FanPost

Bullpen - Shutdowns and Meltdowns

Over at www.grantland.com, Jonah Keri recently posted this article about how awful Saves are as a stat:

http://www.grantland.com/blog/the-triangle/post/_/id/23416/blowing-up-baseballs-most-dangerous-stat


If you don't care to follow the link and are, like me, unfamiliar with Shutodwns and Meltdowns, a Shutodown is when you increase your team's chances of winning by 6% or more and a Meltdown is when you decrease your team's chances of winning by the same. Here's a look at how the Mets' bullpen did last year in Shutdowns and Meltdowns including the three new guys:

Shutdowns Meltdowns SD/MD
Izzy 23 7 76.67%
Acosta 15 5 75.00%
Rodriguez 18 6 75.00%
Francisco 19 7 73.08%
Rauch 19 9 67.86%
Buchholz 5 3 62.50%
Igarashi 7 5 58.33%
Beato 15 11 57.69%
Parnell 16 15 51.61%
Byrdak 8 13 38.10%
Carrasco 4 7 36.36%

For comparison some of the league leaders: Johnny Venters had 88.7% SD/MD, John Axford 93.5%, Mariano 84.1% and Greg Holland 96.0%.

My take-away from this is that perhaps the three new guys are better than I thought, at least relative to where the Mets' pen was last year. I'm also surprised to see Byrdak so low. Overall, after Santana's health, I think the bullpen will be the biggest swing factor in the Mets' success this year. Parenthetically, Francisco is the only player in the league with three shutdowns so far this season.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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