FanPost

One Team’s Trash Is Another Man’s Player: Picking The Bones Of The Non-Tendered List (NL Edition)

Braves

Jair Jurrjens (SP)

-The Curacao native debuted in 2007 with the Tigers, and became a full-time starter in 2008 when he was traded to the Braves in exchange for Edgar Rentaria. In his first two seasons, he pitched relatively well despite so-so peripherals, totaling 3.7 and 3.9 fWAR. Since 2009, he has suffered various injuries that have limited his playing time, and his effectiveness. After pitching 403.1 innings in his first two years with a 3.10 ERA and 134 ERA+, he has pitched only 316.2 innings over the last three with a 4.14 ERA and 93 ERA+. Only 27 and in his third year of arbitration, Jurrjens would be a free agent in 2014. He was due to make upwards of $5,500,000 if he was tendered a contract with a Braves. All in all, given the price and the lack of risk involved, I would take a shot on Jurrjens on a Minor League deal, but wouldn’t feel fully comfortable with a Major League contract. For one, as of right now, the entire pitching rotation is filled out. He has very little bullpen experience, so that isn’t necessarily an option. With the injury risk that Johan Santana is, having immediate pitching depth is important, especially if Zach Wheeler, Jenrry Mejia and/or Jeurys Familia do not seem ready when/if Santana invariably goes down. In 152 innings in 2011, Jurrjens wasn’t half bad, either, so it’s not as if his talent has completely evaporated; there might be some upside there, moreso than Chris Young, who has generally been "that guy" since 2011. Personally, thinking about it, I’d sign Jurrjens, if only to just immediately trade him to Kansas City, if nothing else.

My Verdict: As long as Dayton Moore is still playing The Game, YES

Peter Moylan (RP)

-In the late 2000s, Peter Moylan was a stalwart out of the Braves bullpen, appearing in a Pedro Feliciano-like number of games for the team. Despite posting sterling ERA numbers, the Australian was never favored too heavily by advanced metrics because of his poor K/BB ratio and a reliance on the groundball to get his outs. Age and wear and tear seem to have caught up with the righty, as he appeared in only 13 games in 2011 and 8 games in 2012. With the Braves bullpen absolutely stacked, and even moreso with the strange trade for Jordan Walden, Moylan’s services in their bullpen is no longer needed. I don’t think that Moylan would be a fit for the Mets bullpen, either. His age and injury history are not particularly attractive.

My Verdict: NO

Brewers

Manny Parra (SP/RP)

-The left-handed Manny Parra debuted with the Brewers in 2007 and posted decent numbers. It looked as if he would be a dependable back-of-the-rotation starter for years to come. The next year, as a full-time starter, Parra had a decent season, but it looked as if Parra had regressed- his league leading 17 wild pitches was something of particular concern- when you make Oliver Perez look like Mike Maddox, you know something is wrong. Parra continued the downward trend in 2009, and was shifted to the bullpen partway through 2010, which helped boost his K/9 numbers but otherwise didn’t help. After missing all of 2011, Parra returned to the Brewers in 2012 exclusively as a starter, and continued struggling. Of note, however, is his ERA/FIP differential: 5.06 ERA and 3.62 FIP, nearly a run and a half, meaning he wasn’t as bad as he appeared to be. His upswing in strikeouts was mitigated by his increase in walks, and his homerun suppression was partially negated by his higher-than-normal BABIP. Unfortunately for the 30-year-old, he just couldn’t catch a break. Like other relievers listed here, I don’t think that Parra brings anything to the table that in-house candidates can’t, and as such, I see no point for bringing Manny aboard.

My Verdict: NO

Cubs

Jaye Chapman (MiLB RP)

-Jaye Chapman, recently non-tendered by the Cubs, certainly has the most eye-catching numbers of all of the players listed. In 66 innings at AA, he’s posted a 4.07 ERA, with a 9.6 K/9 rate- the only drawback was his 4.1 BB/9 rate. In 117.1 innings at AAA, he’s posted a 3.61 ERA with a 10.0 K/9 rate- the only drawback was his 4.8 BB/9 rate. At the time he was traded to the Cubs from Atlanta along with Arodys Vizcaino, John Sickels projected him as a Major League middle reliever at best, or ROOGY. Because of his age and the long-term possibilities of his signing (arb eligible in 2016, and FA eligible in 2019), I see few drawbacks giving Chapman a contract- he is MLB ready now, more or less, and any time he spends in the Minors can be spent working on his control directly, since he has already proven he has what it takes to pitch at those levels.

