pitch in some therefore-very-meaningful-September games

by neoncleon on Jan 3, 2012 1:36 PM EST reply actions  

Bay = 30 HRs

You heard it here first.

Did you know he has 18 HR playing for the Mets and 8 HR playing against the Mets?

by hotspur on Jan 3, 2012 1:45 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Is that 30 HRs spread out over the rest of his contract?

"And that's why anybody who invested with Lenny Dykstra should really call that number. Lawyers are standing by."

by BobbyV_Incognito on Jan 3, 2012 1:48 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

hahaha! that cheered me up for some reason, thanks for the snarky comment

bobbyV_in

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Jan 3, 2012 5:14 PM EST up reply actions  

30HR for the rest of his career?

__________________________________________________________________
Really good kid.A very good player.Not a superstar. #BlameWilponz. Never Forget

by ScottfromPeekskill on Jan 3, 2012 2:56 PM EST up reply actions  

So that means

he hits 4 next year?

Ralph Kiner: You've gotta change the script, I don't like the script.
Gary Cohen: What's wrong with the script?
Ralph Kiner: Well the script should be the Mets win every day.

by StorkFan on Jan 4, 2012 11:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Didn’t this team score a decent amount of runs last year? With Wright and Davis both healthy I do not see why they cannot match it again. If the bullpen has been improved, as it looks to have been improved

by jdon on Jan 3, 2012 2:14 PM EST reply actions  

losing Beltran and Reyes won't help

Honestly, if Wright and Davis are healthy and smacking the tar out of the ball, the offense probably stays right where it is.

Meanwhile, every other team in the East except Altanta has upgraded, and the Braves were really good to begin with.

Mark Cuban for owner! Save us from the Wilpons!

by Greenpoint Ian on Jan 3, 2012 3:05 PM EST up reply actions  

except if Wrongz were smacking the cover off the ball

they would trade him before the deadline. so this team if lucky is going to finish at 71 winz…..

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Jan 3, 2012 5:15 PM EST up reply actions  

of course

you never know about bullpens. they are entirely unpredictable

by jdon on Jan 3, 2012 2:16 PM EST reply actions  

Looking forward to...

Better infield defense with Ike Davis at 1B. Less passed balls by Thole. Better outfield defense with Andres Torres at CF. Healthy seasons from our key bats. Duda getting 25-30 HRs with a full seasons of ABs. A bullpen that is not a LOLpen and can actually hold a lead. Progress from Harvey and Familia in Triple A making their big league debut that much more palpable. Less errors and more walks from Jordany Valdespin making him a viable long term option at SS. Reese Havens staying healthy and moving up to Triple A, bringing him closer to being the long term 2B. You know, stuff like that.

You always root for laundry. Of course, you'd like to have good players in that laundry as well.

by MetsCity on Jan 3, 2012 2:31 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

R.A.men brotha

__________________________________________________________________
Really good kid.A very good player.Not a superstar. #BlameWilponz. Never Forget

by ScottfromPeekskill on Jan 3, 2012 2:57 PM EST up reply actions  

sorry gotta ask this...Who?

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Jan 3, 2012 5:15 PM EST up reply actions  

A Wright wresurgence

That was weak.

Astro Travellin'

by BlackOps on Jan 3, 2012 3:06 PM EST reply actions  

I think the team is going to be tough to peg

Huge range of possible outcomes for the offense, based on which young players take steps forward or back. So tough to say what the true talent levels for guys like Thole, Davis, Tejada, Duda and Murphy are at this point. I think all told the offense will at least be average, though, maybe a tick or two above.

The starting pitching could be a train wreck, however, especially if Pelfrey, Gee, and say Hefner are making 60% of the starts in April and May. Bullpen should be better, but bullpens are crapshoots. Really nothing between 65 and 85 wins would really surprise me.

