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Law Tabs Domingo Tapia as Mets Top Sleeper Prospect

As part of his continuing Top 100 Prospects series for ESPN, Keith Law posted his top sleeper in each organization this morning. For the Mets, that player was Kingsport righty Domingo Tapia; once again, for those on the outside of the paywall looking in, here is a brief commentary:

"Right-hander Domingo Tapia is 6-foot-5 and hits triple digits as a starter with some sink on the pitch. He pairs it with a solid to above-average changeup that produced a reverse split in his 50 innings in Kingsport last year. He'll need a more consistent breaking ball to project as a top-end starter, but the velocity and changeup are a good start."

Definitely a solid choice by Law as the 20-yr old Tapia clearly has all of the tools to rocket up the Mets rankings this coming season, perhaps more so than any other single player. Perhaps my only small gripe is the definition of the word 'sleeper' as Tapia is suddenly becoming a very hot name in Mets prospect circles.

As well he should. Last week I ranked him as the Mets no. 22 overall prospect based on those same strengths that Law noted, being the special triple-digit sinker, the good feel for a change-up and the excellent raw physicality. I said:

"...the 20-yr old Tapia looks the part of a horse. What's more, he learned to harness that build this year as his already intriguing sinking fastball blossomed into a truly plus-plus, mid-90's offering and according to reports he was regularly hitting triple-digits. Even better, Tapia has a refined control of that pitch which affords him highly advanced command for someone so young and with so much stuff. That in and of itself drives Tapia up these rankings..."

Hell, I may have even bit a bit conservative with my ranking, initially penciling him in someplace in the teens based on his outstanding mix of size, stuff and youth alone. However, what ultimately held me back was his weirdly and somewhat concerningly low K-rates for someone with his stuff and command (2011: 5.40 K/9 | 2010: 5.55 K/9).

Regardless, Tapia absolutely has the look of a top tier pitching prospect; kids with his mix of abilities just don't come around very often. There's a very solid chance that by this time next year we very well may be talking about him as the next Mejia or Familia.

Poll
Where would you rank Domingo Tapia in the Mets farm system?
Top Ten
39 votes
#11-20
94 votes
#20-30
44 votes
Outside of the top 30
11 votes

188 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 18 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I have him at 20-30

Someone with that kind of stuff should strike out way more than five per nine at the rookie league level.

That being said, it would be interesting to see whether those numbers (and his velocity) would see an uptick if he were in the pen.

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by Hoyadestroya85 on Feb 10, 2012 11:34 AM EST reply actions  

I have him at 23

So I think you’re right on the money more or less. The scouting report says front of the rotation type upside, but he hasn’t even posted a league average K-rate at rookie ball. It could be that his control is so good, so he stays in the zone too much, and doesn’t have that breaking pitch to keep hitters from sitting on his fastball. I think he could easily be top ten next year if he dominates Savannah this season (which I think he has a good chance of doing).

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by Jeffrey Paternostro on Feb 10, 2012 11:37 AM EST reply actions  

Familia didn't get Ks yet in rookie ball either

I’m sure they’ll come, unless he’s really never able to develop even a half-decent breaking pitch.

I’ve never really heard any commentator even mention his arsenal outside of the fastball before. Obviously it’s nice to hear that he has a quality change-up; makes his upside sound a little higher than just Bobby Parnell II, which is how I was kind of thinking of him.

by psiogen on Feb 10, 2012 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

If Bobby Parnell can strike people out than I'm sure Tapia will also

It’s just whether or no Tapia can have good secondary stuff so you don’t fear the second time through a lineup.

by FrancoTAU on Feb 10, 2012 8:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Domingo is always awesome

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Feb 10, 2012 12:24 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Rec for nostalgia

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by Michkin on Feb 10, 2012 1:00 PM EST up reply actions  

one of my top 3 favorite games ever

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Feb 10, 2012 1:08 PM EST up reply actions  

The better one: Shining Force or Shining Force 2?

I could never decide. Generally, I go with one for nostalgia (and the characters- Zylo, Gunzt, and Bleu FTW), but two had the longer, arguably better story.

It sucks the Shining Series has been turned into crappy action adventure games.

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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Feb 11, 2012 2:23 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I have to go with 1

While characters like Peter, Slade, Kiwi, and Rhodes were cool in 2, the game itself was less compelling to me somehow, although still a lot of fun.

Domingo, Zylo, Guntz, Bleu, Adam, Musashi, Hanzou, Kokichi… and of course Jogurt are an indelible part of my childhood.

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Feb 11, 2012 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

yeah thats a good point. they kind of giftwrapped your ultimate team for you in 2

while in 1 you could easily miss a slew of awesome characters

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Feb 12, 2012 2:09 AM EST up reply actions  

sorry was supposed to be a response to BDMF

Hey, wait! I'm having one of those things. You know? A headache with pictures?

by KeithsMoustache on Feb 12, 2012 2:09 AM EST up reply actions  

One thing that I didn't like about SF2

is that outside of a few characters (Kiwi, Screech, Claude, the other three characters you don’t choose in Devil’s Mansion) you get everyone. I liked how in SF1, if you didn’t go out of your way, half the characters in the game didn’t join up with you.

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by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Feb 11, 2012 7:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Can we rank Keith Law?

He is the 1,941st best sports journalist in the country, at best, but there isn’t much difference between 1,941 and 2,237, so.
James Cannonglazer is my sleeper journalist

2012 New York Mets, World Series Champions!

by astromets on Feb 10, 2012 1:23 PM EST reply actions  

Somewhere between 20-25, right now

If, next season, he can strike out say around 8 batters per nine, he gets bumped to between 10-15 easily.

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.
Ryder or Riot #WWWYKI

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Feb 11, 2012 2:24 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

I see him in the top 30

One thing that’s nice is that he walks batters far less than Familia or Mejia did; Tapia is a tick under 3 BB/9. I guess one factor, there, though, is that both Familia and Mejia were at a higher level at their age 19 season.
If he can get his strikeout rate up, he’d definitely be in my top 15.

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by Aidan Gibson on Feb 11, 2012 7:07 AM EST reply actions  

Crazy Horse

"Blinding ignorance does mislead us. O! Wretched mortals, open your eyes!" Gil Hodges IS a Hall of Famer.
Ryder or Riot #WWWYKI

AA Gamethread Embiggening Record Holder- 458 posts (08/24/11)
3rd Place- 2011 AAOP Contest | 1st place- 2012 AAOP Contest

by Brooklyn Dodgers Mets Fan on Feb 12, 2012 2:50 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

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