My Verdict: YES

Zach Putnam (MiLB RP)

-Of all of the pitchers on this list, Putnam is certainly one of the more affordable pick-ups. He has decent but not overwhelming Minor League numbers, virtually no Major League experience, will be arbitration eligible in 2016 and a free agent in 2019. The 5th round draft pick put up decedent numbers at basically every stop of his trip to the big leagues. In two seasons in the Eastern League (AA), he has a cumulative 4.00 ERA over 108 innings, and in three seasons in AAA (the International League and the Pacific Coast League), he has a cumulative 3.80 ERA in 154 innings. The righty is young enough to be a part of this team, and teams for years to come, if he is able to prove his mettle; at the very least, he would be some fairly reliable depth in the Minors. John Sickels graded Putnam a C+ prospect, but expected him possibly to pitch better than that concept in the Major Leagues, because of his diverse pitching repertoire and his propensity to throw strikes.

My Verdict: YES

Ian Stewart (3B)

-Stewart looked very promising in AA and AAA, but at the Major League level, he’s just never been able to put it together- even artificial power from the thin air of Colorado wasn’t able to mask his deficiencies elsewhere. His low batting average is offset by his decent ability to get on base, but his high strikeout rate mars that. He doesn’t have much speed, he isn’t a defensive wizard, and in reality, the Mets have no real need for him: David Wright will be manning third for almost another decade, and the team has a few promising and/or intriguing third baseman in the system already blocked by Wright. Stewart could be moved to another position, but those aforementioned prospects are seemingly going to have the same happen to them, to give them an ability to become parts of the team going forward.

My Verdict: NO

Diamondbacks

Wil Nieves (C)

-You don’t see 35-year-old arbitration eligible players out there too often, but that’s exactly what Wil Nieves is. A career back-up catcher, Nieves has accumulated a total of –1.3 fWAR over the course of his career. His most successful season was 2008 with the Nationals, when he appeared in 68 games and hit .261/.309/.341, a 70 wRC+, and a whopping 0.3 fWAR. Last season, in 32 games (16 with Arizona and 16 with Colorado), he hit .301/.330/.410. In 2011, Beyond the Box Score ranked him 60/114, and in 2012, he was ranked 44/116. Though not a horrible catcher in limited time behind the plate, the team already has Anthony Recker in the organization, and Kelly Shoppach seen in a favorable light and a good candidate to return for 2012, it doesn’t seem there’s much room for Nieves. The likelihood of him putting up those offensive numbers, at his advanced age, doesn’t seem very likely, negating however decent he is behind the plate.

My Verdict: NO

Giants

Brian Wilson (RP)

-Brian Wilson is an annoying douche, but he is a damn good pitcher. Well, before his Tommy John surgery, which is why he was non-tendered by the Giants. Since 2008, he has a cumulative 3.04 ERA and 133 ERA+ with good peripherals. Wilson would be a one-year rental, but would be reestablishing his value at the same time. Like Jonathan Broxton, if he proved that he was still able to pitch, and decently, he could bring back an intriguing prospect or two at the 2013 Trade Deadline. Broxton signed with the Royals for $4 million dollars last season, so Wilson presumably will be getting around the same. For that amount, Wilson certainly would be worth the gamble.

My Verdict: YES

Nationals

Jesus Flores (C)

-The Mets lost Flores in the 2006 Rule V Draft, and in an alternate universe where that didn’t happen, who knows how Flores’ career might have turned out. What we do know is what actually happened, and over parts of five seasons, the 28-year-old Venezuelan is the owner of a career .241/.289/.375 batting line. For the 2012 season, Flores was graded 110/116 using Beyond the Boxscore’s Catcher Defensive Ratings, and 56/114 in 2011- either way you put it, he is generally not a very good catcher, overall. So, Flores can’t hit, doesn’t get on base, doesn’t have much power, and doesn’t handle the catcher’s duties very well. What can he do? Against lefties, he does own a career .252/.305/.425 platoon slash line, so there is that. And, he is only 28, so in theory, he could develop some more power over the next year. Maybe Dave Hudgens might rub off on him, like Ronnie Cedeno, and Flores gets on base more. Josh Thole will be given at least one more year to prove his worth to the team, so Flores would be used as a back-up catcher. With Anthony Recker already in the organization, and Kelly Shoppach seen in a favorable light and a good candidate to return for 2012, it doesn’t seem there’s much room for Flores.