Amazin Avenue News Guru
http://metropolitantales.com
@jeffpaternostro

by Jeffrey Paternostro on Jan 3, 2012 3:33 PM EST reply actions  

good lord, on paper that's one pathetic lineup and rotation

if it weren’t for all mighty Dickey

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Jan 3, 2012 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

"Really nothing between 65 and 85 wins would really surprise me."

very very good way of putting it. I would prob go 70-85 though. there’s just no way this is a sub-70 win team. They’re strong at too many positions. offensively anyway. but the defense did get better as well.

by CB13 on Jan 3, 2012 3:39 PM EST reply actions  

They are strong at 3B

Average to bad at LF, average to bad at CF, average at RF, average at SS, above average at 2B, above average at 1B, average to bad at C. And that’s just looking at the hitting aspect of it; factoring in defense, who knows what the deal with Murphy/Thole/Duda will be? This is a mediocre baseball team at best, in what’s shaping up to be a rough division.

And 65-85 wins is such a massive zone, it’s almost like not making a prediction at all. 18 of the 30 MLB teams finished between those two numbers.

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Jan 3, 2012 5:05 PM EST up reply actions  

less than average rotation even with Dickey

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Jan 3, 2012 5:18 PM EST up reply actions  

I know

But to peg it down further you have to have some idea what the baseline performance of the offense will be, and that’s harder with this team then with most. Gun to my head I would say something like 74 wins +/- 3

Amazin Avenue News Guru
http://metropolitantales.com
@jeffpaternostro

by Jeffrey Paternostro on Jan 3, 2012 6:10 PM EST up reply actions  

well, yeah

I’d just settle for ‘not pathetic’ and they give it their all even when they lose. there were times last few seasons you could feel they didn’t want to show up.

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Jan 4, 2012 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

How did the defense get better? Beltran>Duda(no comparison) Reyes>Tejada-David is pathetic at 3rd

Anyone>Murphy-Thole is below average-Davis-is a +-Bay is average-CF should be better but Torres is average
Any scout would rate this defense one of the worst in the league.

by Putnan Prince on Jan 3, 2012 10:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Andres Torres, over the past three years

has a net UZR of 39.6 (8.2 in 2009, +22 in 2010, and +9.4 in 2011). Torres is an elite fielder, not average- since 2009, he’s been a better center fielder than everyone not named Brett Gardner and Franklin Gutierrez.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 10:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Torres better be able to go left with Duda in right.I can see a collision out there that

lleads to Torres being sent about 6 feet below right center field and a Memorial plaque just outside
SHAKE SHACK!

by Putnan Prince on Jan 3, 2012 11:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Reyes was a negative fielder each of the last three years.

There’s no guarantee Tejada is great at SS, but chances are he’ll be at least scratch.

Save Jenrry Mejia!
2012 Amazin' Avenue Offseason Plan: 2nd place

by Ogre39666 on Jan 3, 2012 11:52 PM EST up reply actions  

hey can we guess which Met player comes in all bulked up this year

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Jan 3, 2012 5:30 PM EST reply actions  

One Year Closer to Bay and Santana Coming Off The Books

After all, wasn’t that really the big story in 2011? The Mets don’t have to pay Ollie, Louie and Beltran anymore, although in Beltran’s case not having him hurts. Absent Madoff, if Reyes was resigned, the Mets could have been contenders in 2013. The Mets could have eaten Bay’s contract if need be. Not now. The Mets need to get every contract off the books before they can hit bottom and start moving up.

As for Sandy, do we really know why he is here? How about this: Selig sent him to cut spending and make sure MLB gets its money back. If the Mets have to sponge off the other teams they sure aren’t going to bid against them, friend of Bud or no friend of Bud. Bud will try to help the Wilpons keep the team, or sell it for a decent price. That requires profits. Which requires a payroll of $40 million or less until the team starts to win and revenues go up.

by WT Economist on Jan 3, 2012 7:42 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Jason Bay

I think he’s going to be pretty good. He’s supposedly healthy now. .265/.360/.510

Most arguments are really about context.

by SheaWasBettor21 on Jan 3, 2012 7:58 PM EST up reply actions  

!
As for Sandy, do we really know why he is here? How about this: Selig sent him to cut spending and make sure MLB gets its money back.

I don’t really even think this is up for debate. Sandy was sent to the Mets to provide a steady hand while the team shed a shit ton of payroll. Most likely continuing through 2013 when Bay and Santana come off the payroll. Till then I doubt the Mets make any sort of move for a big name player or a contract longer than a year or two. We’re at 90 million this year, and that’ll probably go down more.

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Jan 3, 2012 8:34 PM EST up reply actions  

It'll be tough for the payroll to go down anymore next winter,

as there’s no significant money coming off the books until after the 2013 season.

"And that's why anybody who invested with Lenny Dykstra should really call that number. Lawyers are standing by."

by BobbyV_Incognito on Jan 3, 2012 8:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah

The only realistic way to get it to go down any further for 2013 would be to trade David Wright. Beyond that, some smaller moves like non-tendering or trading Pelfrey or Torres or dealing Francisco could do it, though they’ve got a lot of guys hitting first time arbitration too. Beyond getting a miracle season from Jason Bay or Johan Santana and pawning them off for salary relief, they don’t have much flexibility.

Chamption of the R.A. Dickey Face contest and "Cromulent Photoshopper Extraordinaire" of Amazin' Avenue!
You might know me as mistermet.

by Steve Schreiber on Jan 3, 2012 8:56 PM EST up reply actions  

I just discovered how good orange juice and peach-flavored vodka is

The season is gonna breeze by

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 3, 2012 10:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Who names these things?

Lol

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 1:34 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

FYI, that's a pretty girly drink.

What’s wrong w/ regular vodka and OJ?

"And that's why anybody who invested with Lenny Dykstra should really call that number. Lawyers are standing by."

by BobbyV_Incognito on Jan 4, 2012 1:46 AM EST up reply actions  

I like peaches?

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Jan 4, 2012 1:55 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I'm keeping all options on the table

Guys like Pelfrey and Dickey might not be back who will make about ten million, we might flip Francisco at the deadline and save six million, Torres might not be back for 2.5, etc. I think it’ll go down until 2014 personally.

"I only wanted a few things out of life -- a wife, children, to play baseball and to hunt deer." - Turk Wendell

by Rey-O on Jan 3, 2012 11:35 PM EST up reply actions  

We'll look back at 2011 as the good old days.

We are gonna suck so bad it’ll make a black hole look like a cheap vacuum.

by brooklynlou on Jan 4, 2012 1:48 AM EST reply actions  

What ill look forward to

Is cheering for a team that will in all likelihood be On the whole fairly awful. Why? Because goddamnit I’m a Mets fan, we’ve been here before, and I’ve never let it stop me from loving this team or game, no matter how godawful painful they may be to watch. Even the worst season gives us plenty of spectacular, crazy, our just plain ridiculous moments, and I look forward to all of them. Is spring training here yet?

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Jan 4, 2012 2:07 AM EST via Android app reply actions   2 recs

Mets 2012

The Mets will be a good hitting team, lack starting pitching, and give up a lot on defense in the infield and right field. They will lose a lot of high scoring games as the front line pitching is mediocre. They will be in the mix for a last place finish with the Nationals.
Two years from now, they could have the two excellent starting pitchers and add others from the minors who have talent. They could be the next Tampa Bay. If they tank early in the year and are way out of first by the All Star break, the team will lose even more money and they will have to go further into debt. I predict that even with a freindly piggy bank at MLB.the team will be sold in 2012 but after the seaon is over.

by LewisL on Jan 4, 2012 6:29 AM EST reply actions  

Duda, Dickey, Davis

The 3 D’s of awesomeness

AAARRRRRRRSSSSSHHHHHHHHAAAAAAVVVVVIIIIIIIIIIIINNNNNNNNNN!
Dream goal!

by Aidan Gibson on Jan 4, 2012 7:12 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

except there's that guy named Michael Bay or something rather

creating a huge black hole in the lineup. Bay will be batting 5th (!), doubt there’s much production there

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Jan 4, 2012 3:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Day trip to a METS game

I live about 5 hoyrs away from CitiField, in 2006 I went to 6 games, plus, a playoff game. In 2007 I bought a Pedro Saturday Pack, so that I coul dget tickets to the playoffs and World Series..hahahahah, well we know how that turned out. Since 2007 I have only made that 10 hour, several hundred dollar trip to a METS game ONCE. That was to the first game ever against the Red Sox when CitiField opened. When this team starts to compete again, and, put a good quality team on the field, I will start attending more games, and, perhaps, purchase a saturday ticket plan, until then, forget it. I am not even sure if I will pay $300 for MLB TV this year. We should forfeit 2012 and spar us all the pain.

by PiazzaHOF on Jan 4, 2012 8:18 AM EST reply actions  

Or go to games because.....

Wilpons may not need to sell and should not have to. the money was spent on this team – however unwisely – when it was there.

A real estate meltdown and a big loss in a Ponzi scheme put then on their heels. Why the personal hate?

Maybe fans going to games, the Picard mess wrapping up, some minority sales and an improving real estate market will get their financial house in order.

Or maybe they sell and we get a jerk of an owner like Donlan.
I am not boycotting anything – I am going to root for the laundry and take advantage of easy to get cheap tickets.

I have enough corporate drama in real life – I don’t need to make my favorite sport a “cause”.

See you on the otehr side.

by john738330 on Jan 4, 2012 10:09 AM EST reply actions  

Things to look forward too.......

1. Amazing Avenue (from contributors to posters) helping me survive the nuclear winter that is the next few years
2. Paying more attention to the rest of the league
3. Smelling the elephant shit waft out of my television every time I decide to put on a Mets game while I knit sweaters for family, friends, and co-workers
4. Our minor league system and Toby Hyde and Kevin Goldstein’s minor league reports
5. Eh, what the hell. Ike, David and Johan too.

Dear friends, please temporarily stop your footsteps To our website Walk
around A look at Maybe you’ll find happiness in your sight shopping heaven and earth You’ll find our price is more suitable for you.

by Coolpapabell on Jan 4, 2012 10:29 AM EST reply actions  

nuclear winter that is the next few years

I think you will be surprised how short the Winter of Our Discontent will be. You may not even get one sweater finished.

by john738330 on Jan 4, 2012 10:52 AM EST up reply actions  

between the doomers and the optimists...

I wish there was a shared respect for both perspectives…

This team is going to be forever hamstrung until the Wilpons go. Please don’t trot out the canard “well the Rays only spend $5 dollars every year and look how they do!” That argument is beyond stupid when 60 million dollars is tied up among 3 players.

This is New York, everything is ridiculously overpriced. Fans have a right to expect their sports teams to operate accordingly.

Seeing the team struggle b/c the Wilpons are going to fight-and-claw to keep their hands on this franchise is nothing we should be happy about. And we should speak up. And there’s a lot to be said about simply not going and not watching.

That said, it’s baseball. I watch and enjoy baseball precisely because it’s apolitical and I can shut out the unpleasantness of the outside world. I really don’t want to think about investing energy into occupying Citi Field. And I don’t begrudge anyone who cherishes the time spent with friends and family enjoying the game.

It’s an escape, not a street protest.

Love the Mets.

by dirtycrumbs on Jan 4, 2012 6:48 PM EST reply actions  

Love the Mets

Love the Mets

Astro Traveler

by BlackOps on Jan 4, 2012 8:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Criswell Predicts!

1. Ownership change.

2. 67-95, the same as 1980, when Wilpon bought them. What is old is new again, or something like that.

by erich10031 on Jan 6, 2012 5:42 AM EST reply actions  

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