My Verdict: NO

John Lannan (SP)

-I like John Lannan. I’m not fully sure why, either. It’s funny how such a "who cares" pitcher can be so dividing. His supporters cite a career 4.01 ERA, 103 ERA+ and 50%+ groundball rate, while his detractors cite his poor strikeout numbers, his poor K/BB ratio, and subsequent poor fWAR totals. All in all, though, nobody thinks that John Lannan is a world-beater, or anything remotely close. For the Mets, he would be a AAA insurance policy in the likely situation that Johan Santana gets injured. It is unlikely that Lannan makes more than a few million dollars, but I think that his role would be the biggest problem inking the 28-year-old lefty. There are a bunch of teams out there that are pitching starved enough to give Lannan a more-or-less guaranteed spot in their starting rotation out of the gates, and I would assume that Lannan would prefer pitching in the Major Leagues than pitching in AAA- his absolutely horrible 2012 numbers in the Minors certainly demonstrated that.

My Verdict: YES

Tom Gorzelanny (SP/RP)

-In 2007, Tom Gorzelanny’s first year as a full-time player, the lefty put up 2.9 fWAR. The very next year, injury and ineffectiveness limited him, and he was worth –1.0 fWAR. The up-and-down career arc has continued until the present day: in 2009, Gorzelanny was worth 0.7 fWAR; in 2010, Gorzelanny was worth 2.1 fWAR; in 2011, Gorzelanny was worth 0.7; in 2012, Gorzelanny was worth 0.2 fWAR. Since 2010, the lefty began seeing more time out of the bullpen. That year 66% of his appearances being starts. In 2011, 50% of his appearances were starts. In 2012, he pitched 72.0 innings and only made a single, solitary start. He didn’t exhibit extreme platoon splits, and could be used as a swingman, but he could be useful as a lefty to supplement Josh Edgin, as lefties only hit .237/.289/.398 and struck out 26 times to 8 walks.

My Verdict: NO

Phillies

Nate Schierholtz (RF)

-The lefty debuted with the Giants in 2007, but didn’t become a full-time player until 2009. He isn’t a particularly adroit hitter, with a career slash line of .270/.319/.409, but he’s a generally decent fielder, posting a 6.1 and 6.5 UZR in 2009 and 2010. His fielding has since become less proficient, posting a –0.9 and –1.4 UZR in 2011 and 2012, but even still, those defensive numbers are more or less net neutral. Schierholtz will be turning 29 in February, and will be eligible for free agency in 2015, meaning the Mets would have him for the 2013 and 2014 seasons if they desired. Schierholtz would likely cost only the Major League minimum, and as a result, I would be tempted to sign him, if only for his fielding- future moves that the Mets make might render him unnecessary, however.

My Verdict: In a vacuum, YES

Padres

Juan Oramas (MiLB SP)

-Juan Oramas is a 22-year-old lefty who hasn’t exactly made it past AA. In 2011, his first year in the Texas League, he made 18 starts and threw 104.2 innings with a 3.10 ERA/3.41 FIP, 8.77 K/9 rate, 2.41 BB/9 rate. He made a single start in AAA, and lasted only 3.2 innings, giving up 6 earned runs (3 of which were home runs). He started back in AA in 2012, but made only eight starts before succumbing to Tommy John Surgery. In those starts, it seemed something was wrong, as he owned a 6.37 ERA/4.70 FIP and saw his BB rate almost double. John Sickels rated Oramas a B- prospect back in January 2012, but whether or not he can still be that kind of pitcher after surgery is something we’ll have to see. Personally, I see it like this: He’s a lefty who has mid-rotation potential. For no real risk, throw the guy a contract and see if he can recover his career in late 2013 when he’s done rehabbing and after.

My Verdict: YES

Pirates

Jeff Karstens (SP/RP)

-Karstens is still one more year away from free agency. Having been non-tendered by the Pirates, who didn’t want to give him a raise on his $3,100,000 2012 salary, the thirty-year-old righty could be an intriguing pick-up. Advanced metrics undersell him, but as recently as 2011, he put up a 3.38 ERA/4.29 FIP, and 110 ERA+ in 162.1 innings. Last season, he was limited to 90.2 innings, but pitched well enough, posting a 3.97 ERA/3.32 FIP and 94 ERA+. Over the years, Karstens has struggled at suppressing home runs, something that spacious Citi Field should help with. Karstens has some experience in the bullpen, and could be helpful if not starting- a position that he would be shifted into when/if Johan Santana or any other pitchers go down with injury.

My Verdict: YES

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Amazin' Avenue

You must be a member of Amazin' Avenue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Amazin' Avenue. You should read them.

Join Amazin' Avenue

You must be a member of Amazin' Avenue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Amazin' Avenue. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker